Scott Kehler πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦
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Scott Kehler πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦
@scottdkehler.bsky.social
President and Chief Scientist of Weatherlogics Inc
Western Manitoba should be around or just below freezing by late tomorrow, while warmer weather is a bit slower to arrive in the Red River Valley and southeast.
February 2, 2026 at 4:48 PM
Congratulations, you've made it through the worst of winter in southern Manitoba. The first half of February will be much warmer! This week starts chilly, but by Thursday we should be around the freezing mark.
February 2, 2026 at 4:48 PM
Just posted about that!
January 25, 2026 at 3:37 PM
The wind chill hit -51 in Winnipeg this morning, which is a record low for Jan 25. That was due to a combined air temp of -38 C and 15 km/h winds. Readings of -50 and lower are uncommon. The coldest ever wind chill in Winnipeg was -57.
January 25, 2026 at 3:36 PM
The low of -38.2 C was recorded at the airport. Meanwhile, the downtown area was a fair bit warmer, with the forks recording a low of only -31.7 C.
January 25, 2026 at 3:26 PM
The low in Winnipeg this morning was -38.2 C. The -40 C mark contains to elude the city, with the last such reading now almost 20 years ago, on February 5, 2007. The provincial cold spot was Wasagaming, with a low of -43.0 C!
January 25, 2026 at 3:26 PM
Extreme cold this morning in Manitoba. Here are some of the locations that dropped below -40 C:

Wasagaming: -42.3 C
Flin Flon: -42.1 C
Shoal Lake: -41.8 C
Roblin: -41.2 C
The Pas: -40.9 C
Grand Rapids: -40.9 C

Extreme cold will recur again tonight.
January 24, 2026 at 5:04 PM
It’s been around for as long as I can remember. Screamers aren’t as common as clippers, so there aren’t as many opportunities to use the term I guess.
January 17, 2026 at 8:09 PM
Note: A "MacKenzie Screamer" is similar to an Alberta Clipper, but it originates in the lee of the MacKenzie Mountains of the Northwest Territories, rather than along the Alberta Rockies. Screamers are often accompanied by colder air and less snow, due to their arctic origin.
January 17, 2026 at 5:15 PM
A brief reprieve from adverse winter weather is expected today in southern Manitoba before another "MacKenzie Screamer" arrives tomorrow. Additional light snow is expected and strong winds will again produce significant blowing snow. Poor travel conditions should be expected.
January 17, 2026 at 5:15 PM
Reposted by Scott Kehler πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦
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January 15, 2026 at 3:49 PM
Visibility in the Red River Valley is now near zero at times due to heavy snow and blowing snow. Winds will continue to increase this afternoon. #mbstorm
December 19, 2025 at 7:37 PM
Snow is getting underway in the Red River Valley from the next Clipper. Winds will also increase this afternoon, creating poor travel conditions. Many highways in western Manitoba are already closed. Use caution if heading out - conditions will worsen quickly.
December 19, 2025 at 5:47 PM
Not looking promising tomorrow. This is tomorrow at 7am. At least it's not too windy.
December 18, 2025 at 9:30 PM
On tomorrow's noon surface forecast map you can see the next Clipper approaching from Saskatchewan. Meanwhile today's Clipper is still trucking along through central Quebec. (data from the @weatherlogics.bsky.social WRF).
December 18, 2025 at 9:25 PM
Appears winds will remain strong from the south until mid-late evening, then become westerly. The westerlies will still be strong, but not quite as strong as the southerlies during the afternoon-evening. However, snow is expected to end by late afternoon.
December 18, 2025 at 8:59 PM
Today's @weatherlogics.bsky.social 4-km WRF simulation over western Canada suggests that blizzard conditions are likely to redevelop tomorrow in southern Manitoba. Snow will move from west to east during the day, along with southerly winds of 40-60 km/h gusting to 60-80 km/h.
December 18, 2025 at 8:50 PM
Both are possibilities again. About 5 cm of additional snow is expected, and winds will be very strong, so visibility will be poor, especially in the afternoon.
December 18, 2025 at 4:32 PM
While tomorrow's Alberta Clipper technically isn't as strong as today's, it may still pack a punch. Strong southerly winds are expected in the Red River Valley in the afternoon, along with more snow, so near blizzard conditions are possible again!
December 18, 2025 at 4:29 PM
Always tough to say when there is significant blowing snow, but the storm total was approximately 10 cm.
December 18, 2025 at 4:25 PM
The worst of the Alberta Clipper is now over, but conditions will remain poor today as blowing snow continues. Winds will gradually ease, calming right down tonight as high pressure builds in. High pressure won't last long - the next Clipper arrives tomorrow!
December 18, 2025 at 4:14 PM
I see many flights are delayed or cancelled, so I assume it was/is.
December 18, 2025 at 4:10 PM
Blizzard warnings previously used the criteria above, but now use subjective impact-based criteria that are not based on measurable meteorological conditions.
December 18, 2025 at 4:06 PM
This storm officially met blizzard criteria in Winnipeg as visibility at the airport remained below 400 m (0.25 miles) for at least 4 consecutive hours (criteria met for 6 hours total).

Note: The definition of a blizzard is now different from that of a blizzard warning.
December 18, 2025 at 4:06 PM
Weatherlogics users report freezing rain with this initial band of precipitation that is moving across southern Manitoba. Watch for slippery conditions today before the heavy snow and wind begins tonight!
December 17, 2025 at 5:59 PM