Sam Peak
@sampeak.bsky.social
Immigration and Labor Mobility at the Economic Innovation Group.
Pinned
Sam Peak
@sampeak.bsky.social
· Apr 16
The World Cup will be the biggest international event the U.S. has hosted since before 9/11. If the State Department doesn't get its act together, this could be a major national security crisis and a historic bureaucratic debacle. 🧵
Reposted by Sam Peak
Good summary of the H-1B situation by @sampeak.bsky.social
September 21, 2025 at 5:40 PM
Good summary of the H-1B situation by @sampeak.bsky.social
Reposted by Sam Peak
*purport* to fire.
We shouldn't just accept a framing that gives him the authority to do this.
We shouldn't just accept a framing that gives him the authority to do this.
President Donald Trump is likely to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell soon, a White House official said www.bloomberg.com/news/article...
Trump Likely to Fire Powell Soon, White House Official Says
President Donald Trump is likely to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell soon, a White House official said, and discussed the possible move in a meeting with congressional Republicans on Tuesday n...
www.bloomberg.com
July 16, 2025 at 3:45 PM
*purport* to fire.
We shouldn't just accept a framing that gives him the authority to do this.
We shouldn't just accept a framing that gives him the authority to do this.
Reposted by Sam Peak
This comparsion in the NYTimes today is pretty stark. China is racing ahead to be a high-tech exporter of 21st century technologies, while the US is doubling down on being a petro-state exporting the technologies of the 19th century: www.nytimes.com/inte...
June 30, 2025 at 10:45 PM
This comparsion in the NYTimes today is pretty stark. China is racing ahead to be a high-tech exporter of 21st century technologies, while the US is doubling down on being a petro-state exporting the technologies of the 19th century: www.nytimes.com/inte...
Reposted by Sam Peak
Yes! This is something that I wish hadn’t been memory-holed, because it shows how our commentary class works.
Not only did pundits widely assert that gas prices control elections, it was treated as an absolute obvious certainty. And then, when it turned out wrong, the claim was instantly abandoned.
Not only did pundits widely assert that gas prices control elections, it was treated as an absolute obvious certainty. And then, when it turned out wrong, the claim was instantly abandoned.
June 3, 2025 at 11:17 AM
Yes! This is something that I wish hadn’t been memory-holed, because it shows how our commentary class works.
Not only did pundits widely assert that gas prices control elections, it was treated as an absolute obvious certainty. And then, when it turned out wrong, the claim was instantly abandoned.
Not only did pundits widely assert that gas prices control elections, it was treated as an absolute obvious certainty. And then, when it turned out wrong, the claim was instantly abandoned.
Reposted by Sam Peak
Lotta life changes happening www.politico.com/newsletters/...
May 3, 2025 at 1:13 AM
Lotta life changes happening www.politico.com/newsletters/...
Reposted by Sam Peak
The World Cup will be the biggest international event the U.S. has hosted since before 9/11. If the State Department doesn't get its act together, this could be a major national security crisis and a historic bureaucratic debacle. 🧵
April 16, 2025 at 1:53 PM
The World Cup will be the biggest international event the U.S. has hosted since before 9/11. If the State Department doesn't get its act together, this could be a major national security crisis and a historic bureaucratic debacle. 🧵
The World Cup will be the biggest international event the U.S. has hosted since before 9/11. If the State Department doesn't get its act together, this could be a major national security crisis and a historic bureaucratic debacle. 🧵
April 16, 2025 at 1:53 PM
The World Cup will be the biggest international event the U.S. has hosted since before 9/11. If the State Department doesn't get its act together, this could be a major national security crisis and a historic bureaucratic debacle. 🧵
The EB-5 visa requires applicants to "prove" that investments created at least 10 jobs. The process takes forever and U.S. officials have no way of knowing if jobs were actually created or saved. The Gold Card is a chance to start from scratch. x.com/paceimmigrat...
Pace Immigration on X: "Pace immigration lawyer Michael O'Rourke: "Just finished an application to remove conditions for one of our EB-5 cases. 3000 pages! Thanks to the team for their hard work on this." #EB5 #immigration #law #lawyerlife https://t.co/fBGVpVdqmR" / X
Pace immigration lawyer Michael O'Rourke
x.com
April 3, 2025 at 2:10 PM
The EB-5 visa requires applicants to "prove" that investments created at least 10 jobs. The process takes forever and U.S. officials have no way of knowing if jobs were actually created or saved. The Gold Card is a chance to start from scratch. x.com/paceimmigrat...
