nick
@data-driven-hockey.com
See datadrivenhockey's models, NHL fantasy help, picks and more 👇
https://www.data-driven-hockey.com/
https://www.data-driven-hockey.com/
NHL teams ranked by score/venue/flurry adjusted 5v5 xGF% so far this season.
October 14, 2025 at 7:27 PM
NHL teams ranked by score/venue/flurry adjusted 5v5 xGF% so far this season.
The Florida Panthers won back-to-back championships without a single point-per-game player across the two playoff runs.
They had 6 players with at least 1 penalty minute per game played though. The only non-Panthers in the top 8 PIM are Evander Kane and Logan Stanley.
They had 6 players with at least 1 penalty minute per game played though. The only non-Panthers in the top 8 PIM are Evander Kane and Logan Stanley.
July 17, 2025 at 2:17 PM
The Florida Panthers won back-to-back championships without a single point-per-game player across the two playoff runs.
They had 6 players with at least 1 penalty minute per game played though. The only non-Panthers in the top 8 PIM are Evander Kane and Logan Stanley.
They had 6 players with at least 1 penalty minute per game played though. The only non-Panthers in the top 8 PIM are Evander Kane and Logan Stanley.
Florida Panthers forward Sam Bennett made NHL history this year as the first player to win the Conn Smythe as the Stanley Cup Playoff’s MVP and lead the playoffs in penalty minutes in the same season.
July 10, 2025 at 5:05 PM
Florida Panthers forward Sam Bennett made NHL history this year as the first player to win the Conn Smythe as the Stanley Cup Playoff’s MVP and lead the playoffs in penalty minutes in the same season.
NHL divisions ranked by how they performed AGAINST each other last season!
July 8, 2025 at 4:40 PM
NHL divisions ranked by how they performed AGAINST each other last season!
Mitch Marner helped create a lot of goals over his 9 seasons as a Leaf 📊
In addition to this list he had 97 assists on 41 other players goals.
In addition to this list he had 97 assists on 41 other players goals.
July 3, 2025 at 3:27 PM
Mitch Marner helped create a lot of goals over his 9 seasons as a Leaf 📊
In addition to this list he had 97 assists on 41 other players goals.
In addition to this list he had 97 assists on 41 other players goals.
Pre-season cup chances from my model
May 20, 2025 at 7:54 PM
Pre-season cup chances from my model
Are NHL teams that get hit down the stretch more likely to go deep in the playoffs? I took a look at the numbers 👇
March 27, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Are NHL teams that get hit down the stretch more likely to go deep in the playoffs? I took a look at the numbers 👇
NHL wildcard race probabilities :)
March 20, 2025 at 12:47 PM
NHL wildcard race probabilities :)
Ovechkin has a 46.1% chance of breaking the NHL's all-time goal-scoring record this season. Do you think he will do it?
February 27, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Ovechkin has a 46.1% chance of breaking the NHL's all-time goal-scoring record this season. Do you think he will do it?
4 Nations Faceoff Clinching Scenarios 👇
🇨🇦 win in regulation: 🇨🇦 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇨🇦 win in OT/SO:
- 🇸🇪 win in regulation: 🇸🇪 v 🇺🇸 Final
- 🇸🇪 OTW, OTL or L: 🇨🇦 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇫🇮 win in regulation: 🇫🇮 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇫🇮 win in OT/SO:
- 🇸🇪 win in regulation: 🇸🇪 v 🇺🇸 Final
- 🇸🇪 OTW, OTL or L: 🇫🇮 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇨🇦 win in regulation: 🇨🇦 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇨🇦 win in OT/SO:
- 🇸🇪 win in regulation: 🇸🇪 v 🇺🇸 Final
- 🇸🇪 OTW, OTL or L: 🇨🇦 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇫🇮 win in regulation: 🇫🇮 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇫🇮 win in OT/SO:
- 🇸🇪 win in regulation: 🇸🇪 v 🇺🇸 Final
- 🇸🇪 OTW, OTL or L: 🇫🇮 v 🇺🇸 Final
February 16, 2025 at 7:32 PM
4 Nations Faceoff Clinching Scenarios 👇
🇨🇦 win in regulation: 🇨🇦 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇨🇦 win in OT/SO:
- 🇸🇪 win in regulation: 🇸🇪 v 🇺🇸 Final
- 🇸🇪 OTW, OTL or L: 🇨🇦 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇫🇮 win in regulation: 🇫🇮 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇫🇮 win in OT/SO:
- 🇸🇪 win in regulation: 🇸🇪 v 🇺🇸 Final
- 🇸🇪 OTW, OTL or L: 🇫🇮 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇨🇦 win in regulation: 🇨🇦 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇨🇦 win in OT/SO:
- 🇸🇪 win in regulation: 🇸🇪 v 🇺🇸 Final
- 🇸🇪 OTW, OTL or L: 🇨🇦 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇫🇮 win in regulation: 🇫🇮 v 🇺🇸 Final
🇫🇮 win in OT/SO:
- 🇸🇪 win in regulation: 🇸🇪 v 🇺🇸 Final
- 🇸🇪 OTW, OTL or L: 🇫🇮 v 🇺🇸 Final
4 Nations Faceoff Probabilities!
My model thinks this is a lot closer than most other projections I've seen.
