William Nomikos
@wnomikos.bsky.social
peacebuilding, climate change and conflict, domestic politics and foreign policy || Assistant Professor of Political Science @UCSB || williamgnomikos.com || Previously @Yale @WashU
Pinned
William Nomikos
@wnomikos.bsky.social
· Jan 15
My book, "Local Peace, International Builders," is now OUT.
It examines the conditions under which international actors successfully bring order, peace, and stability to fragile settings.
To read more about each chapter and download the book OPEN ACCESS: www.williamgnomikos.com/local-peace
It examines the conditions under which international actors successfully bring order, peace, and stability to fragile settings.
To read more about each chapter and download the book OPEN ACCESS: www.williamgnomikos.com/local-peace
'Local Peace, International Builders - How UN Peacekeeping Builds Peace from the Bottom Up' by @wnomikos.bsky.social.
Demonstrates how legacies of colonialism shape the effectiveness of international interventions, peacekeeping, and statebuilding in the 21st century.
📚 cup.org/4jtWATl 📚
Demonstrates how legacies of colonialism shape the effectiveness of international interventions, peacekeeping, and statebuilding in the 21st century.
📚 cup.org/4jtWATl 📚
"Local Peace, International Builders" demonstrates how legacies of colonialism shape the effectiveness of international interventions, peacekeeping, and statebuilding in the 21st century.
A quick thread summarizing how I do this over the course of the chapters of the book 🧵
A quick thread summarizing how I do this over the course of the chapters of the book 🧵
This is so good. All the key points about the role of energy in intervention here.
January 13, 2026 at 5:49 AM
This is so good. All the key points about the role of energy in intervention here.
Reposted by William Nomikos
I thought this was great and very informative.
The Maduro Regime Without Maduro www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
The Maduro Regime Without Maduro www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
The Maduro Regime Without Maduro
A political scientist explains how the Venezuelan President ran the country, why he was so unpopular, and, after his seizure by the Trump Administration, who might take over.
www.newyorker.com
January 6, 2026 at 1:54 AM
I thought this was great and very informative.
The Maduro Regime Without Maduro www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
The Maduro Regime Without Maduro www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a...
I wonder a bit about the applicability of existing research to this case. Is this even a regime change? Trump cares very little about norms so there will likely be coercion and repression. This might be horrendous for the Venezuelan people but lead to some neocolonial stability.
It's not clear what Trump/Rubio are doing in Venezuela. But until they recognize that whoever leads Venezuela will have their own political and security interests, good luck with the strategy of telling Venezuela what to do. And that's before we get to all the problems with coercive diplomacy. 11/11
January 5, 2026 at 8:03 PM
I wonder a bit about the applicability of existing research to this case. Is this even a regime change? Trump cares very little about norms so there will likely be coercion and repression. This might be horrendous for the Venezuelan people but lead to some neocolonial stability.
I wrote about the violence reaching the capital of Mali @goodauth.bsky.social
- Peacebuilding failed
- This doesn’t mean all interventions are doomed, just under some conditions (even in Mali!)
- Not too late for international community to think creatively about helping civilians in Mali
- Peacebuilding failed
- This doesn’t mean all interventions are doomed, just under some conditions (even in Mali!)
- Not too late for international community to think creatively about helping civilians in Mali
December 10, 2025 at 6:08 PM
I wrote about the violence reaching the capital of Mali @goodauth.bsky.social
- Peacebuilding failed
- This doesn’t mean all interventions are doomed, just under some conditions (even in Mali!)
- Not too late for international community to think creatively about helping civilians in Mali
- Peacebuilding failed
- This doesn’t mean all interventions are doomed, just under some conditions (even in Mali!)
- Not too late for international community to think creatively about helping civilians in Mali
Reposted by William Nomikos
Mali's Islamist siege, explained by @wnomikos.bsky.social in
@goodauth.bsky.social .
goodauthority.org/news/mali-is...
@goodauth.bsky.social .
goodauthority.org/news/mali-is...
The Islamist siege in Mali, explained
A closer look at the current Malian instability, and the limits of international peacebuilding.
goodauthority.org
December 10, 2025 at 5:39 PM
Mali's Islamist siege, explained by @wnomikos.bsky.social in
@goodauth.bsky.social .
goodauthority.org/news/mali-is...
@goodauth.bsky.social .
goodauthority.org/news/mali-is...
Still absolutely floored that my book, Local Peace, International Builders, received the APSA Experiments Section Best Book award!
The book uses field, survey, and natural experiments to test a new theory of peacebuilding, which I develop formally in the book.
👇 Access links
The book uses field, survey, and natural experiments to test a new theory of peacebuilding, which I develop formally in the book.
