DB Main
@dbmain.bsky.social
Bell Labs Distinguished Member of Technical Staff
Lead Econometrician, Corporate Strategy, Lucent
That's my kid getting the Bronze at the World University Games.
She's a beautiful enigma
I keep a VanLife Blog here:
https://dbmain.substack.com/
Lead Econometrician, Corporate Strategy, Lucent
That's my kid getting the Bronze at the World University Games.
She's a beautiful enigma
I keep a VanLife Blog here:
https://dbmain.substack.com/
Season 5 of "Against the Rules"
The evolution from running numbers to Las Vegas sportsbpoks to online Fantasy Apps to Betting Apps.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...
The evolution from running numbers to Las Vegas sportsbpoks to online Fantasy Apps to Betting Apps.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...
Against the Rules: The Big Short Companion
Society & Culture Podcast · Weekly Series · Michael Lewis’s best-selling book The Big Short is now 15 years old. The Oscar-winning movie based on it came out a decade ago. To mark the occasion, Lewis ...
podcasts.apple.com
December 10, 2025 at 8:49 PM
Season 5 of "Against the Rules"
The evolution from running numbers to Las Vegas sportsbpoks to online Fantasy Apps to Betting Apps.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...
The evolution from running numbers to Las Vegas sportsbpoks to online Fantasy Apps to Betting Apps.
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...
Michael Lewis had a multipart podcast on this phenomenon. Eye opening. He interviewed some college athletes who were physically threatened by other students for missing free throws. The spillover is awful.
December 10, 2025 at 8:24 PM
Michael Lewis had a multipart podcast on this phenomenon. Eye opening. He interviewed some college athletes who were physically threatened by other students for missing free throws. The spillover is awful.
Especially led by a Ketamine addict
December 10, 2025 at 7:54 PM
Especially led by a Ketamine addict
THERE ARE LAYERS OF LEGISLATIVELY MANDATED AUDITS AND EAC-REQUIRED TECHNOLOGICAL SAFEGUARDS ALREADY!!
That you don't know about them doesn't mean they don't exist.
Sorry. This stuff makes me absolutely nuts.
That you don't know about them doesn't mean they don't exist.
Sorry. This stuff makes me absolutely nuts.
December 10, 2025 at 7:52 PM
THERE ARE LAYERS OF LEGISLATIVELY MANDATED AUDITS AND EAC-REQUIRED TECHNOLOGICAL SAFEGUARDS ALREADY!!
That you don't know about them doesn't mean they don't exist.
Sorry. This stuff makes me absolutely nuts.
That you don't know about them doesn't mean they don't exist.
Sorry. This stuff makes me absolutely nuts.
She's still on twitter.
December 10, 2025 at 5:59 PM
She's still on twitter.
Aftersun
Brilliant but...
Brilliant but...
December 10, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Aftersun
Brilliant but...
Brilliant but...
If that check fails, the system is locked from tabulating votes.
Some counties even pay VSTLs to do off-board Trusted Build audits after the election.
Some counties even pay VSTLs to do off-board Trusted Build audits after the election.
December 9, 2025 at 8:36 PM
If that check fails, the system is locked from tabulating votes.
Some counties even pay VSTLs to do off-board Trusted Build audits after the election.
Some counties even pay VSTLs to do off-board Trusted Build audits after the election.
I don't know what you mean by "audited", but after a release is EAC certified, the field systems do a "Trusted Build Verification" every time it's booted up.
It's a cryptographic process that verifies the software image is the same as the one during EAC certification.
It's a cryptographic process that verifies the software image is the same as the one during EAC certification.
December 9, 2025 at 8:36 PM
I don't know what you mean by "audited", but after a release is EAC certified, the field systems do a "Trusted Build Verification" every time it's booted up.
It's a cryptographic process that verifies the software image is the same as the one during EAC certification.
It's a cryptographic process that verifies the software image is the same as the one during EAC certification.
You're approaching this like Nuzzi and you have anywhere near the same mentality.
December 9, 2025 at 3:40 PM
You're approaching this like Nuzzi and you have anywhere near the same mentality.
Neck and neck with Matt Gaetz and Nick Fuentes for "The Most Punchable Face on the Planet"
December 9, 2025 at 3:21 AM
Neck and neck with Matt Gaetz and Nick Fuentes for "The Most Punchable Face on the Planet"
"Battleship Potemkin"
<end>
<end>
December 9, 2025 at 3:14 AM
"Battleship Potemkin"
<end>
<end>
If you want to defend election integrity, there are serious people that are doing it, like Marc Elias.
Not people selling merch to fund phony lawsuits.
Not people selling merch to fund phony lawsuits.
