Christopher Clary
@claryc.bsky.social
Assistant Professor of Political Science, University at Albany; Nonresident Fellow, Stimson Center
Pleased to have a chance to talk to Asfandyar Mir about recent Pakistan-Afghanistan clashes for @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/pakista...
What’s behind the escalating tensions between Pakistan and Afghanistan?
A Good Chat with Asfandyar Mir on the latest strikes – and what to watch.
goodauthority.org
October 13, 2025 at 12:09 PM
Pleased to have a chance to talk to Asfandyar Mir about recent Pakistan-Afghanistan clashes for @goodauth.bsky.social goodauthority.org/news/pakista...
How does the new H1B executive order affect universities, which had a non-capped limit on H1Bs under the prior system (vs a lottery for for-profit corporations)?
September 20, 2025 at 1:52 PM
How does the new H1B executive order affect universities, which had a non-capped limit on H1Bs under the prior system (vs a lottery for for-profit corporations)?
We might need to tweak a few things given an eventful several months, but pleased to announce Sameer Lalwani & my co-edited volume on Pakistani strategic debates is now forthcoming at @georgetownup.bsky.social . Thanks to @stimsoncenter.bsky.social & Smith Richardson Foundation for the support.
September 18, 2025 at 12:42 AM
We might need to tweak a few things given an eventful several months, but pleased to announce Sameer Lalwani & my co-edited volume on Pakistani strategic debates is now forthcoming at @georgetownup.bsky.social . Thanks to @stimsoncenter.bsky.social & Smith Richardson Foundation for the support.
At @goodauth.bsky.social we thought it would be helpful to ask peacekeeping experts about peacekeeping proposals for Ukraine. Thanks to @wnomikos.bsky.social and Joshua Zhang for their insightful essay! goodauthority.org/news/rethink...
Rethinking how Europe can lead peacekeeping in Ukraine.
What would make this concept viable?
goodauthority.org
September 15, 2025 at 12:17 PM
At @goodauth.bsky.social we thought it would be helpful to ask peacekeeping experts about peacekeeping proposals for Ukraine. Thanks to @wnomikos.bsky.social and Joshua Zhang for their insightful essay! goodauthority.org/news/rethink...
I still have free eprints available for my article, "Is India underbalancing China?" I argue that it is hard to understand why India has been willing to make tangible concessions in its post-2020 bargaining with China except by looking at the military balance.
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/CWRUD...
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/CWRUD...
September 12, 2025 at 1:30 PM
I still have free eprints available for my article, "Is India underbalancing China?" I argue that it is hard to understand why India has been willing to make tangible concessions in its post-2020 bargaining with China except by looking at the military balance.
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/CWRUD...
www.tandfonline.com/eprint/CWRUD...
Time to put @jrovner.bsky.social 's book back on syllabi, if it wasn't there already.
August 22, 2025 at 7:34 PM
Time to put @jrovner.bsky.social 's book back on syllabi, if it wasn't there already.
A billion here, a billion there and pretty soon…
July 29, 2025 at 2:24 AM
A billion here, a billion there and pretty soon…
Reposted by Christopher Clary
Some thoughts on regime change in Iran (less-ish relevant now, but who knows)
indianexpress.com/article/opin...
indianexpress.com/article/opin...
Why regime change in Iran is easier said than done
Change cannot be delivered from the skies, nor imposed through external pressure alone. It must be nurtured from within, supported by sustained diplomatic engagement, and informed by humility about th...
indianexpress.com
June 24, 2025 at 1:13 PM
Some thoughts on regime change in Iran (less-ish relevant now, but who knows)
indianexpress.com/article/opin...
indianexpress.com/article/opin...
Christensen and Snyder 1990?
a man with a beard says " now that 's a name i 've not heard in a long time .
ALT: a man with a beard says " now that 's a name i 've not heard in a long time .
media.tenor.com
June 17, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Christensen and Snyder 1990?
This is a perfectly interesting little ethical topic, but I can't possibly understand why my human subjects training needs to talk about it before I can get permission to conduct a public opinion survey.
