VanguardMcBlackrock
@vanguardmcblack.bsky.social
Global trader. Swing and Intraday. Bonds, US equities, futures.
Bluesky = Web 1.0
Learning how to be nice again after too many years in the fintwit jungle.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=swYdKF1MpWg
Bluesky = Web 1.0
Learning how to be nice again after too many years in the fintwit jungle.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=swYdKF1MpWg
This is what distribution legs look like for major indices--these "three little claws"
This is how large institutions exit their positions--in this case selling the nasdaq via #QQQ
It does not mean a top--it precedes a top. We oft drive it higher once after we do this
July 22-24 to be interesting
This is how large institutions exit their positions--in this case selling the nasdaq via #QQQ
It does not mean a top--it precedes a top. We oft drive it higher once after we do this
July 22-24 to be interesting
July 11, 2025 at 2:55 PM
This is what distribution legs look like for major indices--these "three little claws"
This is how large institutions exit their positions--in this case selling the nasdaq via #QQQ
It does not mean a top--it precedes a top. We oft drive it higher once after we do this
July 22-24 to be interesting
This is how large institutions exit their positions--in this case selling the nasdaq via #QQQ
It does not mean a top--it precedes a top. We oft drive it higher once after we do this
July 22-24 to be interesting
Hit max daily loss today. Got too aggressive too early (a problem of mine: a personal one ; )
Cost me about $40k in later opportunities plus the $26k
But if you can't trust yourself to hit-out when you hit your max daily loss, you're not exactly a trader, are you? Tomorrow a new day
continued...
Cost me about $40k in later opportunities plus the $26k
But if you can't trust yourself to hit-out when you hit your max daily loss, you're not exactly a trader, are you? Tomorrow a new day
continued...
May 12, 2025 at 8:28 PM
Hit max daily loss today. Got too aggressive too early (a problem of mine: a personal one ; )
Cost me about $40k in later opportunities plus the $26k
But if you can't trust yourself to hit-out when you hit your max daily loss, you're not exactly a trader, are you? Tomorrow a new day
continued...
Cost me about $40k in later opportunities plus the $26k
But if you can't trust yourself to hit-out when you hit your max daily loss, you're not exactly a trader, are you? Tomorrow a new day
continued...
A good Friday (albeit a bit late).
And a strong week. Almost hit my max loss ($25k intraday).
Scalped it out: S&P-style.
Linda Rashke (my fave) once said that being able to work one's self out of a hole was one of the most important aspects of those who trade seriously. Starting to get that.
And a strong week. Almost hit my max loss ($25k intraday).
Scalped it out: S&P-style.
Linda Rashke (my fave) once said that being able to work one's self out of a hole was one of the most important aspects of those who trade seriously. Starting to get that.
May 9, 2025 at 8:10 PM
A good Friday (albeit a bit late).
And a strong week. Almost hit my max loss ($25k intraday).
Scalped it out: S&P-style.
Linda Rashke (my fave) once said that being able to work one's self out of a hole was one of the most important aspects of those who trade seriously. Starting to get that.
And a strong week. Almost hit my max loss ($25k intraday).
Scalped it out: S&P-style.
Linda Rashke (my fave) once said that being able to work one's self out of a hole was one of the most important aspects of those who trade seriously. Starting to get that.
Thankful today. Started it off down $20k+ having to dump UNH calls near the open.
Thankfully, I trade the most difficult instument in the world: the S&P.
And I do it with consistent profitability. Sorry about the East Coast 0dte pods I blow-up. Every month. Rinse/repeat.
Best of luck to you kids.
Thankfully, I trade the most difficult instument in the world: the S&P.
And I do it with consistent profitability. Sorry about the East Coast 0dte pods I blow-up. Every month. Rinse/repeat.
Best of luck to you kids.
May 8, 2025 at 8:07 PM
Thankful today. Started it off down $20k+ having to dump UNH calls near the open.
Thankfully, I trade the most difficult instument in the world: the S&P.
