Matt Savoca
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draftaholic.bsky.social
Matt Savoca
@draftaholic.bsky.social
Football, games, and data. R truther. Reformed spreadsheet warrior, mediocre crossworder | Prev: 4for4, FantasyFootballers, Stokastic | Prediction, not narration, is the real test of our understanding
Quick Hits for Friday Night Football (Chargers vs. Chiefs)

Was a bit surprised to see both squads played faster and passed more than average in neutral game scripts in 24. Even with a run-oriented identity, Harbaugh trusts Herbert when game's in reach. KC happy to lean pass/fast
September 5, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Quick Hits for Week 1 Thursday Night Football (DAL @ PHI):

Expecting plenty of passing. Obviously Dallas is built around airing it out, but Philly's not afraid to either, and passed more often than expected in neutral game scripts. Last year DAL Defense was #30 in Yd/Pass Att🧵
September 4, 2025 at 2:19 PM
one day left: get my showdown breakdowns, ownership data, and breakout receiver model analysis (+ so much more) for just $6.99 over at @4for4football.bsky.social

www.4for4.com/plans
December 2, 2024 at 6:03 PM
ublock origin has a chance to do the funniest thing ever
November 20, 2024 at 4:29 PM
never a good sign (if you like offense) when you can't find the QBs on the efficiency charts when breaking down a game
November 20, 2024 at 4:51 PM
Reposted by Matt Savoca
Jerry Jeudy was the top receiver in 4for4’s Week 11 Breakout Receiver Model @draftaholic.bsky.social
November 17, 2024 at 6:41 PM
Breakout Receiver Model is now live for Week 11 over at 4for4 Football.

Check out my top buy-lows and sell highs (and some solid DFS main slate values) over at 4for4 ($):

www.4for4.com/2024/w11/bre...
November 20, 2024 at 4:51 PM
It's been three days and I still can't believe Jerry Jones told people with a straight face "the world knows where the sun is" while doubling-down on one of the most *glaring* self-owns in NFL history
November 20, 2024 at 4:51 PM
Exploring NFL usage by share of team expected fantasy points (XFP), which weighs where/when/how players are utilized. Tells us how teams wanted to use their skill position players. Charts explained in this 🧵

First up, the NFC South, tied (with the NFC West) for the lowest total expected wins.
November 20, 2024 at 4:51 PM