Tim Allinger
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timallinger.bsky.social
Tim Allinger
@timallinger.bsky.social
Incoming Postdoctoral Researcher, University of Zurich | Political Science | Democratic attitudes & norms, political extremism, and causal inference | He/him
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Just published in @bjpols.bsky.social: @sergipardos.bsky.social and I show that inter-regional moves in pursuit of employment security reduce individual worries about immigration—a mobility pattern that, in the aggregate, reinforces spatial polarization in anti-immigration sentiment. cup.org/3XiB6yD
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
How do contemporary challenges of backsliding and war interact? We show that interstate conflict boosts support for undemocratic candidates, especially among Republicans who *do not prefer democratic Rs over undemocratic Rs* during interstate conflict.

Out in @bjpols.bsky.social with Lasse Laustsen
NEW -

Interstate Conflict Increases the Appeal of Undemocratic Candidates - https://cup.org/3Lx7bjx

"undemocratic candidates are evaluated more positively under conflict compared to peace"

- @kristianvsf.bsky.social & Lasse Laustsen

#OpenAccess
October 28, 2025 at 9:46 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 New article out!

“Right-Wing Terror, Media Backlash, and Voting Preferences for the Far Right” in @bjpols.bsky.social

👉 doi.org/10.1017/S000...

We (Alex De Juan, @juvoss.bsky.social & I) examine how right-wing attacks shape support for the far-right in Germany.

Short summary thread below 👇
October 22, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
New paper out with @dasalgon.bsky.social: “Far-Right Agenda Setting: How the Far Right influences the Political Mainstream” doi.org/10.1017/S1475676525100066 #openaccess in @ejprjournal.bsky.social🧵
October 7, 2025 at 7:14 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Glad to see this out at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! I show that the immigration-crime issue, when salient, can shift leftist cosmopolitans to the Right. This is due to leftist voters being more conservative on crime than leftist parties.

onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
American Journal of Political Science | MPSA Journal | Wiley Online Library
Concern that immigration worsens crime problems is prevalent across Western publics. How does it shape electoral politics? Prior research asserted a growing left–right divide in immigration attitudes...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
September 30, 2025 at 4:44 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 New paper in @thejop.bsky.social

Why do politicians often misperceive what citizens' policy positions are?

@simonotjes.bsky.social and I study ~10,000 estimates of public opinion by politicians in Denmark & the Netherlands to uncover the sources of these (mis)perceptions

Thread 🧵1/10
September 29, 2025 at 7:18 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
NEW -

How Mainstream Politicians Erode Norms - cup.org/4lfeHvD

"we find that statements by mainstream politicians lead to more norm erosion than similar statements by radical-right politicians"

- @valentimvicente.bsky.social, Elias Dinas & @dziblatt.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
August 11, 2025 at 8:45 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
NEW -

Media Platforming and the Normalisation of Extreme Right Views - cup.org/4mmVIAL

"exposure to uncritical interviews increases agreement with extreme statements and perceptions of broader support in the population"

- @dianebolet.bsky.social & @florianfoos.bsky.social

#OpenAccess
August 12, 2025 at 9:05 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 working paper (w. @morganlcj.bsky.social @markuswagner.bsky.social): Protesters are not judged equally - even if tactics of groups are similar.

We ran an experiment in 🇩🇪 testing how people react to farmers vs. climate activists blocking roads.

What we find is disturbing:

osf.io/preprints/os...
May 16, 2025 at 12:59 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 My first publication, co-authored with Sylvia Kritzinger & Susanna Bastaroli, is out! In our chapter, we explore how Italians re-elaborate their country’s role in the WWII & the Holocaust.

Available online & in print (EN): www.wallstein-verlag.de/978383535866...

🧵 Some key findings: 👇
May 15, 2025 at 7:00 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🛎️New WP with @morganlcj.bsky.social @timallinger.bsky.social and @danbischof.bsky.social

Against the surge of conjoints and other hypothetical experiments in relation to democratic backsliding, we study the consequences of using hypotheticals versus real-world scenarios.

osf.io/preprints/os...
May 14, 2025 at 10:06 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
I am very excited to share a new working paper coauthored with @amaliaab.bsky.social.

Using a field experiment, we find that, in the real world, it is more costly to express far-right preferences than other political preferences.

osf.io/preprints/os...

1/8
May 9, 2025 at 3:39 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Does Mainstream Populism Work❓

I answer this question in a new paper officially out at @psrm.bsky.social

Check out the paper here: doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

Key take-aways in the thread below 🧵⬇️:
March 25, 2025 at 12:30 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Now available Open Access:

📰 Does (immigration) framing influence public opinion?

