Sam Ro
@tker.co
Editor of TKer.co | Chief evangelist of the stock market usually going up 📈
Pinned
SPECIAL EDITION: TKer's 4th year reminded us what drives the stock market 📈🎂
TKer Stock Market Truth No. 5 was very relevant 📜
www.tker.co
SPECIAL EDITION: TKer's 4th year reminded us what drives the stock market 📈🎂 www.tker.co/p/tker-year-...
Goldman Sachs reminds us that the next decade of stock market returns is hard to predict 😵💫 www.tker.co/p/goldman-sa...
Goldman Sachs reminds us that the next decade of stock market returns is hard to predict 😵💫
One of Wall Street's most revered firms takes another stab at a long-term forecast 🔭
www.tker.co
November 13, 2025 at 4:34 PM
Goldman Sachs reminds us that the next decade of stock market returns is hard to predict 😵💫 www.tker.co/p/goldman-sa...
📉Private U.S. employers shed 11,250 jobs in the four weeks ending Oct. 25, according to payroll processor ADP.
For more on what the private data providers are saying about jobs, see below
For more on what the private data providers are saying about jobs, see below
November 11, 2025 at 2:10 PM
📉Private U.S. employers shed 11,250 jobs in the four weeks ending Oct. 25, according to payroll processor ADP.
For more on what the private data providers are saying about jobs, see below
For more on what the private data providers are saying about jobs, see below
It's 2026 outlook season!
📈UBS: "Base case, we see the S&P500 rising to 7,500 in ‘26 driven by ~14% earnings growth, nearly half of that from Tech. The contribution from valuation is likely to be a small negative."
📈UBS: "Base case, we see the S&P500 rising to 7,500 in ‘26 driven by ~14% earnings growth, nearly half of that from Tech. The contribution from valuation is likely to be a small negative."
November 10, 2025 at 1:39 PM
It's 2026 outlook season!
📈UBS: "Base case, we see the S&P500 rising to 7,500 in ‘26 driven by ~14% earnings growth, nearly half of that from Tech. The contribution from valuation is likely to be a small negative."
📈UBS: "Base case, we see the S&P500 rising to 7,500 in ‘26 driven by ~14% earnings growth, nearly half of that from Tech. The contribution from valuation is likely to be a small negative."
Roundup of shutdown commentary from the earnings calls, via FactSet advantage.factset.com/hubfs/Websit...
November 9, 2025 at 2:45 PM
Roundup of shutdown commentary from the earnings calls, via FactSet advantage.factset.com/hubfs/Websit...
No official jobs data, but the unofficial data is unambiguously discouraging 💼 www.tker.co/p/alternativ...
No official jobs data, but the unofficial data is unambiguously discouraging 💼
Plus a charted review of the macro crosscurrents 🔀
www.tker.co
November 9, 2025 at 12:37 PM
No official jobs data, but the unofficial data is unambiguously discouraging 💼 www.tker.co/p/alternativ...
The economy may not be working for everyone right now, but it’s at least working for stock market investors 🎭 www.tker.co/p/consumer-s...
The economy isn't working for everyone, but it is for stock market investors 🎭
We're gonna hear more about the K-shaped economic narrative 🔀
www.tker.co
November 7, 2025 at 8:56 PM
The economy may not be working for everyone right now, but it’s at least working for stock market investors 🎭 www.tker.co/p/consumer-s...
University of Michigan notes consumer sentiment fell in October and was "widespread throughout the population."
Except for one key demographic:
Except for one key demographic:
November 7, 2025 at 3:17 PM
University of Michigan notes consumer sentiment fell in October and was "widespread throughout the population."
Except for one key demographic:
Except for one key demographic:
Reposted by Sam Ro
Apple segment revenue vs other companies' total revenue, via Ben Carlson awealthofcommonsense.com/2025/11/is-n...
November 7, 2025 at 2:22 PM
Apple segment revenue vs other companies' total revenue, via Ben Carlson awealthofcommonsense.com/2025/11/is-n...
Goldman Sachs' and Morgan Stanley's CEOs said what? 🗣️ www.tker.co/p/goldman-sa...
