Sebastian Hienzsch
@basthie.bsky.social
PhD candidate in economics at Uni Göttingen. Interested in global macro-finance and empirical macro.
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
Good morning. It is now 12:01 AM, meaning the largest tariff hike in US history has gone into effect
There's now another 10-40% tariff on imports from most nations & another 74% tariff on China
~3/4 of imports are now hit by tariffs, and the average US tariff rate is up to ~30%
There's now another 10-40% tariff on imports from most nations & another 74% tariff on China
~3/4 of imports are now hit by tariffs, and the average US tariff rate is up to ~30%
April 9, 2025 at 4:02 AM
Good morning. It is now 12:01 AM, meaning the largest tariff hike in US history has gone into effect
There's now another 10-40% tariff on imports from most nations & another 74% tariff on China
~3/4 of imports are now hit by tariffs, and the average US tariff rate is up to ~30%
There's now another 10-40% tariff on imports from most nations & another 74% tariff on China
~3/4 of imports are now hit by tariffs, and the average US tariff rate is up to ~30%
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
Olivier Blanchard argues that we should understand better the macroeconomics of the medium run, and I could not agree more. Since I have been working on this for a while, let me show you why this is a promising field for young researchers!
April 6, 2025 at 4:57 PM
Olivier Blanchard argues that we should understand better the macroeconomics of the medium run, and I could not agree more. Since I have been working on this for a while, let me show you why this is a promising field for young researchers!
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
Possibly the dumbest of the many dumb plagiarism claims
nationalpost.com/news/mark-ca...
nationalpost.com/news/mark-ca...
March 29, 2025 at 3:45 PM
Possibly the dumbest of the many dumb plagiarism claims
nationalpost.com/news/mark-ca...
nationalpost.com/news/mark-ca...
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
Evaluating US monetary policy over the last 150 years, it is only in the last 30 years where there was a uniform and improved performance.
from Regis Barnichon and Geert Mesters
drive.google.com/file/d/1iLkD...
from Regis Barnichon and Geert Mesters
drive.google.com/file/d/1iLkD...
February 22, 2025 at 12:41 AM
Evaluating US monetary policy over the last 150 years, it is only in the last 30 years where there was a uniform and improved performance.
from Regis Barnichon and Geert Mesters
drive.google.com/file/d/1iLkD...
from Regis Barnichon and Geert Mesters
drive.google.com/file/d/1iLkD...
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
Japanese GDP data came in today (+2.8% annualized), which means another update to my G7 growth chart!
Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic:
🇺🇸 +12.9%
🇨🇦 +7.6% (thru Q3)
🇮🇹 +5.2%
🇫🇷 +3.4%
🇬🇧 +3.2%
🇯🇵 +0.9%
🇩🇪 -0.2%
Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic:
🇺🇸 +12.9%
🇨🇦 +7.6% (thru Q3)
🇮🇹 +5.2%
🇫🇷 +3.4%
🇬🇧 +3.2%
🇯🇵 +0.9%
🇩🇪 -0.2%
February 17, 2025 at 9:54 PM
Japanese GDP data came in today (+2.8% annualized), which means another update to my G7 growth chart!
Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic:
🇺🇸 +12.9%
🇨🇦 +7.6% (thru Q3)
🇮🇹 +5.2%
🇫🇷 +3.4%
🇬🇧 +3.2%
🇯🇵 +0.9%
🇩🇪 -0.2%
Here's each country's cumulative increase in real GDP, since just before the pandemic:
🇺🇸 +12.9%
🇨🇦 +7.6% (thru Q3)
🇮🇹 +5.2%
🇫🇷 +3.4%
🇬🇧 +3.2%
🇯🇵 +0.9%
🇩🇪 -0.2%
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
🚨Call for Papers🚨
Together with the Bank of Canada and the Chicago Fed, we're organizing a Conference on #FixedIncome Research and Implications for #MonetaryPolicy on May 22-23, 2025, in San Francisco. Submissions due by January 31. More details: www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
#EconSky
Together with the Bank of Canada and the Chicago Fed, we're organizing a Conference on #FixedIncome Research and Implications for #MonetaryPolicy on May 22-23, 2025, in San Francisco. Submissions due by January 31. More details: www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
#EconSky
Call for Papers: Fixed Income Research and Implications for Monetary Policy - San Francisco Fed
Submissions due by January 31, 2025 for the Fixed Income Research and Implications for Monetary Policy Conference
www.frbsf.org
November 20, 2024 at 9:52 PM
🚨Call for Papers🚨
Together with the Bank of Canada and the Chicago Fed, we're organizing a Conference on #FixedIncome Research and Implications for #MonetaryPolicy on May 22-23, 2025, in San Francisco. Submissions due by January 31. More details: www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
#EconSky
Together with the Bank of Canada and the Chicago Fed, we're organizing a Conference on #FixedIncome Research and Implications for #MonetaryPolicy on May 22-23, 2025, in San Francisco. Submissions due by January 31. More details: www.frbsf.org/news-and-med...
#EconSky
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
Misinformation isn't random - it's strategic. 🧵
In the first cross-national comparative study, we examine 32M tweets from politicians.
We find that misinformation is not a general condition: it is driven by populist radical right parties.
with @julianachueri.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/1940...
In the first cross-national comparative study, we examine 32M tweets from politicians.
We find that misinformation is not a general condition: it is driven by populist radical right parties.
with @julianachueri.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/1940...
January 14, 2025 at 1:24 PM
Misinformation isn't random - it's strategic. 🧵
In the first cross-national comparative study, we examine 32M tweets from politicians.
We find that misinformation is not a general condition: it is driven by populist radical right parties.
with @julianachueri.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/1940...
In the first cross-national comparative study, we examine 32M tweets from politicians.
We find that misinformation is not a general condition: it is driven by populist radical right parties.
with @julianachueri.bsky.social
doi.org/10.1177/1940...
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
Elon's chart is even more narrowly about humanitarian aid (~0.15% of the Federal Budget), which is basically all emergency food & health aid to conflict regions.
To cut it is to condemn tens of thousands of people to unnecessary death in places like Ethiopia in order to save a couple pennies.
To cut it is to condemn tens of thousands of people to unnecessary death in places like Ethiopia in order to save a couple pennies.
December 7, 2024 at 7:42 PM
Elon's chart is even more narrowly about humanitarian aid (~0.15% of the Federal Budget), which is basically all emergency food & health aid to conflict regions.
To cut it is to condemn tens of thousands of people to unnecessary death in places like Ethiopia in order to save a couple pennies.
To cut it is to condemn tens of thousands of people to unnecessary death in places like Ethiopia in order to save a couple pennies.
Reposted by Sebastian Hienzsch
NEW from me:
US productivity growth, the bedrock of long-run prosperity, is booming—and massively outshining peer nations. It's the fruit of running the labor market hot post-COVID, and now it's delivering higher wages, consumption, & welfare for Americans🧵
US productivity growth, the bedrock of long-run prosperity, is booming—and massively outshining peer nations. It's the fruit of running the labor market hot post-COVID, and now it's delivering higher wages, consumption, & welfare for Americans🧵
America's Productivity Boom
US Productivity Growth is Booming and Massively Outshining its Peers—Here's How
www.apricitas.io
November 25, 2024 at 11:29 PM
NEW from me:
US productivity growth, the bedrock of long-run prosperity, is booming—and massively outshining peer nations. It's the fruit of running the labor market hot post-COVID, and now it's delivering higher wages, consumption, & welfare for Americans🧵
US productivity growth, the bedrock of long-run prosperity, is booming—and massively outshining peer nations. It's the fruit of running the labor market hot post-COVID, and now it's delivering higher wages, consumption, & welfare for Americans🧵