@seyyah16.bsky.social
Reposted
So today's Substack about the impact of tariffs concluded:
"in many ways the level of the tariffs is less important than the huge uncertainty Trump’s policies have created. And that uncertainty hasn’t abated at all."
Ya don't say. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/leprechaun...
"in many ways the level of the tariffs is less important than the huge uncertainty Trump’s policies have created. And that uncertainty hasn’t abated at all."
Ya don't say. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/leprechaun...
Leprechauns, Effective Tariffs and Inflation
Yes, tariffs are hurting us. No, Trump wasn’t right.
paulkrugman.substack.com
October 10, 2025 at 10:19 PM
So today's Substack about the impact of tariffs concluded:
"in many ways the level of the tariffs is less important than the huge uncertainty Trump’s policies have created. And that uncertainty hasn’t abated at all."
Ya don't say. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/leprechaun...
"in many ways the level of the tariffs is less important than the huge uncertainty Trump’s policies have created. And that uncertainty hasn’t abated at all."
Ya don't say. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/leprechaun...
Reposted
June 18, 2025 at 1:20 PM
Reposted
In my latest, acclaimed scholar Abbas Amanat asks the big question re what Israel wants. It's hard to imagine any scenario where Iran emerges as a country "subordinated" to Israeli and U.S. interests. So, instead, Amanat fears that Israel wants another Libya in the Middle East.
wapo.st/4kOhTPI
wapo.st/4kOhTPI
June 16, 2025 at 5:15 PM
In my latest, acclaimed scholar Abbas Amanat asks the big question re what Israel wants. It's hard to imagine any scenario where Iran emerges as a country "subordinated" to Israeli and U.S. interests. So, instead, Amanat fears that Israel wants another Libya in the Middle East.
wapo.st/4kOhTPI
wapo.st/4kOhTPI
Reposted
Honestly, I know of no such blatant case of political imprisonment & infringement of political speech in the USA in modern times. Maybe there are going back decades, but this was deeply shameful, from the moment masked men unjustly kidnapped her, stuffed her into a van, & locked her up.
Finally. My fellow Fulbright Scholar Rumeysa Ozturk has been freed.
My country jailed her for over a month as—let’s be perfectly frank—a political prisoner. Why? Because she wrote a mild oped that criticised Israel in her student newspaper.
I've thought of her every day.
My country jailed her for over a month as—let’s be perfectly frank—a political prisoner. Why? Because she wrote a mild oped that criticised Israel in her student newspaper.
I've thought of her every day.
May 9, 2025 at 6:35 PM
Honestly, I know of no such blatant case of political imprisonment & infringement of political speech in the USA in modern times. Maybe there are going back decades, but this was deeply shameful, from the moment masked men unjustly kidnapped her, stuffed her into a van, & locked her up.
Reposted
The slope isn't slippery; the frog isn't gradually getting boiled. Within its first hundred days the Trump administration has openly asserted the right/ power to seize and imprison anyone— including political dissidents, including citizens— and deprive them of any legal recourse at all.
5/
5/
April 14, 2025 at 4:41 PM
The slope isn't slippery; the frog isn't gradually getting boiled. Within its first hundred days the Trump administration has openly asserted the right/ power to seize and imprison anyone— including political dissidents, including citizens— and deprive them of any legal recourse at all.
5/
5/
Reposted
Hearing our secretary of state basically argue that free speech does not apply to foreign students on American soil is shocking and sickening -- even aside from the fascist way student are being seized off the streets by masked police in plain clothes.
www.cbsnews.com/news/marco-r...
www.cbsnews.com/news/marco-r...
Marco Rubio says 300 student visas have been revoked, including detentions at Tufts, Columbia and more
The comments come amid two more high-profile detentions by ICE of a Tufts University student and a University of Alabama student.
www.cbsnews.com
March 28, 2025 at 2:22 AM
Hearing our secretary of state basically argue that free speech does not apply to foreign students on American soil is shocking and sickening -- even aside from the fascist way student are being seized off the streets by masked police in plain clothes.
www.cbsnews.com/news/marco-r...
www.cbsnews.com/news/marco-r...
Reposted
In 2025, German nationalists want the German military to remain dependent on the United States and want Europe to surrender to Russia.
March 4, 2025 at 6:48 PM
In 2025, German nationalists want the German military to remain dependent on the United States and want Europe to surrender to Russia.