Reposted by Sam Peak
Trump's tariffs will raise prices for USA-made cars too, not just foreign imports. That's because:
1) a lot of inputs that go into US-made cars come from abroad (esp from Mexico/Canada)
2) When foreign competitors' prices go up, domestic producers often raise their prices too
1) a lot of inputs that go into US-made cars come from abroad (esp from Mexico/Canada)
2) When foreign competitors' prices go up, domestic producers often raise their prices too
March 31, 2025 at 2:22 AM
Trump's tariffs will raise prices for USA-made cars too, not just foreign imports. That's because:
1) a lot of inputs that go into US-made cars come from abroad (esp from Mexico/Canada)
2) When foreign competitors' prices go up, domestic producers often raise their prices too
1) a lot of inputs that go into US-made cars come from abroad (esp from Mexico/Canada)
2) When foreign competitors' prices go up, domestic producers often raise their prices too
Reposted by Sam Peak
To be clear: Trump did not merely say he was indifferent to higher car prices resulting from his auto tariffs ("couldn't care less"). He also said he *hopes* auto companies raise prices
March 31, 2025 at 2:03 AM
To be clear: Trump did not merely say he was indifferent to higher car prices resulting from his auto tariffs ("couldn't care less"). He also said he *hopes* auto companies raise prices
Reposted by Sam Peak
NEW! The Trump administration appears to have sent a married father with NO CRIMINAL RECORD in any country to rot in a prison in El Salvador because of a PAPERWORK ERROR.
This man doesn’t even have tattoos! But his paperwork has two different peoples’ ID numbers listed and the wrong last name!
This man doesn’t even have tattoos! But his paperwork has two different peoples’ ID numbers listed and the wrong last name!
March 27, 2025 at 12:12 PM
NEW! The Trump administration appears to have sent a married father with NO CRIMINAL RECORD in any country to rot in a prison in El Salvador because of a PAPERWORK ERROR.
This man doesn’t even have tattoos! But his paperwork has two different peoples’ ID numbers listed and the wrong last name!
This man doesn’t even have tattoos! But his paperwork has two different peoples’ ID numbers listed and the wrong last name!
Reposted by Sam Peak
Lutnick claims to have already sold 1,000 "gold cards" for $5 million per card. In case you missed it, there is no gold card. It doesn't exist. So he is just reporting that people are willing to give Trump $5 million for.... (wink wink) "nothing"
March 25, 2025 at 1:35 PM
Lutnick claims to have already sold 1,000 "gold cards" for $5 million per card. In case you missed it, there is no gold card. It doesn't exist. So he is just reporting that people are willing to give Trump $5 million for.... (wink wink) "nothing"
Reposted by Sam Peak
Summary of OECD forecast revisions for US economy this year: higher inflation and slower growth than OECD had predicted right before Trump took office.
March 17, 2025 at 1:36 PM
Summary of OECD forecast revisions for US economy this year: higher inflation and slower growth than OECD had predicted right before Trump took office.
Reposted by Sam Peak
Tidbit from Natasha Sarin: IRS's customer phone service is deteriorating, in part because employees are spending all day queued up to use shared agency computers so they can respond to DOGE’s requests for weekly emails on 5 bullet points detailing their work
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Opinion | DOGE says it’s saving $100 billion. It’s about to lose a lot more.
Cuts to the IRS will backfire by giving tax evaders a free pass.
www.washingtonpost.com
March 13, 2025 at 2:06 PM
Tidbit from Natasha Sarin: IRS's customer phone service is deteriorating, in part because employees are spending all day queued up to use shared agency computers so they can respond to DOGE’s requests for weekly emails on 5 bullet points detailing their work
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/202...
Reposted by Sam Peak
New from @pamherd.bsky.social & I:
Musk and Trump are modernizing the fraud trope, using it in new ways:
*Targeting core programs in unprecedented ways
*Undermining the government’s capacity to address fraud
*Providing a veil of legitimacy for state capture 🧵
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/musks-frau...
Musk and Trump are modernizing the fraud trope, using it in new ways:
*Targeting core programs in unprecedented ways
*Undermining the government’s capacity to address fraud
*Providing a veil of legitimacy for state capture 🧵
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/musks-frau...
Musk’s Fraudulent Fraud Squad
A tired trope gets a new lease of life
donmoynihan.substack.com
February 26, 2025 at 2:07 PM
New from @pamherd.bsky.social & I:
Musk and Trump are modernizing the fraud trope, using it in new ways:
*Targeting core programs in unprecedented ways
*Undermining the government’s capacity to address fraud
*Providing a veil of legitimacy for state capture 🧵
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/musks-frau...
Musk and Trump are modernizing the fraud trope, using it in new ways:
*Targeting core programs in unprecedented ways
*Undermining the government’s capacity to address fraud
*Providing a veil of legitimacy for state capture 🧵
donmoynihan.substack.com/p/musks-frau...
Reposted by Sam Peak
! The Trump administration wants ICE to build four detention centers each with 10,000 bed capacity. Only the LA County Jail and Rikers are larger, and that's about the size of the Cook County and Harris County jails.
That would cost tens of billions and require thousands of new personnel.
That would cost tens of billions and require thousands of new personnel.
January 22, 2025 at 8:44 PM
! The Trump administration wants ICE to build four detention centers each with 10,000 bed capacity. Only the LA County Jail and Rikers are larger, and that's about the size of the Cook County and Harris County jails.
That would cost tens of billions and require thousands of new personnel.
That would cost tens of billions and require thousands of new personnel.
