Temur Umarov
@tumarov.bsky.social
Fellow at @carnegieendowment.org I write about Central Asia for @ceip-politika.bsky.social
https://carnegieendowment.org/people/temur-umarov?lang=en¢er=russia-eurasia
https://carnegieendowment.org/people/temur-umarov?lang=en¢er=russia-eurasia
Central Asia is adapting its entire ideological agenda to impress one man: Donald Trump.
The recent C5+1 summit was a new high point in US-Central Asian ties. But is this rapprochement real, or just risk? 🧵🧵🧵
The recent C5+1 summit was a new high point in US-Central Asian ties. But is this rapprochement real, or just risk? 🧵🧵🧵
November 11, 2025 at 4:36 PM
Central Asia is adapting its entire ideological agenda to impress one man: Donald Trump.
The recent C5+1 summit was a new high point in US-Central Asian ties. But is this rapprochement real, or just risk? 🧵🧵🧵
The recent C5+1 summit was a new high point in US-Central Asian ties. But is this rapprochement real, or just risk? 🧵🧵🧵
Reposted by Temur Umarov
(1/4) #CentralAsia is among the world's most vulnerable regions to #climatechange. And while some countries are heavily reliant on #fossilfuels, there is potential for #renewables across this entire part of the world.
Let's take a closer look...
Let's take a closer look...
October 20, 2025 at 11:56 AM
(1/4) #CentralAsia is among the world's most vulnerable regions to #climatechange. And while some countries are heavily reliant on #fossilfuels, there is potential for #renewables across this entire part of the world.
Let's take a closer look...
Let's take a closer look...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
While the active presence of China and Russia in Central Asia is nothing new, the current level of attention from the U.S. is unusual for a region located far from the major global crises. @tumarov.bsky.social explains why Central Asia remains in Trump's focus: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Why Is Central Asia Buying Trump’s Attention?
The current U.S. administration is the easiest one so far for Central Asia to work with. Business interests can be used to attract Washington’s attention, and there is no longer any need for demonstra...
carnegieendowment.org
October 14, 2025 at 3:02 PM
While the active presence of China and Russia in Central Asia is nothing new, the current level of attention from the U.S. is unusual for a region located far from the major global crises. @tumarov.bsky.social explains why Central Asia remains in Trump's focus: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
The current US administration is the easiest one so far for Central Asia to work with. Business interests can be used to attract attention & there's no need for demonstrative distancing from Russia or commitment to democratic reforms. @ceip-politika.bsky.social carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Why Is Central Asia Buying Trump’s Attention?
The current U.S. administration is the easiest one so far for Central Asia to work with. Business interests can be used to attract Washington’s attention, and there is no longer any need for demonstra...
carnegieendowment.org
October 11, 2025 at 12:31 PM
The current US administration is the easiest one so far for Central Asia to work with. Business interests can be used to attract attention & there's no need for demonstrative distancing from Russia or commitment to democratic reforms. @ceip-politika.bsky.social carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
While the West is using customs duties to try to head off an influx of Chinese electric cars, the countries of Central Asia are doing everything they can to welcome them. Temur Umarov and Roman Vakulchuk assess the consequences for the region: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
China Has Flooded Central Asia With Electric Cars—the Impact Will Be Long-Lasting
By entering this new stage of development of the automotive industry via Chinese electric cars, Central Asia will eventually be forced to adopt Chinese standards for the industry’s development, integr...
carnegieendowment.org
September 11, 2025 at 12:37 PM
While the West is using customs duties to try to head off an influx of Chinese electric cars, the countries of Central Asia are doing everything they can to welcome them. Temur Umarov and Roman Vakulchuk assess the consequences for the region: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Negotiations over the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline are bogged down in discussions over price, flexibility, and timeframe—and Russia’s lack of alternative buyers means China can take its time, argues Sergey Vakulenko: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Why Can’t Russia and China Agree on the Power of Siberia 2 Gas Pipeline?
