Dowell Myers
dowell66.bsky.social
Dowell Myers
@dowell66.bsky.social
Demography underlies housing and economics, but narratives reach decision makers; hard data on generational well-being and succession; grandpa and blues lover
Astute assessments by a leading housing supply expert…
“We don’t have a marginal or arguable housing shortage. We have a ridiculous housing shortage, and the patterns in rent and price inflation that it creates could only appear under ridiculous conditions.“

kevinerdmann.substack.com/p/supply-has...
Supply has to be ridiculously low to create our peculiar affordability problem.
Maybe this is a repeat of some things I have written recently, but I think it can serve as a sort of summary statement of our problem.
kevinerdmann.substack.com
August 1, 2025 at 4:20 AM
Who’s victim of our housing shortage?
The housing shortage isn’t just about homelessness.

It’s also the young person who can’t afford to move out. It’s the couple who can’t get a place big enough to have children. It’s the people stuck with roommates (or even in abusive relationships) because they can’t get a place of their own.
August 1, 2025 at 4:13 AM
Agree with Jens on this simple housing stock based definition of filtering; direction is set by shortages relative to demand
Housing is always “filtering”, but the direction of filtering is a policy choice. Old housing filters up if housing does not keep up with demand, and down if it does. And it filters down faster if we make up for past shortfalls.
The absence of downward filtering is, definitionally, rent inflation that systematically pushes families out of their housing so that wealthier families can move into it.

Anyone who dismisses "trickle down" housing policy is necessarily supporting that bc that IS the alternative.
July 24, 2025 at 5:08 AM
What caused such severe #housing shortages in America? It’s a saga with deep intrigue in the bubble, financial crisis, and policy misdirections.

Solutions anyone?
“Misalignment of Housing Growth and Population Trends”

Dowell Myers, Hyojung Lee, JungHo Park
doi.org/10.7758/RSF....
Misalignment of Housing Growth and Population Trends: Cohort Size and Lagging Measurements Through Recession and Recovery
Population and housing growth are closely linked in the U.S. Census, less so in analysis. Overlooked changes in cohort size and lagged measurements have misled about current housing preferences, and q...
doi.org
March 13, 2025 at 6:42 AM
New refugee from that twit
January 5, 2025 at 6:13 PM