Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
@climate-risk.bsky.social
SCRI is a think-and-do tank for navigating the next chapter of the climate crisis, producing insights and tools for navigating non-linear and cascading climate risk.
Find out more: https://www.scri.org.uk/
Find out more: https://www.scri.org.uk/
Pinned
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
92%: the percentage of funding for Nigel Farage's far-right political party Reform UK that comes from fossil fuel interests.
Across the world, anyone blaming immigrants, etc, it's all just a smokescreen to allow the rich to keep on getting richer by killing our planet.
share.google/W2gwfc0XVpUy...
Across the world, anyone blaming immigrants, etc, it's all just a smokescreen to allow the rich to keep on getting richer by killing our planet.
share.google/W2gwfc0XVpUy...
‘You can’t eat electricity’: how rural solar farms became the latest battlefront in Britain’s culture war
Reform UK is exploiting opposition to solar panels – but most farmers are more worried about climate change.
share.google
November 3, 2025 at 7:10 AM
92%: the percentage of funding for Nigel Farage's far-right political party Reform UK that comes from fossil fuel interests.
Across the world, anyone blaming immigrants, etc, it's all just a smokescreen to allow the rich to keep on getting richer by killing our planet.
share.google/W2gwfc0XVpUy...
Across the world, anyone blaming immigrants, etc, it's all just a smokescreen to allow the rich to keep on getting richer by killing our planet.
share.google/W2gwfc0XVpUy...
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
Saying a single year exceeding 1.5°C warming doesn't mean the Paris Agreement has failed provides as much reassurance as the captain of the Titanic telling passengers that there is an important difference between 'sinking' and 'sunk'.
www.technosphere.earth/derailment-w...
www.technosphere.earth/derailment-w...
Derailment warning as world faces threats to its ability to act on climate change
We may have seriously underestimated the risks of climate change. This includes derailment risks. This does not mean we are doomed, and it certainly does not mean there is no point in trying to turn o...
www.technosphere.earth
October 31, 2025 at 9:58 AM
Saying a single year exceeding 1.5°C warming doesn't mean the Paris Agreement has failed provides as much reassurance as the captain of the Titanic telling passengers that there is an important difference between 'sinking' and 'sunk'.
www.technosphere.earth/derailment-w...
www.technosphere.earth/derailment-w...
Climate change isn’t just creating new challenges - it’s derailing our ability to solve them.
In our latest article for The New Climate, we explore how derailment risks are rising, and what actions can keep us on course.
Read the piece here 👇
medium.com/the-new-clim...
In our latest article for The New Climate, we explore how derailment risks are rising, and what actions can keep us on course.
Read the piece here 👇
medium.com/the-new-clim...
Weathering The Climate Storm
How climate impacts could derail climate action — and how to stop them
medium.com
October 31, 2025 at 12:26 PM
Climate change isn’t just creating new challenges - it’s derailing our ability to solve them.
In our latest article for The New Climate, we explore how derailment risks are rising, and what actions can keep us on course.
Read the piece here 👇
medium.com/the-new-clim...
In our latest article for The New Climate, we explore how derailment risks are rising, and what actions can keep us on course.
Read the piece here 👇
medium.com/the-new-clim...
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
Following Hurricane Melissa's devastation, Jamaica’s decade-long effort to build financial resilience will be tested. Its $150 million catastrophe bond, triggered by a storm’s low pressure and path, will provide quick relief. Jamaica’s model may serve as a guide for other climate-vulnerable nations.
Jamaica invested heavily in climate disaster insurance. It looks about to pay off | CBC News
Jamaica’s decade-long effort to build layers of financial protection in case of natural disasters might help the country access millions of dollars in the immediate aftermath of Hurricane Melissa — an...
www.cbc.ca
October 30, 2025 at 4:20 PM
Following Hurricane Melissa's devastation, Jamaica’s decade-long effort to build financial resilience will be tested. Its $150 million catastrophe bond, triggered by a storm’s low pressure and path, will provide quick relief. Jamaica’s model may serve as a guide for other climate-vulnerable nations.