Negotiations are bogged down in discussions over price, flexibility, and timeframe—and Russia’s lack of alternative buyers means China can take its time.
carnegieendowment.org
September 23, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Negotiations over the Power of Siberia 2 gas pipeline are bogged down in discussions over price, flexibility, and timeframe—and Russia’s lack of alternative buyers means China can take its time, argues Sergey Vakulenko: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Water shortages in Central Asia will worsen significantly when Afghanistan completes a canal diverting substantial volumes of water from the Amu Darya River. And it could escalate regional tensions, writes Galiya Ibragimova. carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Afghanistan’s Qosh Tepa Canal Could Trigger a Central Asian Water Crisis
The ambitious irrigation project is becoming a source of growing tension in Central Asia, but none of the region’s countries have been able to come up with an alternative solution.
carnegieendowment.org
September 24, 2025 at 5:49 PM
Water shortages in Central Asia will worsen significantly when Afghanistan completes a canal diverting substantial volumes of water from the Amu Darya River. And it could escalate regional tensions, writes Galiya Ibragimova. carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Moscow’s anti-immigrant campaign at home is proving increasingly costly abroad. For the first time in years, Central Asian countries are reassessing their relations with Moscow, writes Galiya Ibragimova: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Moscow’s Xenophobic Migration Policy Is Impacting Relations With Central Asia
By stirring up anti-migrant sentiment to distract Russian society from the war in Ukraine, Moscow is alienating its allies in Central Asia. Following Azerbaijan’s example, Central Asian countries are ...
carnegieendowment.org
October 8, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Moscow’s anti-immigrant campaign at home is proving increasingly costly abroad. For the first time in years, Central Asian countries are reassessing their relations with Moscow, writes Galiya Ibragimova: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Why is Beijing opening a flurry of technical training centers known as Luban Workshops in Central Asia, and what is their significance? Edward Lemon and Bradley Jardine explain.
China Is Using Vocational Training Centers to Rebuild Its Image in Central Asia
In Central Asia, Beijing is learning to adapt. The era of raw economic assertiveness is giving way to a more nuanced strategy that fuses investment with education, infrastructure with human capital, a...
carnegieendowment.org
October 9, 2025 at 5:53 PM
Why is Beijing opening a flurry of technical training centers known as Luban Workshops in Central Asia, and what is their significance? Edward Lemon and Bradley Jardine explain.
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Props to @tumarov.bsky.social for very skillfully describing the cult of raw power being created by Tashiev, the Sopranos-esque head of Kyrgyzstan’s rapidly expanding security services
youtu.be/cQeb5cdHs1I?...
youtu.be/cQeb5cdHs1I?...
Могу и «отлупить»: культ силы Ташиева
YouTube video by Kloop на русском
youtu.be
October 3, 2025 at 11:56 AM
Props to @tumarov.bsky.social for very skillfully describing the cult of raw power being created by Tashiev, the Sopranos-esque head of Kyrgyzstan’s rapidly expanding security services
youtu.be/cQeb5cdHs1I?...
youtu.be/cQeb5cdHs1I?...
Beyond the much-discussed trade figures, new projects, & investments, the China+Central Asia summit holds another dimension. W/ @peterleonard1.bsky.social @capsunlock.bsky.social we delved into the visibility of local agency operating behind the scenes:
pod.link/1781868199
pod.link/1781868199
June 25, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Beyond the much-discussed trade figures, new projects, & investments, the China+Central Asia summit holds another dimension. W/ @peterleonard1.bsky.social @capsunlock.bsky.social we delved into the visibility of local agency operating behind the scenes:
pod.link/1781868199
pod.link/1781868199
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Grateful to Lim Min Zhang for quoting me in @thestraitstimes.bsky.social on the #China–#CentralAsia summit!
We discussed forum diplomacy, public opinion, and elite–society divides.
Always a pleasure to be quoted with @tumarov.bsky.social.
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/chin...
We discussed forum diplomacy, public opinion, and elite–society divides.
Always a pleasure to be quoted with @tumarov.bsky.social.
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/chin...
China is winning over Central Asia – but its growing influence could fuel a backlash
Beijing has made vast inroads while Russia and the US are distracted, but must play the long game. Read more at straitstimes.com. Read more at straitstimes.com.
www.straitstimes.com
June 21, 2025 at 10:25 AM
Grateful to Lim Min Zhang for quoting me in @thestraitstimes.bsky.social on the #China–#CentralAsia summit!
We discussed forum diplomacy, public opinion, and elite–society divides.
Always a pleasure to be quoted with @tumarov.bsky.social.
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/chin...
We discussed forum diplomacy, public opinion, and elite–society divides.
Always a pleasure to be quoted with @tumarov.bsky.social.
www.straitstimes.com/opinion/chin...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Great interview by @tumarov.bsky.social where he meticulously outlines the rapid authoritarian consolidation underway in Kyrgyzstan.
