Rolf Pendall
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rpplan.bsky.social
Rolf Pendall
@rpplan.bsky.social
I'm an urban planning educator at the University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign. My questions/quests: Can zoning make communities equitable instead of protecting privilege? What narratives & political campaigns can lead to zoning for equity?
LLMs suck at lit review, and they're getting worse at it. Transparently obvious from today's news (HHS's nonsense MAHA report!) and backed with recently published peer-reviewed research by Peters & Chin-Yee: doi.org/10.1098/rsos...
May 30, 2025 at 7:15 PM
1/ Property taxes are the best value-capture mechanism, per Aurora Echevarria & @elpaavo.bsky.social based on intensive study of Mexico City. Excellent summary of their arguments on @urbanaffairsreview.bsky.social blog: www.urbanaffairsreview.com/uar-archive/...
Challenges to Equitable and Effective Land Value Capture: Lessons from Mexico City — Urban Affairs Review
Scholars and practitioners argue that local governments should capture rising land values to fund services and infrastructure, especially when the value results from public and collective action. Yet ...
www.urbanaffairsreview.com
May 23, 2025 at 4:22 PM
Reposted by Rolf Pendall
I promised my friend @rpplan.bsky.social that I would activate my account here to share my thoughts about the larger economic, political and global aspirations behind the tariffs, written for @chathamhouse.org

www.chathamhouse.org/2025/04/trum...
www.chathamhouse.org
April 4, 2025 at 6:45 PM
Interesting reading. What implications for housing policy? Households are aging and shrinking but it’s expensive to adapt the stock. Would it be cost-effective to socialize costs of retrofits for energy efficiency, health, & safety?
🚨 Globally, average fertility is on track to fall below the replacement rate by mid-century.

Much of our contemporary welfare state is premised on a perpetually *rising* population, and it's time to update it to reflect the new reality. www.niskanencenter.org/social-polic...
Social policy for a low-fertility future - Niskanen Center
All over the world, people are living longer and having fewer children. Life expectancy is expected to increase in most countries.
www.niskanencenter.org
March 17, 2025 at 8:16 PM
Reposted by Rolf Pendall
New data tool launch today 🚨 @urbaninstitute.bsky.social's Federal Infrastructure site.

It includes detailed information on funds from 110 programs across all states, counties & metro areas.

Tool pinpoints the support that communities receive for transportation, housing, energy, water & broadband.
Are Federal Infrastructure Dollars Meeting Your Community’s Needs?
Data analysis tracking whether the billions in funding that the US has committed to its roads, bridges, housing, and other infrastructure are getting to the communities that need it most.
apps.urban.org
March 13, 2025 at 2:37 PM
Reposted by Rolf Pendall
Please, please, if you report on this: the mandate to affirmatively further fair housing is literally codified in the Fair Housing Act of 1968 and neither Trump nor HUD can “repeal” this law. The rule defined how to enforce the law, but the law and obligation remain. www.yahoo.com/news/hud-sec...
March 11, 2025 at 6:08 PM
I'm seeing an uptick in the anti-inclusionary zoning narrative from an econ 101 standpoint, which assumes a questionable counterfactual (upzoning could occur without IZ). In many places, IZ is the political cost of upzoning.
Good morning. So-called “inclusionary zoning” is a tax on new affordable housing that raises overall rents in exchange for a handful of means-tested units for literal lottery winners. It’s bad policy that hurts most of the people it’s supposed to help and we should stop doing it.
March 10, 2025 at 8:45 PM
Insights from @timothysnyder.bsky.social about the ongoing coup and how patriots (i.e., those who believe in the rule of law) can counter it.