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
NEW: Devastating imagery from Jamaica, before & after Category 5 Hurricane Melissa.
Black River — near total destruction.
Black River — near total destruction.
October 29, 2025 at 8:28 PM
NEW: Devastating imagery from Jamaica, before & after Category 5 Hurricane Melissa.
Black River — near total destruction.
Black River — near total destruction.
A year ago, deadly floods hit Spain - supercharged by climate change. Yet climate-denying politicians gained ground.
Our new research reveals how derailment risks threaten climate action, and outlines strategies for building resilience and reinforcing progress.
👉 www.scri.org.uk/derailment
Our new research reveals how derailment risks threaten climate action, and outlines strategies for building resilience and reinforcing progress.
👉 www.scri.org.uk/derailment
October 28, 2025 at 11:10 AM
A year ago, deadly floods hit Spain - supercharged by climate change. Yet climate-denying politicians gained ground.
Our new research reveals how derailment risks threaten climate action, and outlines strategies for building resilience and reinforcing progress.
👉 www.scri.org.uk/derailment
Our new research reveals how derailment risks threaten climate action, and outlines strategies for building resilience and reinforcing progress.
👉 www.scri.org.uk/derailment
The world missed its goal for tackling climate change. What happens next?
Ten years after agreeing to limit global heating to 1.5°C, the world is overshooting.
How do we navigate what comes next?
Welcome to Overshoot.
Listen to the trailer now 👇
open.spotify.com/episode/2ICK...
Ten years after agreeing to limit global heating to 1.5°C, the world is overshooting.
How do we navigate what comes next?
Welcome to Overshoot.
Listen to the trailer now 👇
open.spotify.com/episode/2ICK...
Overshoot: a new podcast about a world beyond 1.5°C – trailer
open.spotify.com
October 1, 2025 at 8:34 AM
The world missed its goal for tackling climate change. What happens next?
Ten years after agreeing to limit global heating to 1.5°C, the world is overshooting.
How do we navigate what comes next?
Welcome to Overshoot.
Listen to the trailer now 👇
open.spotify.com/episode/2ICK...
Ten years after agreeing to limit global heating to 1.5°C, the world is overshooting.
How do we navigate what comes next?
Welcome to Overshoot.
Listen to the trailer now 👇
open.spotify.com/episode/2ICK...
The world missed its climate target. What happens next?
In 2015, governments agreed to limit global heating to 1.5°C. In 2025, we’re blowing past this.
How did we get here - and how do we navigate what’s next?
Find out in Overshoot, a new 4-part documentary.
Trailer coming soon.
In 2015, governments agreed to limit global heating to 1.5°C. In 2025, we’re blowing past this.
How did we get here - and how do we navigate what’s next?
Find out in Overshoot, a new 4-part documentary.
Trailer coming soon.
September 30, 2025 at 2:17 PM
The world missed its climate target. What happens next?
In 2015, governments agreed to limit global heating to 1.5°C. In 2025, we’re blowing past this.
How did we get here - and how do we navigate what’s next?
Find out in Overshoot, a new 4-part documentary.
Trailer coming soon.
In 2015, governments agreed to limit global heating to 1.5°C. In 2025, we’re blowing past this.
How did we get here - and how do we navigate what’s next?
Find out in Overshoot, a new 4-part documentary.
Trailer coming soon.
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
“The future isn’t something that happens to us, it’s something we build together. By choosing to act wisely today, we can navigate uncertainty and emerge stronger tomorrow.” - @laurielaybourn.bsky.social, @climate-risk.bsky.social
youtu.be/IkjsAQeomtQ
youtu.be/IkjsAQeomtQ
Positive Tipping Points: Overcoming Climate Instability
YouTube video by Thinking the Unthinkable
youtu.be
September 9, 2025 at 1:17 AM
“The future isn’t something that happens to us, it’s something we build together. By choosing to act wisely today, we can navigate uncertainty and emerge stronger tomorrow.” - @laurielaybourn.bsky.social, @climate-risk.bsky.social
youtu.be/IkjsAQeomtQ
youtu.be/IkjsAQeomtQ
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
UK solar power output is breaking records this year, and has now exceeded the total generated in 2024 🌞
www.ft.com/content/9e49...
www.ft.com/content/9e49...
