Tiago A. Marques
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talom.bsky.social
Tiago A. Marques
@talom.bsky.social
Researcher in ecological statistics, teacher of stats to ecologists, citizen of the world, dog owner & dad. Love and trust science. Intolerant to science deniers. Hate people who hate other people. Worried about climate emergency.
Could not help myself but laughing when I saw what the drop down menu offered me today as suggestions, no doubts based on past choices, regarding personal profile keywords in a journal's reviewer system
April 29, 2025 at 10:08 AM
Not been here for a while, I though I would today to commemorate the 25th of April 1974. If don't know what it represents for Portugal, visit the website that was built to commemorate the 50 years of the revolution (which was last year) which includes lots of information about it:
50anos25abril.pt
Homepage - Comissão Comemorativa 50 Anos 25 Abril
Até 2026 celebramos 50x2, 50 anos de liberdade e de democracia.
50anos25abril.pt
April 25, 2025 at 11:25 AM
March 4, 2025 at 12:43 PM
January 27, 2025 at 8:38 AM
O problema do país parecem ser os imigrantes criminosos, com valores de criminalidade residual, e os deputados do chega, onde a proporção de criminosos ronda os 20% www.publico.pt/2025/01/22/p... não os podemos mandar fazer as malas 😝 e enviar para o país deles? Aí, espera... o pais deles é o nosso.
Quase um quinto dos deputados do Chega teve ou tem problemas na Justiça
Pelo menos nove dos 50 deputados eleitos do Chega já tiveram processos na Justiça. Miguel Arruda é o caso mais recente.
www.publico.pt
January 24, 2025 at 7:02 PM
A cool example of using a model for (multi) species abundances to reconstruct an image (unrelated to species abundances!), by treating the RGB channels as 3 different species. It's remarkable how you can get a good idea about the overall picture just from RGB values on a very small sample of pixels.
spAbundance package (Doser et al. doi.org/10.1111/2041-210X.14332) was published this year at
@methodsinecoevol.bsky.social! It fits a variety of single/multispecies abundance models using Bayesian Inference allowing also for hierarchical frameworks. Let me show you a funny example 🧵👇(1/6) #rstats
January 15, 2025 at 12:59 PM
It is disturbing how a few men are now capable of electing a President in what was once an example of democracy, and worse, that they can silence the "free" press about it without consequences. That seems the theme of the century. No consequences, no accountability open.substack.com/pub/anntelna...
Why I'm quitting the Washington Post
Democracy can't function without a free press
open.substack.com
January 4, 2025 at 7:21 PM
Great diversity. I might be quite marine mammal biased... I'll go with bowhead whale, Commerson's dolphin, polar bear, narwhal and chimpanzee.
What are the 5 most memorable wildlife sightings of your life? I've had some incredible encounters: aardvark, platypus, velvet worms, blue whales, honey badger
January 4, 2025 at 7:01 PM
Warning: look away or you might die of cuteness...
January 4, 2025 at 1:25 PM
Happy 2025 to all. A very funny year, numerically speaking.
2025 = 45² =
(0 + 1 + 2 + 3 + 4 + 5 + 6 + 7 + 8 + 9)² = (0³ + 1³ + 2³ + 3³ + 4³ + 5³ + 6³ + 7³ + 8³ + 9³)
a black background with fireworks and the words happy new year 2025
ALT: a black background with fireworks and the words happy new year 2025
media.tenor.com
December 31, 2024 at 3:55 PM
I had never seen one so obvious, but this is a fungi of the genus Phallus. Suitably named I guess 😁
December 30, 2024 at 10:54 AM
Insightful post from Peter Ellis on the relation between depression levels at the US county level and proportion of Trump voters. Code to gather data + run analysis available. Cool analysis illustrates how logistic regression might severely underestimate precision freerangestats.info/blog/2024/12...
Depression incidence by county and vote for Trump
Multi-level modelling with spatial auto-correlation! I look at county level data on incidence of depression in 2020, and voting for Trump in the 2024 US Presidential election, and conclude that there'...
freerangestats.info
December 26, 2024 at 11:13 AM
Animal movement workshop alert! A line of speakers difficult to beat with John Fieberg, Marie Auger-Méthé, Brett McClintock & Inês Silva and the location is definitely a place that makes you "move" for it: lovely Madeira. 19-23 May 2025. Just after the ECS in Azores. It's PT islands 2025. See you?
Animal movement workshop
marcfer3.wixsite.com
December 23, 2024 at 7:29 PM
Usei o meu primeiro block nesta rede, já me bastou o que tive de aturar no Twitter...
December 23, 2024 at 12:28 AM
Today was the last day of Ecological Modelling classes, I "offered" the students a full day workshop where I would work with them and their final assignment models. Yesterday we had a little get together to celebrate end of term. What a great class. #WorkHardPartyHarder
December 19, 2024 at 7:17 PM
Near-0 probability event: level unlocked. Today I was the external examiner of an MSc dissertation. Drove to a different uni. A car hit me from behind (really far from the uni!). A few chaotic minutes later... the MSc's student boyfriend was the co-pilot, his cousin the driver. What are the odds??
December 18, 2024 at 7:55 PM
Today in class will be talking about GAMMs and impossible not to point the students to this great paper about "Hierarchical generalized additive models in ecology: an introduction with mgcv". Open access too at peerj.com/articles/6876/
Hierarchical generalized additive models in ecology: an introduction with mgcv
In this paper, we discuss an extension to two popular approaches to modeling complex structures in ecological data: the generalized additive model (GAM) and the hierarchical model (HGLM). The hierarch...
peerj.com
December 17, 2024 at 12:50 PM
If you're looking for a gentle introduction to fit linear mixed models with R, with lots of examples, data & code available, here's one below. And not just another paper, just realized this one actually cites a Marvel’s comic book: cool-geek level unlocked :) journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
December 2, 2024 at 10:41 AM
Today is a pleasure to host at our Modelação Ecológica class my former Biostatistics MSc student now full grown researcher Pedro Nicolau about "Statistical ecology and environmental consultancy", based on his personal experience at biodiversity based company Strix
November 27, 2024 at 2:37 PM
Congratulations to my former student Pedro Brandão that perservered to get his MSc thesis published after a couple of years of back and forth with journals: "Trends in fish diversity in Portuguese estuaries in the past decades and predictions in face of global changes" doi.org/10.1016/j.ec...
November 25, 2024 at 11:01 AM
The dream team today at Feira da Matemática at Museu Nacional de História Natural e da Ciência, (yesterday schools and) today helping the general public know how we count wild animals. Thanks Matilde Correia, Miguel Martins and Gabriela Xavier-Quintais, all students of the Biostatistics MSc at FCUL.
November 23, 2024 at 2:20 PM
Today I was at Museu Nacional de História Natural e da Ciência, at Feira da Matemática, with an activity about how to count animals. Highschool kids and as usual some climate change, Dunning-Kruger effect, passive acoustics density estimation, ACCURATE cue rates, distance sampling, capture-recapture
November 22, 2024 at 9:50 PM
Today I was at Escola Secundária Romeu Correia talking to the students about science and the importance of statistics in our lives and how it might be a carreer choice. With quick detours to talk about climate change, the Dunning Krugger effect, critical thinking, estimating animal abundance...
November 21, 2024 at 2:39 PM
Can someone point me to a starter pack on Ecological Statistics, in case there happens to be one?
November 19, 2024 at 1:49 PM
Making my first post here in a long time, but as many others more and more disappointed with twitter each day. How's the environment around here? Are there fundamental things to do/not do here? Any pointers greatly appreciated!
November 17, 2024 at 7:01 PM