And I do it with consistent profitability. Sorry about the East Coast 0dte pods I blow-up. Every month. Rinse/repeat.
Best of luck to you kids.
Thankfully, I trade the most difficult instument in the world: the S&P.
And I do it with consistent profitability. Sorry about the East Coast 0dte pods I blow-up. Every month. Rinse/repeat.
Best of luck to you kids.
Flawless day. Took more focus and energy than running a 10k. Exhuasted right now.
If you listened to Powell instead of trading the market in front of you, well, you're a reporter: or someone who lacks seriousness as to markets.
Long+short: AAPL
Long+short: S&P
Swing: UNH
#Intraday #NoMistakes
If you listened to Powell instead of trading the market in front of you, well, you're a reporter: or someone who lacks seriousness as to markets.
Long+short: AAPL
Long+short: S&P
Swing: UNH
#Intraday #NoMistakes
May 7, 2025 at 8:15 PM
Flawless day. Took more focus and energy than running a 10k. Exhuasted right now.
If you listened to Powell instead of trading the market in front of you, well, you're a reporter: or someone who lacks seriousness as to markets.
Long+short: AAPL
Long+short: S&P
Swing: UNH
#Intraday #NoMistakes
If you listened to Powell instead of trading the market in front of you, well, you're a reporter: or someone who lacks seriousness as to markets.
Long+short: AAPL
Long+short: S&P
Swing: UNH
#Intraday #NoMistakes
I play music.
DeGraaf/RenMac down at Stagecoach music fest Fri: sporting a cowboy hat (#correct)
Vintage country on my mind ever since. So here's me playing some Sunday country.
Told @davenadig.bsky.social I'd share something. Happy Sunday from the McBlackrocks
drive.proton.me/urls/TK4GZ1C...
DeGraaf/RenMac down at Stagecoach music fest Fri: sporting a cowboy hat (#correct)
Vintage country on my mind ever since. So here's me playing some Sunday country.
Told @davenadig.bsky.social I'd share something. Happy Sunday from the McBlackrocks
drive.proton.me/urls/TK4GZ1C...
April 27, 2025 at 8:51 PM
I play music.
DeGraaf/RenMac down at Stagecoach music fest Fri: sporting a cowboy hat (#correct)
Vintage country on my mind ever since. So here's me playing some Sunday country.
Told @davenadig.bsky.social I'd share something. Happy Sunday from the McBlackrocks
drive.proton.me/urls/TK4GZ1C...
DeGraaf/RenMac down at Stagecoach music fest Fri: sporting a cowboy hat (#correct)
Vintage country on my mind ever since. So here's me playing some Sunday country.
Told @davenadig.bsky.social I'd share something. Happy Sunday from the McBlackrocks
drive.proton.me/urls/TK4GZ1C...
One fave classic media story involves "dark crosses" or "death crosses" w/the 50sma crossing the 200sma down.
These haven't been valid in years; mkt liquidity more than capable of holding itself up until we see fewer puts
Don't short the SPX "death cross" here
"Financial" media stories=for poors.
These haven't been valid in years; mkt liquidity more than capable of holding itself up until we see fewer puts
Don't short the SPX "death cross" here
"Financial" media stories=for poors.
April 21, 2025 at 9:30 PM
One fave classic media story involves "dark crosses" or "death crosses" w/the 50sma crossing the 200sma down.
These haven't been valid in years; mkt liquidity more than capable of holding itself up until we see fewer puts
Don't short the SPX "death cross" here
"Financial" media stories=for poors.
These haven't been valid in years; mkt liquidity more than capable of holding itself up until we see fewer puts
Don't short the SPX "death cross" here
"Financial" media stories=for poors.
Yes, traders usually know where the market is going and everything you hear on CNBC and Bloomberg is complete and total bullshit (made to encourage people to waste their time and money and keep them poor).
*Totally* unrelated note: US bonds bottom here and now #TLT
www.youtube.com/watch?v=hjNA...
