Stephen Hoopes
@stephenhoopes.bsky.social
Fantasy football writer and interception prop bets @4for4football.bsky.social. FSWA member. Data scientist. Goeh bherds 🦅
13% of teams in The Gauntlet last year, after the playoff bracket was determined, still could not fill out a full lineup during Super Bowl week. That was for any possible Super Bowl matchup, not just the one that ultimately happened. The rake is 11.1% in comparison.
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
The Ultimate Underdog Playoff Best Ball Guide
Playoff best ball contests are some of my favorites because a lot of our competitors draft dead teams. In last year’s Gauntlet contest, 13% of teams drafted after the playoff bracket was released had ...
www.4for4.com
January 7, 2026 at 8:40 PM
13% of teams in The Gauntlet last year, after the playoff bracket was determined, still could not fill out a full lineup during Super Bowl week. That was for any possible Super Bowl matchup, not just the one that ultimately happened. The rake is 11.1% in comparison.
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
Game preview tables for TB/CAR tomorrow!
January 2, 2026 at 11:15 PM
Game preview tables for TB/CAR tomorrow!
Pass rate over expected (PROE) by team and week. I'm hoping we see the early-season version of the Chargers next year when their offensive line isn't an injured mess. The Lions are usually one of the least volatile teams in the league, but they've been all over the place recently.
January 2, 2026 at 11:03 PM
Pass rate over expected (PROE) by team and week. I'm hoping we see the early-season version of the Chargers next year when their offensive line isn't an injured mess. The Lions are usually one of the least volatile teams in the league, but they've been all over the place recently.
I mute Redzone during every commercial as a matter of principle.
December 28, 2025 at 6:50 PM
I mute Redzone during every commercial as a matter of principle.
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Hoopes There It Is: Week 16 Game Preview is live
Week 15 got ugly — and this time of year we’re hunting ceiling. The key: good offenses + condensed volume (target concentration)
Full game-by-game preview 👇
Week 15 got ugly — and this time of year we’re hunting ceiling. The key: good offenses + condensed volume (target concentration)
Full game-by-game preview 👇
December 17, 2025 at 4:00 PM
Hoopes There It Is: Week 16 Game Preview is live
Week 15 got ugly — and this time of year we’re hunting ceiling. The key: good offenses + condensed volume (target concentration)
Full game-by-game preview 👇
Week 15 got ugly — and this time of year we’re hunting ceiling. The key: good offenses + condensed volume (target concentration)
Full game-by-game preview 👇
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
For the Underdog playoff best ball folks! The best Gauntlet team with 4 or fewer players in the Super Bowl last year finished in 82nd place. The best team without Mahomes/Hurts finished in 113th. 13% of teams could not fill out a full lineup during the Super Bowl.
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
December 12, 2025 at 9:17 PM
For the Underdog playoff best ball folks! The best Gauntlet team with 4 or fewer players in the Super Bowl last year finished in 82nd place. The best team without Mahomes/Hurts finished in 113th. 13% of teams could not fill out a full lineup during the Super Bowl.
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
For the Underdog playoff best ball folks! The best Gauntlet team with 4 or fewer players in the Super Bowl last year finished in 82nd place. The best team without Mahomes/Hurts finished in 113th. 13% of teams could not fill out a full lineup during the Super Bowl.
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
December 12, 2025 at 9:17 PM
For the Underdog playoff best ball folks! The best Gauntlet team with 4 or fewer players in the Super Bowl last year finished in 82nd place. The best team without Mahomes/Hurts finished in 113th. 13% of teams could not fill out a full lineup during the Super Bowl.
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
www.4for4.com/2025/w19/ult...
