Bagger Blue
@baggerblue.bsky.social
Science, Business, Sport, Music, Vatnik Bonking
Reposted by Bagger Blue
The “new normal” for Australia in the last few years is around +6% on the pre-pandemic baseline – worse than even the UK (see below). Even out to June this year (as variant evolution slowed) it was still running at +5% annually. Are there any lessons we could learn from NZ?
🧵
🧵
November 30, 2025 at 12:59 AM
The “new normal” for Australia in the last few years is around +6% on the pre-pandemic baseline – worse than even the UK (see below). Even out to June this year (as variant evolution slowed) it was still running at +5% annually. Are there any lessons we could learn from NZ?
🧵
🧵
Reposted by Bagger Blue
The results for Australia are a bit depressing tbh. After a start similar to NZ in 2020-21, the impact in late-2021-22 was more than twice as severe as in NZ. NZ skipped 2 big waves by keeping their quarantine going until Feb-April 2022.
🧵
🧵
November 30, 2025 at 12:59 AM
The results for Australia are a bit depressing tbh. After a start similar to NZ in 2020-21, the impact in late-2021-22 was more than twice as severe as in NZ. NZ skipped 2 big waves by keeping their quarantine going until Feb-April 2022.
🧵
🧵
Reposted by Bagger Blue
I’ve added an Excess Deaths Comparison page to my analysis on that topic. Here I’m comparing the UK, Sweden, Australia and New Zealand, to June 2025.
My method projects "Expected Deaths" using a linear regression on the weekly deaths (4-week average) from a baseline of 2015-2019 deaths.
🧵
My method projects "Expected Deaths" using a linear regression on the weekly deaths (4-week average) from a baseline of 2015-2019 deaths.
🧵
November 30, 2025 at 12:59 AM
I’ve added an Excess Deaths Comparison page to my analysis on that topic. Here I’m comparing the UK, Sweden, Australia and New Zealand, to June 2025.
My method projects "Expected Deaths" using a linear regression on the weekly deaths (4-week average) from a baseline of 2015-2019 deaths.
🧵
My method projects "Expected Deaths" using a linear regression on the weekly deaths (4-week average) from a baseline of 2015-2019 deaths.
🧵
Reposted by Bagger Blue
How awful. This is outright health disinformation, lying to the American people. Not only is there massive evidence showing no link between vaccines & autism, there’s not even a plausible mechanism based on what we’ve learned about the genetics of autism, some environmental exposures in pregnancy
HEADS UP: CDC website now officially asserts that vaccines may cause autism.“Studies supporting a link have been ignored by health authorities.” Also says the “vaccines do not cause autism” header remains b/c of an agreement with Cassidy.
November 20, 2025 at 3:18 AM
How awful. This is outright health disinformation, lying to the American people. Not only is there massive evidence showing no link between vaccines & autism, there’s not even a plausible mechanism based on what we’ve learned about the genetics of autism, some environmental exposures in pregnancy
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Reposted by Bagger Blue
@brownecfm.bsky.social quick question an close elderly relative in NI has been recently diagnosed with Cancer & is undergoing chemotherapy. I’m not sure he understands risks as immunocompromised. Is there NI source for N95 masks so I can arrange shipping to him & let him know (I’m in 🇦🇺) Thks 🙏
November 5, 2025 at 7:01 AM
@brownecfm.bsky.social quick question an close elderly relative in NI has been recently diagnosed with Cancer & is undergoing chemotherapy. I’m not sure he understands risks as immunocompromised. Is there NI source for N95 masks so I can arrange shipping to him & let him know (I’m in 🇦🇺) Thks 🙏
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Australian scientist who alerted world that COVID is airborne wins top science prize
When the WHO falsely claimed in March 2020 that COVID wasn’t airborne, Professor Lidia Morawska took action—organising 239 scientists worldwide to warn about SARS-CoV-2 airborne spread and urge global recognition.
When the WHO falsely claimed in March 2020 that COVID wasn’t airborne, Professor Lidia Morawska took action—organising 239 scientists worldwide to warn about SARS-CoV-2 airborne spread and urge global recognition.