*Totally* unrelated note: US bonds bottom here and now #TLT
www.youtube.com/watch?v=hjNA...
Gary US Bonds - Quarter To Three
YouTube video by Risjah
www.youtube.com
April 11, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Yes, traders usually know where the market is going and everything you hear on CNBC and Bloomberg is complete and total bullshit (made to encourage people to waste their time and money and keep them poor).
*Totally* unrelated note: US bonds bottom here and now #TLT
www.youtube.com/watch?v=hjNA...
*Totally* unrelated note: US bonds bottom here and now #TLT
www.youtube.com/watch?v=hjNA...
Dollar/DXY about done with its flex for now.
Russel D. Muscle as well.
Time for bonds to make a run/rates to make a (brief) trip lower. Our bounce is now tired.
Russel D. Muscle as well.
Time for bonds to make a run/rates to make a (brief) trip lower. Our bounce is now tired.
March 27, 2025 at 6:48 PM
Dollar/DXY about done with its flex for now.
Russel D. Muscle as well.
Time for bonds to make a run/rates to make a (brief) trip lower. Our bounce is now tired.
Russel D. Muscle as well.
Time for bonds to make a run/rates to make a (brief) trip lower. Our bounce is now tired.
This is the part they don't tell you about: when we're about to reverse the dollar/DXY needs to test 105 again.
All that stuff you're hearing about long China and long TLT right now?
DXY to catch a bid here as the afternoon changes and all the ideas about Friday's witches start to reverse...
All that stuff you're hearing about long China and long TLT right now?
DXY to catch a bid here as the afternoon changes and all the ideas about Friday's witches start to reverse...
March 17, 2025 at 3:26 PM
This is the part they don't tell you about: when we're about to reverse the dollar/DXY needs to test 105 again.
All that stuff you're hearing about long China and long TLT right now?
DXY to catch a bid here as the afternoon changes and all the ideas about Friday's witches start to reverse...
All that stuff you're hearing about long China and long TLT right now?
DXY to catch a bid here as the afternoon changes and all the ideas about Friday's witches start to reverse...
Done with China and US bonds for a bit.
(Short FXI form 36.63 and very short US bonds/TLT from 90.55).
yields (tnx), dollar, and crude to bounce into next Friday. (rest of market as well).
China and US bonds to be gutted by TNX (yields) and dollar bounce into next weeks' quad witching.
(Short FXI form 36.63 and very short US bonds/TLT from 90.55).
yields (tnx), dollar, and crude to bounce into next Friday. (rest of market as well).
China and US bonds to be gutted by TNX (yields) and dollar bounce into next weeks' quad witching.
March 13, 2025 at 7:31 PM
Done with China and US bonds for a bit.
(Short FXI form 36.63 and very short US bonds/TLT from 90.55).
yields (tnx), dollar, and crude to bounce into next Friday. (rest of market as well).
China and US bonds to be gutted by TNX (yields) and dollar bounce into next weeks' quad witching.
(Short FXI form 36.63 and very short US bonds/TLT from 90.55).
yields (tnx), dollar, and crude to bounce into next Friday. (rest of market as well).
China and US bonds to be gutted by TNX (yields) and dollar bounce into next weeks' quad witching.
Remember what we said about AAPL and NVDA? That toilet flush is done now. Ignore the bullshit you're hearing.
This is a swing-bottom for *semis* and AVGO. Look for semis to rebound into mopex (Monthly Options Expiry: and this one has witches).
Or listen to Bloomberg and CNBC and get poor. Cheers.
This is a swing-bottom for *semis* and AVGO. Look for semis to rebound into mopex (Monthly Options Expiry: and this one has witches).
Or listen to Bloomberg and CNBC and get poor. Cheers.
March 11, 2025 at 5:36 PM
Remember what we said about AAPL and NVDA? That toilet flush is done now. Ignore the bullshit you're hearing.
This is a swing-bottom for *semis* and AVGO. Look for semis to rebound into mopex (Monthly Options Expiry: and this one has witches).