December 9, 2025 at 2:39 AM
If you want to defend election integrity, there are serious people that are doing it, like Marc Elias.
Not people selling merch to fund phony lawsuits.
Not people selling merch to fund phony lawsuits.
Seriously, did you actually read this? Again, it claims that the Trump drop off votes in Clark County is an "extreme anomaly" and then in its "reconstructed results" removing said anomaly gives the state to ... Harris?
It's not even internally consistent
It's not even internally consistent
December 9, 2025 at 1:37 AM
Seriously, did you actually read this? Again, it claims that the Trump drop off votes in Clark County is an "extreme anomaly" and then in its "reconstructed results" removing said anomaly gives the state to ... Harris?
It's not even internally consistent
It's not even internally consistent
Did you actually read this?
Why would Republicans not voting for Trump but voting for downticket Republicans be an "extreme anomaly".
It's such an extreme anomaly that it hasn't happened since...2022.
When Kari Lake, MAGA Queen of the Desert, got fewer votes than downticket Republicans.
Why would Republicans not voting for Trump but voting for downticket Republicans be an "extreme anomaly".
It's such an extreme anomaly that it hasn't happened since...2022.
When Kari Lake, MAGA Queen of the Desert, got fewer votes than downticket Republicans.
December 9, 2025 at 1:33 AM
Did you actually read this?
Why would Republicans not voting for Trump but voting for downticket Republicans be an "extreme anomaly".
It's such an extreme anomaly that it hasn't happened since...2022.
When Kari Lake, MAGA Queen of the Desert, got fewer votes than downticket Republicans.
Why would Republicans not voting for Trump but voting for downticket Republicans be an "extreme anomaly".
It's such an extreme anomaly that it hasn't happened since...2022.
When Kari Lake, MAGA Queen of the Desert, got fewer votes than downticket Republicans.
You: I haven't seen anyone refute the multiple statistical claims.
Also you: I refuse to open the post refuting statistical claims.
Also you: I refuse to open the post refuting statistical claims.
December 9, 2025 at 1:29 AM
You: I haven't seen anyone refute the multiple statistical claims.
Also you: I refuse to open the post refuting statistical claims.
Also you: I refuse to open the post refuting statistical claims.
I have substantiated all my claims"
1) They misrepresent the work of the experts they're citing,
2) They lie about the partipation of those experts in their work, and
3) have shown you that their statistics are garbage.
(But you chose not to read it)
1) They misrepresent the work of the experts they're citing,
2) They lie about the partipation of those experts in their work, and
3) have shown you that their statistics are garbage.
(But you chose not to read it)
December 8, 2025 at 11:28 PM
I have substantiated all my claims"
1) They misrepresent the work of the experts they're citing,
2) They lie about the partipation of those experts in their work, and
3) have shown you that their statistics are garbage.
(But you chose not to read it)
1) They misrepresent the work of the experts they're citing,
2) They lie about the partipation of those experts in their work, and
3) have shown you that their statistics are garbage.
(But you chose not to read it)
And yes, they're doing it perfectly.
"We need your help to resolve our uncertainties! Donate now! Buy a hoodie!"
Nearly $200K raised so far, and the beauty is when their lawsuit gets tossed for standing in 2 weeks, they will not have spent much of it.
electiontruthalliance.org/merchandise/
"We need your help to resolve our uncertainties! Donate now! Buy a hoodie!"
Nearly $200K raised so far, and the beauty is when their lawsuit gets tossed for standing in 2 weeks, they will not have spent much of it.
electiontruthalliance.org/merchandise/
Merchandise - Election Truth Alliance
Products Archive - Election Truth Alliance
electiontruthalliance.org
December 8, 2025 at 10:41 PM
And yes, they're doing it perfectly.
"We need your help to resolve our uncertainties! Donate now! Buy a hoodie!"
Nearly $200K raised so far, and the beauty is when their lawsuit gets tossed for standing in 2 weeks, they will not have spent much of it.
electiontruthalliance.org/merchandise/
"We need your help to resolve our uncertainties! Donate now! Buy a hoodie!"
Nearly $200K raised so far, and the beauty is when their lawsuit gets tossed for standing in 2 weeks, they will not have spent much of it.
electiontruthalliance.org/merchandise/
What makes you think it wasn't verified?
Each swing state has layers of legislatively-mandated audits and uses EAC-certified technology that REQUIRES levels of technological safeguards.
Each swing state did a manual recount of a statistically-significant number of ballots.
Each swing state has layers of legislatively-mandated audits and uses EAC-certified technology that REQUIRES levels of technological safeguards.
Each swing state did a manual recount of a statistically-significant number of ballots.
December 8, 2025 at 10:34 PM
What makes you think it wasn't verified?