👇 Access links
December 4, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Still absolutely floored that my book, Local Peace, International Builders, received the APSA Experiments Section Best Book award!
The book uses field, survey, and natural experiments to test a new theory of peacebuilding, which I develop formally in the book.
👇 Access links
The book uses field, survey, and natural experiments to test a new theory of peacebuilding, which I develop formally in the book.
👇 Access links
Reposted by William Nomikos
New data release from the Deportation Data Project:
Every ICE arrest, detainer request, and book-in to detention nationwide between September 1, 2023 and October 15, 2025.
deportationdata.org/news/2025-12...
Every ICE arrest, detainer request, and book-in to detention nationwide between September 1, 2023 and October 15, 2025.
deportationdata.org/news/2025-12...
Deportation Data Project
deportationdata.org
December 1, 2025 at 8:22 PM
New data release from the Deportation Data Project:
Every ICE arrest, detainer request, and book-in to detention nationwide between September 1, 2023 and October 15, 2025.
deportationdata.org/news/2025-12...
Every ICE arrest, detainer request, and book-in to detention nationwide between September 1, 2023 and October 15, 2025.
deportationdata.org/news/2025-12...
“It feels illegal.”
December 1, 2025 at 7:54 PM
“It feels illegal.”
I have no idea what’s going on with US foreign policy. What a dangerous disaster. Just total chaos. I can’t believe it’s just year 1.
November 23, 2025 at 3:47 AM
I have no idea what’s going on with US foreign policy. What a dangerous disaster. Just total chaos. I can’t believe it’s just year 1.
Very clear to know what to do for next shutdown fight but, since GOP obviously won’t fund subsidies, Dems *should* pick the same fight and have as a goal for Republicans to nuke the filibuster. The problem is that even if that’s issued as a direct threat to GOP, Dems won’t have credibility.
November 11, 2025 at 2:30 PM
Very clear to know what to do for next shutdown fight but, since GOP obviously won’t fund subsidies, Dems *should* pick the same fight and have as a goal for Republicans to nuke the filibuster. The problem is that even if that’s issued as a direct threat to GOP, Dems won’t have credibility.
Good luck with the dictatorship my guy. Doesn’t matter how corrupt or abusive you are if people have had enough and are willing to make those preference clear.
Keep it up everyone!
Keep it up everyone!
November 9, 2025 at 11:24 PM
Good luck with the dictatorship my guy. Doesn’t matter how corrupt or abusive you are if people have had enough and are willing to make those preference clear.
Keep it up everyone!
Keep it up everyone!
Gelman’s answer is essentially “no under most reasonable scenarios.” Worth the full read for the nuance.
If Cuomo had been able to run against Mamdani head-to-head, would he have won?
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/06/i...
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2025/11/06/i...
If Cuomo had been able to run against Mamdani head-to-head, would he have won? | Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science
statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu
November 6, 2025 at 2:49 PM
Gelman’s answer is essentially “no under most reasonable scenarios.” Worth the full read for the nuance.
Reposted by William Nomikos
Unbelievable to be here, more than a decade later, and all of the efforts of the international community to prevent a West African Afghanistan in Mali might be for naught. All of the fighting—literal and metaphorical—that Malians have done for naught.
I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5)
I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5)
November 6, 2025 at 6:55 AM
Unbelievable to be here, more than a decade later, and all of the efforts of the international community to prevent a West African Afghanistan in Mali might be for naught. All of the fighting—literal and metaphorical—that Malians have done for naught.
I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5)
I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5)
Just casually dropping in people like Lina Khan as transition co-chair.
I think Mamdani isn’t listening to the people who said he can’t/won’t do the things he talked about.
Looks like he’ll try!
I think Mamdani isn’t listening to the people who said he can’t/won’t do the things he talked about.
Looks like he’ll try!
November 6, 2025 at 7:16 AM
Just casually dropping in people like Lina Khan as transition co-chair.
I think Mamdani isn’t listening to the people who said he can’t/won’t do the things he talked about.
Looks like he’ll try!
I think Mamdani isn’t listening to the people who said he can’t/won’t do the things he talked about.
Looks like he’ll try!
Unbelievable to be here, more than a decade later, and all of the efforts of the international community to prevent a West African Afghanistan in Mali might be for naught. All of the fighting—literal and metaphorical—that Malians have done for naught.
I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5)
I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5)
November 6, 2025 at 6:55 AM
Unbelievable to be here, more than a decade later, and all of the efforts of the international community to prevent a West African Afghanistan in Mali might be for naught. All of the fighting—literal and metaphorical—that Malians have done for naught.
