Reed Orchinik
@rorchinik.bsky.social
PhD student at MIT
I use computational and experimental methods to understand beliefs, particularly as they relate to issues like misinformation and climate change.
I use computational and experimental methods to understand beliefs, particularly as they relate to issues like misinformation and climate change.
Reposted by Reed Orchinik
Normalizing lies...👇
Repeated exposure effect on moral condemnation of fake news www.nature.com/articles/s41... @dgrand.bsky.social
"...frequently seen headlines receive lower moral condemnation"
"Without this condemnation, the publication & spreading of online misinformation may be more common."
Repeated exposure effect on moral condemnation of fake news www.nature.com/articles/s41... @dgrand.bsky.social
"...frequently seen headlines receive lower moral condemnation"
"Without this condemnation, the publication & spreading of online misinformation may be more common."
August 6, 2025 at 2:46 PM
Normalizing lies...👇
Repeated exposure effect on moral condemnation of fake news www.nature.com/articles/s41... @dgrand.bsky.social
"...frequently seen headlines receive lower moral condemnation"
"Without this condemnation, the publication & spreading of online misinformation may be more common."
Repeated exposure effect on moral condemnation of fake news www.nature.com/articles/s41... @dgrand.bsky.social
"...frequently seen headlines receive lower moral condemnation"
"Without this condemnation, the publication & spreading of online misinformation may be more common."
Reposted by Reed Orchinik
🚨New WP🚨
Using GPT4 to persuade participants significantly reduces climate skepticism and inaction
-Sig more effective than consensus messaging
-Works for Republicans
-Evidence of persistence @ 1mo
-Scalable!
PDF: osf.io/preprints/ps...
Try the bot: www.debunkbot.com/climate-change
Here’s how 👇
Using GPT4 to persuade participants significantly reduces climate skepticism and inaction
-Sig more effective than consensus messaging
-Works for Republicans
-Evidence of persistence @ 1mo
-Scalable!
PDF: osf.io/preprints/ps...
Try the bot: www.debunkbot.com/climate-change
Here’s how 👇
April 18, 2025 at 1:02 PM
🚨New WP🚨
Using GPT4 to persuade participants significantly reduces climate skepticism and inaction
-Sig more effective than consensus messaging
-Works for Republicans
-Evidence of persistence @ 1mo
-Scalable!
PDF: osf.io/preprints/ps...
Try the bot: www.debunkbot.com/climate-change
Here’s how 👇
Using GPT4 to persuade participants significantly reduces climate skepticism and inaction
-Sig more effective than consensus messaging
-Works for Republicans
-Evidence of persistence @ 1mo
-Scalable!
PDF: osf.io/preprints/ps...
Try the bot: www.debunkbot.com/climate-change
Here’s how 👇
Reposted by Reed Orchinik
Do you have strong programming skills but need research experience doing meaningful & exciting CSS projects before head off to a top graduate school for a computational social science PhD? Apply now to predoc www.microsoft.com/en-us/resear... with me, @dggoldst.bsky.social & @jakehofman.bsky.social
Predoctoral Research Assistant (Contract) – Computational Social Science - Microsoft Research
Are you a recent college graduate wishing to gain research experience prior to pursuing a Ph.D. in fields related to computational social science (CSS)? Do you have a deep love of “playing with data”—...
www.microsoft.com
April 16, 2025 at 1:44 PM
Do you have strong programming skills but need research experience doing meaningful & exciting CSS projects before head off to a top graduate school for a computational social science PhD? Apply now to predoc www.microsoft.com/en-us/resear... with me, @dggoldst.bsky.social & @jakehofman.bsky.social
Reposted by Reed Orchinik
New Bright Line Watch report brightlinewatch.org/accelerated-...
-Expert ratings of US democracy at post-2016 low
-55% of Trump-aligned Rs approve of "strong leader who does not have to bother w/Congress"
-Jan 6 pardons, exec branch firings, Musk influence rated as grave threats
🧵 of results below
-Expert ratings of US democracy at post-2016 low
-55% of Trump-aligned Rs approve of "strong leader who does not have to bother w/Congress"
-Jan 6 pardons, exec branch firings, Musk influence rated as grave threats
🧵 of results below
February 24, 2025 at 2:26 PM
New Bright Line Watch report brightlinewatch.org/accelerated-...
-Expert ratings of US democracy at post-2016 low
-55% of Trump-aligned Rs approve of "strong leader who does not have to bother w/Congress"
-Jan 6 pardons, exec branch firings, Musk influence rated as grave threats
🧵 of results below
-Expert ratings of US democracy at post-2016 low
-55% of Trump-aligned Rs approve of "strong leader who does not have to bother w/Congress"
-Jan 6 pardons, exec branch firings, Musk influence rated as grave threats
🧵 of results below
Reposted by Reed Orchinik
A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN.
The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper.
The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper.
The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
February 7, 2025 at 1:08 AM
A new working paper with Daniel Banki, @urisohn.bsky.social and Robert Walatka, just submitted to SSRN.
The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper.
The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
The paper is comment on Ryan Oprea's recent AER paper.