Australian scientist who alerted world that Covid is airborne wins top science prize
Prof Lidia Morawska says recognition of her research comes at a fraught time – an ‘age of anti-science’
www.theguardian.com
November 4, 2025 at 12:02 AM
Australian scientist who alerted world that COVID is airborne wins top science prize
When the WHO falsely claimed in March 2020 that COVID wasn’t airborne, Professor Lidia Morawska took action—organising 239 scientists worldwide to warn about SARS-CoV-2 airborne spread and urge global recognition.
When the WHO falsely claimed in March 2020 that COVID wasn’t airborne, Professor Lidia Morawska took action—organising 239 scientists worldwide to warn about SARS-CoV-2 airborne spread and urge global recognition.
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Australian National University: 'More than half of long COVID patients still showing symptoms after six months'
'A new study of Australians suffering from long COVID found 56% still had persistent symptoms six months after their initial infection..'
medicalxpress.com/news/2025-10...
'A new study of Australians suffering from long COVID found 56% still had persistent symptoms six months after their initial infection..'
medicalxpress.com/news/2025-10...
More than half of long COVID patients still showing symptoms after six months
A new study of Australians suffering from long COVID found 56% still had persistent symptoms six months after their initial infection, according to experts from The Australian National University (ANU...
medicalxpress.com
October 15, 2025 at 1:30 PM
Australian National University: 'More than half of long COVID patients still showing symptoms after six months'
'A new study of Australians suffering from long COVID found 56% still had persistent symptoms six months after their initial infection..'
medicalxpress.com/news/2025-10...
'A new study of Australians suffering from long COVID found 56% still had persistent symptoms six months after their initial infection..'
medicalxpress.com/news/2025-10...
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Quick update of Australian #flu numbers -07OCT
FluA subtype A(H1N1), derived from our *last* pandemic #influenza virus, dominates.
2025=thick red dashed line/red monthly dots. The last pink dot just marks September as an incomplete month.
1,368 added daily over 14 days (19,147).
➡️slowing continues
FluA subtype A(H1N1), derived from our *last* pandemic #influenza virus, dominates.
2025=thick red dashed line/red monthly dots. The last pink dot just marks September as an incomplete month.
1,368 added daily over 14 days (19,147).
➡️slowing continues
October 7, 2025 at 2:10 AM
Quick update of Australian #flu numbers -07OCT
FluA subtype A(H1N1), derived from our *last* pandemic #influenza virus, dominates.
2025=thick red dashed line/red monthly dots. The last pink dot just marks September as an incomplete month.
1,368 added daily over 14 days (19,147).
➡️slowing continues
FluA subtype A(H1N1), derived from our *last* pandemic #influenza virus, dominates.
2025=thick red dashed line/red monthly dots. The last pink dot just marks September as an incomplete month.
1,368 added daily over 14 days (19,147).
➡️slowing continues
Reposted by Bagger Blue
we can sneak around town / hunting working folks down / I hear they got a great benefit plan
join ICE boy ain’t it nice / join ICE take my advice
www.tiktok.com/@jessewelles...
join ICE boy ain’t it nice / join ICE take my advice
www.tiktok.com/@jessewelles...
August 8, 2025 at 3:04 AM
we can sneak around town / hunting working folks down / I hear they got a great benefit plan
join ICE boy ain’t it nice / join ICE take my advice
www.tiktok.com/@jessewelles...
join ICE boy ain’t it nice / join ICE take my advice
www.tiktok.com/@jessewelles...
Reposted by Bagger Blue
5. Remember also, however, that, simply put, the virus doesn't care. It is incapable of caring. It is a molecular shark that wants to make more of itself. That's all it is. And regardless of human desires for an illusory status quo, it will keep killing and disabling people.
September 25, 2025 at 9:46 AM
5. Remember also, however, that, simply put, the virus doesn't care. It is incapable of caring. It is a molecular shark that wants to make more of itself. That's all it is. And regardless of human desires for an illusory status quo, it will keep killing and disabling people.
Reposted by Bagger Blue
🚸 Massive study in The Lancet of nearly half a million children & young people.
⏫ Increased risk of multisystem complications incl. POTS, kidney injury, arrthyhmias & myocarditis
👉 This is why Violet was furious @loosewomen @kayeadams
🖇️ tinyurl.com/45x4633e
⏫ Increased risk of multisystem complications incl. POTS, kidney injury, arrthyhmias & myocarditis
👉 This is why Violet was furious @loosewomen @kayeadams
🖇️ tinyurl.com/45x4633e
October 1, 2025 at 11:52 AM
🚸 Massive study in The Lancet of nearly half a million children & young people.
