René Duba 🅿️
@reneduba.bsky.social
Conflict analyst 🅿️ (parked here)
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Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
👇👇👇👇
‼️🇫🇷👊 E. Macron :
This morning, the French Navy boarded a tanker from Russia that was subject to international sanctions and suspected of sailing under a false flag.
Detail 🇫🇷🇬🇧👇
This morning, the French Navy boarded a tanker from Russia that was subject to international sanctions and suspected of sailing under a false flag.
Detail 🇫🇷🇬🇧👇
January 22, 2026 at 2:44 PM
👇👇👇👇
Ukraine is developing its own microwave system against drones:
militarnyi.com/en/news/ukra...
militarnyi.com/en/news/ukra...
militarnyi.com
January 20, 2026 at 9:28 PM
Ukraine is developing its own microwave system against drones:
militarnyi.com/en/news/ukra...
militarnyi.com/en/news/ukra...
Microwave defence against multiple drones at once. Battery powered for up to 30 minutes. Generator powered for continuous use. Cheap per 'shot', no ammo needed, but it requires clear weather and line of sight.
militarnyi.com/en/news/leon...
militarnyi.com/en/news/leon...
militarnyi.com
January 20, 2026 at 9:25 PM
Microwave defence against multiple drones at once. Battery powered for up to 30 minutes. Generator powered for continuous use. Cheap per 'shot', no ammo needed, but it requires clear weather and line of sight.
militarnyi.com/en/news/leon...
militarnyi.com/en/news/leon...
There is a new version of the Destinus cruise missile: the Ruta-block-2:
militarnyi.com/en/news/ruta...
militarnyi.com/en/news/ruta...
militarnyi.com
January 20, 2026 at 1:15 PM
There is a new version of the Destinus cruise missile: the Ruta-block-2:
militarnyi.com/en/news/ruta...
militarnyi.com/en/news/ruta...
Interesting article:
How Putin seduced Trump into "spheres of influence" thinking and do the Venezuela thing... (and Canada... and Greenland...):
america2.news/the-russian-...
How Putin seduced Trump into "spheres of influence" thinking and do the Venezuela thing... (and Canada... and Greenland...):
america2.news/the-russian-...
The Russian Roots of Trump's Venezuela and Greenland Operations
We find that Trump's current moves against Venezuela and Greenland have roots in a long-running Russian influence campaign intended to provoke these outcomes.
america2.news
January 7, 2026 at 4:55 PM
Interesting article:
How Putin seduced Trump into "spheres of influence" thinking and do the Venezuela thing... (and Canada... and Greenland...):
america2.news/the-russian-...
How Putin seduced Trump into "spheres of influence" thinking and do the Venezuela thing... (and Canada... and Greenland...):
america2.news/the-russian-...
Russia is known for its exceptionally large gold reserves, this year however, they started to make many payments in gold and liquidated already 570.000 kgs of gold, which is exactly one quarter of all the gold they had.
This doesn't mean that they can hold out another 3 years though.
This doesn't mean that they can hold out another 3 years though.
December 31, 2025 at 10:27 AM
Russia is known for its exceptionally large gold reserves, this year however, they started to make many payments in gold and liquidated already 570.000 kgs of gold, which is exactly one quarter of all the gold they had.
This doesn't mean that they can hold out another 3 years though.
This doesn't mean that they can hold out another 3 years though.
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
🔥 A burning column of Russian motorcycles and ATVs, - Ptashka Drones.
December 21, 2025 at 8:37 PM
🔥 A burning column of Russian motorcycles and ATVs, - Ptashka Drones.
How do we know it's Russia who is behind the drone incursions into NATO countries?
1. Because the models downed are Russian models, like the Orlan type.
2. Because it fits in with Russian 'hybrid warfare'.
3. Because the drones appear where certain Russian ships go.
1/
1. Because the models downed are Russian models, like the Orlan type.
2. Because it fits in with Russian 'hybrid warfare'.
3. Because the drones appear where certain Russian ships go.
1/
December 21, 2025 at 8:34 AM
How do we know it's Russia who is behind the drone incursions into NATO countries?
1. Because the models downed are Russian models, like the Orlan type.
2. Because it fits in with Russian 'hybrid warfare'.
3. Because the drones appear where certain Russian ships go.
1/
1. Because the models downed are Russian models, like the Orlan type.
2. Because it fits in with Russian 'hybrid warfare'.
3. Because the drones appear where certain Russian ships go.
1/
Jeremy Cliffe writes:
Europe "needs a warp-speed effort to reduce its dependence on the US."
And: "time has come for a coercive European approach towards America."
agendapublica.es/noticia/2047...
Europe "needs a warp-speed effort to reduce its dependence on the US."
And: "time has come for a coercive European approach towards America."
agendapublica.es/noticia/2047...
Against Donald Trump, a Europe that abandons its illusions and wields its coercive power
For Jeremy Cliffe, editorial director at the ECFR think tank, the administration’s National Security Strategy confirms that both Europe and Washington misunderstand their relationship. In his analysis...
agendapublica.es
December 16, 2025 at 12:17 AM
Jeremy Cliffe writes:
Europe "needs a warp-speed effort to reduce its dependence on the US."