🧵

www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
The Impact of Media Framing in Complex Information Environments
To what extent do news frames influence public opinion? While a large body of experimental research suggests sizable effects, it is unclear how these findings translate to authentically complex inf...
www.tandfonline.com
February 9, 2025 at 3:19 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
You wonder how the CDU/CSU playing with the "Brandmauer" to AfD last week has influenced German voters? @mafaldapratas.bsky.social @jmfernandes86.bsky.social & I have you covered. We surveyed sample of 2,000 German voters. 🧵with first results 👇. Spoiler: It did not go down as well as CDU/CSU hoped.
Deutscher Bundestag - Unionsgesetz zur Zustrom­begrenzung mit knapper Mehr­heit abgelehnt
Der Bundestag hat das sogenannte Zustrombegrenzungsgesetz der CDU/CSU-Fraktion (20/12804) mit knapper Mehrheit abgelehnt. Gegen die Initiative votierten am Freitag, 31. Januar 2025,...
www.bundestag.de
February 7, 2025 at 8:49 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 Happy to see one of my PhD papers out at JEPOP
📚 I examine whether MPs' attention to local issues in parliamentary activities affects their re-election chances in party-centred contexts

www.tandfonline.com/eprint/G2HVG...

Ungated version here: eavigano.github.io/papers/jepop...
February 4, 2025 at 8:54 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 Out now in @poppublicsphere.bsky.social
: "Citizens' Preferences for Multidimensional Representation". Jack Blumenau, Fabio Wolkenstein & I investigate citizens' preferences regarding 6 dimensions of representation using surveys conducted in 🇬🇧🇺🇸🇩🇪. Short 🧵(1/10) doi.org/10.1017/S15375
January 10, 2025 at 10:20 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
New working paper!

How do protesters' demographics and policy preferences affect politicians' responsiveness to their demands? I find no effects of shared demographics btw. protesters and politicians, but asymmetric responsiveness to left-right policy preferences: gupea.ub.gu.se/handle/2077/...
Asymmetric Responsiveness: The Effects of Protesters’ Demographics and Policy Preferences on the Political Agenda
gupea.ub.gu.se
December 18, 2024 at 7:55 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 New @apsrjournal.bsky.social Paper! 🚨
In “When Migrants Mobilize against Labor Exploitation: Evidence from the Italian Farmlands,” I study how empowering undocumented migrants can reduce labor exploitation and even weaken organized crime.

Thread : 🧵
December 11, 2024 at 6:04 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
The super election year is ending, with many winners and losers.

Our new @thejop.bsky.social paper, (@henrikseeberg.bsky.social, @martinbaekgaard.bsky.social ) asks: How do winning and losing candidates see elections?

Spoiler: Losers are more concerned about fairness.
Link: doi.org/10.1086/734240
December 11, 2024 at 12:10 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Thrilled that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social! 🎉 The article argues that low statistical power is a major impediment to acquiring cumulative knowledge on questions concerning cross-national differences: www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data? | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
What Can We Learn about the Effects of Democracy Using Cross-National Data?
www.cambridge.org
December 10, 2024 at 11:13 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
🚨 PUBLICATION ALERT 🚨
Excited to share that my article has just been published at @apsrjournal.bsky.social!

It examines voter responses to mainstream party legitimization of (former) pariah parties.

A thread 👇1/n...
doi.org/10.1017/S000...
Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond | American Political Science Review | Cambridge Core
Legitimize or Delegitimize? Mainstream Party Strategy toward (Former) Pariah Parties and How Voters Respond
doi.org
December 10, 2024 at 12:53 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
Join our team! 🚨

We are hiring 2 postdocs for the new Advertising Democracy project at Aarhus University.

We are looking for researchers who are passionate about advertisements & citizens’ democratic values in Western democracies.

Feel free to share!👇🏾

bss.au.dk/en/about-aar...
Postdoctoral positions in Political Science at Aarhus University – Advertising Democracy - Vacancy at Aarhus University
Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University
bss.au.dk
December 3, 2024 at 9:07 AM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
We now have a preprint!🥳

If you’re interested in understanding why radical voters’ satisfaction with democracy decreases even when they make an electoral breakthrough, we have a mixed-method paper for you with @canalejoalvaro.bsky.social
Here is our draft: osf.io/7bfka 👀
🚨 Working paper alert! 🚨

Why does radical party entry reduce its voters' satisfaction with democracy (SWD)?

In a new preprint with @morganlcj.bsky.social, we argue this is because of the downstream effect of a disliked party win, and provide evidence consistent with our argument.

polsky
January 12, 2024 at 12:28 PM
Reposted by Tim Allinger
It is super tough to cut down about 40% of 482 submissions for the EPSA behavior section. But I've finished the first evaluations.

Some thoughts, if you are interested:
January 11, 2024 at 5:51 PM