Sertalp B. Çay
@sertalpbilal.com
Co-founder and Chair of @solioanalytics.com
Principal Operations Research Specialist at SAS Institute.
Optimization and sports analytics enthusiast
https://sertalpbilal.com
https://solioanalytics.com
Principal Operations Research Specialist at SAS Institute.
Optimization and sports analytics enthusiast
https://sertalpbilal.com
https://solioanalytics.com
#FPL Player baselines and projected minutes are updated on Solio for #GW11 based on press conferences and latest market numbers.
fpl.solioanalytics.com
fpl.solioanalytics.com
November 7, 2025 at 4:08 PM
#FPL Player baselines and projected minutes are updated on Solio for #GW11 based on press conferences and latest market numbers.
fpl.solioanalytics.com
fpl.solioanalytics.com
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
📺 FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss Solio's new "wisdom of the crowd" feature and what we can learn from people's beliefs, as well as the current trend of defenders dominating the FPL points, and some Free Hit planning.
youtu.be/gSr36PyXWHU
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss Solio's new "wisdom of the crowd" feature and what we can learn from people's beliefs, as well as the current trend of defenders dominating the FPL points, and some Free Hit planning.
youtu.be/gSr36PyXWHU
FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
youtu.be
November 5, 2025 at 10:03 AM
📺 FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss Solio's new "wisdom of the crowd" feature and what we can learn from people's beliefs, as well as the current trend of defenders dominating the FPL points, and some Free Hit planning.
youtu.be/gSr36PyXWHU
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss Solio's new "wisdom of the crowd" feature and what we can learn from people's beliefs, as well as the current trend of defenders dominating the FPL points, and some Free Hit planning.
youtu.be/gSr36PyXWHU
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
📊 #FPL Defender DEFCON vs xGC tiers | GW1-9
As requested, a look at which defenders have best balanced:
🛡️ Clean sheet potential (team xGC p90)
🛡️ DEFCON bonus potential (CBIT p90)
Converted using a Poisson-based model to map out equivalent points tiers🤓😅
As requested, a look at which defenders have best balanced:
🛡️ Clean sheet potential (team xGC p90)
🛡️ DEFCON bonus potential (CBIT p90)
Converted using a Poisson-based model to map out equivalent points tiers🤓😅
October 31, 2025 at 11:39 AM
📊 #FPL Defender DEFCON vs xGC tiers | GW1-9
As requested, a look at which defenders have best balanced:
🛡️ Clean sheet potential (team xGC p90)
🛡️ DEFCON bonus potential (CBIT p90)
Converted using a Poisson-based model to map out equivalent points tiers🤓😅
As requested, a look at which defenders have best balanced:
🛡️ Clean sheet potential (team xGC p90)
🛡️ DEFCON bonus potential (CBIT p90)
Converted using a Poisson-based model to map out equivalent points tiers🤓😅
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
📺 GW9 - What's happening with Salah?
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss how we can evaluate Salah and his projections moving forward, as well as a dive into some of the popular midfield and forward options for the upcoming gameweeks.
youtu.be/S2ZWdMRKHCk
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss how we can evaluate Salah and his projections moving forward, as well as a dive into some of the popular midfield and forward options for the upcoming gameweeks.
youtu.be/S2ZWdMRKHCk
FPL Gameweek 9 - What's happening with Salah?
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
youtu.be
October 22, 2025 at 8:43 AM
📺 GW9 - What's happening with Salah?
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss how we can evaluate Salah and his projections moving forward, as well as a dive into some of the popular midfield and forward options for the upcoming gameweeks.
youtu.be/S2ZWdMRKHCk
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss how we can evaluate Salah and his projections moving forward, as well as a dive into some of the popular midfield and forward options for the upcoming gameweeks.
youtu.be/S2ZWdMRKHCk
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW9
Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇
Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇
October 21, 2025 at 4:36 PM
💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW9
Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇
Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
📊 GW6: Solio projected #FPL points and picks
A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇
Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline
A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇
Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline
September 26, 2025 at 6:49 PM
📊 GW6: Solio projected #FPL points and picks
A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇
Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline
A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇
Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
💹📊 Projected team goals and CS odds | GW6–19
From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model
Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!