The Logic of Destruction open.substack.com/pub/snyder/p...
The Logic of Destruction
And how to resist it
open.substack.com
February 2, 2025 at 2:58 PM
Whom would you choose as the Dems’ shadow Secretaries of HUD, DOT, EPA, USDA, Treasury, HHS, Education, or any other agency? @timothysnyder.bsky.social has a good summary of this brilliant idea here: snyder.substack.com/p/shadow-cab...
Shadow Cabinet
A Positive Form of Opposition
snyder.substack.com
January 28, 2025 at 1:41 PM
What drivers get | What walkers get, Champaign “in-town” edition, I.e., the area that’s supposed to be pedestrian-friendly
January 19, 2025 at 12:38 AM
Excellent recap by @sara-mctarnaghan.bsky.social on Treasury’s analysis of homeowner insurance: harder to get and more expensive.
Yesterday the Treasury released an important new analysis on homeowners’ insurance, covering 330 insurers on more than 246 million homeowners’ insurance policies aggregated to the ZIP Code level from 2018 to 2022 (an annual average of 49.3 million policies). home.treasury.gov/news/press-r...
U.S. Department of the Treasury Report: Homeowners Insurance Costs Rising, Availability Declining as Climate-Related Events Take Their Toll
As the latest climate-related crisis unfolds in Los Angeles, Treasury releases most comprehensive data on homeowners insurance in history, along with report detailing higher costs to homeowners and insurers of elevated climate perils.  WASHINGTON – The U.S. Department of the Treasury’s Federal Insurance Office (FIO) today released the most comprehensive data on homeowners insurance in history, along with a major report showing that homeowners insurance is becoming more costly and harder to procure for millions of Americans as the costs of climate-related events pose growing challenges to insurers and their customers alike.The report is based on the most comprehensive and granular snapshot of the homeowners insurance market to date, covering over 330 insurers on more than 246 million homeowners insurance policies aggregated to the ZIP Code level from 2018 to 2022 (an annual average of 49.3 million policies). The data was collected through a first-of-its-kind effort by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, state insurance regulators, and FIO.Among the report’s key findings:Homeowners insurance costs are rising fast across the nation, although with significant variation by region and ZIP Codes. Average homeowners insurance premiums per policy increased 8.7 percent faster than the rate of inflation in 2018-2022, according to the data analyzed. Some consumers faced substantially larger premium increases than the national average.  Homeowners in communities affected by substantial weather events are paying far more than those elsewhere. From 2018 to 2022, consumers living in the 20 percent of ZIP Codes with the highest expected annual losses to buildings from climate-related perils paid $2,321 in premiums on average, 82 percent more than those in the 20 percent lowest climate-risk ZIP Codes. Policy nonrenewal rates also are higher in areas with the highest expected losses from climate-related perils. Consumers in the highest risk ZIP codes faced higher policy nonrenewal rates, with average nonrenewal rates about 80 percent higher than those in the lowest risk ZIP Codes. Moreover, average nonrenewal rates increased more in the highest risk areas than in the lowest risk areas over this period, which indicates that consumers faced decreasing availability. Climate change is making it more costly for insurers to operate. Insurers’ costs in 2018-2022 were higher in areas with the highest expected losses from climate-related perils. The paid loss ratio, which reflects how much insurers paid for claims relative to what they received in premiums, was highest in the highest risk ZIP Codes. These areas had a higher frequency of claims and severity of claims, about $24,000 on average compared to an average of about $19,000 for lowest risk areas.  Homeowners insurance is important to U.S. consumers, the economy, and the financial system. For many Americans, their home is their largest financial asset and the cost and availability of adequate homeowners insurance has a direct impact on housing expenses and the value of homes. The cost and availability of insurance can also have significant consequences for local governments whose tax bases rely on property values. Moreover, homes are increasingly vulnerable to natural disasters. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported that, from 2018-2022, 84 billion dollar disasters (excluding floods) cost over $609 billion and costs for such disasters have continued to rise since then. Today’s report considers homeowners insurance costs in the context of nine types of climate-related perils, explicitly excluding flooding (which is not typically covered by homeowners insurance policies) and non-climate-related disasters like earthquakes. “Treasury’s analysis comes at a time of devastating tragedy, loss of life, and destruction from the wildfires in the Los Angeles area,” said Secretary of the Treasury Janet L. Yellen. “While it’s far from clear what the exact financial costs of this disaster will be, it is a stark reminder of the impacts of the growing magnitude of natural disasters on the U.S. economy. Moreover, this disaster does not stand alone as evidence of this impact, with other climate-related events leading to challenges for Americans in finding affordable insurance coverage – from severe storms in the Great Plains to hurricanes in the Southeast. This report identifies alarming trends of rising costs of insurance – to consumers and insurers themselves – as well as lack of availability of insurance, all of which threaten the long-term prosperity of American families.”