June 11, 2025 at 8:00 PM
This is a perfectly interesting little ethical topic, but I can't possibly understand why my human subjects training needs to talk about it before I can get permission to conduct a public opinion survey.
I'll believe AGI is here when the MS Word numbering/outlining feature works predictably.
June 11, 2025 at 9:06 AM
I'll believe AGI is here when the MS Word numbering/outlining feature works predictably.
When I teach about intelligence problems, for years I’ve drawn on Prof. Rovner’s book, Fixing the Facts. So when I saw news stories about potential intelligence politicization, I knew exactly who I wanted to ask about it.
I spoke with @claryc.bsky.social at @goodauth.bsky.social about intelligence and politicization: goodauthority.org/news/will-th...
Will the U.S. intelligence community be politicized?
A Good Chat about the Trump administration’s Tren de Aragua assessment.
goodauthority.org
June 5, 2025 at 1:24 PM
When I teach about intelligence problems, for years I’ve drawn on Prof. Rovner’s book, Fixing the Facts. So when I saw news stories about potential intelligence politicization, I knew exactly who I wanted to ask about it.
This article by Raag Yadava on the Indus Waters Treaty is worth your time. One small excerpt on the China angle. www.theindiaforum.in/internationa...
May 30, 2025 at 7:14 AM
This article by Raag Yadava on the Indus Waters Treaty is worth your time. One small excerpt on the China angle. www.theindiaforum.in/internationa...
Reposted by Christopher Clary
For me the big takeaway is that India's ability to strike Pakistan at range has been greatly enhanced by recent acquisitions of missiles, guided bombs, and anti-air systems. That will worry Rawalpindi, and clearly did during the crisis, perhaps explaining the resort to ballistic missiles.
An excellent summary of what we know about the India-Pakistan spat from @claryc.bsky.social. The discussions of both the early air battle, "drone duels", and the final attempted missile strike by Pakistan are especially useful. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025 • Stimson Center
An early assessment of available evidence on what transpired in the recent India-Pakistan crisis and its implications
www.stimson.org
May 28, 2025 at 9:25 PM
For me the big takeaway is that India's ability to strike Pakistan at range has been greatly enhanced by recent acquisitions of missiles, guided bombs, and anti-air systems. That will worry Rawalpindi, and clearly did during the crisis, perhaps explaining the resort to ballistic missiles.
A little over 6 years ago, Vipin Narang & I argued that better intelligence capabilities, more precise conventional and dual-use delivery vehicles, & improving air and missile defenses were combining to create “counterforce temptations” in the Indian system. direct.mit.edu/isec/article...
May 28, 2025 at 6:28 PM
A little over 6 years ago, Vipin Narang & I argued that better intelligence capabilities, more precise conventional and dual-use delivery vehicles, & improving air and missile defenses were combining to create “counterforce temptations” in the Indian system. direct.mit.edu/isec/article...
New publication: "Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025" up now at the Stimson Center
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
May 28, 2025 at 2:34 PM
New publication: "Four Days in May: The India-Pakistan Crisis of 2025" up now at the Stimson Center
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
@stimsoncenter.bsky.social . Executive summary in the screenshots, but all 12,000 words and 123 footnotes at the link. www.stimson.org/2025/four-da...
“Are you afraid of ideologies?”
“A little bit,” the witness answers. A pause.
“Or even a lot.”
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
“A little bit,” the witness answers. A pause.
“Or even a lot.”
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
May 28, 2025 at 11:42 AM
“Are you afraid of ideologies?”
“A little bit,” the witness answers. A pause.
“Or even a lot.”
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
“A little bit,” the witness answers. A pause.
“Or even a lot.”
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
“My view is that any time two nuclear-armed states start exchanging ordnance, the risk of nuclear war has increased over the pre-crisis baseline in some immeasurable manner: This is because of the essentially unpredictable character of warfare.” Well said, @nktpnd.bsky.social
May 25, 2025 at 7:44 AM
“My view is that any time two nuclear-armed states start exchanging ordnance, the risk of nuclear war has increased over the pre-crisis baseline in some immeasurable manner: This is because of the essentially unpredictable character of warfare.” Well said, @nktpnd.bsky.social
ChatGPT is pretty good at making a footnote in the appropriate style if you just give it a website URL to draw info from, but about 25% of the time it just makes stuff, sometimes little things, sometimes big things (changes titles etc) in the citation text. Which seems less than ideal.