From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model
Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!
September 24, 2025 at 4:01 PM
💹📊 Projected team goals and CS odds | GW6–19
From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model
Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!
From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model
Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
💹 PL GW6 matchups
A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇
📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season
A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇
📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season
September 23, 2025 at 4:20 PM
💹 PL GW6 matchups
A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇
📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season
A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇
📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
At Tier 3 you get unlimited access to all our features, and you get new ones 4 weeks early. Details below.
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
September 11, 2025 at 5:00 PM
At Tier 3 you get unlimited access to all our features, and you get new ones 4 weeks early. Details below.
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Throughout the day – at 12.00, 3.00, 6.00, and 9.00 PM (UK) – we’ll be revealing the contents of our subscription tiers. First up, the prices (and our season long discount offer below).
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
September 11, 2025 at 8:00 AM
Throughout the day – at 12.00, 3.00, 6.00, and 9.00 PM (UK) – we’ll be revealing the contents of our subscription tiers. First up, the prices (and our season long discount offer below).
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
GW4: Wildcard Active
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss wildcard timing and chip strategy, examining when and why to use your first wildcard of the season.
youtu.be/B8FtDFIjF4g
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss wildcard timing and chip strategy, examining when and why to use your first wildcard of the season.
youtu.be/B8FtDFIjF4g
GW4: Wildcard Active
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
youtu.be
September 10, 2025 at 10:17 AM
GW4: Wildcard Active
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss wildcard timing and chip strategy, examining when and why to use your first wildcard of the season.
youtu.be/B8FtDFIjF4g
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss wildcard timing and chip strategy, examining when and why to use your first wildcard of the season.
youtu.be/B8FtDFIjF4g
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
With Ange Postecoglou set to take over at Forest, we went back to look at some DEFCON data from his Spurs spell
His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇
His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇
September 9, 2025 at 11:00 AM
With Ange Postecoglou set to take over at Forest, we went back to look at some DEFCON data from his Spurs spell
His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇
His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Bruno has split time between deep & advanced midfield roles in Amorim’s 3-4-2-1
We re-scored his Amorim-era #FPL pts with the new DEFCON bonus & compared his data when starting in different roles
So far, not much evidence that he struggles when deeper 👇
We re-scored his Amorim-era #FPL pts with the new DEFCON bonus & compared his data when starting in different roles
So far, not much evidence that he struggles when deeper 👇
September 8, 2025 at 11:22 AM
Bruno has split time between deep & advanced midfield roles in Amorim’s 3-4-2-1
We re-scored his Amorim-era #FPL pts with the new DEFCON bonus & compared his data when starting in different roles
So far, not much evidence that he struggles when deeper 👇
We re-scored his Amorim-era #FPL pts with the new DEFCON bonus & compared his data when starting in different roles
So far, not much evidence that he struggles when deeper 👇
Really fun game to try if you like solving puzzles and chess (and the football theme is a big bonus too!)
Surprise! Our new game is out TODAY! Kickoff League is a daily soccer puzzle game you play in your browser!
Players move like chess pieces, so figure out how the goals in today's soccer match were scored. We've created a virtual league with seasons that run for a month:
kickoffleague.com
Players move like chess pieces, so figure out how the goals in today's soccer match were scored. We've created a virtual league with seasons that run for a month:
kickoffleague.com
Kickoff League: Daily Soccer Puzzle Game
Figure out how the goals in today's soccer match were scored. A new puzzle is available each day.
kickoffleague.com
September 8, 2025 at 3:32 PM
Really fun game to try if you like solving puzzles and chess (and the football theme is a big bonus too!)
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Analytics in FPL 📽️
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com, co-founder of Solio Analytics, for an in-depth discussion about the analytical foundations behind successful Fantasy Premier League strategy.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q4k...
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com, co-founder of Solio Analytics, for an in-depth discussion about the analytical foundations behind successful Fantasy Premier League strategy.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q4k...