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Hoopes There It Is: Week 15 Game Preview 🏈
📈 Fantasy playoffs = every lineup call matters
🧠 EPA/play vs plays-per-game chart to frame every matchup
🔍 @stephenhoopes.bsky.social walks through all 16 games so you can sanity-check those start/sit decisions
📈 Fantasy playoffs = every lineup call matters
🧠 EPA/play vs plays-per-game chart to frame every matchup
🔍 @stephenhoopes.bsky.social walks through all 16 games so you can sanity-check those start/sit decisions
December 10, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Hoopes There It Is: Week 15 Game Preview 🏈
📈 Fantasy playoffs = every lineup call matters
🧠 EPA/play vs plays-per-game chart to frame every matchup
🔍 @stephenhoopes.bsky.social walks through all 16 games so you can sanity-check those start/sit decisions
📈 Fantasy playoffs = every lineup call matters
🧠 EPA/play vs plays-per-game chart to frame every matchup
🔍 @stephenhoopes.bsky.social walks through all 16 games so you can sanity-check those start/sit decisions
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Jauan Jennings has 4+ catches in 7 straight games. The last #49ers wide receiver with a longer streak was Anquan Boldin with 9 in a row in 2014
December 10, 2025 at 12:16 AM
Jauan Jennings has 4+ catches in 7 straight games. The last #49ers wide receiver with a longer streak was Anquan Boldin with 9 in a row in 2014
“What this offense really needs is more hitch routes.” - Nick
Schefter: Sirianni more involved in the offense
Schefter: Sirianni more involved in the offense
ESPN's Adam Schefter reports Eagles head coach Nick Sirianni "has been more involved in the offensive preparations this week."
dlvr.it
December 7, 2025 at 1:55 PM
“What this offense really needs is more hitch routes.” - Nick
Another satisfied customer.
December 3, 2025 at 4:07 PM
Another satisfied customer.
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Hoopes There It Is: Week 13 Game Preview 👇
• Chiefs back atop PROE, but the run game is still a problem
• Cards, Cowboys, Bengals, Rams passing volume we want to chase
• A few implied totals that say more than the spreads
• Chiefs back atop PROE, but the run game is still a problem
• Cards, Cowboys, Bengals, Rams passing volume we want to chase
• A few implied totals that say more than the spreads
November 27, 2025 at 2:43 PM
Hoopes There It Is: Week 13 Game Preview 👇
• Chiefs back atop PROE, but the run game is still a problem
• Cards, Cowboys, Bengals, Rams passing volume we want to chase
• A few implied totals that say more than the spreads
• Chiefs back atop PROE, but the run game is still a problem
• Cards, Cowboys, Bengals, Rams passing volume we want to chase
• A few implied totals that say more than the spreads
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Hoopes There It Is: Week 12 Game Preview 🏈
🔥 Trade-deadline angles before Saturday’s Yahoo cutoff
📊 Explosive play data + expected fantasy points for Week 17
🧠 Start/sit leans for every Week 12 matchup
Full breakdown from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social ⬇️
🔥 Trade-deadline angles before Saturday’s Yahoo cutoff
📊 Explosive play data + expected fantasy points for Week 17
🧠 Start/sit leans for every Week 12 matchup
Full breakdown from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social ⬇️
November 19, 2025 at 5:15 PM
Hoopes There It Is: Week 12 Game Preview 🏈
🔥 Trade-deadline angles before Saturday’s Yahoo cutoff
📊 Explosive play data + expected fantasy points for Week 17
🧠 Start/sit leans for every Week 12 matchup
Full breakdown from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social ⬇️
🔥 Trade-deadline angles before Saturday’s Yahoo cutoff
📊 Explosive play data + expected fantasy points for Week 17
🧠 Start/sit leans for every Week 12 matchup
Full breakdown from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social ⬇️
“Let’s see Sean Payton forget about RJ Harvey now!”
*15 Jaleel McLaughlin carries per game*
“Ahh well nevertheless”
*15 Jaleel McLaughlin carries per game*
“Ahh well nevertheless”
J.K. Dobbins to injured reserve with foot injury
J.K. Dobbins to injured reserve with foot injury
Broncos placed RB J.K. Dobbins (foot) on injured reserve.
dlvr.it
November 15, 2025 at 8:45 PM
“Let’s see Sean Payton forget about RJ Harvey now!”
*15 Jaleel McLaughlin carries per game*
“Ahh well nevertheless”
*15 Jaleel McLaughlin carries per game*
“Ahh well nevertheless”
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
PFF's second-highest graded rookie receiver? You guessed it: Jaylin Noel. Shoutout my fellow propagandists @stephenhoopes.bsky.social @riversmccown.bsky.social and shoutout Lauren Gray, who does some of the best WR work in all the land
www.pff.com/news/nfl-wid...
www.pff.com/news/nfl-wid...