Reposted by Sam Peak
NEW from EIG’s Agglomerations:
“No, we are not producing too many STEM graduates”, from Connor O'Brien and @benglasner.bsky.social lasner, who show that STEM majors earn a premium even in non-STEM jobs.
Read more agglomerations.substack.com/p/no-we-are-...
“No, we are not producing too many STEM graduates”, from Connor O'Brien and @benglasner.bsky.social lasner, who show that STEM majors earn a premium even in non-STEM jobs.
Read more agglomerations.substack.com/p/no-we-are-...
No, we are not producing too many STEM graduates
The social media firestorm over H-1B visas over the last few weeks has resurfaced a long-running debate about the return to earning a STEM degree.
agglomerations.substack.com
January 21, 2025 at 7:26 PM
NEW from EIG’s Agglomerations:
“No, we are not producing too many STEM graduates”, from Connor O'Brien and @benglasner.bsky.social lasner, who show that STEM majors earn a premium even in non-STEM jobs.
Read more agglomerations.substack.com/p/no-we-are-...
“No, we are not producing too many STEM graduates”, from Connor O'Brien and @benglasner.bsky.social lasner, who show that STEM majors earn a premium even in non-STEM jobs.
Read more agglomerations.substack.com/p/no-we-are-...
I'm not liking the fearmongering over the birthright citizenship EO. People should at least provide context that it will be enjoined and struck down by the courts. There is plenty for people to be worried about, let's not add more shit.
January 21, 2025 at 1:21 PM
I'm not liking the fearmongering over the birthright citizenship EO. People should at least provide context that it will be enjoined and struck down by the courts. There is plenty for people to be worried about, let's not add more shit.
Bernie's op-ed about H-1Bs is misleading. The website he cites to prove his point that Tesla pays low wages says that they offer a median salary of $145,000 and only 7% of offered salaries are less than $100,000. h1bdata.info/index.php?em...
January 13, 2025 at 6:32 PM
Bernie's op-ed about H-1Bs is misleading. The website he cites to prove his point that Tesla pays low wages says that they offer a median salary of $145,000 and only 7% of offered salaries are less than $100,000. h1bdata.info/index.php?em...
Reposted by Sam Peak
Huh. “Operation Return to Sender” was previously the name of a national ICE operation, not a Border Patrol operation. Not sure what, if anything, to read into that.
January 11, 2025 at 2:55 AM
Huh. “Operation Return to Sender” was previously the name of a national ICE operation, not a Border Patrol operation. Not sure what, if anything, to read into that.
Reposted by Sam Peak
Most Fed officials believe "upside risks" to inflation outlook have increased, in part because of expected changes to immigration/trade policy under Trump. www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypoli...
January 8, 2025 at 9:52 PM
Most Fed officials believe "upside risks" to inflation outlook have increased, in part because of expected changes to immigration/trade policy under Trump. www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypoli...
Bernie staffer: "H-1Bs are cheap labor replacing Americans."
Me: Actually when you adjust for age, H-1Bs make significantly more than their American counterparts. And they're among the top 10% of income earners.
Bernie staffer: The fact that they're young is part of the scam!
Me: Actually when you adjust for age, H-1Bs make significantly more than their American counterparts. And they're among the top 10% of income earners.
Bernie staffer: The fact that they're young is part of the scam!
January 7, 2025 at 5:52 AM
Bernie staffer: "H-1Bs are cheap labor replacing Americans."
Me: Actually when you adjust for age, H-1Bs make significantly more than their American counterparts. And they're among the top 10% of income earners.
Bernie staffer: The fact that they're young is part of the scam!
Me: Actually when you adjust for age, H-1Bs make significantly more than their American counterparts. And they're among the top 10% of income earners.
Bernie staffer: The fact that they're young is part of the scam!
Jimmy Carter was one of America's most effective and underrated Presidents.
December 30, 2024 at 1:02 AM
Jimmy Carter was one of America's most effective and underrated Presidents.
Reposted by Sam Peak
On @kaitlancollins.bsky.social show this evening, I talked about MAGAworld blowback to Musk’s praise for high-skilled immigration.
One of America’s greatest economic advantages is our ability to attract global talent. Some additional comments/sources on this 🧵
One of America’s greatest economic advantages is our ability to attract global talent. Some additional comments/sources on this 🧵
December 27, 2024 at 3:52 AM
On @kaitlancollins.bsky.social show this evening, I talked about MAGAworld blowback to Musk’s praise for high-skilled immigration.
One of America’s greatest economic advantages is our ability to attract global talent. Some additional comments/sources on this 🧵
One of America’s greatest economic advantages is our ability to attract global talent. Some additional comments/sources on this 🧵
I have a lot of respect for @mattyglesias.bsky.social and Noah Smith, but if even they're convinced of the narrative that Biden destroyed the border by "loosening immigration policy" then I'm not sure what point there is in educating the general public on what actually happened.
December 14, 2024 at 8:20 PM
I have a lot of respect for @mattyglesias.bsky.social and Noah Smith, but if even they're convinced of the narrative that Biden destroyed the border by "loosening immigration policy" then I'm not sure what point there is in educating the general public on what actually happened.