DB Main
@dbmain.bsky.social
Bell Labs Distinguished Member of Technical Staff
Lead Econometrician, Corporate Strategy, Lucent
That's my kid getting the Bronze at the World University Games.
She's a beautiful enigma
I keep a VanLife Blog here:
https://dbmain.substack.com/
Lead Econometrician, Corporate Strategy, Lucent
That's my kid getting the Bronze at the World University Games.
She's a beautiful enigma
I keep a VanLife Blog here:
https://dbmain.substack.com/
Seriously, did you actually read this? Again, it claims that the Trump drop off votes in Clark County is an "extreme anomaly" and then in its "reconstructed results" removing said anomaly gives the state to ... Harris?
It's not even internally consistent
It's not even internally consistent
December 9, 2025 at 1:37 AM
Seriously, did you actually read this? Again, it claims that the Trump drop off votes in Clark County is an "extreme anomaly" and then in its "reconstructed results" removing said anomaly gives the state to ... Harris?
It's not even internally consistent
It's not even internally consistent
Did you actually read this?
Why would Republicans not voting for Trump but voting for downticket Republicans be an "extreme anomaly".
It's such an extreme anomaly that it hasn't happened since...2022.
When Kari Lake, MAGA Queen of the Desert, got fewer votes than downticket Republicans.
Why would Republicans not voting for Trump but voting for downticket Republicans be an "extreme anomaly".
It's such an extreme anomaly that it hasn't happened since...2022.
When Kari Lake, MAGA Queen of the Desert, got fewer votes than downticket Republicans.
December 9, 2025 at 1:33 AM
Did you actually read this?
Why would Republicans not voting for Trump but voting for downticket Republicans be an "extreme anomaly".
It's such an extreme anomaly that it hasn't happened since...2022.
When Kari Lake, MAGA Queen of the Desert, got fewer votes than downticket Republicans.
Why would Republicans not voting for Trump but voting for downticket Republicans be an "extreme anomaly".
It's such an extreme anomaly that it hasn't happened since...2022.
When Kari Lake, MAGA Queen of the Desert, got fewer votes than downticket Republicans.
You: I haven't seen anyone refute the multiple statistical claims.
Also you: I refuse to open the post refuting statistical claims.
Also you: I refuse to open the post refuting statistical claims.
December 9, 2025 at 1:29 AM
You: I haven't seen anyone refute the multiple statistical claims.
Also you: I refuse to open the post refuting statistical claims.
Also you: I refuse to open the post refuting statistical claims.
These are ETA's own words.
I mean, it's garbage. GOTV is what wins elections.
"If the candidate that more successfully got their supporters to the precinct, it's a sign of fraud."
I mean, it's garbage. GOTV is what wins elections.
"If the candidate that more successfully got their supporters to the precinct, it's a sign of fraud."
December 8, 2025 at 10:29 PM
These are ETA's own words.
I mean, it's garbage. GOTV is what wins elections.
"If the candidate that more successfully got their supporters to the precinct, it's a sign of fraud."
I mean, it's garbage. GOTV is what wins elections.
"If the candidate that more successfully got their supporters to the precinct, it's a sign of fraud."
Each swing state conducts some form of "Risk Limiting Audit": A manual recount of a statistically-significant number of tabulated ballots. The recount you want is already in effect.
As for "upclose and personal", the machines are required to perform Trusted Build Verification at boot.
As for "upclose and personal", the machines are required to perform Trusted Build Verification at boot.
December 8, 2025 at 10:07 PM
Each swing state conducts some form of "Risk Limiting Audit": A manual recount of a statistically-significant number of tabulated ballots. The recount you want is already in effect.
As for "upclose and personal", the machines are required to perform Trusted Build Verification at boot.
As for "upclose and personal", the machines are required to perform Trusted Build Verification at boot.
ETA makes misleading claims hoping you don't check them against sources. On the left is the bimodal signature of fraud from Klimek. Klimek even circles it.
On the right is ETA's portrayal of Erie county which they claim has this same signature.
I ask you: Does it?
On the right is ETA's portrayal of Erie county which they claim has this same signature.
I ask you: Does it?
December 8, 2025 at 9:58 PM
ETA makes misleading claims hoping you don't check them against sources. On the left is the bimodal signature of fraud from Klimek. Klimek even circles it.
On the right is ETA's portrayal of Erie county which they claim has this same signature.
I ask you: Does it?
On the right is ETA's portrayal of Erie county which they claim has this same signature.
