Philipp Maier
@pmaier1971.bsky.social
Economic data releases and news, automated with R.
Data from http://fred.stlouisfed.org.
Code/details: http://whyitmatters.netlify.app
All views and errors are mine.
Economics
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Industrial production rose by 0.7% m/m in Jan 2026. Industrial Production measures real output for manufacturing, mining, and electric, and gas utilities #industrialproduction #econsky
#Housing Details: Breakdown of New Privately-Owned Housing Units Completed for Dec 2025 shows #SingleFamilyHomes account for roughly 67.1% of all completions #econsky
New Housing Permits Authorized in Dec 2025 at 1448K, up from 1388K last month #housingpermits #econsky
Manufacturers' New Orders for Durable Goods declined by -1.43% in Dec 2025; for Nondurable Goods new orders rose by 0.01% #econsky
On 13 Feb the Nominal Emerging Market USD Index stood at 127.4607. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. a decrease of -2.1%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -6.96% lower. The index is weighted against a broad subset of emerging market currencies #exchangerates #econsky
7-day weighted av. for Diesel currently at $3.69, up 0.7 cents from last week. Diesel engines in trucks, trains, boats, and barges transport nearly all products people consume. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a $0.02 increase. #econsky
7-day weighted av. price for gas currently at $3.03, up 3.8 cents from last week. Relative to 12 months ago, this is a -22 cent decrease. #inflation #econsky
On 13 February the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index stood at 117.5258. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. a decrease of -2.24%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -7.57% lower. The index is weighted against a broad group of trading partners #exchangerate #usd #econsky
Future business conditions for the state of New York are improving, relative to last month with the indicator standing at 34.7 in Feb 2026. Last month's reading was 30.3 #NYState #survey #econsky https://tinyurl.com/bdfwtvvj
Current manufacturing business conditions from the Empire State Manufacturing Survey at 7.1 for Feb 2026, suggesting that business conditions are improving (as the value is above zero). Last month's reading was 7.7. #empirestate #manufacturing #survey #econsky
On 06 February the Nominal Broad U.S. Dollar Index stood at 118.2407. Relative to a month ago, this is approx. a decrease of -1.14%. Relative to a year ago, USD is about -7.93% lower. The index is weighted against a broad group of trading partners #exchangerate #usd #econsky
Total Assets for all Commercial Banks have decreased from 24831.0398 last week to 24815.2248 on 04 February. Relative to a year ago, this represents an increase of about 4.67%. Evolution of the main asset categories shown in the chart below #commercialbanks #assets #econsky
Corporate Bond Market Update: Using data as of 12 February, Moody's Seasoned Aaa Corporate Bond Yield for bonds with 20+ years maturity is at 5.27% for the AAA (down -0.1p.p. from the prior week). The BAA is at 5.77%. #econsky
Comparing The Economic Recovery Since the Outset of the Pandemic Across Major Industrialized Countries #econsky
At the end of this week, the GDPNow forecast from the Altanta Fed for Q4 2025 stands at at 4.24%. GDPNow is a nowcasting model for GDP growth projecting 13 GDP subcomponents with monthly source data, a factor model and a BVAR. #econsky
The average rate on a U.S. 30-Year Fixed Rate Conforming #mortgage on 12 February was at 6.033%. Relative to the prior week, the rate has fallen by about -0.08 p.p. #mortgagerates #econsky
According to the Federal Reserve Cleveland, inflation expectations over a 1-year horizon are 2.59% y/y, above the Fed's target of 2%. Looking out further, longer-term expectations move closer to 2%. #econsky
5Y Breakeven Inflation Rate at 2.45%, down from 2.5% last week; 10Y Breakeven Inflation at 2.29%. Breakeven inflation uses the difference between Constant Maturity and Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Treasuries to calculate market expectations #inflation #econsky.
10Y #Treasury is at 4.09%, down from 4.18% last week. How are shorter-term interest rates contributing to the change in the yield curve? #interest #econsky https://tinyurl.com/m7pdyyyf
Rents in the US have increased by 2.8% y/y in Jan 2026, down -0.08 p.p. from last month. #econsky
How broad based is the increase in #Inflation? Comparing all major CPI components to pre-pandemic levels #econsky
Core CPI inflation inflation for Jan 2026 came in at 2.36% y/y, down -0.26 p.p. from last month. CPI ex. energy and food at 2.48%. #inflation #econsky