May 23, 2025 at 3:27 PM
ChatGPT is pretty good at making a footnote in the appropriate style if you just give it a website URL to draw info from, but about 25% of the time it just makes stuff, sometimes little things, sometimes big things (changes titles etc) in the citation text. Which seems less than ideal.
Pleased to have a chance to chat with @nktpnd.bsky.social about last week’s crisis.
For my latest @warontherocks.bsky.social podcast, @claryc.bsky.social joins me to talk about how India and Pakistan escalated last week, nuclear risks, and the role of the US in promoting deescalation (and more) warontherocks.com/episode/thin...
Defusing the Nuclear Crisis Between India and Pakistan - War on the Rocks
warontherocks.com
May 16, 2025 at 1:57 PM
Pleased to have a chance to chat with @nktpnd.bsky.social about last week’s crisis.
My article from Sunday's Times of India on this new era in the India-Pakistan rivalry.
May 13, 2025 at 9:11 AM
My article from Sunday's Times of India on this new era in the India-Pakistan rivalry.
My chart of subjective conflict risks in South Asia over the last 40 years or so.
May 13, 2025 at 9:10 AM
My chart of subjective conflict risks in South Asia over the last 40 years or so.
I was really pleased to have a chance to talk to @gavinesler.bsky.social about the origins of the current crisis and where we might be headed.
🌏NEW EPISODE🌏
An escalating crisis on the India-Pakistan border has put the neighbours and historic rivals on the brink of a wider conflict. Can this be brought back from the edge? @gavinesler.bsky.social discusses with @claryc.bsky.social ➡️ linktr.ee/drillpod
An escalating crisis on the India-Pakistan border has put the neighbours and historic rivals on the brink of a wider conflict. Can this be brought back from the edge? @gavinesler.bsky.social discusses with @claryc.bsky.social ➡️ linktr.ee/drillpod
May 9, 2025 at 6:06 AM
I was really pleased to have a chance to talk to @gavinesler.bsky.social about the origins of the current crisis and where we might be headed.
Reposted by Christopher Clary
“Attacks on cities by military drones have never occurred in the India-Pakistan rivalry,” says @claryc.bsky.social
“The old rules have been thrown out the window” | on.ft.com/4m7Ik3A via @financialtimes.com
“The old rules have been thrown out the window” | on.ft.com/4m7Ik3A via @financialtimes.com
Pakistani drone attacks ‘neutralised’, says India, as skirmishes escalate
[FREE TO READ] New Delhi knocks out air defence system in barrage on Lahore and Rawalpindi
on.ft.com
May 8, 2025 at 11:21 AM
“Attacks on cities by military drones have never occurred in the India-Pakistan rivalry,” says @claryc.bsky.social
“The old rules have been thrown out the window” | on.ft.com/4m7Ik3A via @financialtimes.com
“The old rules have been thrown out the window” | on.ft.com/4m7Ik3A via @financialtimes.com
Reposted by Christopher Clary
Fascinating conversation about India - Pakistan and Kashmir as a flashpoint for big power rivalry with Professor Chris Clary @claryc.bsky.social
🌏NEW EPISODE🌏
An escalating crisis on the India-Pakistan border has put the neighbours and historic rivals on the brink of a wider conflict. Can this be brought back from the edge? @gavinesler.bsky.social discusses with @claryc.bsky.social ➡️ linktr.ee/drillpod
An escalating crisis on the India-Pakistan border has put the neighbours and historic rivals on the brink of a wider conflict. Can this be brought back from the edge? @gavinesler.bsky.social discusses with @claryc.bsky.social ➡️ linktr.ee/drillpod
May 8, 2025 at 12:07 PM
Fascinating conversation about India - Pakistan and Kashmir as a flashpoint for big power rivalry with Professor Chris Clary @claryc.bsky.social