And: "time has come for a coercive European approach towards America."
agendapublica.es/noticia/2047...
Europe "needs a warp-speed effort to reduce its dependence on the US."
And: "time has come for a coercive European approach towards America."
agendapublica.es/noticia/2047...
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
Europe imagines it can win at Washington’s “neo-royalist” game. Trump sees Europe as an extension of his domestic retribution campaign. Both are wrong, and both underestimate Europe’s ability to fight back (if it finds the will). My thoughts for @agendapublica.es:
agendapublica.es/noticia/2047...
agendapublica.es/noticia/2047...
Against Donald Trump, a Europe that abandons its illusions and wields its coercive power
For Jeremy Cliffe, editor at the ECFR think tank, the administration’s National Security Strategy confirms that both Europe and Washington misunderstand their relationship. In his analysis, he argues ...
agendapublica.es
December 15, 2025 at 7:44 PM
Europe imagines it can win at Washington’s “neo-royalist” game. Trump sees Europe as an extension of his domestic retribution campaign. Both are wrong, and both underestimate Europe’s ability to fight back (if it finds the will). My thoughts for @agendapublica.es:
agendapublica.es/noticia/2047...
agendapublica.es/noticia/2047...
Ukraine blew up a Russian kilo-class submarine while it was docked in port on the Black Sea.
Very promising for a first test of the 'sub-sea-baby'.
Pic: artist's impression of a 'Fury' undersea drone:
Very promising for a first test of the 'sub-sea-baby'.
Pic: artist's impression of a 'Fury' undersea drone:
December 15, 2025 at 3:35 PM
Ukraine blew up a Russian kilo-class submarine while it was docked in port on the Black Sea.
Very promising for a first test of the 'sub-sea-baby'.
Pic: artist's impression of a 'Fury' undersea drone:
Very promising for a first test of the 'sub-sea-baby'.
Pic: artist's impression of a 'Fury' undersea drone:
X/Twitter is awash with attacks at the EU. This happenend after X/Twitter was fined for deception and lack of transparency.
Musk plays a big part in attacking Ursula von der Leyen, as being 'unelected', which isn't true: she was elected with 401 votes in favour of the 360 needed.
1/2
Musk plays a big part in attacking Ursula von der Leyen, as being 'unelected', which isn't true: she was elected with 401 votes in favour of the 360 needed.
1/2
December 15, 2025 at 8:54 AM
X/Twitter is awash with attacks at the EU. This happenend after X/Twitter was fined for deception and lack of transparency.
Musk plays a big part in attacking Ursula von der Leyen, as being 'unelected', which isn't true: she was elected with 401 votes in favour of the 360 needed.
1/2
Musk plays a big part in attacking Ursula von der Leyen, as being 'unelected', which isn't true: she was elected with 401 votes in favour of the 360 needed.
1/2
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
Putin: peace must become impossible:
Earlier Putin said he only wanted to sign a peace agreement with a newly elected Ukrainian government. Zelensky is willing.
Now Putin demands it must be a pro-Russian government.
Will Putin's bombing of civilians enhance the pro-Russian sentiment?
ISW:
Earlier Putin said he only wanted to sign a peace agreement with a newly elected Ukrainian government. Zelensky is willing.
Now Putin demands it must be a pro-Russian government.
Will Putin's bombing of civilians enhance the pro-Russian sentiment?
ISW:
December 11, 2025 at 8:51 AM
Putin: peace must become impossible:
Earlier Putin said he only wanted to sign a peace agreement with a newly elected Ukrainian government. Zelensky is willing.
Now Putin demands it must be a pro-Russian government.
Will Putin's bombing of civilians enhance the pro-Russian sentiment?
ISW:
Earlier Putin said he only wanted to sign a peace agreement with a newly elected Ukrainian government. Zelensky is willing.
Now Putin demands it must be a pro-Russian government.
Will Putin's bombing of civilians enhance the pro-Russian sentiment?
ISW:
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
Estimated russian losses from February 24, 2022 to November 20, 2025 of the russian all-out war against Ukraine, according to the General Staff of #Ukraine
🔷 Yesterday 890 enemy, killed or wounded
🔷 Yesterday 890 enemy, killed or wounded
November 20, 2025 at 6:58 AM
Estimated russian losses from February 24, 2022 to November 20, 2025 of the russian all-out war against Ukraine, according to the General Staff of #Ukraine
🔷 Yesterday 890 enemy, killed or wounded
🔷 Yesterday 890 enemy, killed or wounded
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
🚨Russian losses as of Nov 20th, Day 1366 of Russia’s War of Aggression Against the People of Ukraine.
Russia can’t even find 1000 men/day to throw into the meat grinder they’ve created. Every day the creeping failure of this war continues is just more embarrassment and shame for a dying nation.
Russia can’t even find 1000 men/day to throw into the meat grinder they’ve created. Every day the creeping failure of this war continues is just more embarrassment and shame for a dying nation.