Reposted
Reminder: Turkey is (still) allied with the US. Russia is (still) technically not. Russia is (very much) allied with Iran. Israel is (very much) not. Israel is asking US to keep Syria's door open to Iran so that they can keep bombing it.
Exclusive: Israel is lobbying the United States to keep Syria weak and decentralized, including by letting Russia keep its military bases there to counter Turkey's growing influence in the country, four sources familiar with the efforts said reut.rs/3XmJNIQ
Exclusive: Israel lobbies US to keep Russian bases in a 'weak' Syria, sources say
Israel is lobbying the United States to keep Syria weak and decentralised, including by letting Russia keep its military bases there to counter Turkey's growing influence in the country, four sources familiar with the efforts said.
reut.rs
February 28, 2025 at 5:22 PM
Reminder: Turkey is (still) allied with the US. Russia is (still) technically not. Russia is (very much) allied with Iran. Israel is (very much) not. Israel is asking US to keep Syria's door open to Iran so that they can keep bombing it.
Reposted
So - I've actually led Ebola outbreak response at USAID.
This is bunk from Elon. They have laid off most of the experts, they're bankrupting most of the partner orgs, have withdrawn from WHO, and muzzled CDC.
What's left is a fig-leaf effort to cover their asses politically.
This is bunk from Elon. They have laid off most of the experts, they're bankrupting most of the partner orgs, have withdrawn from WHO, and muzzled CDC.
What's left is a fig-leaf effort to cover their asses politically.
Elon Musk: "We will make mistakes. We won't be perfect ... so for example, with USAID, one of the things we accidentally canceled very briefly was ebola prevention."
February 26, 2025 at 10:41 PM
So - I've actually led Ebola outbreak response at USAID.
This is bunk from Elon. They have laid off most of the experts, they're bankrupting most of the partner orgs, have withdrawn from WHO, and muzzled CDC.
What's left is a fig-leaf effort to cover their asses politically.
This is bunk from Elon. They have laid off most of the experts, they're bankrupting most of the partner orgs, have withdrawn from WHO, and muzzled CDC.
What's left is a fig-leaf effort to cover their asses politically.
Reposted
Pleased to see my latest work on the evolution of Xinjiang's mass re-education published in the Journal of Contemporary China.
It draws on new internal state files & and witness accounts to assess the policy evolution of the mass internments between 2013-2018.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
It draws on new internal state files & and witness accounts to assess the policy evolution of the mass internments between 2013-2018.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Innovating Repression: Policy Experimentation and the Evolution of Beijing’s Re-Education Campaign in Xinjiang
This article argues that Beijing’s campaign of mass internment in the Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region evolved through a creative local policy experimentation process. This resulted in an ‘innovat...
www.tandfonline.com
February 26, 2025 at 1:12 PM
Pleased to see my latest work on the evolution of Xinjiang's mass re-education published in the Journal of Contemporary China.
It draws on new internal state files & and witness accounts to assess the policy evolution of the mass internments between 2013-2018.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
It draws on new internal state files & and witness accounts to assess the policy evolution of the mass internments between 2013-2018.
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Reposted
Should be familiar to Erdogan-watchers: assume Trump is actually going to do all the crazy stuff he repeatedly insists he's going to do, assume he's not going to do all the reasonable stuff reasonable people insist he's going to do.
what was my secret to knowing the tariffs are probably gonna happen? Well I just assume that when the president says something they mean it! apparently a substantial chunk of the nation elite aren’t able to do this!
February 3, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Should be familiar to Erdogan-watchers: assume Trump is actually going to do all the crazy stuff he repeatedly insists he's going to do, assume he's not going to do all the reasonable stuff reasonable people insist he's going to do.
Reposted
Am I the only one noting that after demonizing China for years, Trump seems to be letting them off lightly, while going full tilt against Canada? Is it Musk's business interests? Have Chinese players been buying Trumpcoin?
February 1, 2025 at 11:49 AM
Am I the only one noting that after demonizing China for years, Trump seems to be letting them off lightly, while going full tilt against Canada? Is it Musk's business interests? Have Chinese players been buying Trumpcoin?
Reposted
Firing independent watchdogs is straight out of the authoritarian playbook. Removes another obstacle to corruption and abuse of power www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...
Trump fires at least 12 independent inspectors general, Washington Post reports
U.S. President Donald Trump's administration fired the independent inspectors general of at least 12 major federal agencies late on Friday, the Washington Post reported.
www.reuters.com
January 25, 2025 at 4:52 AM
Firing independent watchdogs is straight out of the authoritarian playbook. Removes another obstacle to corruption and abuse of power www.reuters.com/world/us/tru...