Or listen to Bloomberg and CNBC and get poor. Cheers.
This is a swing-bottom for *semis* and AVGO. Look for semis to rebound into mopex (Monthly Options Expiry: and this one has witches).
Or listen to Bloomberg and CNBC and get poor. Cheers.
Worst possible choice for portfolio managers right now:
buy more AAPL and NVDA.
And they have no clue what else do.
So portfolio managers will buy more AAPL and NVDA.
buy more AAPL and NVDA.
And they have no clue what else do.
So portfolio managers will buy more AAPL and NVDA.
February 3, 2025 at 4:32 PM
Worst possible choice for portfolio managers right now:
buy more AAPL and NVDA.
And they have no clue what else do.
So portfolio managers will buy more AAPL and NVDA.
buy more AAPL and NVDA.
And they have no clue what else do.
So portfolio managers will buy more AAPL and NVDA.
Now friends, the trade station is locked-away so that I don't suffer any "brilliant" seven-figure trade ideas while smoking doobs and sipping Lagavulin (neat). As such, apologies for the simple daily OHLC.
But do understand the $XLY is not a joke as a mkt-wide reversion and counter-trend indicator:
But do understand the $XLY is not a joke as a mkt-wide reversion and counter-trend indicator:
January 2, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Now friends, the trade station is locked-away so that I don't suffer any "brilliant" seven-figure trade ideas while smoking doobs and sipping Lagavulin (neat). As such, apologies for the simple daily OHLC.
But do understand the $XLY is not a joke as a mkt-wide reversion and counter-trend indicator:
But do understand the $XLY is not a joke as a mkt-wide reversion and counter-trend indicator:
Not trading until Monday. Did a nice 5mi up a mountainside before the sun rose this morn, now doing a little acoustic.
But re-read Rashke's (amazing) "Trading Sardines" over the holiday: and I'm now convinced I'll miss some amazingness or opportunities in markets while being a holiday forest hippy.
But re-read Rashke's (amazing) "Trading Sardines" over the holiday: and I'm now convinced I'll miss some amazingness or opportunities in markets while being a holiday forest hippy.
January 2, 2025 at 3:42 PM
Not trading until Monday. Did a nice 5mi up a mountainside before the sun rose this morn, now doing a little acoustic.
But re-read Rashke's (amazing) "Trading Sardines" over the holiday: and I'm now convinced I'll miss some amazingness or opportunities in markets while being a holiday forest hippy.
But re-read Rashke's (amazing) "Trading Sardines" over the holiday: and I'm now convinced I'll miss some amazingness or opportunities in markets while being a holiday forest hippy.
Reposted by VanguardMcBlackrock
2025 is going to be the year I become even WORSE
December 31, 2024 at 8:53 PM
2025 is going to be the year I become even WORSE
Reposted by VanguardMcBlackrock
Daily PSA
If a bSky account contains:
1. A Lamborghini
2. A Rolex with extra diamonds
3. A swimming pool
4. Any combination whatsoever of the preceding?
*def* follow them for financial advice or "trading secrets"
Because that's what it's all about: leasing a car and glueing zirconia to a Rolex
If a bSky account contains:
1. A Lamborghini
2. A Rolex with extra diamonds
3. A swimming pool
4. Any combination whatsoever of the preceding?
*def* follow them for financial advice or "trading secrets"
Because that's what it's all about: leasing a car and glueing zirconia to a Rolex
December 31, 2024 at 5:34 PM
Daily PSA
If a bSky account contains:
1. A Lamborghini
2. A Rolex with extra diamonds
3. A swimming pool
4. Any combination whatsoever of the preceding?
*def* follow them for financial advice or "trading secrets"
Because that's what it's all about: leasing a car and glueing zirconia to a Rolex
If a bSky account contains:
1. A Lamborghini
2. A Rolex with extra diamonds
3. A swimming pool
4. Any combination whatsoever of the preceding?
*def* follow them for financial advice or "trading secrets"
Because that's what it's all about: leasing a car and glueing zirconia to a Rolex
Watch China as everyone makes noise and panics.
