Antonio Fatas
antoniofatas.bsky.social
Antonio Fatas
@antoniofatas.bsky.social
Professor of Economics at INSEAD. Interested in global macroeconomic issues.
You know you are in a bubble when financial advisors “hedge” their opinion by saying do not sell but hedge against the risk of a crash.
November 23, 2025 at 10:57 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
Simple point to be made to Trump by Europeans. His proposed deal with Putin is as threatening to the rest of Europe as it is humiliating for Ukraine. Rejecting it is not "siding" with Kyiv, but unavoidable to safeguard security of every European democracy......
November 22, 2025 at 1:45 PM
November 21, 2025 at 3:31 PM
The fact that Bitcoin's price has gone down despite very favorable regulatory views from the US administration proves the obvious point: valuations of assets without fundamentals can be very subjective
November 21, 2025 at 11:54 AM
Very reassuring... (from the US peace plan). Source: www.ft.com/content/79ee...
November 21, 2025 at 11:51 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
TEN MONTHS IN:

The national debt is higher.

The trade deficit is wider.

The inflation rate has worsened.

The unemployment rate is up.
November 20, 2025 at 7:56 PM
Only leverage works with Trump.

on.ft.com/4oSjE0g
Trump flattery will get you nowhere
Fawning after the US president is not only humiliating — it doesn’t work
on.ft.com
November 20, 2025 at 5:35 PM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
Brilliant chart from paper being presented at IMF 13th Statistical Forum by Robert Zymek (IMF Research Department), "Bilateral Trade in Services: Insights from a New Database," showing how the trade networks differ between goods and services according to the new data. www.imf.org/en/news/semi...
November 19, 2025 at 9:01 PM
Wrong headline. Since Trump's victory and therefore anticipation that tariffs were coming, average trade balance -90 billion USD. In the previous two years -72 billion USD. Looking at one month makes no sense.

www.nytimes.com/2025/11/19/u...
Trump’s Global Tariffs Curtailed Trade, Data Shows
www.nytimes.com
November 19, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
How far apart is Miran from Taylor? #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
November 17, 2025 at 6:35 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
For folks (and journalists) who want to search the Oversight Committee email texts, I made a database for searching the 20k text files:

splendorous-chaja-f79791.netlify.app
Epstein Document Search
splendorous-chaja-f79791.netlify.app
November 13, 2025 at 1:12 AM
Long expansions can create inefficiencies and complacency but the evidence on hysteresis suggests that recessions do not increase aggregate growth, quite the contrary.
When the world lives through a “recession recession”, costs begin to mount. Some suggest that an economy needs the occasional downturn to stay healthy
Recessions have become ultra-rare. That is storing up trouble
Continuous growth can make economies fat and slow
econ.st
November 12, 2025 at 12:52 PM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
8-hour workday led to + employment in Denmark, especially among unskilled & female workers. Earnings fell in provincial towns but less in Copenhagen, where union membership was higher & wages rose to offset shorter hours.
M Fredagsvik Gunnesmo, C Worm Hansen
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
November 10, 2025 at 9:13 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
A Kato & H Nishiyama find regional trade agreements have positive effects on exports to other countries from overseas Japanese manufacturing multinationals, suggesting that they have optimised their cross-border supply chain networks through free trade agreements.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
November 10, 2025 at 9:15 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
Patrick Imam and Tigran Poghosyan show that despite earlier and sharper tightening, inflation targeting central banks did not achieve systematically better outcomes than their non-targeting peers during the 2022 global inflation surge.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
November 10, 2025 at 9:16 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
From CER: What the Dutch elections mean for the Netherlands and for Europe. www.cer.eu/insights/wha...
What the Dutch elections mean for the Netherlands and for Europe
Armida van Rij and Sander Tordoir decipher what the election results mean for The Netherlands and Europe more broadly.
www.cer.eu
November 5, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
Francesco Bianchi, Era Dabla-Norris, & Salma Khalid show that most people dramatically misjudge debt levels and lose trust in their governments with every budget cut. They also believe that debt stabilisation efforts will disproportionately penalise them.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
November 3, 2025 at 10:30 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
Efraim Benmelech & Joao Monteiro use data for 115 conflicts over the past 75 years and document large and persistent declines in output, investment, and trade following the onset of war, with no evidence of recovery even a decade later.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
November 3, 2025 at 10:36 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
David Martinez-Miera & Carlos Sunyer examine how an increase in political polarisation impacts a region's capacity to attract human capital. They leverage Spain's centralised system of medical resident placements and the 2017 Catalonia referendum as a case study.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
October 29, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
A Bonfiglioli, R Crinò, M Filomena, & G Gancia find that local #AI growth raises emissions by boosting economic activity and energy use. It also leads to power generation becoming more carbon-intensive as plants shifts from renewable to non-renewable sources.
cepr.org/voxeu/column...
#EconSky
October 31, 2025 at 10:21 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
Dropping a beta version of this page while everyone is up and processing baseball!

This tool lets you search the full text of papers from the American Economic Review, American Economic Journal series, and over 30,000 NBER working papers.

paulgp.com/econlit-pipe...
Economics Literature Search
Full-text search across 15,000+ papers from top economics journals and NBER working papers. Track how empirical methods have evolved over time.
paulgp.com
November 2, 2025 at 4:43 AM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
11 states w/negative GDP growth, 10 states w/negative employment #EconSky
econbrowser.com/archives/202...
October 28, 2025 at 3:46 PM
Reposted by Antonio Fatas
Bipartisan group of big-name economists (including Bernanke, Yellen, Nobel laureates Acemoglu & Johnson, etc) in amicus brief urge SCOTUS to throw out Trump's reciprocal tariffs.

www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/24...
October 25, 2025 at 3:23 PM