Sam Ro
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tker.co
Sam Ro
@tker.co
Editor of TKer.co | Chief evangelist of the stock market usually going up 📈
"Lower-income households have the highest share and largest increase of households living paycheck to paycheck" - BofA
November 11, 2025 at 2:53 PM
"...we expect official nonfarm payrolls to show a 50k decline in October." - Goldman
November 11, 2025 at 2:16 PM
📉Private U.S. employers shed 11,250 jobs in the four weeks ending Oct. 25, according to payroll processor ADP.

For more on what the private data providers are saying about jobs, see below
November 11, 2025 at 2:10 PM
Roundup of shutdown commentary from the earnings calls, via FactSet advantage.factset.com/hubfs/Websit...
November 9, 2025 at 2:45 PM
University of Michigan notes consumer sentiment fell in October and was "widespread throughout the population."

Except for one key demographic:
November 7, 2025 at 3:17 PM
S&P 500 index price & US President Trump approval rating - BofA
November 7, 2025 at 2:53 PM
Apple segment revenue vs other companies' total revenue, via Ben Carlson awealthofcommonsense.com/2025/11/is-n...
November 7, 2025 at 2:22 PM
No official jobs report today. But the alternative measures released this week weren't great
November 7, 2025 at 12:16 PM
Independent / Local restaurants are outperforming Chains - BofA
November 4, 2025 at 2:19 PM
Lending to nondepository financial institutions has grown as a share of total lending - GS
October 31, 2025 at 9:39 PM
"S&P 500 Reporting Double-Digit Earnings Growth for 4th Straight Quarter" - FactSet
October 31, 2025 at 5:54 PM
"The $8 billion paid in monthly SNAP benefits represents around 10% of retail grocery sales..." - RBC www.rbc.com/en/thought-l...
October 30, 2025 at 9:35 PM
From Goldman Sachs' survey of their investment bankers (22 partners, 49 MDs, and 34 VPs)

"... AI has so far been more used to increase productivity and revenue (47%) than to cut costs (20%). Furthermore, our survey suggests that only 11% of US companies are actively reducing headcount due to AI..."
October 30, 2025 at 4:54 PM
Meme stock trading isn't exactly new. You shoulda seen the action in the subprime lenders, Fannie/Freddie, Lehman, GM, and a bunch of other tickers ending in Q during the financial crisis.
October 30, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Fed cuts rates 25 bps.

Miran dissented, preferred 50 bps cut.

Schmid dissented, preferred no cut.
October 29, 2025 at 6:10 PM
"US childcare costs are rising 1.5 times faster than overall inflation" - BofA
October 28, 2025 at 4:14 PM
Job Seeker Interest in Holiday Jobs Surges - Indeed www.hiringlab.org/2025/10/16/j...
October 17, 2025 at 6:39 PM
It’s the 17th anniversary of Warren Buffett’s op-ed during the financial crisis.

The S&P 500 fell another 26% before bottoming. www.tker.co/p/warren-buf...
October 16, 2025 at 3:07 PM
FRED Adds New Work-from-Home Data news.research.stlouisfed.org/2025/08/fred...
October 15, 2025 at 2:21 PM
The charts on the left are from Aug. The charts on the right are from Sunday.

I need to read this more carefully, but it sounds like consumers will be absorbing a smaller share of tariff costs than Goldman previously estimated
October 13, 2025 at 6:10 PM
quarterly earnings estimates get revised lower, and then companies beat those estimates
October 13, 2025 at 3:13 PM
one of the all-time great stats via Bespoke. only owning on days after down days smokes only owning on days after up days
October 13, 2025 at 1:43 PM
"Vinyl Surpasses Stucco as Most Used Principal Exterior Wall Material" - NAHB
October 10, 2025 at 3:11 PM
"Since Converging in May 2025, Sentiment Lifted for Consumers with Large Stock Holdings and Fell for Non-Stockholders" - U Mich October Surveys of Consumers
October 10, 2025 at 2:50 PM
AI Ecosystem Capital Flows - Morgan Stanley
October 8, 2025 at 1:30 PM