Japarov is very diligently speed-running his way to authoritarianism in attempt to catch up with neighboring states
storage.googleapis.com/qurium/kloop...
Japarov is very diligently speed-running his way to authoritarianism in attempt to catch up with neighboring states
storage.googleapis.com/qurium/kloop...
«Учебник автократа». Темур Умаров — о том, как из Кыргызстана делают диктатуру
Президент Кыргызстана ускоренными темпами превращает страну в классический авторитарный режим — с подавлением СМИ, зачисткой оппозиции, устрашением элит и культом «своего парня у власти». Эксперт по Ц...
storage.googleapis.com
June 12, 2025 at 2:16 PM
Great interview by @tumarov.bsky.social where he meticulously outlines the rapid authoritarian consolidation underway in Kyrgyzstan.
Japarov is very diligently speed-running his way to authoritarianism in attempt to catch up with neighboring states
storage.googleapis.com/qurium/kloop...
Japarov is very diligently speed-running his way to authoritarianism in attempt to catch up with neighboring states
storage.googleapis.com/qurium/kloop...
For the first time since the collapse of the Soviet Union, none of the five Central Asian governments have any grievances against one another.
Had a great conversation on Central Asia with LRT: www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
Had a great conversation on Central Asia with LRT: www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
Expert: Russia and China will not clash in Central Asia – interview
A notable shift is taking place among the five Central Asian countries — instead of clashing, they are working to consol...
www.lrt.lt
June 3, 2025 at 3:53 PM
For the first time since the collapse of the Soviet Union, none of the five Central Asian governments have any grievances against one another.
Had a great conversation on Central Asia with LRT: www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
Had a great conversation on Central Asia with LRT: www.lrt.lt/en/news-in-e...
It was an honor to be the guest of the final episode of THE podcast on Central Asia, the Majlis Podcast, hosted by the one&only @pannierb.bsky.social. Together w/ Bakyt Beshimov & @nargiskassenova.bsky.social, we've discussed Central Asia's position in global politics: www.rferl.org/a/majlis-rus...
Central Asia's New Position In Global Politics
A lot has changed in Central Asia in the more than three years since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. As countries in the region seek to loosen Moscow and Beijing's grip on the region, how far...
www.rferl.org
May 27, 2025 at 6:59 AM
It was an honor to be the guest of the final episode of THE podcast on Central Asia, the Majlis Podcast, hosted by the one&only @pannierb.bsky.social. Together w/ Bakyt Beshimov & @nargiskassenova.bsky.social, we've discussed Central Asia's position in global politics: www.rferl.org/a/majlis-rus...
Had a great conversation with Agnieszka Pikulicka-Wilczewska for her new media Turan Tales on China-Central Asia:
Subscribe to her podcast on any platform you use: plinkhq.com/i/1799753984...
Subscribe to her podcast on any platform you use: plinkhq.com/i/1799753984...
May 8, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Had a great conversation with Agnieszka Pikulicka-Wilczewska for her new media Turan Tales on China-Central Asia:
Subscribe to her podcast on any platform you use: plinkhq.com/i/1799753984...
Subscribe to her podcast on any platform you use: plinkhq.com/i/1799753984...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
From our spring issue: @tumarov.bsky.social on the de-risking dilemma.
ip-quarterly.com/en/de-riskin...
ip-quarterly.com/en/de-riskin...
April 24, 2025 at 2:46 PM
From our spring issue: @tumarov.bsky.social on the de-risking dilemma.
ip-quarterly.com/en/de-riskin...
ip-quarterly.com/en/de-riskin...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
Kyrgyzstan arrests four people in the city of Osh for allegedly recruiting mercenaries to fight for Russia in Ukraine. Among those arrested is a representative of the Russian House in Osh and a member of the mayor’s communications team
www.currenttime.tv/a/kyrgyzstan...
www.currenttime.tv/a/kyrgyzstan...
Сотрудницу Русского дома в Кыргызстане и еще троих человек арестовали по делу о вербовке наемников в армию РФ
В Кыргызстане задержали четырех человек по делу о вербовке наемников. Об этом сообщает кыргызская служба Радио Свобода/Азаттык.