I ask you: Does it?
Here's a diagram I made of the process for a substack post of mine that remains in draft form.
(And how I love posts from folks like you that know what they are talking about)
(And how I love posts from folks like you that know what they are talking about)
December 8, 2025 at 9:37 PM
Here's a diagram I made of the process for a substack post of mine that remains in draft form.
(And how I love posts from folks like you that know what they are talking about)
(And how I love posts from folks like you that know what they are talking about)
thiswillhold admits using the wrong statistical method to prove fraud because it's easier to understand.
They admitted it upon being confronted.
They have been called out by Snopes and others for just fabricating claims.
They admitted it upon being confronted.
They have been called out by Snopes and others for just fabricating claims.
December 8, 2025 at 8:08 PM
thiswillhold admits using the wrong statistical method to prove fraud because it's easier to understand.
They admitted it upon being confronted.
They have been called out by Snopes and others for just fabricating claims.
They admitted it upon being confronted.
They have been called out by Snopes and others for just fabricating claims.
You'll never believe what happened next.
December 4, 2025 at 6:38 PM
You'll never believe what happened next.
Nine states flipped in 2008.
Was that "statistically impossible"?
Do you think Obama won fraudulently?
Was that "statistically impossible"?
Do you think Obama won fraudulently?
December 4, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Nine states flipped in 2008.
Was that "statistically impossible"?
Do you think Obama won fraudulently?
Was that "statistically impossible"?
Do you think Obama won fraudulently?
96% of the ballots cast in 2024 were paper ballots.
What state do you live in?
verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mo...
What state do you live in?
verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mo...
December 4, 2025 at 5:37 PM
96% of the ballots cast in 2024 were paper ballots.
What state do you live in?
verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mo...
What state do you live in?
verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mo...
This is from the report you're posting.
Does this make sense to you? That candidate percentages should be consistent across precincts? A candidate should get the same percentage in a black urban precinct as in a rural white precinct?
They are misrepresenting Shpilkin's work.
Does this make sense to you? That candidate percentages should be consistent across precincts? A candidate should get the same percentage in a black urban precinct as in a rural white precinct?
They are misrepresenting Shpilkin's work.
December 4, 2025 at 5:29 PM
This is from the report you're posting.
Does this make sense to you? That candidate percentages should be consistent across precincts? A candidate should get the same percentage in a black urban precinct as in a rural white precinct?
They are misrepresenting Shpilkin's work.
Does this make sense to you? That candidate percentages should be consistent across precincts? A candidate should get the same percentage in a black urban precinct as in a rural white precinct?
They are misrepresenting Shpilkin's work.
Please stop amplifying ETA. They have tilted into grifting.
The machines have no irregularities. There are layers of legislatively-mandated audits and EAC-required technological processes to detect "irregularities".
ETA ignores all of these.
The machines have no irregularities. There are layers of legislatively-mandated audits and EAC-required technological processes to detect "irregularities".
ETA ignores all of these.
December 4, 2025 at 5:25 PM
Please stop amplifying ETA. They have tilted into grifting.
The machines have no irregularities. There are layers of legislatively-mandated audits and EAC-required technological processes to detect "irregularities".
ETA ignores all of these.
The machines have no irregularities. There are layers of legislatively-mandated audits and EAC-required technological processes to detect "irregularities".
ETA ignores all of these.
Jesus. You asked; I answered. It bored you because you couldn't be bothered to summon the necessary attention span. ETA told you what you wanted to hear.
Stay duped. See what I care.
Donate every dollar you have to them. Buy some merch.
electiontruthalliance.org/donate/
Stay duped. See what I care.
Donate every dollar you have to them. Buy some merch.
electiontruthalliance.org/donate/
December 4, 2025 at 6:30 AM
Jesus. You asked; I answered. It bored you because you couldn't be bothered to summon the necessary attention span. ETA told you what you wanted to hear.
Stay duped. See what I care.
Donate every dollar you have to them. Buy some merch.
electiontruthalliance.org/donate/
Stay duped. See what I care.
Donate every dollar you have to them. Buy some merch.
electiontruthalliance.org/donate/
And this isn't the only researcher whose work they have misrepresented. They quoted Mebane in the lawsuit, and Mebane hasn't worked with them in months even though when I challenged them on their paraphrasing they said Mebane "vetted" the wording.
Like I said: this is just 1 of a dozen examples.
Like I said: this is just 1 of a dozen examples.