Analytics in FPL
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
www.youtube.com
September 5, 2025 at 10:09 AM
Analytics in FPL 📽️
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com, co-founder of Solio Analytics, for an in-depth discussion about the analytical foundations behind successful Fantasy Premier League strategy.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q4k...
@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com, co-founder of Solio Analytics, for an in-depth discussion about the analytical foundations behind successful Fantasy Premier League strategy.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q4k...
August 22, 2025 at 6:34 PM
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio consists of five major building blocks. The second: a stochastic optimiser that works through uncertainty 👇
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
August 21, 2025 at 11:33 AM
Solio consists of five major building blocks. The second: a stochastic optimiser that works through uncertainty 👇
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Solio consists of five major building blocks. The first: stress-testing every scenario 👇
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
August 21, 2025 at 8:13 AM
Solio consists of five major building blocks. The first: stress-testing every scenario 👇
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
Very impressed with @solioanalytics.com. I have a robust irl background in data analytics & this is the most interesting FPL tool I've seen. BUT, you must understand how it works to get real value from it. Congrats to @jonnyc.bsky.social @trout-post.com @pras-fpl.bsky.social @sertalpbilal.com
August 21, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Very impressed with @solioanalytics.com. I have a robust irl background in data analytics & this is the most interesting FPL tool I've seen. BUT, you must understand how it works to get real value from it. Congrats to @jonnyc.bsky.social @trout-post.com @pras-fpl.bsky.social @sertalpbilal.com
We're extending the free trial period of our #FPL tool one more month. 🙌
When subscription options are available, we will have a free tier, too. We encourage you to give a try and let us know what you think ❤️
When subscription options are available, we will have a free tier, too. We encourage you to give a try and let us know what you think ❤️
The reception to our #FPL tool has been incredible and the numbers through the roof. As a thank you, we’re extending the free trial by a month👇
#FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
#FPLCommunity #PremierLeague
August 20, 2025 at 12:56 PM
We're extending the free trial period of our #FPL tool one more month. 🙌
When subscription options are available, we will have a free tier, too. We encourage you to give a try and let us know what you think ❤️
When subscription options are available, we will have a free tier, too. We encourage you to give a try and let us know what you think ❤️
Reposted by Sertalp B. Çay
GW2: What did we learn
@jonnyc.bsky.social is joined by @bakerfpl343.bsky.social to review the key lessons from the first round of fixtures, and discuss early insights into players and teams. They analyse the market odds for GW2 matches, and their transfer plans and strategies
youtu.be/XdM774FQ7Yg
@jonnyc.bsky.social is joined by @bakerfpl343.bsky.social to review the key lessons from the first round of fixtures, and discuss early insights into players and teams. They analyse the market odds for GW2 matches, and their transfer plans and strategies
youtu.be/XdM774FQ7Yg
GW2: What did we learn
YouTube video by Solio Analytics
youtu.be
August 20, 2025 at 10:07 AM
GW2: What did we learn
@jonnyc.bsky.social is joined by @bakerfpl343.bsky.social to review the key lessons from the first round of fixtures, and discuss early insights into players and teams. They analyse the market odds for GW2 matches, and their transfer plans and strategies
youtu.be/XdM774FQ7Yg
@jonnyc.bsky.social is joined by @bakerfpl343.bsky.social to review the key lessons from the first round of fixtures, and discuss early insights into players and teams. They analyse the market odds for GW2 matches, and their transfer plans and strategies
youtu.be/XdM774FQ7Yg
If you are a @solioanalytics.com user, we would LOVE to see you in our mini league. The code is
35soon
fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto...
35soon
fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto...
Fantasy Premier League, Official Fantasy Football Game of the Premier League
Official Fantasy Premier League 2025/26. Free to play fantasy football game, set up your fantasy football team at the Official Premier League site.
fantasy.premierleague.com
August 19, 2025 at 1:05 PM
If you are a @solioanalytics.com user, we would LOVE to see you in our mini league. The code is
35soon
fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto...
35soon
fantasy.premierleague.com/leagues/auto...
Gudmundsson saving my GW wasn't on the bingo card… but he really is that gud!
August 19, 2025 at 12:08 AM
Gudmundsson saving my GW wasn't on the bingo card… but he really is that gud!