Andrew Lyons
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twisterkid34.bsky.social
Andrew Lyons
@twisterkid34.bsky.social
Forecaster. Storm and sky enthusiast. Occasional adult.

forecast.twodogswx.net

https://github.com/adlyons

For Pics &

Youtube.com/twisterkidmedia

For tornado videos

Bad opinions are my own.
Isn't there an ICP song about this?
November 11, 2025 at 10:42 PM
Yeah just a few hours spent doing this haha. We estimate around a couple thousand man hours on the analysis alone.
November 5, 2025 at 7:02 PM
Thanks man!
November 5, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Thank you! Im hoping lot of people can find good nuggets of info scattered about in it. There's so much more that we couldn't include. Huge dataset!
November 5, 2025 at 3:54 PM
This was a huge project over the last 4 years and we are going to continue adding on with more data. There are some other exciting articles and other ideas already in the works!

Some of the data is also in an interactive Google map here:

share.google/pFTfCEqbAMrl...
Convective mode Classification of US tornadoes 2000-2021 Andrew Lyons AMS SLS 2022 - Google My Maps
These maps show the estimated number(s) of tornadoes associated with different convective modes and storm types within 40 km of a point over a 10 year (decade) period. Data is derived from the Storm P...
share.google
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Another big finding was that QLCS events have changed drastically in the last decade and are not distributed uniformly. This is likely the result of dual pol implementation, different warning/reporting philosophy, changes in population/urban bullseye and some decades variability.
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
I was able to successfully recreate Smiths results using decadal KDEs and expand the sample to a large more representative climo window.

Some findings:

Dixie Alley is king for tornado occurance, but the Plains win for supercell mode!

The Ohio Valley is QLCS central but supercells not so much!
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
This is an update to the well known Smith et al., 2012 dataset. We added an additional 11,000 subjectively analyzed convective mode cases from 2012-2023, VROT, TDS depth/intensity, TDS motion, near-storm environment and other metadata.
November 5, 2025 at 3:18 PM
Whatever dates or time ranges, and what metadata you want.

I can send you a sample of what it looks like via email.

Runs from 2003-2023.

Vrot data 2009-2023

Dualpol 2012-2023

Includes the subjective storm mode and a bunch of near storm environment info from mesoanalysis too.
November 5, 2025 at 4:15 AM
Yep! Each tornado county segment has meta data. Its not every tornado report but its 85-90% Would be happy to subset and send your way!
November 5, 2025 at 12:49 AM
And 3 more #restorefunding ralphies

Im tired man.
October 26, 2025 at 3:22 AM