William Nomikos
banner
wnomikos.bsky.social
William Nomikos
@wnomikos.bsky.social
peacebuilding, climate change and conflict, domestic politics and foreign policy || Assistant Professor of Political Science @UCSB || williamgnomikos.com || Previously @Yale @WashU
Truly an honor and dream come true to see my book, Local Peace, International Builders, with the other Cambridge University Press @universitypress.cambridge.org award winners at @apsa.bsky.social APSA 2025!

www.williamgnomikos.com/local-peace
September 11, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Very hard to imagine what an actual "Article V-like" security guarantee looks like in practice. Hard to imagine that the US would backstop a security guarantee like that and if it doesn't, it's not Article V-like in the slightest.

But who knows, Trump has surprised me before.
August 18, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Trump has put the United States in a position where we are ceding global leadership to China in all domains. Iran is the latest example.

www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06...
June 18, 2025 at 7:56 AM
Amid all the uncertainty around the world, I am so honored that I get to have a book launch for Local Peace, International Builders with discussants @matanock.bsky.social and Salma Mousa.

📘 Book Link: www.williamgnomikos.com/local-peace

If you're in Santa Barbara on April 30th, come join us!
April 16, 2025 at 5:36 PM
One of the fascinating things about looking at Reconstruction as a peacebuilding scholar was variation across states *after* Reconstruction.

For ex, Black Americans in NC were prominently involved in politics until a horrifying White Supremacist insurrection and ethnic cleansing campaign in 1898.
April 4, 2025 at 10:19 AM
Thanks to the @upenn.bsky.social Browne Center for inviting me to talk about U.S. Reconstruction as a case study of statebuilding.

The paper uses original data on roll-call voting during and after Reconstruction to show how Federal troops facilitated the election of radical state legislators.
April 4, 2025 at 10:19 AM
I'll be curious to see the terms of the actual US-Ukraine deal. It doesn't seem like the Ukrainians gave up much (see below from @nytimes.com) or that the US provided a credible security guarantee.
February 26, 2025 at 2:20 AM
I love that my book is available open access because literally anybody can read and download it legally for free: www.williamgnomikos.com/local-peace

BUT there is nothing like holding a physical copy of your own book. Wow!
February 24, 2025 at 6:53 PM
But I think if you break down by gender it’s very concerning and exactly in line with the narrative, no?
February 24, 2025 at 4:20 AM
Honored that Erica cites my ongoing work with Ipek Sener and Rob Williams on what we call the "The Peacekeeping Dilemma," a structural constraint on peacekeeping operations making it so it cannot reduce one type of violence without increasing another.

Pre-print: osf.io/preprints/so...
February 19, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Really great to see @chenoweth.bsky.social Presidential Address at Peace Science up at @conflictmanagement.bsky.social: doi.org/10.1177/0738...

Take-home point: perhaps some of our findings in peace science were bound to a specific period of time, which may now be over.
February 19, 2025 at 4:47 PM
Check out my new research out in @natureportfolio.bsky.social HSSC (w/@dahjinkim.bsky.social and Gechun Lin).

- Tweets about Russian invasion of Ukraine (Feb 22-25)
- Trace user ideology through networks
- Liberals more pro-Ukraine
- Conservatives post more misinfo

www.nature.com/articles/s41...
February 11, 2025 at 9:17 PM
Ultimately, this book argues that international interventions, when executed with impartiality, can build peace from the ground up. By fostering trust and deterring violence, grassroots strategies offer a model for sustainable conflict resolution in fragile settings​. (9/9)
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Finally, I looked beyond Mali to see if the theory holds elsewhere. Cross-national data from African peacekeeping missions shows that impartial peacekeepers consistently reduce communal violence. (8/9)
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Building on these findings, I next analyzed patterns of violence in central Mali. Here, UN peacekeepers reduced the likelihood of disputes escalating, demonstrating how their impact scales up from individuals to entire communities​. (7/9)
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Next, I present the lab and survey experiments in Mali that tested the individual-level implications of the theory. The results were striking: exposure to impartial UN patrols significantly increased trust and willingness to cooperate, transforming conflict dynamics at the individual level​. (6/9)
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
To ground the study, I dive into Mali’s history of communal disputes, worsened by colonial legacies. This case shows how local-level peacekeeping can address violence even in deeply divided societies. It sets the stage for the empirical analysis. (5/9)​
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Then, I detail how I tested this theory. Using lab experiments, surveys, and real-world data from Mali as well as cross-national data on UN PKOs, I compare the effects of different interventions. The results highlight how perceived impartiality is pivotal to intervention success​. (4/9)
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
With that foundation, I introduce the core idea: Localized Peace Enforcement Theory. I present a formal model that explains how impartial peacekeepers reduce violence by reshaping incentives for cooperation. The chapter uses the model to identify hypotheses at separate levels of analyses. (3/9)
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
Next, I explore how UN peacekeeping has transformed since the Cold War. Chapter VII mandates now allow peacekeepers to tackle communal disputes head-on. This evolution highlights the critical role of impartiality and diversity in addressing complex local conflicts​ (2/9).
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
I begin by showing how local-level violence *between* and *within* communities now dominates other forms of violence in the international system, a trend likely to continue due to the impact of climate change (1/9)
January 15, 2025 at 4:55 PM
I am organizing the Environmental Politics Workshop at UCSB Political Science/Bren this quarter and I am really excited about the great group we have presenting, including our own people!

Really looking forward to learning about the latest in the climate politics space!
January 13, 2025 at 11:12 PM
There are several structural factors that make me dubious there will be any serious *institutional* power-sharing among ethnic groups in Syria:

- Majority group in de facto power
- Groups fractionalized
- No UN PKO

I wrote about this dynamic in JPR: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
December 9, 2024 at 7:52 PM
Very exciting news! I have front/back cover of my book, LOCAL PEACE, INTERNATIONAL BUILDERS!

The full book will be out OPEN ACCESS in January 2025 with Cambridge University Press.

I'll share much, much more when it's out but, if you're interested: www.williamgnomikos.com/book-local-p...
November 25, 2024 at 8:20 PM
New article accepted @natureportfolio.bsky.social HSSC (w/ @dahjinkim.bsky.social and Gechun Lin).

- Tweets about Russian invasion of Ukraine (Feb 22-25)
- Trace user ideology through networks
- Libs pro-Ukraine
- Cons more misinfo
- Mods in between

Abstract 👇
Pre-print 👉 doi.org/10.31219/osf...
November 25, 2024 at 3:43 AM