Tech, Software Development, Science, History, Economics, Politics
https://blog.robbowley.net
https://www.linkedin.com/in/robertbowley
https://pragmaticpartners.co.uk
Manchester, UK
This is me, without hat, in my garden, on a rainy morning in Manchester 🐝, UK
Been working in tech for 25 years - software engineer then various leadership roles. Nowadays I'm a product & tech leadership advisor, coach, consultant.
1/4
Better scores on narrow reasoning and benchmarks, but trade offs elsewhere like consistency & hallucinations.
Better scores on narrow reasoning and benchmarks, but trade offs elsewhere like consistency & hallucinations.
Any future industrial-revolution-scale shift will almost certainly involve a comparable change in energy availability, not information technology alone.
Any future industrial-revolution-scale shift will almost certainly involve a comparable change in energy availability, not information technology alone.
GenAI operates through a narrow, lossy interface. Good at helping with slices of work, but real constraints sit elsewhere
Better models don't change the boundary. So it doesn’t really matter how “smart” models get
GenAI operates through a narrow, lossy interface. Good at helping with slices of work, but real constraints sit elsewhere
Better models don't change the boundary. So it doesn’t really matter how “smart” models get
1/4
1/4
GenAI = more like faster horses - better versions of what we already had: writing, code, analysis, planning
Useful, but not the kind of shift
GenAI = more like faster horses - better versions of what we already had: writing, code, analysis, planning
Useful, but not the kind of shift
AI will more likely mean more with the same rather than the same or more with less.
AI will more likely mean more with the same rather than the same or more with less.
Only one thing I strongly disagree with:
"Claude is trained on real-world code. Real-world code has crappy tests."
Most real-world code has NO tests.
Only one thing I strongly disagree with:
"Claude is trained on real-world code. Real-world code has crappy tests."
Most real-world code has NO tests.
(> next)
(> next)
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
rfd.shared.oxide.computer/rfd/0576
AI speeds up code generation briefly, but code quality degrades quickly. Complexity rises faster than the amount of code added.
I wrote up the findings and my thoughts 👇
AI speeds up code generation briefly, but code quality degrades quickly. Complexity rises faster than the amount of code added.
I wrote up the findings and my thoughts 👇
AI speeds up code generation briefly, but code quality degrades quickly. Complexity rises faster than the amount of code added.
I wrote up the findings and my thoughts 👇
AI speeds up code generation briefly, but code quality degrades quickly. Complexity rises faster than the amount of code added.
I wrote up the findings and my thoughts 👇
Traffic down 6% since Google launched new Gemini and Banana models
Traffic down 6% since Google launched new Gemini and Banana models
Actual study: Anthropic paid MIT to use a "labor simulation tool" that said 11.7% of TASKS could be done by AI
Actual study: Anthropic paid MIT to use a "labor simulation tool" that said 11.7% of TASKS could be done by AI
Very long, but very good article.
Very long, but very good article.
Service design second
Operating model third
Technology fourth
This order is still reversed way too often.