Tiago Peixoto
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tiago.skewed.de
Tiago Peixoto
@tiago.skewed.de
Statistical mechanic, secular Bayesian.

Prof. of Complex Systems and Network Science @ IT:U, Austria

Head of the “Inverse Complexity Lab”.
@invcomplexity.skewed.de

https://skewed.de/lab
Pinned
Double feature, just out on @royalsocietypublishing.org:

"Uncertainty quantification and posterior sampling for network reconstruction"

Previous explainer thread here: bsky.app/profile/tiag...

Code here: graph-tool.skewed.de/static/docs/...

royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/...
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
A satisfying read! I must concede that I am fairly ignorant of the broader causal literature, and am a priori particularly suggestible to the claims herein.

arxiv.org/abs/2512.23408
'Probabilistic Modelling is Sufficient for Causal Inference'
- Bruno Mlodozeniec, David Krueger, Richard E. Turner
Probabilistic Modelling is Sufficient for Causal Inference
Causal inference is a key research area in machine learning, yet confusion reigns over the tools needed to tackle it. There are prevalent claims in the machine learning literature that you need a besp...
arxiv.org
December 30, 2025 at 4:15 PM
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
I think Africa's top museums should acquire all treasures from the Louvre, its clear European institutes like this just aren't up to safeguarding European art

www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
The Louvre is the pride of France – and it’s on the verge of collapse. Can we rescue it in time? | Agnès Poirier
From a jewel heist to crumbling galleries, it’s been a dire year for the world’s most visited museum. At least France has woken up to its predicament, says political commentator Agnès Poirier
www.theguardian.com
December 30, 2025 at 9:11 AM
I, for one, would welcome the demise of copyright law — if applied consistently!

No more DRM, anti-circumvention barriers, etc. We could own our devices again.

But alas, they will argue it should only apply to LLMs or some other nefarious nonsense.
“I just don’t know how you go around, asking everyone first. I just don’t see how that would work.”

From May 2025: www.theverge.com/news/674366/...
December 30, 2025 at 6:36 AM
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
I dunno Nick; why don't you ask the FBI, who used to track down and threaten teenagers with federal prison time for torrenting Metallica or copying a VHS tape?
“I just don’t know how you go around, asking everyone first. I just don’t see how that would work.”

From May 2025: www.theverge.com/news/674366/...
December 30, 2025 at 3:42 AM
TIL that ISBNs have a checksum digit!

DOIs can be checked by querying them — but a checksum would have been more lightweight.

A tool for automating such checks would be nice for peer review/editing in the LLM age: Confabulated citation? Instant reject!

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ISBN#Ch...
ISBN - Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org
December 29, 2025 at 5:32 PM
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
another robot highlight for 2025: man wearing humanoid mocap suit kicks himself in the balls
December 27, 2025 at 5:27 PM
So it seems this is actually a refinement of a previous research that won the ignobel in 2005: improbable.com/2020/07/03/p...
December 27, 2025 at 11:00 AM
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
Fuck you people. Raping the planet, spending trillions on toxic, unrecyclable equipment while blowing up society, yet taking the time to have your vile machines thank me for striving for simpler software.

Just fuck you. Fuck you all.

I can't remember the last time I was this angry.
December 25, 2025 at 11:25 PM
Risky click, but surprisingly wholesome content. They were clearly baiting an ignobel though...
December 27, 2025 at 8:18 AM
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
“The main way the genocide has been actively supported by our democracies is less the flow of weapons and intelligence to Israel, than the organised repression and punishment of everyone who dared to call attention to events in Gaza or offer criticism of Israel’s conduct.”
— Bruno Maçães
December 26, 2025 at 9:10 AM
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
chants against the most evil military institution provokes legal investigation while Israel kills Palestinians everyday
December 23, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
December 20, 2025 at 7:19 PM
To be honest, this is actually a plus. Nothing of substance has really changed in american foreign policy, only the veil is lifted.
"I miss the craftsmanship of the Bush years, you know? George W. Bush and his team didn’t just point to Iraq and go 'I wanna!' like a toddler about to throw a tantrum. They WORKED to get all those soldiers and civilians killed."
Whatever Happened to the Art of Brainwashing America Before Plunging It into an Unnecessary War?
“President Donald Trump on Wednesday assailed his White House predecessors for not pushing back against Venezuela earlier and stated that his inten...
buff.ly
December 19, 2025 at 3:00 PM
Public service announcement: this @firefox.com extension seems to work as intended: addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefo...