⏫ Increased risk of multisystem complications incl. POTS, kidney injury, arrthyhmias & myocarditis
👉 This is why Violet was furious @loosewomen @kayeadams
🖇️ tinyurl.com/45x4633e
⏫ Increased risk of multisystem complications incl. POTS, kidney injury, arrthyhmias & myocarditis
👉 This is why Violet was furious @loosewomen @kayeadams
🖇️ tinyurl.com/45x4633e
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Let me be clear. As someone who has been professionally involved with the biodefense / biosecurity sector for nearly 20 years, and has worked on biological risk analysis for Covid-19 since early 2020, reducing one's risk of being infected is not health anxiety. It's just smart.
September 26, 2025 at 9:42 AM
Let me be clear. As someone who has been professionally involved with the biodefense / biosecurity sector for nearly 20 years, and has worked on biological risk analysis for Covid-19 since early 2020, reducing one's risk of being infected is not health anxiety. It's just smart.
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Australian COVID-19 weekly stats update:
The risk estimate fell to 0.2% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-523.
That implies a 6% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
🧵
The risk estimate fell to 0.2% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-523.
That implies a 6% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
🧵
September 27, 2025 at 1:05 AM
Australian COVID-19 weekly stats update:
The risk estimate fell to 0.2% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-523.
That implies a 6% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
🧵
The risk estimate fell to 0.2% “Currently Infectious”, or 1-in-523.
That implies a 6% chance that someone is infectious in a group of 30.
#COVID19 #SARSCoV2 #Australia
🧵
Reposted by Bagger Blue
"The study suggests that acute COVID-19, regardless of Long COVID status, is linked to an increased risk of car crashes presumably due to neurologic changes caused by SARS-CoV-2."
Published: October 8, 2024
Published: October 8, 2024
Driving Under the Cognitive Influence of COVID-19: Exploring the Impact of Acute SARS-CoV-2 Infection on Road Safety | Neurology
ObjectiveThis study evaluated the association between acute COVID-19 cases and the number of
car crashes with varying COVID-19 vaccination rates, Long COVID rates, and COVID-19
mitigation strategies.B...
www.neurology.org
September 16, 2025 at 7:30 AM
"The study suggests that acute COVID-19, regardless of Long COVID status, is linked to an increased risk of car crashes presumably due to neurologic changes caused by SARS-CoV-2."
Published: October 8, 2024
Published: October 8, 2024
Reposted by Bagger Blue
👹The devil in disguise: how Ukrainian Orthodox priests work with Russian secret services and justify the war
The devil in disguise: how Ukrainian Orthodox priests work with Russian secret services and justify the war
We spoke with security officers, law enforcement officials and religion experts and studied criminal case materials and court verdicts in order to understand why the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of the M...
www.pravda.com.ua
September 15, 2025 at 10:16 AM
👹The devil in disguise: how Ukrainian Orthodox priests work with Russian secret services and justify the war
Reposted by Bagger Blue
COVID outbreak in control tower causes Sydney Airport chaos.
"The incident highlights the ongoing impact of COVID-19 on critical infrastructure, with the virus continuing to cause staffing shortages across essential services"
7news.com.au/news/covid-o...
"The incident highlights the ongoing impact of COVID-19 on critical infrastructure, with the virus continuing to cause staffing shortages across essential services"
7news.com.au/news/covid-o...
COVID outbreak blamed for Sydney Airport chaos
A COVID wave through Sydney Airport's control tower has left airlines furious and passengers stranded.
7news.com.au
September 13, 2025 at 12:00 AM
COVID outbreak in control tower causes Sydney Airport chaos.
"The incident highlights the ongoing impact of COVID-19 on critical infrastructure, with the virus continuing to cause staffing shortages across essential services"
7news.com.au/news/covid-o...
"The incident highlights the ongoing impact of COVID-19 on critical infrastructure, with the virus continuing to cause staffing shortages across essential services"
7news.com.au/news/covid-o...
Reposted by Bagger Blue
'Immune dysregulation following Covid may compromise the body's ability to mount an effective defence against common respiratory pathogens'.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/kolkata...
