Amara Graps
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amaragraps.bsky.social
Amara Graps
@amaragraps.bsky.social
Dr. Planetary Scientist. 🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹 Baltic Space Entrepreneur in Rīga. Occasional asteroid miner. Muscovy Crimes Explainer. NAFO. Quantum Progress.
Reposted by Amara Graps
Ivan’s GNSS jammer locations 😎 that’s all.
November 6, 2025 at 9:32 PM
Reposted by Amara Graps
GAS PACIFIC back spoofing in the Baltic.

This time in the anchorage, and not in Estonian waters.

Or, she started spoofing in Estonian waters, then moved to the anchorage.

See also recent coverage by Lloyds List who also picked up on this:

www.lloydslist.com/LL1155378/Mo...
November 9, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Reposted by Amara Graps
Yes, I am by now almost certain those AIS-messages have got nothing to do with real ship movements.

The mechanism for why the AIS-messages appeared is possibly related to other branches of the Russian armed sabotage forces though. We'll see, investigations ongoing!
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Queueing the Theremin 🎶
Best Star Trek 🛸 voice 🧑‍🚀

"QEC.... The FINAL Frontier ......."

🔎 Why is quantum error correction (QEC) considered the final frontier in quantum computing?

Me, at FirstQFM on LinkedIn
👇
tinyurl.com/24zzwnz6
Error Correction and the Final Frontier
By Amara Graps, FirstQFM In 2021, while protecting their quantum-encoded information in their quantum computer’s 21 superconducting qubits from noise, using quantum error correction (QEC), Google’s sc...
tinyurl.com
November 5, 2025 at 6:40 PM
Hot damn! Moldova is doing it. DE-Occupation. Step by Step.
From my Hybrid War Tracker update, 2 days ago. fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4...
October 22, 2025 at 7:07 PM
Oct 2025 Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with a focus on ZAPAD-2025 outcomes.

How well did the Eastern Flank meet the military challenge? Extremely well.

How well did I predict Russia's deception?
Also (unfortunately) extremely well.

🔍 Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f
October 21, 2025 at 8:22 AM
With this update, the 20th Update! October 20, 2025:

a) our OSINT group is growing! Significant progress.

b) Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with my accurate predicted ZAPAD-2025 outcomes

c) Keep your eyes on Moldova

Enjoy!
fundrazr.com/stories/8Mh4ud
Amara Graps posted a story update on Hybrid War Tracker: Exposing Russia’s Under-reported Ops in 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇵🇱
Dear Hybrid War Tracker Supporters, 20th Update! October 20, 2025. a) OSINT group is growing! Significant progress. b) Update of Hybrid War Tracker Handbook with predicted ZAPAD-2025 outcomes c) Keep ...
fundrazr.com
October 20, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Useful for all of us.

The Dronewall Part 1: Defending Civilian Targets Against Small Drones
open.substack.com/pub/techwars...
The Dronewall Part 1: Defending Civilian Targets Against Small Drones
What Europe and NATO Can Do to Protect Itself from Drone Strikes
open.substack.com
October 14, 2025 at 11:17 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
Sweden minister of defence Pål Jonsson attributes Baltic area GNSS/GPS jamming to Russia. I think a first?

In same news, not only ambulances on Öland but also cows get spoofed, both to the sea and to Kaliningrad.
October 12, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Reposted by Amara Graps
What causes WW3 as per my tankies:
🇹🇷Shooting 🇷🇺jet down
🇺🇸Killing 🇷🇺troops in🇸🇾
🇺🇸bombing Assad
🇺🇦Defending itself
Giving🇺🇦:
Training
Javelins
155mm shells
Patriots
Tanks
F-16s
HIMARS
ATACMS
Tomahawks
🇺🇦striking crimea
🇺🇦Deep striking🇷🇺
🇺🇦Occupying🇷🇺
Cutting🇷🇺off swift

What doesn't cause WW3:
🇷🇺attacking places
October 13, 2025 at 9:42 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
It took nearly 2y. 😑
Hybrid War Tracker spreadsheet: tinyurl.com/29jwc3n5

Hybrid War Tracker project:
▶️️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.

▶️ Summary: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
October 4, 2025 at 9:11 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
I updated my Moldova article: "Connecting the dots of Russia’s Moldova Occupation" with more info about Antjufejevs.

"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."

👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
September 30, 2025 at 9:00 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
Further east in Narva, look at how openly the OMON were continuing being OMON.
From my Moldova article, written in time for Moldova's victory yesterday.
open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
September 30, 2025 at 9:04 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
For more in depth analysis the 'hybrid war tracker' focused on Baltics, Finland, Poland by @amaragraps.bsky.social

Tracker overview: fundrazr.com/a2Xv4b
Hybrid War Tracker: Exposing Russia’s Under-reported Ops in 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹🇵🇱
🧭 What’s Happening? Russia and Belarus are conducting a continuously-accelerated and under-reported hybrid war on our 🇫🇮🇪🇪🇱🇻🇱🇹 🇵🇱 Eastern Flank. There have been over 400 hybrid attacks — sabotage, cyb...
fundrazr.com
September 29, 2025 at 1:36 PM
I updated my Moldova article: "Connecting the dots of Russia’s Moldova Occupation" with more info about Antjufejevs.

"Moldovan journalists say that had Ukrainians neutralised him in time, it could have prevented what happened in Crimea and Donbas."

👉https://tinyurl.com/2y4x54zn
September 30, 2025 at 9:00 AM
In this substack, I show Russia's Moldova Occupation from the 1992 eyes of journalists and using the 'connecting pieces' of the OMON and the KGB.

Congratulations to Moldova for resisting Muscovy Occupation once again, and voting strongly yesterday for Europe! open.substack.com/pub/amaragra...
Connecting the dots of Russia’s Moldova Occupation
A Narrative Evolution through the Lens of Journalists
open.substack.com
September 29, 2025 at 2:45 PM
When the topic is Russia's Hybrid War on us in the Eastern Flank, there are times that I don't like being right.
From the ZAPAD chapter of the Hybrid War Tracker Handbook: tinyurl.com/27htk43f page 20
September 10, 2025 at 7:49 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
Always some drifters to observe off #NO #Norway

#Bulkcarrier #OBORISHTE IMO 9415167 #IMO9415167

Flag #Malta
Management #Bulgaria

Was proceeding northwards along the coast but now just drifting

Vessel from same management company #Vezhehn suspected of previous cable incidents in the #Baltic
September 8, 2025 at 7:40 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
🔍 Formatted Data, see here: tinyurl.com/29jwc3n5

▶️ Goal: to build a shared awareness.
▶️ Goal: Education for those who don't know Russia's Blueprint
▶️ Goal: To build Eastern Flank OSINT community for more eyes.
September 5, 2025 at 9:54 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
I thought I had found indications of a targeted GNSS jamming attack against president von der Leyen's aircraft this Sunday.

Then I disproved my own hypothesis. Here's how!

This is common in my work, I usually don't show it because it takes a lot of effort to explain also 0-results
September 6, 2025 at 10:49 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
I could be late to the game, but it looks like there is a new circle spoofer just outside the berths at Ust-Luga.
September 4, 2025 at 7:47 PM
Reposted by Amara Graps
I really love seeing my data going to good use!
This is another visualization of the Hybrid War Tracker project data, that Claudia convinced me to format from my unstructured huge 6000+ line file.

tinyurl.com/2yg8tluu
When you have a good dataset, you can do all sorts of cool things with it to help with analysis and sensemaking. I am still cleaning up this data from Amara Graps' Russian Hybrid Warfare in the… |...
When you have a good dataset, you can do all sorts of cool things with it to help with analysis and sensemaking. I am still cleaning up this data from Amara Graps' Russian Hybrid Warfare in the Baltic...
tinyurl.com
September 5, 2025 at 9:50 AM
Reposted by Amara Graps
The reality was that the more I looked for traces of Russia's attacks on us, the more I found.

You don't need "an Amara" to collect data though.

I outline a procedure for how OSINT folks can scale my process to other territories and countries too.
🔍https://tinyurl.com/27htk43f
September 5, 2025 at 9:51 AM
I really love seeing my data going to good use!
This is another visualization of the Hybrid War Tracker project data, that Claudia convinced me to format from my unstructured huge 6000+ line file.

tinyurl.com/2yg8tluu
When you have a good dataset, you can do all sorts of cool things with it to help with analysis and sensemaking. I am still cleaning up this data from Amara Graps' Russian Hybrid Warfare in the… |...
When you have a good dataset, you can do all sorts of cool things with it to help with analysis and sensemaking. I am still cleaning up this data from Amara Graps' Russian Hybrid Warfare in the Baltic...
tinyurl.com
September 5, 2025 at 9:50 AM