Andrew Lyons
@twisterkid34.bsky.social
Forecaster. Storm and sky enthusiast. Occasional adult.
forecast.twodogswx.net
https://github.com/adlyons
For Pics &
Youtube.com/twisterkidmedia
For tornado videos
Bad opinions are my own.
forecast.twodogswx.net
https://github.com/adlyons
For Pics &
Youtube.com/twisterkidmedia
For tornado videos
Bad opinions are my own.
I was going to wait until the shutdown was over but the cat is out if the bag. My first journal article is now live!
Convective Mode Classification and Distribution of Contiguous United States Tornado Events from 2003–2023 in: Weather and Forecasting - Ahead of print share.google/M3ty4pVs5Tld...
Convective Mode Classification and Distribution of Contiguous United States Tornado Events from 2003–2023 in: Weather and Forecasting - Ahead of print share.google/M3ty4pVs5Tld...
Convective Mode Classification and Distribution of Contiguous United States Tornado Events from 2003–2023
Abstract Tornadoes and severe thunderstorms represent a significant threat to life and property in the United States annually. Approximately one thousand tornadoes, two-hundred being significant (F/EF-2+), are documented on average every year. Using archived radar and Storm Data storm report information, 21 912 tornado grid hours were manually analyzed for convective mode from the years 2003–2023. This dataset builds upon prior work by Smith et al. (2012) (hereafter S12) by more than doubling the sample size to produce a robust, multidecadal climatology of tornadoes by convective mode. Comparisons were made between tornado samples spanning 2003–2011 and 2012–2023 to assess changes in the frequency and spatial occurrence of tornadoes. Convective mode characterization consisted of a subjective analysis of WSR-88D imagery into three categories: 1) supercell, 2) quasi–linear convective system (QLCS), and 3) disorganized. Spatial climatologies of the different modes were performed and Kernel Density Estimate plots of events per decade were generated as in S12. The highest climatological frequency for tornadic supercells is reaffirmed to extend from KS and OK east-southeastward to MS and AL, while QLCS tornadoes are more frequent from the northern Gulf Coast states into the lower Ohio River Valley. Comparing the new sample to the original, QLCS tornado relative frequency increased by over 100%. Substantial variation in QLCS tornado occurrence may be due to non-meteorological factors such as dual polarization radar and different observing/reporting practices.
share.google
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
I was going to wait until the shutdown was over but the cat is out if the bag. My first journal article is now live!
Convective Mode Classification and Distribution of Contiguous United States Tornado Events from 2003–2023 in: Weather and Forecasting - Ahead of print share.google/M3ty4pVs5Tld...
Convective Mode Classification and Distribution of Contiguous United States Tornado Events from 2003–2023 in: Weather and Forecasting - Ahead of print share.google/M3ty4pVs5Tld...
#shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie for days 16 17 and 18 of ??
Im on mids so my captions are creatively limited but the dogs are cute.
Im on mids so my captions are creatively limited but the dogs are cute.
October 18, 2025 at 7:29 AM
#shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie for days 16 17 and 18 of ??
Im on mids so my captions are creatively limited but the dogs are cute.
Im on mids so my captions are creatively limited but the dogs are cute.
#shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie days 13 and 14 of ??
I just like this one because of the tounges.
I just like this one because of the tounges.
October 15, 2025 at 1:38 AM
#shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie days 13 and 14 of ??
I just like this one because of the tounges.
I just like this one because of the tounges.
#shutdown sammy #restorefunding ralphie day 11 and 12 of ?? Pups in the pool. Where's our pool of money?
October 13, 2025 at 3:04 AM
#shutdown sammy #restorefunding ralphie day 11 and 12 of ?? Pups in the pool. Where's our pool of money?
#shutdown Sammy and #restorefunding Ralphie for days 8 and 9 of ?? The dogs and I took a nice walk to get our minds off silly appropriations. They attempted to investigate the local creek turtles.
October 10, 2025 at 4:48 PM
#shutdown Sammy and #restorefunding Ralphie for days 8 and 9 of ?? The dogs and I took a nice walk to get our minds off silly appropriations. They attempted to investigate the local creek turtles.
#Shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie for days 4 and 5 of ?? Forgot to post yesterday so here's a twofur.
October 6, 2025 at 1:06 AM
#Shutdown sammy and #restorefunding ralphie for days 4 and 5 of ?? Forgot to post yesterday so here's a twofur.
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
Shutdown Meira, Day 3 / ??
Gotta keep the wheat from waving too vigorously.
Gotta keep the wheat from waving too vigorously.
October 3, 2025 at 6:46 PM
Shutdown Meira, Day 3 / ??
Gotta keep the wheat from waving too vigorously.
Gotta keep the wheat from waving too vigorously.
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
Shutdown Meira, Day 2 / ??
Essential government workers still have to work without pay. Meira is taking her job seriously, making sure the atmosphere behaves and stays convectively stable through dutiful Skew-T/Log-P thermodynamic analysis.
