Interesting! Is there less variation between the simulated seasons? For my model the highest average points predicted is 103, but the first place team is projected around 112. Does yours have less of a relative difference between the 1st place teams rank points and Carolinas predicted average?

These are more aggressive predictions than what I'm used to from you. Are these point projections the average for each specific team from the 1 million simulations? Or did you take the average rank each team finished at and assign the average points that that rank had?

I think this is the best way to assess which division is truly the strongest, because it removes the positive/negative effects of playing bad/good teams in your own division. The Pacific was preeettty bad and the metro is the definition of mid (only the flyers were below .500 against non-division)

This was originally an Instagram post, thus why it's 8 pictures...

Auston Matthews tajan?

I’m hoping this is a case of the dailybeast twisting Guerins words… cause if not… big ooof. (you know it’s gotten bad when you are actively rooting for the news to be fake)

Even so, their penalty kill is 6th worst in the league since the coaching change, so it's not like it's gotten much better, they are just getting less penalties. I don't know if that kind of penalty differential is sustainable. I'm not saying that pointedly, I seriously do not know 🤷🏼‍♂️

They are getting 1 more power play per game than their opponents since the coaching change and their special teams goal differential per game has improved from -0.21 to 0.55 👀

(more 👇)