Goldman Sachs' and Morgan Stanley's CEOs said what? 🗣️
What to make of the same alarming headline you're reading everywhere 🙋🏻♂️
www.tker.co
November 4, 2025 at 3:41 PM
Goldman Sachs' and Morgan Stanley's CEOs said what? 🗣️ www.tker.co/p/goldman-sa...
Here’s what I wrote about when people warn of 10-15% drawdowns
My definition of 'bearish' is different from yours 🧸 www.tker.co/p/defining-b...
My definition of 'bearish' is different from yours 🧸
Plus a charted review of the macro crosscurrents 🔀
www.tker.co
November 4, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Here’s what I wrote about when people warn of 10-15% drawdowns
The delay in SNAP benefits represents a 'sizable risk' 🛒 www.tker.co/p/government...
The delay in SNAP benefits represents a 'sizable risk' 🛒
A lot of people doing their best to make ends meet could get hit by a benefits interruption.
www.tker.co
November 3, 2025 at 5:40 PM
The delay in SNAP benefits represents a 'sizable risk' 🛒 www.tker.co/p/government...
What happened after the last time the S&P 500's forward P/E was this high 🤔 www.tker.co/p/sp-500-for...
What happened after the last time the S&P 500's forward P/E was this high 🤔
Plus a charted review of the macro crosscurrents 🔀
www.tker.co
November 2, 2025 at 1:12 PM
What happened after the last time the S&P 500's forward P/E was this high 🤔 www.tker.co/p/sp-500-for...
Reposted by Sam Ro
"The $8 billion paid in monthly SNAP benefits represents around 10% of retail grocery sales..." - RBC www.rbc.com/en/thought-l...
October 30, 2025 at 9:35 PM
"The $8 billion paid in monthly SNAP benefits represents around 10% of retail grocery sales..." - RBC www.rbc.com/en/thought-l...
Reposted by Sam Ro
Breaking: The Trump administration must tap emergency funds for SNAP benefits, a federal judge ruled.
Judge Orders U.S. to Tap Emergency Funds for SNAP Benefits
The federal food assistance program used by millions of Americans was set to suspend payments on Nov. 1 because of the shutdown.
on.wsj.com
October 31, 2025 at 6:42 PM
Breaking: The Trump administration must tap emergency funds for SNAP benefits, a federal judge ruled.
Reposted by Sam Ro
Reuters: US JUDGE RULES TRUMP ADMINISTRATION'S PLAN TO SUSPEND SNAP FOOD AID BENEFITS DURING SHUTDOWN IS LIKELY UNLAWFUL
October 31, 2025 at 5:55 PM
Reuters: US JUDGE RULES TRUMP ADMINISTRATION'S PLAN TO SUSPEND SNAP FOOD AID BENEFITS DURING SHUTDOWN IS LIKELY UNLAWFUL
"The $8 billion paid in monthly SNAP benefits represents around 10% of retail grocery sales..." - RBC www.rbc.com/en/thought-l...
October 30, 2025 at 9:35 PM
"The $8 billion paid in monthly SNAP benefits represents around 10% of retail grocery sales..." - RBC www.rbc.com/en/thought-l...
From Goldman Sachs' survey of their investment bankers (22 partners, 49 MDs, and 34 VPs)
"... AI has so far been more used to increase productivity and revenue (47%) than to cut costs (20%). Furthermore, our survey suggests that only 11% of US companies are actively reducing headcount due to AI..."
"... AI has so far been more used to increase productivity and revenue (47%) than to cut costs (20%). Furthermore, our survey suggests that only 11% of US companies are actively reducing headcount due to AI..."
October 30, 2025 at 4:54 PM
From Goldman Sachs' survey of their investment bankers (22 partners, 49 MDs, and 34 VPs)
"... AI has so far been more used to increase productivity and revenue (47%) than to cut costs (20%). Furthermore, our survey suggests that only 11% of US companies are actively reducing headcount due to AI..."
"... AI has so far been more used to increase productivity and revenue (47%) than to cut costs (20%). Furthermore, our survey suggests that only 11% of US companies are actively reducing headcount due to AI..."