I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5)
I’ll write more soon but some thoughts: (1/5)
The big question for me is what percentage of Trump voters in 2024 did or did not vote for the Republican in this election. The question is more about non-voters who stayed home rather than voters that chose an alternative candidate. Does anyone have that data?
November 5, 2025 at 6:10 PM
The big question for me is what percentage of Trump voters in 2024 did or did not vote for the Republican in this election. The question is more about non-voters who stayed home rather than voters that chose an alternative candidate. Does anyone have that data?
Reposted by William Nomikos
Mamdani: "We can respond to oligarchy and authoritarianism with the strength it fears, not the appeasement it craves. After all, if anyone can show a nation betrayed by Donald Trump how to defeat him, it is the city that gave rise to him."
November 5, 2025 at 4:38 AM
Mamdani: "We can respond to oligarchy and authoritarianism with the strength it fears, not the appeasement it craves. After all, if anyone can show a nation betrayed by Donald Trump how to defeat him, it is the city that gave rise to him."
I’m just so happy to see so many different Americans in the greatest city in the world being so excited about politics. POLITICS!!
A few days after the presidential election one year ago, we went to Fordham Road in the Bronx.
It was a little different last week.
It was a little different last week.
November 4, 2025 at 9:52 PM
I’m just so happy to see so many different Americans in the greatest city in the world being so excited about politics. POLITICS!!
McPherson does a good job contextualizing Trump/Venezuela but headline writer should probably not use “unprecedented.”
From the piece itself: “From 1915 to 1934, for example, the U.S. invaded and then occupied Haiti and may have killed as many as 11,500 people.”
And that’s just one example!
From the piece itself: “From 1915 to 1934, for example, the U.S. invaded and then occupied Haiti and may have killed as many as 11,500 people.”
And that’s just one example!
Trump’s squeeze of Venezuela goes beyond ‘Monroe doctrine’ – in ideology, intent and scale, it’s unprecedented
@us.theconversation.com
Alan McPherson
theconversation.com/trumps-squee...
@us.theconversation.com
Alan McPherson
theconversation.com/trumps-squee...
Trump’s squeeze of Venezuela goes beyond ‘Monroe doctrine’ – in ideology, intent and scale, it’s unprecedented
A US military buildup in the Caribbean after weeks of naval strikes is both the latest case of intervention in Latin America and uniquely aggressive in key ways.
theconversation.com
November 3, 2025 at 4:43 PM
McPherson does a good job contextualizing Trump/Venezuela but headline writer should probably not use “unprecedented.”
From the piece itself: “From 1915 to 1934, for example, the U.S. invaded and then occupied Haiti and may have killed as many as 11,500 people.”
And that’s just one example!
From the piece itself: “From 1915 to 1934, for example, the U.S. invaded and then occupied Haiti and may have killed as many as 11,500 people.”
And that’s just one example!
Ultimately the difference between Dems and GOP is that when the Dems got power in the 21st century, they passed huge and important policy bills instead of making institutional changes that would lock them in power for the next quarter century. Probably a little short-sighted in retrospect.
November 3, 2025 at 4:35 PM
Ultimately the difference between Dems and GOP is that when the Dems got power in the 21st century, they passed huge and important policy bills instead of making institutional changes that would lock them in power for the next quarter century. Probably a little short-sighted in retrospect.
Wait what’s happening?
Trump says he's instructing the Department of Defense to prepare for military action against Nigeria
November 1, 2025 at 9:38 PM
Wait what’s happening?
For all my Santa Barbara-based connections: here is a great place to go this week to donate, volunteer, and just help out as the Federal government chooses to cut SNAP benefits:
foodbanksbc.org
foodbanksbc.org
Home | FoodBank
Welcome to the Foodbank of Santa Barbara County. Our mission is to transform hunger into health with fresh produce, nutritious groceries and nutrition education for all, from pre-schoolers to older ad...
foodbanksbc.org
November 1, 2025 at 4:31 PM
For all my Santa Barbara-based connections: here is a great place to go this week to donate, volunteer, and just help out as the Federal government chooses to cut SNAP benefits:
foodbanksbc.org
foodbanksbc.org
They just don't care about democracy or accountability or anything like it.
Q: Just last week a minister was shot directly in the face with a pepper round by a DHS agent that left his face bloodied. Are you concerned that this is a religious freedom issue?
MIKE JOHNSON: I can't comment on any of those instances. I haven't seen or heard any of those videos
MIKE JOHNSON: I can't comment on any of those instances. I haven't seen or heard any of those videos
October 29, 2025 at 6:36 PM
They just don't care about democracy or accountability or anything like it.