Reposted
Remember why the Turkish govt bribed NYC Mayor Eric Adams? They wanted to sidestep the fire dept inspections for the new embassy building so they could it open it asap ahead of Erdogan’s visit. Today, a fire at a ski resort in Turkey claimed 76 lives. Apparently, the hotel was not in compliance with
January 21, 2025 at 9:10 PM
Remember why the Turkish govt bribed NYC Mayor Eric Adams? They wanted to sidestep the fire dept inspections for the new embassy building so they could it open it asap ahead of Erdogan’s visit. Today, a fire at a ski resort in Turkey claimed 76 lives. Apparently, the hotel was not in compliance with
Reposted
Since most of America’s allies today are democracies, they’re also worse at playing the bribery game than adversarial autocrats, who know how to play him. Relationships with autocrats are purely based on transactional deals, not shared values or mutually agreed upon rules, which he doesn’t get.
January 17, 2025 at 11:15 PM
Since most of America’s allies today are democracies, they’re also worse at playing the bribery game than adversarial autocrats, who know how to play him. Relationships with autocrats are purely based on transactional deals, not shared values or mutually agreed upon rules, which he doesn’t get.
Reposted
Trump isn't even in office yet, but with a Gaza ceasefire looming, Netanyahu's mouthpieces are already pushing a narrative that he stabbed Israel in the back: "The pressure Trump is exerting right now is not the kind that Israel expected from him." www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
Trump's Mideast envoy forced Netanyahu to accept a Gaza plan he repeatedly rejected
***
www.haaretz.com
January 14, 2025 at 4:53 AM
Trump isn't even in office yet, but with a Gaza ceasefire looming, Netanyahu's mouthpieces are already pushing a narrative that he stabbed Israel in the back: "The pressure Trump is exerting right now is not the kind that Israel expected from him." www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
Reposted
Deeply concerning situation. Under no circumstances should they be returned to China
A group of Uyghur men who were detained in Thailand over a decade ago say that the Thai government is preparing to deport them to #China, alarming activists and family members who say the men are at risk of abuse and torture if they are sent back.
apnews.com/article/uygh...
apnews.com/article/uygh...
Uyghurs detained in Thailand say they face deportation and persecution in China
A group of Uyghurs who were detained in Thailand over a decade ago say that the Thai government is preparing to deport them to China, alarming activists who say the men are at risk of abuse and tortur...
apnews.com
January 11, 2025 at 6:00 PM
Deeply concerning situation. Under no circumstances should they be returned to China
Reposted
Once you see China’s internal policies towards non-Han people through the lens of colonialism and eradication of national identity, you can’t unsee it www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
In Tibet, Chinese Boarding Schools Reshape the ‘Souls of Children’
Across China’s west, the Communist Party is placing children in boarding schools to assimilate a generation of Tibetans into the national mainstream and mold them into loyal citizens.
www.nytimes.com
January 9, 2025 at 2:48 PM
Once you see China’s internal policies towards non-Han people through the lens of colonialism and eradication of national identity, you can’t unsee it www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
Reposted
Medicare is more than half privatized, and it's costing taxpayers a lot of money open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
Medicare Versus the Insurance Industry: A Privatization-Driven Arms Race
Forty years of gaming the system
open.substack.com
January 7, 2025 at 12:04 PM
Medicare is more than half privatized, and it's costing taxpayers a lot of money open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...
Reposted
One of the key instruments of Turkey's most recent "Kurdish opening" seems to be - so far - information and speech control. Authoritarian instruments at the service of conflict resolution.
January 7, 2025 at 4:22 PM
One of the key instruments of Turkey's most recent "Kurdish opening" seems to be - so far - information and speech control. Authoritarian instruments at the service of conflict resolution.
Reposted
Since the New Years Day attack in New Orleans, some analysts and pundits have put forth a number of frivolous claims about terrorism and questioned America’s capacity to prevent it. I hope this adds some perspective. www.chicagotribune.com/2025/01/07/c...
Daniel DePetris: New Orleans attack is not a reason to sound alarm over terrorism
The majority of attacks inside the U.S. since 9/11 have been perpetrated by people who had little connection to a terrorist organization.
www.chicagotribune.com
January 7, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Since the New Years Day attack in New Orleans, some analysts and pundits have put forth a number of frivolous claims about terrorism and questioned America’s capacity to prevent it. I hope this adds some perspective. www.chicagotribune.com/2025/01/07/c...