August 20, 2025 at 6:03 AM
UK solar power output is breaking records this year, and has now exceeded the total generated in 2024 🌞
www.ft.com/content/9e49...
www.ft.com/content/9e49...
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
The rate of sea level rise all along the US Atlantic coast has been accelerating in recent years.
tamino.wordpress.com/2025/08/03/s...
This is likely connected to the slowing of the AMOC...
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
tamino.wordpress.com/2025/08/03/s...
This is likely connected to the slowing of the AMOC...
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
August 3, 2025 at 8:21 PM
The rate of sea level rise all along the US Atlantic coast has been accelerating in recent years.
tamino.wordpress.com/2025/08/03/s...
This is likely connected to the slowing of the AMOC...
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
tamino.wordpress.com/2025/08/03/s...
This is likely connected to the slowing of the AMOC...
journals.ametsoc.org/view/journal...
🌀 Could climate change undermine renewable energy itself?
A new study highlights a worrying feedback: as the planet warms, wind power potential could significantly decline across key global regions.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A new study highlights a worrying feedback: as the planet warms, wind power potential could significantly decline across key global regions.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Prolonged wind droughts in a warming climate threaten global wind power security - Nature Climate Change
Prolonged low wind speeds can lead to a strong reduction in wind power generation. Here, the authors show that such wind drought events become more frequent and extended under global warming, threaten...
www.nature.com
July 30, 2025 at 11:30 AM
🌀 Could climate change undermine renewable energy itself?
A new study highlights a worrying feedback: as the planet warms, wind power potential could significantly decline across key global regions.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
A new study highlights a worrying feedback: as the planet warms, wind power potential could significantly decline across key global regions.
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
This framing is misleading.
It's super important that we recognise that there's no 'new normal' until we stop burning fossil fuels - it just keeps getting worse & worse!
As the scientists quoted in the article say "today’s high temperatures are likely to be average by 2050, & cool by 2100"
It's super important that we recognise that there's no 'new normal' until we stop burning fossil fuels - it just keeps getting worse & worse!
As the scientists quoted in the article say "today’s high temperatures are likely to be average by 2050, & cool by 2100"
‘Profound concern’ as scientists say extreme heat ‘now the norm’ in UK
Frequency of heatwaves and flooding raises fears over health, infrastructure and how society functions
www.theguardian.com
July 14, 2025 at 8:02 AM
This framing is misleading.
It's super important that we recognise that there's no 'new normal' until we stop burning fossil fuels - it just keeps getting worse & worse!
As the scientists quoted in the article say "today’s high temperatures are likely to be average by 2050, & cool by 2100"
It's super important that we recognise that there's no 'new normal' until we stop burning fossil fuels - it just keeps getting worse & worse!
As the scientists quoted in the article say "today’s high temperatures are likely to be average by 2050, & cool by 2100"
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
"There is growing evidence that the most extreme extremes probably will increase faster and to a greater extent than we used to think was the case"- @weatherwest.bsky.social
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/c...
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/c...
The World Is Warming Up. And It’s Happening Faster.
www.nytimes.com
June 27, 2025 at 8:41 AM
"There is growing evidence that the most extreme extremes probably will increase faster and to a greater extent than we used to think was the case"- @weatherwest.bsky.social
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/c...
www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/c...
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
We’re wasting the remaining carbon budget on war and AI.
Only two years left of world’s carbon budget to meet 1.5C target, scientists warn
Breaching threshold would ramp up catastrophic weather events, further increasing human suffering
www.theguardian.com
June 19, 2025 at 9:44 PM
We’re wasting the remaining carbon budget on war and AI.