“Data and analysis, like those in this report, are critical for helping policymakers understand how substantial climate-related property losses are being spread across homeowners, insurers, and governments,” said Under Secretary for Domestic Finance Nellie Liang. “Our analysis is based on an important collaborative effort by the National Association of Insurance Commissioners, state insurance regulators, and FIO to collect nationwide, granular data to better understand and address current homeowners insurance challenges. Given the increasing frequency and severity of climate events, it is essential to build on and continue this effort.”In May 2021, President Biden issued Executive Order 14030 directing FIO to “assess, in consultation with States, the potential for major disruptions of private insurance coverage in regions of the country particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts.” Insurance in the United States is regulated at the state level. In March 2024, FIO announced it was engaging in a first-of-its-kind partnership with the NAIC, on the behalf of state insurance regulators, to collect data on the homeowners insurance market. The NAIC shared a subset of the collected data with FIO, with regular meetings between NAIC and FIO to collaborate, review and assess the data up to and beyond an agreed upon deadline of September 27, 2024. This report and the data collection effort complements the important efforts that states and local communities are undertaking to understand and address market challenges from the higher costs of climate-related disasters and other factors weighing on homeowners insurance markets.To promote greater public transparency, while protecting the privacy of insurers and consumers, Treasury is releasing a large subset of the aggregated ZIP Code level data underlying the analysis in this report. In particular, data presented in the report are being made available for ZIP Codes where there are at least ten insurers and at least 50 policies. These data can be downloaded here.  More detail on the data collection and limitations for the data used in the report and the data being made available to the public are discussed in the report. ###
home.treasury.gov
January 17, 2025 at 9:41 PM
This morning I overheard my doctor scoffing outside the closed exam room door about UnitedHealthcare listing its CEO job opening within 12 hours of the event. He was repeating misinformation but still. Our docs are fed up w private health insurance—why not the AMA?
December 18, 2024 at 6:01 PM
Smart perspective from John Landis on causes of housing shortages + practical solutions. It isn’t just zoning; in a lot of places, it’s not about zoning at all. www-planetizen-com.cdn.ampproject.org/c/s/www.plan...
To Build More Housing, Cities Must Be Smarter in How They Use Land
How strategic land use policy decisions can alleviate the housing crisis and limit unsustainable sprawl.
www-planetizen-com.cdn.ampproject.org
December 17, 2024 at 6:13 PM
Amid a scalding heat wave, parts of South Australia exceeded 45°C (113°F) Monday. It met 96% of power demand with renewables. Result: energy prices remained below zero. reneweconomy.com.au/wind-and-sol...
Wind and solar smash output records as grid demand hits new highs in midst of heatwave
Updated: South Australia smashes demand record, but prices remain negative because wind and solar supplied nearly all its power needs, as main grid also hits new peaks in heatwave.
reneweconomy.com.au
December 17, 2024 at 10:26 AM
Check out the whole thread. Excellent work—thank you!!from post 6: “the median renter making less than $30,000 has just $250 left, a 55% drop (inflation-adjusted) since 2001. burdened lower-income renters spend less on basic necessities, threatening their well-being and housing stability.”
December 16, 2024 at 10:26 PM
Valuable critique by @sara-mctarnaghan.bsky.social of efforts to measure resilience
WAPO ran a feature on resilience measurement using data from a proprietary provider. The tool allows invites users to see how their city/place stacks up to others across the US on risk and resilience. Some reactions as a researcher who has endeavored to measure resilience in place:
Advice | See if your city is poised to bounce back from the next climate disaster
Communities across the United States face extreme weather, but some are prepared to thrive. Find out how your city ranks.
www.washingtonpost.com
November 21, 2024 at 5:37 PM
I learned so much just now about Chapter 40B (MA's "anti-NIMBY" law) from a new article by Noémie Sportiche and colleages in @houspoldebate.bsky.social. 40B has created tens of thousands of units in "high-opportunity" neighborhoods. doi.org/10.1080/1051...
Can Fair Share Policies Expand Neighborhood Choice? Evidence From Bypassing Exclusionary Zoning Under Massachusetts Chapter 40B
Opening up neighborhoods that offer greater opportunities for social mobility to low- and moderate-income households remains a challenge in the United States. Exclusionary zoning practices act as a...
doi.org
November 20, 2024 at 6:25 PM
Reposted by Rolf Pendall
My first Bluesky post. It’s daunting to start on a new platform. Whom do I imagine as the community(ies) I’ll most want to be part of here? I.e., who do I want to be here? Early followers: why did you follow me (back)? What can I offer that you think few others can? Thanks.
November 20, 2024 at 6:25 PM
Unintended consequences of well-meaning policies: using rent payments to boost credit scores can hurt long-term renters more than it helps would-be homebuyers. Thanks @corpkiller.bsky.social for the insight.
For about the past five years there’s been an effort by some well-meaning but misguided people to get landlords to report tenants’ rent payments to consumer reporting agencies so that it shows up on people’s credit reports.

The idea behind this is, since most tenants pay rent on time, this will 1/
November 20, 2024 at 6:25 PM
My first Bluesky post. It’s daunting to start on a new platform. Whom do I imagine as the community(ies) I’ll most want to be part of here? I.e., who do I want to be here? Early followers: why did you follow me (back)? What can I offer that you think few others can? Thanks.
November 20, 2024 at 6:25 PM