The FPL Kiwi
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thefplkiwi.bsky.social
The FPL Kiwi
@thefplkiwi.bsky.social
Former member of the analytic illuminati, FPL-modelling 🥝 //
Peaked in 21/22 1.8k, MD 61st //
25/26 AE100 qualifier, ID 404
TC Haaland 48pts
Rest of team 5pts 👏🥝
September 27, 2025 at 4:12 PM
Whoever is trying to DM me I haven't bothered to verify my age so I can't see it 🙃🥝
September 23, 2025 at 3:07 PM
September 14, 2025 at 3:14 PM
Reposted by The FPL Kiwi
Just a reminder to check for your name in this list of books that OpenAI trained from. If your name is there, they probably owe you several thousand dollars.

OpenAI cried that if everyone eligible author files, the company will go bankrupt, so I'm alerting every author I have ever spoken to.
Search LibGen, the Pirated-Books Database That Meta Used to Train AI
Millions of books and scientific papers are captured in the collection’s current iteration.
www.theatlantic.com
September 6, 2025 at 6:31 AM
Didn't think "Salah is inevitable" could get even more extreme this week 😂🥝
August 25, 2025 at 9:19 PM
Glad I have a strong bench 💪🥝
August 23, 2025 at 3:37 PM
Palmer out and Pedro on fire...

Grass is truly cooking this week 🍳🥝
August 22, 2025 at 7:30 PM
August 19, 2025 at 11:26 AM
Planning for tomorrow by unleashing my inner artist 🥝
August 14, 2025 at 7:56 PM
6 person auction-style draft, 100m budget, bid in increments of 1m.

How much would you have bid for these players? 🤔
August 4, 2025 at 9:48 PM
One of my mates just casually mentioned xMins in conversation and long story short I think I might be cooked this year 🥝
August 4, 2025 at 4:44 PM
That's all the thinking I'm willing to do for a few weeks 🥝
July 21, 2025 at 12:35 PM
Not a fan of the new @officialfpl.bsky.social website - seems way clunkier than it used to be on mobile. Don't want to be forced to use the app although I imagine it's similar anyway 🙃🥝

ID not found
July 21, 2025 at 11:44 AM
PL transfer odds to fight the boredom 🥝:

65% Šeško → ARS
57% Cherki → MCI
54% Rashford → FCB
41% Ekitike → LIV
41% Kelleher → BRE
35% Gyökeres → ARS
32% Romero → ATM
30% Fernandes → Saudi
30% Nuñez → ATM
30% Garnacho → NAP
25% Højlund → INT
24% Mbeumo → MUN/NEW
20% Grealish → NAP
20% Martínez → ATM
a 20 dollar bill is laying on top of a 20 dollar bill
Alt: GIF of a cash machine dispensing many twenty dollar bills.
media.tenor.com
May 30, 2025 at 3:12 PM
Seems like this is rare so here's a quick thread on:
- How I think about captaincy decisions near the end of the season
- How I came to consider Palmer specifically
- What swayed me to put the armband on him
- What factors to look for to up your game and take appropriate risks 💪🥝...
May 2, 2025 at 8:50 PM
April 27, 2025 at 5:51 PM
Somehow holding on to top 1k @fplreview.com EV (xMins) rank despite running at 8.6th percentile team value (100.7) within the Elite1k.

Let's see if I can hold on through chip season and poison the Elite1k well for another year 🤞🥝
April 9, 2025 at 8:00 PM
Ordinarily would say I'm cooked (60pts behind in ML). However ML leader also went Gabriel no Saka and wildcarded into fewer than half of the same players as me - so I can still dream 🙏🥺🥝
Had a look at a few permutations throughout the day - main structural decision on my budget was Saka or not. I think this is slightly more robust with the option to bring Saka in later, and not fully committed to a particular chip strategy.

Last minute choices were Ederson and no Saka 🤔🥝.
April 1, 2025 at 10:09 PM
WC30... Feels like home 🥰🥝
April 1, 2025 at 7:22 PM
Successfully distracted me from Salah for a couple hours 🔦🥝
February 26, 2025 at 10:18 PM
Think that makes up for Palmer captaincy miss (this is my work league) 📈🥝

(website is @fplgameweek.com)
February 25, 2025 at 10:41 PM
Liverpool quadruple odds:
0%

😭🥝
February 9, 2025 at 6:51 PM
Back from the Philippines, so I can access betfair again for Liverpool quadruple odds (change from last) 🔴🎲🥝:

Prem 77.0-79.4% (-0.9%)
EFL Cup 41.7-43.5% (+6.2%)
FA Cup 16.8-18.1% (+3.8%)
UCL 14.7-16.1% (-2.6%)

Implied independent quadruple odds 0.79-1.01% (+0.19%)

Actual best odds 66/1 ≈ 1.49%
Starting off 2025 right with Liverpool quadruple odds 🔴🎲🥝:

Premier League 78.1-80.0%
League Cup 63.5-63.6%
Champions League 17.6-18.4%
FA Cup 13.1-14.2%

Implied quadruple odds if independent 1.1-1.3%

Actual best quadruple odds: 80/1 or ≈1.25%
January 23, 2025 at 1:23 PM
Starting off 2025 right with Liverpool quadruple odds 🔴🎲🥝:

Premier League 78.1-80.0%
League Cup 63.5-63.6%
Champions League 17.6-18.4%
FA Cup 13.1-14.2%

Implied quadruple odds if independent 1.1-1.3%

Actual best quadruple odds: 80/1 or ≈1.25%
January 2, 2025 at 12:21 AM
Reposted by The FPL Kiwi
#FPL My thoughts and feelings on the new shiny Assistant Manager chip. It's intriguing to have a new challenge, but I find it annoying.

1️⃣ It requires a new slot in our "Knapsack problem" of 15 players, taking ITB and 3-player limits into account. Decision-making just got unnecessarily harder.
December 11, 2024 at 4:20 PM