💣🌍 “National security” isn’t just about tanks and treaties anymore. It needs to consider climate change.
Climate risk is a national security risk.
Our strategies—and our spending—need to reflect that.
Now.
📖 Full story via The Guardian:
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Climate risk is a national security risk.
Our strategies—and our spending—need to reflect that.
Now.
📖 Full story via The Guardian:
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
UK must consider food and climate part of national security, say top ex-military figures
Former army and navy leaders urge government to think beyond military capability in advance of key defence review
www.theguardian.com
June 2, 2025 at 4:19 PM
💣🌍 “National security” isn’t just about tanks and treaties anymore. It needs to consider climate change.
Climate risk is a national security risk.
Our strategies—and our spending—need to reflect that.
Now.
📖 Full story via The Guardian:
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
Climate risk is a national security risk.
Our strategies—and our spending—need to reflect that.
Now.
📖 Full story via The Guardian:
www.theguardian.com/politics/202...
The Trump administration’s move to defund and downgrade the Basel Committee’s climate risk initiative is setting off alarm bells.
Stepping away now doesn’t just disrupt progress—it risks locking in the very gaps that need closing. We need to double down, not retreat.
www.ft.com/content/c6dc...
Stepping away now doesn’t just disrupt progress—it risks locking in the very gaps that need closing. We need to double down, not retreat.
www.ft.com/content/c6dc...
US pushes financial regulators to backtrack on climate risk project
Effort to weaken Basel committee task force comes as Trump administration steps back from environmental issues
www.ft.com
May 19, 2025 at 8:20 AM
The Trump administration’s move to defund and downgrade the Basel Committee’s climate risk initiative is setting off alarm bells.
Stepping away now doesn’t just disrupt progress—it risks locking in the very gaps that need closing. We need to double down, not retreat.
www.ft.com/content/c6dc...
Stepping away now doesn’t just disrupt progress—it risks locking in the very gaps that need closing. We need to double down, not retreat.
www.ft.com/content/c6dc...
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
"Earth’s albedo (reflectivity) declined over the 25 years of precise satellite data, with
the decline so large that this change must be mainly reduced reflection of sunlight by clouds"
- James Hansen & Pushker Kharecha
#Climate
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
the decline so large that this change must be mainly reduced reflection of sunlight by clouds"
- James Hansen & Pushker Kharecha
#Climate
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
May 15, 2025 at 12:41 PM
"Earth’s albedo (reflectivity) declined over the 25 years of precise satellite data, with
the decline so large that this change must be mainly reduced reflection of sunlight by clouds"
- James Hansen & Pushker Kharecha
#Climate
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
the decline so large that this change must be mainly reduced reflection of sunlight by clouds"
- James Hansen & Pushker Kharecha
#Climate
www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailin...
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
Figure of the day: Over the last YEAR, Copernicus' extrapolated date for breaching 1.5C of warming (based on the 30-year trend) has moved FORWARD (aka "sooner") by 19 months. Think about that.
May 14, 2025 at 1:46 PM
Figure of the day: Over the last YEAR, Copernicus' extrapolated date for breaching 1.5C of warming (based on the 30-year trend) has moved FORWARD (aka "sooner") by 19 months. Think about that.
We are entering a new climate reality affecting us beyond the immediate impacts. As a society we need to develop certain capabilities that have been underdeveloped, including:
- Situational awareness
- Resilience
- Speed
@laurielaybourn.bsky.social (Executive Director, @climate-risk.bsky.social)
- Situational awareness
- Resilience
- Speed
@laurielaybourn.bsky.social (Executive Director, @climate-risk.bsky.social)
May 9, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
This is incredible
World's largest 100% battery electric ship launches at shipyard in Hobart, headed for service ferrying passengers and vehicles between Argentina and Uruguay
"This ship changes the game:" World's largest all-electric ferry launches in Tasmania
World's largest 100% battery electric ship launches at shipyard in Hobart, headed for service ferrying passengers and vehicles between Argentina and Uruguay.
thedriven.io
May 2, 2025 at 5:45 AM
This is incredible
Is the UK ready for systemic climate risks?