FXI/KWEB/CSXE held strong today against a DXY pop.
Tepper is poking around here somewhere; am looking to catch a ride with him.
FXI/KWEB/CSXE held strong today against a DXY pop.
Tepper is poking around here somewhere; am looking to catch a ride with him.
December 19, 2024 at 12:13 AM
Watch China as everyone makes noise and panics.
FXI/KWEB/CSXE held strong today against a DXY pop.
Tepper is poking around here somewhere; am looking to catch a ride with him.
FXI/KWEB/CSXE held strong today against a DXY pop.
Tepper is poking around here somewhere; am looking to catch a ride with him.
Most intraday fun I've ever experienced.
Enterting UNH outright longs, LMT longs, dollar-down shorts (amazing dollar pop today; methinks its last).
Also, "quantum deez nuts."
Fishing for a TLT bottom around 86-87. Not sure yet.
Enterting UNH outright longs, LMT longs, dollar-down shorts (amazing dollar pop today; methinks its last).
Also, "quantum deez nuts."
Fishing for a TLT bottom around 86-87. Not sure yet.
December 18, 2024 at 11:51 PM
Most intraday fun I've ever experienced.
Enterting UNH outright longs, LMT longs, dollar-down shorts (amazing dollar pop today; methinks its last).
Also, "quantum deez nuts."
Fishing for a TLT bottom around 86-87. Not sure yet.
Enterting UNH outright longs, LMT longs, dollar-down shorts (amazing dollar pop today; methinks its last).
Also, "quantum deez nuts."
Fishing for a TLT bottom around 86-87. Not sure yet.
For anyone interested in having the most fascinating, beautiful, and pleasant "Discover" feed on BlueSky, I highly recommend trying the following: even if only for a day.
Who knows, you might even find some new friends when all the hate-posting can't even make it past your Bluesky security team:
Who knows, you might even find some new friends when all the hate-posting can't even make it past your Bluesky security team:
December 14, 2024 at 1:56 AM
For anyone interested in having the most fascinating, beautiful, and pleasant "Discover" feed on BlueSky, I highly recommend trying the following: even if only for a day.
Who knows, you might even find some new friends when all the hate-posting can't even make it past your Bluesky security team:
Who knows, you might even find some new friends when all the hate-posting can't even make it past your Bluesky security team:
XLV double-bottom and everyone hanging out under the AAPL tree. Such a cool/fascinating week, this one.
December 12, 2024 at 8:37 PM
XLV double-bottom and everyone hanging out under the AAPL tree. Such a cool/fascinating week, this one.
LMT: Lockheed. I'm long here: on that bullshit b-berg "trumped-up" story that hit twenty seconds after the close yesterday.
When you smell bullshit? You probably stepped in a big pile of Bloomberg. Bullshit pays.
When you smell bullshit? You probably stepped in a big pile of Bloomberg. Bullshit pays.
December 12, 2024 at 4:53 PM
LMT: Lockheed. I'm long here: on that bullshit b-berg "trumped-up" story that hit twenty seconds after the close yesterday.
When you smell bullshit? You probably stepped in a big pile of Bloomberg. Bullshit pays.
When you smell bullshit? You probably stepped in a big pile of Bloomberg. Bullshit pays.
Unpopular: sucks that a man died. I'm over it. Literally a million other humans have passed since (really). Most likely many tens of thousands of them were more important. I'm long UNH here.
December 12, 2024 at 3:30 PM
Unpopular: sucks that a man died. I'm over it. Literally a million other humans have passed since (really). Most likely many tens of thousands of them were more important. I'm long UNH here.
@estrader.bsky.social exact same trendline as before. if we selloff into PPI(cpce) watching this line as a magnet
December 11, 2024 at 7:44 PM
@estrader.bsky.social exact same trendline as before. if we selloff into PPI(cpce) watching this line as a magnet