My model thinks this is a lot closer than most other projections I've seen.
February 12, 2025 at 4:10 PM
4 Nations Faceoff Probabilities!
My model thinks this is a lot closer than most other projections I've seen.
My model thinks this is a lot closer than most other projections I've seen.
NHL Eastern Conference standings projections and playoff probs 📊
5 "locks", 2 almost sure things and 4 shrugs
5 "locks", 2 almost sure things and 4 shrugs
February 6, 2025 at 5:06 PM
NHL Eastern Conference standings projections and playoff probs 📊
5 "locks", 2 almost sure things and 4 shrugs
5 "locks", 2 almost sure things and 4 shrugs
On the Detroit Red Wings recent success:
They have the best points percentage in the NHL since Christmas, but are still bottom of the barrel in 5v5 xG% in that stretch and winning games off a pretty ridiculous penalty differential
(more 👇)
They have the best points percentage in the NHL since Christmas, but are still bottom of the barrel in 5v5 xG% in that stretch and winning games off a pretty ridiculous penalty differential
(more 👇)
February 5, 2025 at 5:17 PM
On the Detroit Red Wings recent success:
They have the best points percentage in the NHL since Christmas, but are still bottom of the barrel in 5v5 xG% in that stretch and winning games off a pretty ridiculous penalty differential
(more 👇)
They have the best points percentage in the NHL since Christmas, but are still bottom of the barrel in 5v5 xG% in that stretch and winning games off a pretty ridiculous penalty differential
(more 👇)
Will Crosby be traded? (Probably not)
Enter the February Prediction contest www.data-driven-hockey.com
Enter the February Prediction contest www.data-driven-hockey.com
January 30, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Will Crosby be traded? (Probably not)
Enter the February Prediction contest www.data-driven-hockey.com
Enter the February Prediction contest www.data-driven-hockey.com
This game is a good example of quality over quantity. Blue Jackets have about 47% of the xG share but have taken almost 20 fewer shot attempts than the leafs.
(Figure from @moneypuck.bsky.social )
(Figure from @moneypuck.bsky.social )
January 23, 2025 at 2:30 AM
This game is a good example of quality over quantity. Blue Jackets have about 47% of the xG share but have taken almost 20 fewer shot attempts than the leafs.
(Figure from @moneypuck.bsky.social )
(Figure from @moneypuck.bsky.social )
Reposted by nick
The DataDrivenHockey Show - Episode 1
The DataDrivenHockey Show · Episode
open.spotify.com
January 22, 2025 at 9:54 PM
Playoffs and Cup chances as of today!
We now have 13 teams with a greater than 90% chance to make the playoffs - 6 from the East and 7 from the West. Do you think any of them will end up NOT making it?
We now have 13 teams with a greater than 90% chance to make the playoffs - 6 from the East and 7 from the West. Do you think any of them will end up NOT making it?
January 9, 2025 at 3:09 PM
Playoffs and Cup chances as of today!
We now have 13 teams with a greater than 90% chance to make the playoffs - 6 from the East and 7 from the West. Do you think any of them will end up NOT making it?
We now have 13 teams with a greater than 90% chance to make the playoffs - 6 from the East and 7 from the West. Do you think any of them will end up NOT making it?
Playoff and Cup probs as of today 🙂
January 2, 2025 at 6:03 PM
Playoff and Cup probs as of today 🙂
Reposted by nick
New post: Something Strange Is Going On with the NHL’s Play-By-Play
Looking at changes in shot locations and scorekeeper bias and a guess at what’s behind the change
open.substack.com/pub/puckover...
Looking at changes in shot locations and scorekeeper bias and a guess at what’s behind the change
open.substack.com/pub/puckover...
Something Strange Is Going On with the NHL's Play-By-Play
The Box Scores, They Are A-Changin'
open.substack.com
December 19, 2024 at 2:05 PM
New post: Something Strange Is Going On with the NHL’s Play-By-Play
Looking at changes in shot locations and scorekeeper bias and a guess at what’s behind the change
open.substack.com/pub/puckover...
Looking at changes in shot locations and scorekeeper bias and a guess at what’s behind the change
open.substack.com/pub/puckover...