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/kolkata...
City doctors blame ‘long Covid’ for severe viral infections that have laid Kolkata low | Kolkata News - Times of India
Kolkata: The pandemic may have ended three years ago but it continues to cast its shadow on the city's healthscape.A past history of ‘long or severe' .
timesofindia.indiatimes.com
August 3, 2025 at 9:49 AM
'Immune dysregulation following Covid may compromise the body's ability to mount an effective defence against common respiratory pathogens'.
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/kolkata...
timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/kolkata...
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Definitely should build that stadium. Just think of the kids. www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
Sportsbet advertises multi bets on AFL website after pulling TV ads due to ‘community sentiment’
Australian gambling giant promotes same-game bets months after pulling ads for same product from broadcasts due to ‘strong community sentiment’
www.theguardian.com
August 2, 2025 at 10:57 PM
Definitely should build that stadium. Just think of the kids. www.theguardian.com/australia-ne...
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Interesting how both labor and liberal have committed to sort out the budget but are both also committed to building an entirely unnecessary stadium which is guaranteed to make things worse. Can’t get more Tasmanian than that.
July 20, 2025 at 9:11 AM
Interesting how both labor and liberal have committed to sort out the budget but are both also committed to building an entirely unnecessary stadium which is guaranteed to make things worse. Can’t get more Tasmanian than that.
Reposted by Bagger Blue
3. ... changes in cognition that are *too subtle for the volunteer to be metacognitively aware of*'
*my emphasis.
A growing percentage of the global population with cognitive dysfunction that they are not aware of will insidiously change human society.
/end
*my emphasis.
A growing percentage of the global population with cognitive dysfunction that they are not aware of will insidiously change human society.
/end
July 13, 2025 at 10:09 AM
3. ... changes in cognition that are *too subtle for the volunteer to be metacognitively aware of*'
*my emphasis.
A growing percentage of the global population with cognitive dysfunction that they are not aware of will insidiously change human society.
/end
*my emphasis.
A growing percentage of the global population with cognitive dysfunction that they are not aware of will insidiously change human society.
/end
Reposted by Bagger Blue
The final preliminary hearing for the Children & Young People’s module was today, CVF, again, made the case for safety.
Children's deaths *would* have been higher if many Clinically Vulnerable families had not kept their children away from schools.
⚠️Long thread
1/
Children's deaths *would* have been higher if many Clinically Vulnerable families had not kept their children away from schools.
⚠️Long thread
1/
June 11, 2025 at 10:54 PM
The final preliminary hearing for the Children & Young People’s module was today, CVF, again, made the case for safety.
Children's deaths *would* have been higher if many Clinically Vulnerable families had not kept their children away from schools.
⚠️Long thread
1/
Children's deaths *would* have been higher if many Clinically Vulnerable families had not kept their children away from schools.
⚠️Long thread
1/
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Another double-wave seems increasingly likely in Australia, as we saw in late 2023 to early 2024. The EG.5.* "Eris" wave was built upon by JN.1.* "Pirola". This scenario raises the risk of rapid reinfections, for those relying on immunity from a recent infection.
🧵
🧵
June 22, 2025 at 2:26 AM
Another double-wave seems increasingly likely in Australia, as we saw in late 2023 to early 2024. The EG.5.* "Eris" wave was built upon by JN.1.* "Pirola". This scenario raises the risk of rapid reinfections, for those relying on immunity from a recent infection.
🧵
🧵
Reposted by Bagger Blue
Further evidence that suggests regular vaccination reduces risk of Long Covid. Personally, this is why I get vaccinated every six months. On a societal level, making vaccination widely available would reduce population prevalence of Long Covid.
www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/lon...
www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/lon...
Long-COVID diagnoses fairly common in Medicare claims
Beneficiaries with four or more COVID-19 vaccine doses had a 39% lower adjusted rate of long COVID.
www.cidrap.umn.edu
June 3, 2025 at 8:20 PM
Further evidence that suggests regular vaccination reduces risk of Long Covid. Personally, this is why I get vaccinated every six months. On a societal level, making vaccination widely available would reduce population prevalence of Long Covid.
www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/lon...
www.cidrap.umn.edu/covid-19/lon...