December 4, 2025 at 6:15 AM
And this isn't the only researcher whose work they have misrepresented. They quoted Mebane in the lawsuit, and Mebane hasn't worked with them in months even though when I challenged them on their paraphrasing they said Mebane "vetted" the wording.
Like I said: this is just 1 of a dozen examples.
Like I said: this is just 1 of a dozen examples.
And it wasn't just cropping; they moved the blobs and erased the red circle.
This was deliberate. A deliberate falsification of a researcher's work.
Klimek's Russia '12 on the left. ETA's copy of it on the right.
This was deliberate. A deliberate falsification of a researcher's work.
Klimek's Russia '12 on the left. ETA's copy of it on the right.
December 4, 2025 at 6:15 AM
And it wasn't just cropping; they moved the blobs and erased the red circle.
This was deliberate. A deliberate falsification of a researcher's work.
Klimek's Russia '12 on the left. ETA's copy of it on the right.
This was deliberate. A deliberate falsification of a researcher's work.
Klimek's Russia '12 on the left. ETA's copy of it on the right.
And ETA knows this. It's why they didn't include any of Klimek's heatmaps in their lawsuit. But look what they did when presenting Klimek's work in one of their videos.
They edited Klimek's heatmaps to CROP OUT THE BIMODAL FRAUD SIGNATURE.
They edited Klimek's heatmaps to CROP OUT THE BIMODAL FRAUD SIGNATURE.
December 4, 2025 at 6:15 AM
And ETA knows this. It's why they didn't include any of Klimek's heatmaps in their lawsuit. But look what they did when presenting Klimek's work in one of their videos.
They edited Klimek's heatmaps to CROP OUT THE BIMODAL FRAUD SIGNATURE.
They edited Klimek's heatmaps to CROP OUT THE BIMODAL FRAUD SIGNATURE.
Ditto Erie. Ditto Alleghany.
Both charts from the lawsuit. Both don't show the fraud pattern.
Both charts from the lawsuit. Both don't show the fraud pattern.
December 4, 2025 at 6:15 AM
Ditto Erie. Ditto Alleghany.
Both charts from the lawsuit. Both don't show the fraud pattern.
Both charts from the lawsuit. Both don't show the fraud pattern.
But here's Klimek's heatmaps from several elections - some fair, some fraudulent.
Klimek CIRCLES the fraudulent anomalies that signify fraud. It's that dethatched circle that is the fraud signature.
Compare it to Cambria: Where is that signature in ETA's Cambria heatmap?
Klimek CIRCLES the fraudulent anomalies that signify fraud. It's that dethatched circle that is the fraud signature.
Compare it to Cambria: Where is that signature in ETA's Cambria heatmap?
December 4, 2025 at 6:15 AM
But here's Klimek's heatmaps from several elections - some fair, some fraudulent.
Klimek CIRCLES the fraudulent anomalies that signify fraud. It's that dethatched circle that is the fraud signature.
Compare it to Cambria: Where is that signature in ETA's Cambria heatmap?
Klimek CIRCLES the fraudulent anomalies that signify fraud. It's that dethatched circle that is the fraud signature.
Compare it to Cambria: Where is that signature in ETA's Cambria heatmap?
Here is ETA's heat map of Cambria County. Which, they claim, shows the same statistical anomalies that Klimek highlights in his analysis of fraudulent Russian elections.
December 4, 2025 at 6:15 AM
Here is ETA's heat map of Cambria County. Which, they claim, shows the same statistical anomalies that Klimek highlights in his analysis of fraudulent Russian elections.
Here, in their lawsuit, they claim they analyzed Cambria county (among others) using methodologies developed by election fraud experts like Klimek.
December 4, 2025 at 6:15 AM
Here, in their lawsuit, they claim they analyzed Cambria county (among others) using methodologies developed by election fraud experts like Klimek.
With a gun to your head you wouldn't be able to explain what the highlighted passage means
December 3, 2025 at 3:13 AM
With a gun to your head you wouldn't be able to explain what the highlighted passage means
The expression one wears when your case gets dismissed before the legal fees eat too much into the donations you grifted.
November 24, 2025 at 11:30 PM
The expression one wears when your case gets dismissed before the legal fees eat too much into the donations you grifted.
If there's one thing I learned in life is to believe faithfully in the word of a ketamine addict whose own AI says he's full of shit half the time.
November 23, 2025 at 10:26 PM
If there's one thing I learned in life is to believe faithfully in the word of a ketamine addict whose own AI says he's full of shit half the time.
