Damien
@acouphene57.bsky.social
Atmosphere, ocean & climate
The easiest thing in physics is the mathematics, the difficult bit is what it means ~ Pierre-Gilles de Gennes.
The easiest thing in physics is the mathematics, the difficult bit is what it means ~ Pierre-Gilles de Gennes.
Reposted by Damien
This plot from NYTimes is getting a lot of play today. Let me just note that calculating a 15 year trend ending w/ an El Nino-boosted interval is the sort of thing that would make Dick Lindzen blush (excerpt from "The Hockey Stick & the Climate Wars" (www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-hockey...)
June 27, 2025 at 2:02 AM
This plot from NYTimes is getting a lot of play today. Let me just note that calculating a 15 year trend ending w/ an El Nino-boosted interval is the sort of thing that would make Dick Lindzen blush (excerpt from "The Hockey Stick & the Climate Wars" (www.barnesandnoble.com/w/the-hockey...)
Reposted by Damien
One of our motivations for writing this was a prevalent misconception that blocking systems are becoming more common.
They aren’t. They’re projected to become less frequent.
However, the hot and dry spring is consistent with climate change.
@ncas-uk.bsky.social @uniofstandrews.bsky.social
They aren’t. They’re projected to become less frequent.
However, the hot and dry spring is consistent with climate change.
@ncas-uk.bsky.social @uniofstandrews.bsky.social
How the weather got ‘stuck’ over the UK – and produced an unusually dry and warm spring
Article in The Conversation from me and @mattpattclimate.bsky.social, discussing spring 2025, blocking and climate change.
theconversation.com/how-the-weat...
Article in The Conversation from me and @mattpattclimate.bsky.social, discussing spring 2025, blocking and climate change.
theconversation.com/how-the-weat...
How the weather got ‘stuck’ over the UK – and produced an unusually dry and warm spring
‘April showers’ were few and far between in 2025.
theconversation.com
May 12, 2025 at 6:18 PM
One of our motivations for writing this was a prevalent misconception that blocking systems are becoming more common.
They aren’t. They’re projected to become less frequent.
However, the hot and dry spring is consistent with climate change.
@ncas-uk.bsky.social @uniofstandrews.bsky.social
They aren’t. They’re projected to become less frequent.
However, the hot and dry spring is consistent with climate change.
@ncas-uk.bsky.social @uniofstandrews.bsky.social
Reposted by Damien
How the weather got ‘stuck’ over the UK – and produced an unusually dry and warm spring
Article in The Conversation from me and @mattpattclimate.bsky.social, discussing spring 2025, blocking and climate change.
theconversation.com/how-the-weat...
Article in The Conversation from me and @mattpattclimate.bsky.social, discussing spring 2025, blocking and climate change.
theconversation.com/how-the-weat...
How the weather got ‘stuck’ over the UK – and produced an unusually dry and warm spring
‘April showers’ were few and far between in 2025.
theconversation.com
May 12, 2025 at 5:18 PM
How the weather got ‘stuck’ over the UK – and produced an unusually dry and warm spring
Article in The Conversation from me and @mattpattclimate.bsky.social, discussing spring 2025, blocking and climate change.
theconversation.com/how-the-weat...
Article in The Conversation from me and @mattpattclimate.bsky.social, discussing spring 2025, blocking and climate change.
theconversation.com/how-the-weat...
Reposted by Damien
1/ I wanted to respond to Stefan Rahmstorf's blog about our paper (www.nature.com/articles/s41...) due to some misunderstandings and differences in interpretation. Disagreements are part of the scientific process—nothing personal. Our views might not be as far apart as I first thought.
🌊 Today in @nature.com: Is the AMOC on the brink of collapse?
Unlikely before 2100—but the risks are real 🚨
We find Southern Ocean winds keep this vital ocean "heat engine" running, even under extreme #climatechange. But the Pacific holds a surprise…
tinyurl.com/yt6u4e7d
Let’s explore 🧪👇
Unlikely before 2100—but the risks are real 🚨
We find Southern Ocean winds keep this vital ocean "heat engine" running, even under extreme #climatechange. But the Pacific holds a surprise…
tinyurl.com/yt6u4e7d
Let’s explore 🧪👇
February 28, 2025 at 1:49 PM
1/ I wanted to respond to Stefan Rahmstorf's blog about our paper (www.nature.com/articles/s41...) due to some misunderstandings and differences in interpretation. Disagreements are part of the scientific process—nothing personal. Our views might not be as far apart as I first thought.
Reposted by Damien
1/ This is incorrect (an easy mistake), else it would indeed be very worrying. ORAS5 reanalysis overestimates AMOC strength before 2000 (~30Sv) and thus shows an exaggerated weakening. My figure on subpolar North Atlantic AMOC strength highlights this issue. Details below 👇
January 13, 2025 at 9:17 AM
1/ This is incorrect (an easy mistake), else it would indeed be very worrying. ORAS5 reanalysis overestimates AMOC strength before 2000 (~30Sv) and thus shows an exaggerated weakening. My figure on subpolar North Atlantic AMOC strength highlights this issue. Details below 👇