November 15, 2025 at 6:24 PM
PFF's second-highest graded rookie receiver? You guessed it: Jaylin Noel. Shoutout my fellow propagandists @stephenhoopes.bsky.social @riversmccown.bsky.social and shoutout Lauren Gray, who does some of the best WR work in all the land
www.pff.com/news/nfl-wid...
www.pff.com/news/nfl-wid...
I wonder if Aaron Glenn doesn't want to be asked about his QBs because he knows Breece Hall is clearly his best option?
November 13, 2025 at 6:09 PM
I wonder if Aaron Glenn doesn't want to be asked about his QBs because he knows Breece Hall is clearly his best option?
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Hoopes There It Is — Week 11 Game Preview 🧨📈
• SEA due for volume through the air; CHI volatility cuts both ways
• NE–NYJ trench edge, HOU–TEN mismatch, GB run funnel for Jacobs
• Start vibes & matchup reads for every game
Full preview 👇
• SEA due for volume through the air; CHI volatility cuts both ways
• NE–NYJ trench edge, HOU–TEN mismatch, GB run funnel for Jacobs
• Start vibes & matchup reads for every game
Full preview 👇
November 12, 2025 at 6:01 PM
Hoopes There It Is — Week 11 Game Preview 🧨📈
• SEA due for volume through the air; CHI volatility cuts both ways
• NE–NYJ trench edge, HOU–TEN mismatch, GB run funnel for Jacobs
• Start vibes & matchup reads for every game
Full preview 👇
• SEA due for volume through the air; CHI volatility cuts both ways
• NE–NYJ trench edge, HOU–TEN mismatch, GB run funnel for Jacobs
• Start vibes & matchup reads for every game
Full preview 👇
Graphs for tonight! The season-long numbers look bleak for the Raiders. But, they're coming off a solid game last week, hitting a 51.5% success rate and 79th-percentile passing efficiency. They leaned heavily into the pass with an 11.6% pass rate over expected (PROE), and are average on the season.
November 6, 2025 at 8:47 PM
Graphs for tonight! The season-long numbers look bleak for the Raiders. But, they're coming off a solid game last week, hitting a 51.5% success rate and 79th-percentile passing efficiency. They leaned heavily into the pass with an 11.6% pass rate over expected (PROE), and are average on the season.
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Hoopes There It Is: Week 10 🏈
@stephenhoopes.bsky.social breaks down every matchup from a betting + fantasy lens:
📊 Success-rate trends
🚨 Turnover chaos from Week 9
💡 Concentrated offenses to target
🔎 Full game-by-game breakdowns for every team
@stephenhoopes.bsky.social breaks down every matchup from a betting + fantasy lens:
📊 Success-rate trends
🚨 Turnover chaos from Week 9
💡 Concentrated offenses to target
🔎 Full game-by-game breakdowns for every team
November 5, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Hoopes There It Is: Week 10 🏈
@stephenhoopes.bsky.social breaks down every matchup from a betting + fantasy lens:
📊 Success-rate trends
🚨 Turnover chaos from Week 9
💡 Concentrated offenses to target
🔎 Full game-by-game breakdowns for every team
@stephenhoopes.bsky.social breaks down every matchup from a betting + fantasy lens:
📊 Success-rate trends
🚨 Turnover chaos from Week 9
💡 Concentrated offenses to target
🔎 Full game-by-game breakdowns for every team
Lmao
Broncos halftime RB snap count
J.K. Dobbins 8
R.J. Harvey 8
Tyler Badie 8
Out of 24 plays
J.K. Dobbins 8
R.J. Harvey 8
Tyler Badie 8
Out of 24 plays
November 2, 2025 at 7:45 PM
Lmao
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
🎃 Halloween Eve football in Miami!
Lamar returns, Ravens –7.5 @ Dolphins (51.5 O/U)
👀 Baltimore’s stars in great spots
🔥 Waddle + Achane can light it up too
Full preview from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social:
www.4for4.com/2025/w9/hoop...
Lamar returns, Ravens –7.5 @ Dolphins (51.5 O/U)
👀 Baltimore’s stars in great spots
🔥 Waddle + Achane can light it up too
Full preview from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social:
www.4for4.com/2025/w9/hoop...
October 30, 2025 at 5:00 PM
🎃 Halloween Eve football in Miami!