Short answer: No.
From the Climate Change Committee (CCC):
👉 "The country is not prepared for [existing] climate impacts."
👉 "Adaptation is not yet a top priority across government."
📢 Full report here: www.theccc.org.uk/publication/...
Short answer: No.
From the Climate Change Committee (CCC):
👉 "The country is not prepared for [existing] climate impacts."
👉 "Adaptation is not yet a top priority across government."
📢 Full report here: www.theccc.org.uk/publication/...
Progress in adapting to climate change: 2025 report to Parliament - Climate Change Committee
Footnotes have been removed from the HTML version of this report. For the footnoted version of this report,…
www.theccc.org.uk
May 1, 2025 at 8:36 AM
Is the UK ready for systemic climate risks?
Short answer: No.
From the Climate Change Committee (CCC):
👉 "The country is not prepared for [existing] climate impacts."
👉 "Adaptation is not yet a top priority across government."
📢 Full report here: www.theccc.org.uk/publication/...
Short answer: No.
From the Climate Change Committee (CCC):
👉 "The country is not prepared for [existing] climate impacts."
👉 "Adaptation is not yet a top priority across government."
📢 Full report here: www.theccc.org.uk/publication/...
Institutions vastly underestimate their exposure to climate change, and reassessment is needed to understand the full scope of risk.
But even if they did a realistic assessment, would they ever tell anyone?
We explore this 'delayed disclosure trap' in our latest:
substack.com/home/post/p-...
But even if they did a realistic assessment, would they ever tell anyone?
We explore this 'delayed disclosure trap' in our latest:
substack.com/home/post/p-...
Are we in a ‘delayed disclosure trap’?
The risk that better institutional climate risk assessments will not be done
substack.com
April 1, 2025 at 10:10 AM
Institutions vastly underestimate their exposure to climate change, and reassessment is needed to understand the full scope of risk.
But even if they did a realistic assessment, would they ever tell anyone?
We explore this 'delayed disclosure trap' in our latest:
substack.com/home/post/p-...
But even if they did a realistic assessment, would they ever tell anyone?
We explore this 'delayed disclosure trap' in our latest:
substack.com/home/post/p-...
Reposted by Strategic Climate Risks Initiative
This is both a transition policy and a security policy. The less fuel you import, the more stable your economy and population will be.
Paris residents vote in favour of making 500 more streets pedestrian
Parisians voted in a referendum on Sunday to pedestrianise a further 500 of the city's streets, giving fresh momentum to efforts by the French capital's left-leaning town hall to curb car usage and improve air quality.
www.reuters.com
March 24, 2025 at 4:23 AM
This is both a transition policy and a security policy. The less fuel you import, the more stable your economy and population will be.
"just as in Germany [defence, climate change, and health] cannot really be separated in the UK, with recent IPPR research showing [...] climate change presents a major security risk."
Our work on climate security covered by: @neweconomybrief.bsky.social
www.neweconomybrief.net/the-digest/t...
Our work on climate security covered by: @neweconomybrief.bsky.social
www.neweconomybrief.net/the-digest/t...
The end of the 'peace dividend'? | NEB Digest
This week’s New Economy Brief explores the various proposals being discussed in Germany and the EU for funding increased defence spending, and compares them to the policy options on offer in the UK.
www.neweconomybrief.net
March 12, 2025 at 1:08 PM
"just as in Germany [defence, climate change, and health] cannot really be separated in the UK, with recent IPPR research showing [...] climate change presents a major security risk."
Our work on climate security covered by: @neweconomybrief.bsky.social
www.neweconomybrief.net/the-digest/t...
Our work on climate security covered by: @neweconomybrief.bsky.social
www.neweconomybrief.net/the-digest/t...