Aaron
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aaronwarburton.bsky.social
Aaron
@aaronwarburton.bsky.social
Sports Data Analyst & Storyteller | Crafting unique, data-driven sports content for PR, Media & Brands
24 points is now most likely once again!

With a more balanced and competitive field, we could expect this to keep dropping as the tournament progresses. How many points do you think will be needed for playoffs?
February 14, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Points needed for playoffs comes down slightly to 24.7
February 14, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Luke Littler is now expected to have 4.3 Nightly Wins...

Could he get 5 wins and break the record?
February 14, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Still looks like 25 points needed for playoffs!
February 13, 2025 at 6:48 PM
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February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Finally we can take this one step further to show the points distribution of how many points the player in 4th finished on.

So its currently
25, 18.8% of the time
24, 17.4% of the time
26, 15.8% of the time
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
The big question is, how many points will be needed for playoffs?

Position 4, currently is averaging 24.9 +/- 2.2 points.

So rounding up we can say it currently looks to be 25 points...
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
This shows each player's average points in the league phase and the standard deviation (+/- bit)

Therefore we can see the bottom 5% and top 95% points achieved by each player. Also is the average nightly wins...
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM