Aaron
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aaronwarburton.bsky.social
Aaron
@aaronwarburton.bsky.social
Sports Data Analyst & Storyteller | Crafting unique, data-driven sports content for PR, Media & Brands
Gameweek rank of 15,198

And thats back to back to back +100-point gameweeks!
February 23, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Thanks Glasner!

Very good start to the FPL weekend
February 22, 2025 at 9:30 PM
Small Update before Night 3 tomorrow!

I'll post a thread tomorrow with more details about the points needed for the playoffs!
February 19, 2025 at 11:54 PM
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Oche Index'

Darts stats, tournament projections, and analysis to prepare you for every Major event! This includes an analysis of the Premier League every week!

HERE - theocheindex.beehiiv.com/subscribe
February 18, 2025 at 11:52 PM
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Matchday Digest'

Premier League stats, projections, and analysis to keep you ahead of the game every matchday. Plus get updates on my future projects!

HERE - thematchdaydigest.beehiiv.com/
February 17, 2025 at 11:51 PM
A green arrow so far!

Very lucky with the Trent clean sheet...
February 16, 2025 at 10:48 PM
Decent start to GW25
February 15, 2025 at 11:45 PM
UPDATED Premier League Darts Before Night 2! 🎯

🧵Thread includes, Player Projections and Points likely for Playoffs!
February 14, 2025 at 2:07 PM
UPDATED Premier League Darts Before Night 2! 🎯
February 13, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Small red arrow for me! Time to start rolling my transfers to cover the GW29 blank!
February 12, 2025 at 11:27 PM
FA Cup Update after 5th Round Draw, Man City clear favourites now.
February 10, 2025 at 11:07 PM
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Oche Index'

Darts stats, tournament projections, and analysis to prepare you for every Major event! This includes an analysis of the Premier League every week!

HERE - theocheindex.beehiiv.com/subscribe
February 9, 2025 at 11:37 PM
If you have not already, check out my FREE newsletter 'The Matchday Digest'

Premier League stats, projections, and analysis to keep you ahead of the game every matchday. Plus special case studies on the FA Cup or my Models projections each week.

HERE - thematchdaydigest.beehiiv.com/
February 8, 2025 at 8:35 PM
UPDATED Premier League Darts After Night 1! 🎯
February 8, 2025 at 12:19 AM
UPDATED Premier League Darts Graphic! 🎯

The one yesterday was not how I wanted it so made a different version!

Follow this thread to see each player's point probabilities and the breakdown of the points needed for 4th! 🧵
February 6, 2025 at 3:22 PM
First look at my Premier League Darts Model! 🎯

Displaying each player's position probabilities, playoff chance, and average points.

The average points achieved by position 4 was 24.8...

Further analysis tomorrow on my FREE darts newsletter -
theocheindex.beehiiv.com/
February 5, 2025 at 10:13 PM
Darts Premier League Model should be ready for tomorrow!

How many points will be needed for playoffs this year?
February 4, 2025 at 11:41 PM
Updated look at my model's 10,000 simulations of the PDC World Masters after the Quarter-Finals! 🎯 Who do you think will win?

🏆Champion %
🥶Humphries - 49.4%
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁷󠁬󠁳󠁿Clayton - 27.7%
🇳🇱Noppert - 14.8%
🇧🇪VDB - 8.0%
February 2, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Updated look at my model's 10,000 simulations of the PDC World Masters after the Second Round, probabilities will be updated during the event! 🎯

🏆Champion %
☢️Littler - 43.5%
🥶Humphries - 19.2%
🔫Bunting - 15.6%
🇦🇺 Heta - 6.4%
February 1, 2025 at 11:02 PM
Updated look at my model's 10,000 simulations of the PDC World Masters after the first round, probabilities will be updated during the event! 🎯

🏆Champion %
☢️Littler - 31.5%
🥶Humphries - 15.4%
🟢MvG - 13.6%
🔫Bunting - 12.5%
January 31, 2025 at 11:37 PM
Here is a first look at my model's 10,000 simulations of the PDC World Masters starting today, probabilities will be updated during the event! 🎯

🏆Champion %
☢️Littler - 26.9%
🥶Humphries - 13.4%
🔫Bunting - 10.9%
🟢MvG - 10.8%
January 30, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Manchester City vs Real Madrid or Bayern Munich in the Knockout Phase!
January 29, 2025 at 11:20 PM
GW24

Pedro ➡️ Wissa
Sarr ➡️ Kluivert
Gabriel ➡️ Kerkez

🌍597k | 🏛️£0.5m
January 28, 2025 at 10:56 PM
Premier League Title Chances from my 10,000 Simulation Model

🔴Liverpool - 93.2%
🔴Arsenal - 6.3%
🔵Man City - 0.4%
January 27, 2025 at 10:47 PM
60 points, 3 off my safety, not awful given I rolled to 3 transfers.

Now the question is what to do 🤔 (Get Bournemouth players)
January 26, 2025 at 11:40 PM