Bill McBride
@calculatedrisk.bsky.social
Author of Calculated Risk economics blog. https://www.calculatedriskblog.com/
Real Estate Newsletter at http://calculatedrisk.substack.com
Real Estate Newsletter at http://calculatedrisk.substack.com
Negative equity increasing especially in Florida and parts of Texas.
November 10, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Negative equity increasing especially in Florida and parts of Texas.
10 things to know about the property market: October 2025 www.cotality.com/press-releas...
November 5, 2025 at 12:04 AM
10 things to know about the property market: October 2025 www.cotality.com/press-releas...
Here are the 30 worst performing CBSAs in the Freddie house price index (leads Case-Shiller) ...
October 31, 2025 at 2:14 PM
Here are the 30 worst performing CBSAs in the Freddie house price index (leads Case-Shiller) ...
October 29, 2025 at 8:40 PM
Another 20" to 30" of rain forecast for Jamaica mountains.
October 28, 2025 at 6:06 PM
Another 20" to 30" of rain forecast for Jamaica mountains.
Jamaica getting hammered by Melissa
October 27, 2025 at 6:36 PM
Jamaica getting hammered by Melissa
Torres del Paine National Park
October 17, 2025 at 11:34 AM
Torres del Paine National Park
Off-topic: Male vocalizing to find his mate (Patagonia)
October 17, 2025 at 12:04 AM
Off-topic: Male vocalizing to find his mate (Patagonia)
September CPI report will be released on Friday, October 24 at 8:30AM ET.
I’ll be back early next week. Currently in Patagonia with a friend since High School.
Cape Horn. End of the World!
I’ll be back early next week. Currently in Patagonia with a friend since High School.
Cape Horn. End of the World!
October 16, 2025 at 1:48 PM
September CPI report will be released on Friday, October 24 at 8:30AM ET.
I’ll be back early next week. Currently in Patagonia with a friend since High School.
Cape Horn. End of the World!
I’ll be back early next week. Currently in Patagonia with a friend since High School.
Cape Horn. End of the World!
30 Worst Performing CBSAs
October 1, 2025 at 4:05 PM
30 Worst Performing CBSAs
Newsletter: New Home Sales increased to 800,000 Annual Rate in August calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/new-home-s...
September 24, 2025 at 2:59 PM
Newsletter: New Home Sales increased to 800,000 Annual Rate in August calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/new-home-s...
California Home Sales Down Year-over-year for 5th Straight Month calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/california...
September 22, 2025 at 5:01 PM
California Home Sales Down Year-over-year for 5th Straight Month calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/california...
September 16, 2025 at 7:35 PM
1st Look at Local Housing Markets in August calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/1st-look-a...
September 9, 2025 at 12:22 PM
1st Look at Local Housing Markets in August calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/1st-look-a...
COVID in wastewater. Another late summer pickup www.cdc.gov/nwss/rv/COVI...
August 29, 2025 at 6:24 PM
COVID in wastewater. Another late summer pickup www.cdc.gov/nwss/rv/COVI...
New Home Sales at 652,000 Annual Rate in July
Median New Home Price is Down 12% from the Peak due to Change in Mix
calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/new-home-s...
Median New Home Price is Down 12% from the Peak due to Change in Mix
calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/new-home-s...
August 25, 2025 at 2:45 PM
New Home Sales at 652,000 Annual Rate in July
Median New Home Price is Down 12% from the Peak due to Change in Mix
calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/new-home-s...
Median New Home Price is Down 12% from the Peak due to Change in Mix
calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/new-home-s...
NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.01 million SAAR in July; Up 0.8% YoY
Median House Prices Increased 0.2% Year-over-Year calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existi...
Median House Prices Increased 0.2% Year-over-Year calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existi...
August 21, 2025 at 2:52 PM
NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.01 million SAAR in July; Up 0.8% YoY
Median House Prices Increased 0.2% Year-over-Year calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existi...
Median House Prices Increased 0.2% Year-over-Year calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existi...
Newsletter: Housing Starts Increased to 1.428 million Annual Rate in July calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/housing-st...
August 19, 2025 at 1:15 PM
Newsletter: Housing Starts Increased to 1.428 million Annual Rate in July calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/housing-st...
I see this everywhere …
August 12, 2025 at 6:23 PM
I see this everywhere …
here is graph from Torsten Slok at Apollo (via Krugman) showing ISM Services leading CPI by about 3 months.
August 8, 2025 at 12:32 PM
here is graph from Torsten Slok at Apollo (via Krugman) showing ISM Services leading CPI by about 3 months.
August 7, 2025 at 7:58 PM
Lowest Mortgage Rates Since Early October www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/markets/mort...
August 4, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Lowest Mortgage Rates Since Early October www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/markets/mort...
Heavy Truck Sales Decreased 12% YoY in July www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/08/heav...
August 4, 2025 at 7:49 PM
Heavy Truck Sales Decreased 12% YoY in July www.calculatedriskblog.com/2025/08/heav...
Right now the current streak is 55 months ...
August 3, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Right now the current streak is 55 months ...
August 1, 2025 at 7:58 PM