Пресс-служба Первомайского районного суда Бишкека в пресс-релизах указал...
www.currenttime.tv
April 22, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Kyrgyzstan arrests four people in the city of Osh for allegedly recruiting mercenaries to fight for Russia in Ukraine. Among those arrested is a representative of the Russian House in Osh and a member of the mayor’s communications team
www.currenttime.tv/a/kyrgyzstan...
www.currenttime.tv/a/kyrgyzstan...
April 17, 2025 at 5:59 PM
Future problems cannot be ruled out, but for the first time since the Soviet collapse, none of the five Central Asian governments have any political grievances against each other.
Why now and what's next for Central Asia:
carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Why now and what's next for Central Asia:
carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Central Asian States Have Put Aside Their Territorial Disputes. Why Now?
Future problems cannot be ruled out, but for the first time since the Soviet collapse, none of the five Central Asian governments have any political grievances against each other.
carnegieendowment.org
April 10, 2025 at 5:11 PM
Future problems cannot be ruled out, but for the first time since the Soviet collapse, none of the five Central Asian governments have any political grievances against each other.
Why now and what's next for Central Asia:
carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Why now and what's next for Central Asia:
carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
“For the first time since the Soviet collapse, none of the five Central Asian governments have any political grievances against each other.“
@tumarov.bsky.social and Alibek Mukambayev on the landmark agreements to resolve border disputes in Central Asia: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
@tumarov.bsky.social and Alibek Mukambayev on the landmark agreements to resolve border disputes in Central Asia: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Central Asian States Have Put Aside Their Territorial Disputes. Why Now?
Future problems cannot be ruled out, but for the first time since the Soviet collapse, none of the five Central Asian governments have any political grievances against each other.
carnegieendowment.org
April 10, 2025 at 5:30 AM
“For the first time since the Soviet collapse, none of the five Central Asian governments have any political grievances against each other.“
@tumarov.bsky.social and Alibek Mukambayev on the landmark agreements to resolve border disputes in Central Asia: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
@tumarov.bsky.social and Alibek Mukambayev on the landmark agreements to resolve border disputes in Central Asia: carnegieendowment.org/russia-euras...
Reposted by Temur Umarov
#OpEd Apart from the economic obstacles facing the U.S. plan, Russia is extremely unlikely to want to contain China — they have too much in common, writes @tumarov.bsky.social.
Can Trump Channel Nixon to Turn Russia Against China?
Apart from the economic obstacles facing the U.S. plan, Russia is extremely unlikely to want to contain China—they have too much in common.
carnegieendowment.org
April 8, 2025 at 10:22 AM
#OpEd Apart from the economic obstacles facing the U.S. plan, Russia is extremely unlikely to want to contain China — they have too much in common, writes @tumarov.bsky.social.
Central Asia’s “frankly bonkers” March heatwave, which saw temperatures up to 10C above pre-industrial levels, was intensified by climate change, according to new research published as countries around the world suffer exceptional spring weather.
www.ft.com/content/164a...
www.ft.com/content/164a...
April 5, 2025 at 2:18 PM
Central Asia’s “frankly bonkers” March heatwave, which saw temperatures up to 10C above pre-industrial levels, was intensified by climate change, according to new research published as countries around the world suffer exceptional spring weather.
www.ft.com/content/164a...
www.ft.com/content/164a...
In my hometown, Samarkand, the EU & Central Asian countries have kicked off their 1st-ever high-level summit as the bloc eyes new trade & infrastructure investments while aiming to significantly elevate Brussels’ ties w/ the region.
www.rferl.org/a/eu-central...
www.rferl.org/a/eu-central...
April 3, 2025 at 8:59 AM
In my hometown, Samarkand, the EU & Central Asian countries have kicked off their 1st-ever high-level summit as the bloc eyes new trade & infrastructure investments while aiming to significantly elevate Brussels’ ties w/ the region.
www.rferl.org/a/eu-central...
www.rferl.org/a/eu-central...
If you missed our conversation about China's investment strategy in Central Asia with Nargiza Murataliyeva, Pan Yanliang, and Yunis Sharifli, you can watch the recording on
@carnegieendowment.org's YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/live/vWZVWAm...
@carnegieendowment.org's YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/live/vWZVWAm...
March 27, 2025 at 3:41 PM
If you missed our conversation about China's investment strategy in Central Asia with Nargiza Murataliyeva, Pan Yanliang, and Yunis Sharifli, you can watch the recording on
@carnegieendowment.org's YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/live/vWZVWAm...
@carnegieendowment.org's YouTube channel: www.youtube.com/live/vWZVWAm...