November 20, 2025 at 7:15 AM
🚨Russian losses as of Nov 20th, Day 1366 of Russia’s War of Aggression Against the People of Ukraine.
Russia can’t even find 1000 men/day to throw into the meat grinder they’ve created. Every day the creeping failure of this war continues is just more embarrassment and shame for a dying nation.
Russia can’t even find 1000 men/day to throw into the meat grinder they’ve created. Every day the creeping failure of this war continues is just more embarrassment and shame for a dying nation.
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
Rubio needs to learn that forcing Russia’s ideas on others without asking others for their own is not an exchange of ideas.
This plan includes zero concessions from Russia and countless from Ukraine.
It is neither serious, realistic, nor fair
This plan includes zero concessions from Russia and countless from Ukraine.
It is neither serious, realistic, nor fair
November 20, 2025 at 7:18 AM
Rubio needs to learn that forcing Russia’s ideas on others without asking others for their own is not an exchange of ideas.
This plan includes zero concessions from Russia and countless from Ukraine.
It is neither serious, realistic, nor fair
This plan includes zero concessions from Russia and countless from Ukraine.
It is neither serious, realistic, nor fair
Russia will try to play European nations apart. Russia hopes one leader will talk to him from a national perspective, instead of from a common EU+Ukrainian perspective.
This is also Russia's strategy in hybrid attacks against EU countries: the hope that it provokes a one-sided overreaction.
This is also Russia's strategy in hybrid attacks against EU countries: the hope that it provokes a one-sided overreaction.
November 18, 2025 at 7:23 PM
Russia will try to play European nations apart. Russia hopes one leader will talk to him from a national perspective, instead of from a common EU+Ukrainian perspective.
This is also Russia's strategy in hybrid attacks against EU countries: the hope that it provokes a one-sided overreaction.
This is also Russia's strategy in hybrid attacks against EU countries: the hope that it provokes a one-sided overreaction.
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
- YouTube
www.youtube.com
November 18, 2025 at 5:56 PM
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
1/ Mobilised Russian soldiers serving on temporary contracts are being threatened en masse with execution if they do not sign contracts, making them permanent soldiers and ineligible for post-war demobilisation. Russian warbloggers are forcefully condemning this practice. ⬇️
November 8, 2025 at 9:43 AM
1/ Mobilised Russian soldiers serving on temporary contracts are being threatened en masse with execution if they do not sign contracts, making them permanent soldiers and ineligible for post-war demobilisation. Russian warbloggers are forcefully condemning this practice. ⬇️
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
On October 6, Ukrainian Special Forces destroyed a Russian S-400 launcher near Yevpatoria and hit an ammo depot of the 18th Army near Simferopol. The operation in occupied Crimea was carried out by Resistance units together with Deep Strike SOF teams.
November 8, 2025 at 9:44 AM
On October 6, Ukrainian Special Forces destroyed a Russian S-400 launcher near Yevpatoria and hit an ammo depot of the 18th Army near Simferopol. The operation in occupied Crimea was carried out by Resistance units together with Deep Strike SOF teams.
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
A night, a Ukrainian drone strike hit the Tyingovatovo oil pumping station in Chuvashia, located nearly 1000 km from Ukraine. The facility is part of the Kuibyshev-Tikhoretsk oil pipeline.
September 27, 2025 at 9:15 AM
A night, a Ukrainian drone strike hit the Tyingovatovo oil pumping station in Chuvashia, located nearly 1000 km from Ukraine. The facility is part of the Kuibyshev-Tikhoretsk oil pipeline.
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
⚡️Investigation finds Russian surveillance, sabotage ship near European undersea cables, FT reports.
Satellite data has uncovered a Russian surveillance and sabotage ship near crucial underwater cables in Europe's seas, the Financial Times (FT) reported on Sept. 26.
Satellite data has uncovered a Russian surveillance and sabotage ship near crucial underwater cables in Europe's seas, the Financial Times (FT) reported on Sept. 26.
Investigation finds Russian surveillance, sabotage ship near European undersea cables, FT reports
Precise maps of Europe's crucial energy and communications networks would be an advantage for Moscow if it ever decides to wage a war against the continent, FT reported.
kyivindependent.com
September 27, 2025 at 3:20 AM
⚡️Investigation finds Russian surveillance, sabotage ship near European undersea cables, FT reports.
Satellite data has uncovered a Russian surveillance and sabotage ship near crucial underwater cables in Europe's seas, the Financial Times (FT) reported on Sept. 26.
Satellite data has uncovered a Russian surveillance and sabotage ship near crucial underwater cables in Europe's seas, the Financial Times (FT) reported on Sept. 26.
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
🐦 Bird “shoots down” enemy drone simulator.
July 12, 2025 at 6:33 AM
🐦 Bird “shoots down” enemy drone simulator.
Reposted by René Duba 🅿️
A Ukrainian MiG-29 has struck the only bridge linking occupied Vasylivka to the Kamyanske highway using GBU-62 guided bombs.
July 12, 2025 at 6:54 AM
A Ukrainian MiG-29 has struck the only bridge linking occupied Vasylivka to the Kamyanske highway using GBU-62 guided bombs.