Each swing state has layers of legislatively-mandated audits and uses EAC-certified technology that REQUIRES levels of technological safeguards.
Each swing state did a manual recount of a statistically-significant number of ballots.
Each swing state has layers of legislatively-mandated audits and uses EAC-certified technology that REQUIRES levels of technological safeguards.
Each swing state did a manual recount of a statistically-significant number of ballots.
And here's a comparison to ETA's "Russian Tail" in North Carolina to the prototype Russian Tail.
Do you back Nathan's claim they are "mirror images"?
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
Do you back Nathan's claim they are "mirror images"?
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
On the left is THE RUSSIAN TAIL from the Georgia election.
On the right is ETA'S "Russian Tail" from NC.
Do they look the same?
Are they "mirror" images as ETA claims?
On the right is ETA'S "Russian Tail" from NC.
Do they look the same?
Are they "mirror" images as ETA claims?
December 8, 2025 at 10:29 PM
And here's a comparison to ETA's "Russian Tail" in North Carolina to the prototype Russian Tail.
Do you back Nathan's claim they are "mirror images"?
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
Do you back Nathan's claim they are "mirror images"?
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
Here's a thread I did digging down into THEIR sources.
If any of them even bothered to mention turnout, it was a signature of extremely high turnout that was very localized.
The famous Russian Tail.
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
If any of them even bothered to mention turnout, it was a signature of extremely high turnout that was very localized.
The famous Russian Tail.
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
From the Shpilkin presentation that ETA pointed to.
I mean, it's absurd. "Get Out The Vote" (GOTV) programs are proven to be the best mechanism for winning elections.
And ETA is generalizing localized high turnout to mean the GOTV is evidence of fraud.
I mean, it's absurd. "Get Out The Vote" (GOTV) programs are proven to be the best mechanism for winning elections.
And ETA is generalizing localized high turnout to mean the GOTV is evidence of fraud.
December 8, 2025 at 10:29 PM
Here's a thread I did digging down into THEIR sources.
If any of them even bothered to mention turnout, it was a signature of extremely high turnout that was very localized.
The famous Russian Tail.
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
If any of them even bothered to mention turnout, it was a signature of extremely high turnout that was very localized.
The famous Russian Tail.
bsky.app/profile/dbma...
These are ETA's own words.
I mean, it's garbage. GOTV is what wins elections.
"If the candidate that more successfully got their supporters to the precinct, it's a sign of fraud."
I mean, it's garbage. GOTV is what wins elections.
"If the candidate that more successfully got their supporters to the precinct, it's a sign of fraud."
December 8, 2025 at 10:29 PM
These are ETA's own words.
I mean, it's garbage. GOTV is what wins elections.
"If the candidate that more successfully got their supporters to the precinct, it's a sign of fraud."
I mean, it's garbage. GOTV is what wins elections.
"If the candidate that more successfully got their supporters to the precinct, it's a sign of fraud."
10 minutes ago you claimed you weren't qualified to judge this, but you feel that you have the qualifications to look at ETA's charts and be convinced there's the possibility of fraud?
And don't worry. Klimek will never have to testify because this gets punted out of court within a month.
And don't worry. Klimek will never have to testify because this gets punted out of court within a month.
December 8, 2025 at 10:22 PM
10 minutes ago you claimed you weren't qualified to judge this, but you feel that you have the qualifications to look at ETA's charts and be convinced there's the possibility of fraud?
And don't worry. Klimek will never have to testify because this gets punted out of court within a month.
And don't worry. Klimek will never have to testify because this gets punted out of court within a month.
You're not going to look at it? It's from a statistician debunking ETA's gross ignorance of statistics.
Holy hell.
Holy hell.
December 8, 2025 at 10:18 PM
You're not going to look at it? It's from a statistician debunking ETA's gross ignorance of statistics.
Holy hell.
Holy hell.
I think that amounts to the same thing. This guy articulates it extremely well.
From someone who works GOTV campaigns, it's absurd to me that voter turnout should be homogeneous.
sullivan.zip/clark-county...
From someone who works GOTV campaigns, it's absurd to me that voter turnout should be homogeneous.
sullivan.zip/clark-county...
The Fraud Behind Claims of Election Fraud
Play with the data yourself: Interactive analysis debunking statistical claims about the 2024 election with live data visualizations
sullivan.zip
December 8, 2025 at 10:10 PM
I think that amounts to the same thing. This guy articulates it extremely well.
From someone who works GOTV campaigns, it's absurd to me that voter turnout should be homogeneous.
sullivan.zip/clark-county...
From someone who works GOTV campaigns, it's absurd to me that voter turnout should be homogeneous.
sullivan.zip/clark-county...