Lamar returns, Ravens –7.5 @ Dolphins (51.5 O/U)
👀 Baltimore’s stars in great spots
🔥 Waddle + Achane can light it up too
Full preview from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social:
www.4for4.com/2025/w9/hoop...
Lamar returns, Ravens –7.5 @ Dolphins (51.5 O/U)
👀 Baltimore’s stars in great spots
🔥 Waddle + Achane can light it up too
Full preview from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social:
www.4for4.com/2025/w9/hoop...
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Quick hits from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social 🔍
🔥 A few pass games ready to explode
💪 One rushing attack built to bully
🧠 A sneaky TE spot you’ll want in lineups
🚫 Two offenses to keep on the bench
Full Week 9 breakdown 🔽
www.4for4.com/2025/w9/hoop...
🔥 A few pass games ready to explode
💪 One rushing attack built to bully
🧠 A sneaky TE spot you’ll want in lineups
🚫 Two offenses to keep on the bench
Full Week 9 breakdown 🔽
www.4for4.com/2025/w9/hoop...
October 29, 2025 at 5:01 PM
Quick hits from @stephenhoopes.bsky.social 🔍
🔥 A few pass games ready to explode
💪 One rushing attack built to bully
🧠 A sneaky TE spot you’ll want in lineups
🚫 Two offenses to keep on the bench
Full Week 9 breakdown 🔽
www.4for4.com/2025/w9/hoop...
🔥 A few pass games ready to explode
💪 One rushing attack built to bully
🧠 A sneaky TE spot you’ll want in lineups
🚫 Two offenses to keep on the bench
Full Week 9 breakdown 🔽
www.4for4.com/2025/w9/hoop...
2 things I'm excited to see in the PHI/NYG game. NYG led the league in 2-TE dropbacks last week. And they're 2x as efficient compared to 1-TE DBs with Dart.
Hurts had 3 under-center play action DBs last week, compared to 4 total Weeks 1-6. He leads the league in efficiency (very small sample).
Hurts had 3 under-center play action DBs last week, compared to 4 total Weeks 1-6. He leads the league in efficiency (very small sample).
October 24, 2025 at 2:55 PM
2 things I'm excited to see in the PHI/NYG game. NYG led the league in 2-TE dropbacks last week. And they're 2x as efficient compared to 1-TE DBs with Dart.
Hurts had 3 under-center play action DBs last week, compared to 4 total Weeks 1-6. He leads the league in efficiency (very small sample).
Hurts had 3 under-center play action DBs last week, compared to 4 total Weeks 1-6. He leads the league in efficiency (very small sample).
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Thursday Night kicks off with Vikings ⚔️ vs. Chargers ⚡
Wentz is hanging onto the job (for now), Justin Jefferson’s still commanding double-digit targets, and Jordan Mason could lose work if Aaron Jones returns.
Meanwhile, Justin Herbert just fed his receivers 50 targets 😳
Wentz is hanging onto the job (for now), Justin Jefferson’s still commanding double-digit targets, and Jordan Mason could lose work if Aaron Jones returns.
Meanwhile, Justin Herbert just fed his receivers 50 targets 😳
October 23, 2025 at 5:00 PM
Thursday Night kicks off with Vikings ⚔️ vs. Chargers ⚡
Wentz is hanging onto the job (for now), Justin Jefferson’s still commanding double-digit targets, and Jordan Mason could lose work if Aaron Jones returns.
Meanwhile, Justin Herbert just fed his receivers 50 targets 😳
Wentz is hanging onto the job (for now), Justin Jefferson’s still commanding double-digit targets, and Jordan Mason could lose work if Aaron Jones returns.
Meanwhile, Justin Herbert just fed his receivers 50 targets 😳
Reposted by Stephen Hoopes
Hoopes There It Is: Week 8 Game Preview
Hoopes There It Is: Week 8 Game Preview
By the time you’re reading this, we’ll be exactly one month away from the default trade deadline date in Yahoo leagues. And it’s similar for ESPN and other platforms. Let’s use what we know so far to set ourselves up for the playoffs. And through seven weeks, it’s clear we should be targeting the Cowboys and their opponents for fantasy. The graph below shows offensive EPA per play on the x-axis and defensive EPA per play on the y-axis. The Cowboys are in their own atmosphere in the top-right...
www.4for4.com
October 22, 2025 at 1:36 PM
Hoopes There It Is: Week 8 Game Preview