Aaron
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aaronwarburton.bsky.social
Aaron
@aaronwarburton.bsky.social
Sports Data Analyst & Storyteller | Crafting unique, data-driven sports content for PR, Media & Brands
Gameweek rank of 15,198

And thats back to back to back +100-point gameweeks!
February 23, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Thanks Glasner!

Very good start to the FPL weekend
February 22, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Small Update before Night 3 tomorrow!

I'll post a thread tomorrow with more details about the points needed for the playoffs!
February 19, 2025 at 11:54 PM
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Oche Index'

Darts stats, tournament projections, and analysis to prepare you for every Major event! This includes an analysis of the Premier League every week!

HERE - theocheindex.beehiiv.com/subscribe
February 18, 2025 at 11:52 PM
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Matchday Digest'

Premier League stats, projections, and analysis to keep you ahead of the game every matchday. Plus get updates on my future projects!

HERE - thematchdaydigest.beehiiv.com/
February 17, 2025 at 11:51 PM
A green arrow so far!

Very lucky with the Trent clean sheet...
February 16, 2025 at 10:48 PM
Decent start to GW25
February 15, 2025 at 11:45 PM
24 points is now most likely once again!

With a more balanced and competitive field, we could expect this to keep dropping as the tournament progresses. How many points do you think will be needed for playoffs?
February 14, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Points needed for playoffs comes down slightly to 24.7
February 14, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Luke Littler is now expected to have 4.3 Nightly Wins...

Could he get 5 wins and break the record?
February 14, 2025 at 2:07 PM
UPDATED Premier League Darts Before Night 2! 🎯

🧵Thread includes, Player Projections and Points likely for Playoffs!
February 14, 2025 at 2:07 PM
Still looks like 25 points needed for playoffs!
February 13, 2025 at 6:48 PM
UPDATED Premier League Darts Before Night 2! 🎯
February 13, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Small red arrow for me! Time to start rolling my transfers to cover the GW29 blank!
February 12, 2025 at 11:27 PM
FA Cup Update after 5th Round Draw, Man City clear favourites now.
February 10, 2025 at 11:07 PM
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Oche Index'

Darts stats, tournament projections, and analysis to prepare you for every Major event! This includes an analysis of the Premier League every week!

HERE - theocheindex.beehiiv.com/subscribe
February 9, 2025 at 11:37 PM
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Matchday Digest'

Premier League stats, projections, and analysis to keep you ahead of the game every matchday. Plus special case studies on the FA Cup or my Models projections each week.

HERE - thematchdaydigest.beehiiv.com/
February 8, 2025 at 8:35 PM
UPDATED Premier League Darts After Night 1! 🎯
February 8, 2025 at 12:19 AM
If you liked this content and want to see more of my breakdown, check out my FREE darts Newsletter 'The Oche Index', covering all the big events and each night of this year's Premier League!

FREE here - theocheindex.beehiiv.com/
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
Finally we can take this one step further to show the points distribution of how many points the player in 4th finished on.

So its currently
25, 18.8% of the time
24, 17.4% of the time
26, 15.8% of the time
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
The big question is, how many points will be needed for playoffs?

Position 4, currently is averaging 24.9 +/- 2.2 points.

So rounding up we can say it currently looks to be 25 points...
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
This shows each player's average points in the league phase and the standard deviation (+/- bit)

Therefore we can see the bottom 5% and top 95% points achieved by each player. Also is the average nightly wins...
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
UPDATED Premier League Darts Graphic! 🎯

The one yesterday was not how I wanted it so made a different version!

Follow this thread to see each player's point probabilities and the breakdown of the points needed for 4th! 🧵
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
First look at my Premier League Darts Model! 🎯

Displaying each player's position probabilities, playoff chance, and average points.

The average points achieved by position 4 was 24.8...

Further analysis tomorrow on my FREE darts newsletter -
theocheindex.beehiiv.com/
February 5, 2025 at 10:13 PM
Darts Premier League Model should be ready for tomorrow!

How many points will be needed for playoffs this year?
February 4, 2025 at 11:41 PM