If anyone knows of a similar workaround for google search on android, please let me know.
Hide Google AI Overviews – Get this Extension for 🦊 Firefox (en-US)
Download Hide Google AI Overviews for Firefox. Hide annoying Google AI Overviews.
addons.mozilla.org
December 19, 2025 at 7:55 AM
Human beings are the only animals on earth with the capacity and willingness to troll. And it can be glorious.
Submitting a grant you’re not eligible to get
December 18, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Contrary to what is often assumed, most (but not all) technological improvements have been bringing *diminishing* returns since the industrial revolution. E.g. the internet and mobile phones brought important changes, but not as much as the printed press, hand washing, and vaccination.
I feel like people aren't taking about this enough. Yes, we've massively invested in other infrastructure before, but the potential value in those investments was much clearer (e.g. moving energy, good, and information around more easily).

fortune.com/2025/08/06/d...
December 17, 2025 at 8:15 AM
I caught myself vaguely hoping for a better 2026, but then I remembered there will be a world cup...
December 15, 2025 at 6:00 AM
Speechless.
First trailer for Andy Serkis’ ‘ANIMAL FARM’ has dropped.

In theaters May 1.

#AnimalFarm #AndySerkis
December 13, 2025 at 7:29 AM
Very depressing read. I really like telling people about the cases in Oliver Sacks' books, which I have always found fascinating. Knowing that it might be embellished is such a huge spoiler.

www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
Oliver Sacks Put Himself Into His Case Studies. What Was the Cost?
The scientist was famous for linking healing with storytelling. Sometimes that meant reshaping patients’ reality.
www.newyorker.com
December 12, 2025 at 9:56 PM
Double blind proponents are blind themselves.
I don’t really understand the push for double blind peer review in an era where preprints are very common. I get asked to review so many papers at double blind-only journals where I already know the authors anyway bc I’ve seen the preprint.
Thoughts?
December 12, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Can people organizing academic conferences in the US please get a grip?
NEW: Five years of social media history is only a fraction of what the US Government will shortly demand of overseas visitors.

The full requirements will end tourism in the United States.

Below is the full, mind-blowing list.

🚨THEY. WANT. YOUR. DNA.🚨

1/
December 12, 2025 at 5:14 PM
Reposted by Tiago Peixoto
🚨 Come join @ceu-dnds.bsky.social as an 𝗔𝘀𝘀𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗮𝗻𝘁 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗲𝘀𝘀𝗼𝗿! 🚨

We are looking for a young and coming researcher in 𝗻𝗲𝘁𝘄𝗼𝗿𝗸 𝘀𝗰𝗶𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲 and 𝗰𝗼𝗺𝗽𝘂𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝘀𝗼𝗰𝗶𝗮𝗹 𝘀𝗰𝗶𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗲.

If that sounds like you (or someone you know), check out the call & apply (or share the link):

careers.ceu.edu/job/Vienna-A...
Assistant Professor (f/m/d)
Assistant Professor (f/m/d)
careers.ceu.edu
December 11, 2025 at 9:53 AM
Hypocrisy knows no bounds.
Was darf Satire?
December 10, 2025 at 12:52 PM
Can't get over the fact that in the ML literature the act of *sampling* from an inferred model is now called “inference.”

We really are in the worst timeline.
December 8, 2025 at 8:00 PM