(Don’t tell the government but I’m paying her in treats)
Essential government workers still have to work without pay. Meira is taking her job seriously, making sure the atmosphere behaves and stays convectively stable through dutiful Skew-T/Log-P thermodynamic analysis.
(Don’t tell the government but I’m paying her in treats)
October 2, 2025 at 4:45 PM
Shutdown Meira, Day 2 / ??
Essential government workers still have to work without pay. Meira is taking her job seriously, making sure the atmosphere behaves and stays convectively stable through dutiful Skew-T/Log-P thermodynamic analysis.
(Don’t tell the government but I’m paying her in treats)
Essential government workers still have to work without pay. Meira is taking her job seriously, making sure the atmosphere behaves and stays convectively stable through dutiful Skew-T/Log-P thermodynamic analysis.
(Don’t tell the government but I’m paying her in treats)
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
"Thanks for all the hard work surviving this year and doing your jobs with excellence, despite the chaos. Oh, performance bonuses? lol no."
In case anyone was wondering what's new for Federal Employees ahead of the looming shutdown, we just found out our yearly performance bonuses have been rescinded because of the chaos around performance plan quotas.
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
September 24, 2025 at 5:56 PM
"Thanks for all the hard work surviving this year and doing your jobs with excellence, despite the chaos. Oh, performance bonuses? lol no."
In case anyone was wondering what's new for Federal Employees ahead of the looming shutdown, we just found out our yearly performance bonuses have been rescinded because of the chaos around performance plan quotas.
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
September 24, 2025 at 5:38 PM
In case anyone was wondering what's new for Federal Employees ahead of the looming shutdown, we just found out our yearly performance bonuses have been rescinded because of the chaos around performance plan quotas.
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
Because kicking us while we are down and about to be broke wasnt enough!
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
In addition to these already posted positions, there *should* be two more coming soon:
Mesoscale Assistant Forecaster
Fire Wx Senior Development Meteorologist
Mesoscale Assistant Forecaster
Fire Wx Senior Development Meteorologist
SPC is hiring a Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) for the severe side. So if you've wanted to work for SPC as a WCM, here's your chance! Applications for this position close on Tuesday, Sep 23.
Severe WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845565600
Severe WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845565600
September 11, 2025 at 4:43 PM
In addition to these already posted positions, there *should* be two more coming soon:
Mesoscale Assistant Forecaster
Fire Wx Senior Development Meteorologist
Mesoscale Assistant Forecaster
Fire Wx Senior Development Meteorologist
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
We're also hiring two fire weather positions: another WCM and a lead foreacster. If you're interested in fire weather and want to work for SPC, go ahead and apply! Both positions close on Wednesday, Sep 24.
Fire WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845645900
Fire Lead: www.usajobs.gov/job/845659700
Fire WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845645900
Fire Lead: www.usajobs.gov/job/845659700
September 11, 2025 at 4:39 PM
We're also hiring two fire weather positions: another WCM and a lead foreacster. If you're interested in fire weather and want to work for SPC, go ahead and apply! Both positions close on Wednesday, Sep 24.
Fire WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845645900
Fire Lead: www.usajobs.gov/job/845659700
Fire WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845645900
Fire Lead: www.usajobs.gov/job/845659700
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
SPC is hiring a Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) for the severe side. So if you've wanted to work for SPC as a WCM, here's your chance! Applications for this position close on Tuesday, Sep 23.
Severe WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845565600
Severe WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845565600
September 11, 2025 at 4:39 PM
SPC is hiring a Warning Coordination Meteorologist (WCM) for the severe side. So if you've wanted to work for SPC as a WCM, here's your chance! Applications for this position close on Tuesday, Sep 23.
Severe WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845565600
Severe WCM: www.usajobs.gov/job/845565600
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
Hey all! I've been Co-Developing this project with @twisterkid34.bsky.social for about a month now, and we've made some changes to how the interface works, and also included a 'How to Report' section. (1/3)
August 11, 2025 at 12:08 AM
Hey all! I've been Co-Developing this project with @twisterkid34.bsky.social for about a month now, and we've made some changes to how the interface works, and also included a 'How to Report' section. (1/3)
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
We would love to receive feedback on what we can improve on, and what we can change to better help spotters send accurate reports! (3/3)
August 11, 2025 at 12:08 AM
We would love to receive feedback on what we can improve on, and what we can change to better help spotters send accurate reports! (3/3)
Reposted by Andrew Lyons
We also have a web-domain now! -- reportbuddy.org -- Best accessible on Google Chrome and Fire Fox on mobile devices, you can also bookmark it onto your home screen for easy access. We will be working on compatibility with Safari soon, and eventually create an app download for smoother use. (2/3)
Report Buddy V0.8
reportbuddy.org
August 11, 2025 at 12:08 AM
We also have a web-domain now! -- reportbuddy.org -- Best accessible on Google Chrome and Fire Fox on mobile devices, you can also bookmark it onto your home screen for easy access. We will be working on compatibility with Safari soon, and eventually create an app download for smoother use. (2/3)