The paper is processing, but you, my friends, get early entry.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Reposted by Reed Orchinik
CamererFest got off to a great start with a thrilling poster session from generations of @cfcamerer.bsky.social academic descendants #cfcfc 1/10
February 1, 2025 at 4:09 PM
CamererFest got off to a great start with a thrilling poster session from generations of @cfcamerer.bsky.social academic descendants #cfcfc 1/10
Reposted by Reed Orchinik
@rorchinik.bsky.social fit three fascinating papers on adaptation to environments with varying levels of misinformation on one poster. If the QR codes don't work, go to his website: www.reedorchinik.com/research @rbhui.bsky.social @dgrand.bsky.social @cameronmartel.bsky.social #cfcfc 4/10
February 1, 2025 at 4:09 PM
@rorchinik.bsky.social fit three fascinating papers on adaptation to environments with varying levels of misinformation on one poster. If the QR codes don't work, go to his website: www.reedorchinik.com/research @rbhui.bsky.social @dgrand.bsky.social @cameronmartel.bsky.social #cfcfc 4/10
New WP!
The illusory truth effect (repetition -> belief) is core to psych of beliefs, & thought to be a deep bias impacting misinfo, persuasion & advertising
Why would cognition include such a flaw? We argue it is a rational adaptation to high-quality info environments 🧵1/
The illusory truth effect (repetition -> belief) is core to psych of beliefs, & thought to be a deep bias impacting misinfo, persuasion & advertising
Why would cognition include such a flaw? We argue it is a rational adaptation to high-quality info environments 🧵1/
February 1, 2025 at 10:50 PM
New WP!
The illusory truth effect (repetition -> belief) is core to psych of beliefs, & thought to be a deep bias impacting misinfo, persuasion & advertising
Why would cognition include such a flaw? We argue it is a rational adaptation to high-quality info environments 🧵1/
The illusory truth effect (repetition -> belief) is core to psych of beliefs, & thought to be a deep bias impacting misinfo, persuasion & advertising
Why would cognition include such a flaw? We argue it is a rational adaptation to high-quality info environments 🧵1/
Very excited about this paper! And make sure to check out my talk tomorrow if you’re at SJDM
🚨New WP🚨
Intuition favors belief in false claims. But why?
@rorchinik.bsky.social argues its the result of rationally adaptative intuitions adjusting to low base rate of false claims in the US media environment
Check out Reed's talk at SJDM on 11/18 9:10am!
PDF: osf.io/preprints/ps...
Intuition favors belief in false claims. But why?
@rorchinik.bsky.social argues its the result of rationally adaptative intuitions adjusting to low base rate of false claims in the US media environment
Check out Reed's talk at SJDM on 11/18 9:10am!
PDF: osf.io/preprints/ps...
November 17, 2023 at 5:45 PM
Very excited about this paper! And make sure to check out my talk tomorrow if you’re at SJDM
Check out our new working paper!
While Elon Musk’s embrace of the right has had horrible effects, it puts him in a place to be a credible messenger to Reps about the importance of climate change. Showing Rs his pro-climate tweets causes meaningful changes in pro-climate beliefs & intended actions.
While Elon Musk’s embrace of the right has had horrible effects, it puts him in a place to be a credible messenger to Reps about the importance of climate change. Showing Rs his pro-climate tweets causes meaningful changes in pro-climate beliefs & intended actions.
🚨New WP🚨
How can more Republicans be convinced re climate change?
We show that tweets from Elon Musk (a fav of the right, but still pro-climate) sig increase climate concern/action among Reps - with no effect on his reputation
Musk can be a powerful climate messenger!
osf.io/preprints/ps...
How can more Republicans be convinced re climate change?
We show that tweets from Elon Musk (a fav of the right, but still pro-climate) sig increase climate concern/action among Reps - with no effect on his reputation
Musk can be a powerful climate messenger!
osf.io/preprints/ps...
October 31, 2023 at 3:40 PM
Check out our new working paper!
While Elon Musk’s embrace of the right has had horrible effects, it puts him in a place to be a credible messenger to Reps about the importance of climate change. Showing Rs his pro-climate tweets causes meaningful changes in pro-climate beliefs & intended actions.
While Elon Musk’s embrace of the right has had horrible effects, it puts him in a place to be a credible messenger to Reps about the importance of climate change. Showing Rs his pro-climate tweets causes meaningful changes in pro-climate beliefs & intended actions.
Very happy to share a new working paper with some great coauthors!
97% of climate scientists agree that human-caused climate change is occurring. But how do people interpret this consensus? Is it a testament to expertise or a signal of bias?
psyarxiv.com/ezua5/
97% of climate scientists agree that human-caused climate change is occurring. But how do people interpret this consensus? Is it a testament to expertise or a signal of bias?
psyarxiv.com/ezua5/
September 26, 2023 at 3:13 PM
Very happy to share a new working paper with some great coauthors!
97% of climate scientists agree that human-caused climate change is occurring. But how do people interpret this consensus? Is it a testament to expertise or a signal of bias?
psyarxiv.com/ezua5/
97% of climate scientists agree that human-caused climate change is occurring. But how do people interpret this consensus? Is it a testament to expertise or a signal of bias?
psyarxiv.com/ezua5/