@curegian.bsky.social
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I think Russian intelligence services cannot believe their good fortune at everything that is happening right now. This is a bonanza across the board. The vicious attack on Ukraine, nutters at the FBI, Gabbard at DNI, shredding of CI capabilities. A monumental tragedy for the West.
This is incredible. Knock yourself out, Russian intel services. “A person familiar with the matter …said analysts at the agency were verbally informed that they were not to follow or report on Russian threats, even though this had previously been a main focus for the agency.” Cc @ciaranm.bsky.social
March 3, 2025 at 10:49 PM
I think Russian intelligence services cannot believe their good fortune at everything that is happening right now. This is a bonanza across the board. The vicious attack on Ukraine, nutters at the FBI, Gabbard at DNI, shredding of CI capabilities. A monumental tragedy for the West.
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If you were the Kremlin, why would you make any concessions right now? You have every incentive to demand it all: land, sanctions relief, demilitarisation, neutralisation & no troops in Ukraine. If it collapses, Trump likely to blame Ukraine anyway, allowing continuation of war on better terms.
March 4, 2025 at 9:49 AM
If you were the Kremlin, why would you make any concessions right now? You have every incentive to demand it all: land, sanctions relief, demilitarisation, neutralisation & no troops in Ukraine. If it collapses, Trump likely to blame Ukraine anyway, allowing continuation of war on better terms.
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Some random countries that haven't fought a war in 30 or 40 years.
March 4, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Some random countries that haven't fought a war in 30 or 40 years.
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I’m less convinced about her recommendations here.
I was very surprised about the topic of the interview - until a friend suggested that the President is campaigning for President of …
I was very surprised about the topic of the interview - until a friend suggested that the President is campaigning for President of …
Late to this but Lagarde is in very good (and cheeky!) form in this interview.
One can nitpick her proposed strategy.
But her meta message is exactly right: Europe has agency. Our worst enemy is fatalism.
www.ft.com/content/c4dd...
One can nitpick her proposed strategy.
But her meta message is exactly right: Europe has agency. Our worst enemy is fatalism.
www.ft.com/content/c4dd...
Christine Lagarde interview
FT reporters talk to the European Central Bank president
www.ft.com
December 4, 2024 at 9:16 AM
I’m less convinced about her recommendations here.
I was very surprised about the topic of the interview - until a friend suggested that the President is campaigning for President of …
I was very surprised about the topic of the interview - until a friend suggested that the President is campaigning for President of …
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Some imp discussions taking place in Paris in the margins of the Notre Dame gathering
December 7, 2024 at 6:11 PM
Some imp discussions taking place in Paris in the margins of the Notre Dame gathering
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In my note today, I argue:
- While weak, EU growth is at the global average, and getting better. US is the outlier, and slowing.
- Next year will see European reforms in the right direction. In the US (and probably China) they’ll be in the wrong direction
www.research.unicredit.eu/DocsKey/econ...
- While weak, EU growth is at the global average, and getting better. US is the outlier, and slowing.
- Next year will see European reforms in the right direction. In the US (and probably China) they’ll be in the wrong direction
www.research.unicredit.eu/DocsKey/econ...
www.research.unicredit.eu
December 8, 2024 at 1:53 PM
In my note today, I argue:
- While weak, EU growth is at the global average, and getting better. US is the outlier, and slowing.
- Next year will see European reforms in the right direction. In the US (and probably China) they’ll be in the wrong direction
www.research.unicredit.eu/DocsKey/econ...
- While weak, EU growth is at the global average, and getting better. US is the outlier, and slowing.
- Next year will see European reforms in the right direction. In the US (and probably China) they’ll be in the wrong direction
www.research.unicredit.eu/DocsKey/econ...
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Bulgaria and Romania belong fully to the Schengen area.
Removing internal controls at land borders is the last hurdle.
I welcome the positive outcome of informal discussions in Budapest today.
The Council’s formal decision is next.
Let 2025 see Schengen become stronger.
Removing internal controls at land borders is the last hurdle.
I welcome the positive outcome of informal discussions in Budapest today.
The Council’s formal decision is next.
Let 2025 see Schengen become stronger.
November 22, 2024 at 11:04 AM
Bulgaria and Romania belong fully to the Schengen area.
Removing internal controls at land borders is the last hurdle.
I welcome the positive outcome of informal discussions in Budapest today.
The Council’s formal decision is next.
Let 2025 see Schengen become stronger.
Removing internal controls at land borders is the last hurdle.
I welcome the positive outcome of informal discussions in Budapest today.
The Council’s formal decision is next.
Let 2025 see Schengen become stronger.
Reposted
Hello everyone!
It seems there is a lot going on here these days, so I decided to come and see it for myself.
From today on, follow my activities here too!
It seems there is a lot going on here these days, so I decided to come and see it for myself.
From today on, follow my activities here too!
November 21, 2024 at 12:08 PM
Hello everyone!
It seems there is a lot going on here these days, so I decided to come and see it for myself.
From today on, follow my activities here too!
It seems there is a lot going on here these days, so I decided to come and see it for myself.
From today on, follow my activities here too!
Reposted
I wrote about yesterday’s Russian missile strike on Ukraine, what Putin might have been trying to signal by using a “new” intermediate-range missile with multiple warheads, and how seriously to take that signal. www.economist.com/europe/2024/...
Vladimir Putin fires a new missile to amplify his nuclear threats
The attack on Ukraine is part of a new era of missile warfare
www.economist.com
November 22, 2024 at 7:06 AM
I wrote about yesterday’s Russian missile strike on Ukraine, what Putin might have been trying to signal by using a “new” intermediate-range missile with multiple warheads, and how seriously to take that signal. www.economist.com/europe/2024/...