Pinned
CLEAR
@clearmodel.bsky.social
· Nov 5
CLEAR's Final Projected Winner of 2024 is Kamala Harris by a margin of 3%. 💙
CLEAR is a new election model that combines Polling Data, The 13 Keys Method, and Economical Indicators to generate the most accurate prediction possible.
CLEAR is a new election model that combines Polling Data, The 13 Keys Method, and Economical Indicators to generate the most accurate prediction possible.
Reposted by CLEAR
in 125,000 simulations of the election, my statistical model predicted a narrow Harris win with 54.9% probability
however, the model also grouped a number of midwest & sunbelt into a new entity, known as “MEGA ARKANSAS” - an ominous prophecy which i am terrified may come to
however, the model also grouped a number of midwest & sunbelt into a new entity, known as “MEGA ARKANSAS” - an ominous prophecy which i am terrified may come to
November 5, 2024 at 2:38 PM
in 125,000 simulations of the election, my statistical model predicted a narrow Harris win with 54.9% probability
however, the model also grouped a number of midwest & sunbelt into a new entity, known as “MEGA ARKANSAS” - an ominous prophecy which i am terrified may come to
however, the model also grouped a number of midwest & sunbelt into a new entity, known as “MEGA ARKANSAS” - an ominous prophecy which i am terrified may come to
What if our model is wrong?
Our answer- it’s possible! No prediction model is perfect.
Here are a few reasons why CLEAR’s forecast, like others, may miss the mark, especially in this tight election:
Our answer- it’s possible! No prediction model is perfect.
Here are a few reasons why CLEAR’s forecast, like others, may miss the mark, especially in this tight election:
November 5, 2024 at 4:14 PM
What if our model is wrong?
Our answer- it’s possible! No prediction model is perfect.
Here are a few reasons why CLEAR’s forecast, like others, may miss the mark, especially in this tight election:
Our answer- it’s possible! No prediction model is perfect.
Here are a few reasons why CLEAR’s forecast, like others, may miss the mark, especially in this tight election:
CLEAR's Final Projected Winner of 2024 is Kamala Harris by a margin of 3%. 💙
CLEAR is a new election model that combines Polling Data, The 13 Keys Method, and Economical Indicators to generate the most accurate prediction possible.
CLEAR is a new election model that combines Polling Data, The 13 Keys Method, and Economical Indicators to generate the most accurate prediction possible.
November 5, 2024 at 3:29 PM
CLEAR's Final Projected Winner of 2024 is Kamala Harris by a margin of 3%. 💙
CLEAR is a new election model that combines Polling Data, The 13 Keys Method, and Economical Indicators to generate the most accurate prediction possible.
CLEAR is a new election model that combines Polling Data, The 13 Keys Method, and Economical Indicators to generate the most accurate prediction possible.