Piero Stanig
@pstanig.bsky.social
Political scientist, Bocconi University. Voting, political economy, climate change, robots, AI, and more.
This new report of the UN Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and
human rights docs.un.org/en/A/80/138 cites my work on trade shocks and economic nationalism with Italo Colantone, but also a paper of mine on extreme weather events with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social.
human rights docs.un.org/en/A/80/138 cites my work on trade shocks and economic nationalism with Italo Colantone, but also a paper of mine on extreme weather events with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social.
October 21, 2025 at 12:29 PM
This new report of the UN Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and
human rights docs.un.org/en/A/80/138 cites my work on trade shocks and economic nationalism with Italo Colantone, but also a paper of mine on extreme weather events with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social.
human rights docs.un.org/en/A/80/138 cites my work on trade shocks and economic nationalism with Italo Colantone, but also a paper of mine on extreme weather events with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social.
wol.iza.org/opinions/rob... with @paoloagnolin.bsky.social, @massimo-anelli.bsky.social and Colantone
Robots, restructuring, and union retreat: How automation alters worker organization
Modern employment structures challenge traditional forms of worker organization, risking continued union decline despite ongoing interest in collective action
wol.iza.org
June 24, 2025 at 3:34 PM
wol.iza.org/opinions/rob... with @paoloagnolin.bsky.social, @massimo-anelli.bsky.social and Colantone
Finally typeset in @thejop.bsky.social, the paper with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social on the electoral impact of the Vaia storm in the Alps in northeastern Italy. Link to some free pdf views here www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
June 11, 2025 at 8:16 AM
Finally typeset in @thejop.bsky.social, the paper with @simonecremaschi.bsky.social on the electoral impact of the Vaia storm in the Alps in northeastern Italy. Link to some free pdf views here www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/epdf/10....
Reposted by Piero Stanig
New article from our latest issue (Issue 8, 2025): "In Search of the Causes of the Globalization Backlash: Methodological Considerations on Post-treatment Bias" by Paolo Agnolin @paoloagnolin.bsky.social , Italo Colantone, and Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
June 4, 2025 at 7:31 PM
New article from our latest issue (Issue 8, 2025): "In Search of the Causes of the Globalization Backlash: Methodological Considerations on Post-treatment Bias" by Paolo Agnolin @paoloagnolin.bsky.social , Italo Colantone, and Piero Stanig @pstanig.bsky.social
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/abs/10.1...
Reposted by Piero Stanig
🚨3-Year Postdoc Position in Zurich @ipz.bsky.social
❓Political implications of labor market transformation
Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city.
Deadline: May 18, 2025.
tinyurl.com/postdoczurich
#polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
❓Political implications of labor market transformation
Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city.
Deadline: May 18, 2025.
tinyurl.com/postdoczurich
#polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
tinyurl.com
April 30, 2025 at 12:27 PM
🚨3-Year Postdoc Position in Zurich @ipz.bsky.social
❓Political implications of labor market transformation
Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city.
Deadline: May 18, 2025.
tinyurl.com/postdoczurich
#polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
❓Political implications of labor market transformation
Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city.
Deadline: May 18, 2025.
tinyurl.com/postdoczurich
#polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
Reposted by Piero Stanig
every time I see someone praise the absurdly difficult and advanced math curriculum for kids in singapore I am reminded of this chart
March 9, 2025 at 11:39 PM
every time I see someone praise the absurdly difficult and advanced math curriculum for kids in singapore I am reminded of this chart
Reposted by Piero Stanig
I’m hearing a lot of people repeating the line that social democrats are not losing votes to the far right, so that invalidates the thesis that social democrats have lost touch with the working class and should address issues like migration. But this is missing the point
February 25, 2025 at 8:44 AM
I’m hearing a lot of people repeating the line that social democrats are not losing votes to the far right, so that invalidates the thesis that social democrats have lost touch with the working class and should address issues like migration. But this is missing the point
Reposted by Piero Stanig
Marie & Pinotti (2024): Very important paper, also in light of the policy debates in many countries:
- Immigration does not increase crime rates.
- Obtaining legal status decreases immigrants' involvement in criminal activities.
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
#EconSky #PolSky #MigSky #noAfd
- Immigration does not increase crime rates.
- Obtaining legal status decreases immigrants' involvement in criminal activities.
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
#EconSky #PolSky #MigSky #noAfd
Immigration and Crime: An International Perspective
(Winter 2024) - The association between immigration and crime has long been a subject of debate, and only recently have we encountered systematic empirical evidence on this issue. Data shows that immigrants, often younger, male,
and less educated compared to natives, are disproportionately represented among offenders in numerous host countries. However, existing research, inclusive of our analysis of new international data, consistently
indicates that immigration does not significantly impact local crime rates in these countries. Furthermore, recent studies underscore that obtaining legal status diminishes immigrants' involvement in criminal activities.
Finally, we discuss potential explanations for the apparent incongruity between immigrants' overrepresentation among offenders and the null effect of immigration on crime rates.
www.aeaweb.org
February 9, 2024 at 9:28 AM
Marie & Pinotti (2024): Very important paper, also in light of the policy debates in many countries:
- Immigration does not increase crime rates.
- Obtaining legal status decreases immigrants' involvement in criminal activities.
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
#EconSky #PolSky #MigSky #noAfd
- Immigration does not increase crime rates.
- Obtaining legal status decreases immigrants' involvement in criminal activities.
www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...
#EconSky #PolSky #MigSky #noAfd
Reposted by Piero Stanig
📢 Our new paper in Political Analysis explains how to use LLMs like GPT-4o, Llama or Mistral to estimate the ideological and policy position of political texts. Our approach is fast, reliable, cost-effective and reproducible and works with texts written in different languages 1/7 cup.org/4axBEXo
Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging | Political Analysis | Cambridge Core
Positioning Political Texts with Large Language Models by Asking and Averaging
cup.org
January 28, 2025 at 7:00 AM
📢 Our new paper in Political Analysis explains how to use LLMs like GPT-4o, Llama or Mistral to estimate the ideological and policy position of political texts. Our approach is fast, reliable, cost-effective and reproducible and works with texts written in different languages 1/7 cup.org/4axBEXo
This. Few things are more maddening than social scientists deliberately underestimating the agents they study. (Yeah they often make choices that might look silly prima facie; that we cannot understand them is an indictment of our discipline(s) more than anything else).
I feel that our job is to understand why people do what they do. “Because they are incoherent” is a bad explanation. If anyone offered that depiction of a decision I made, I would simply say they didn’t understand it. It takes a lot of hubris to give less credence to decision makers I study.
December 23, 2024 at 7:41 PM
This. Few things are more maddening than social scientists deliberately underestimating the agents they study. (Yeah they often make choices that might look silly prima facie; that we cannot understand them is an indictment of our discipline(s) more than anything else).
Maybe it’s just me (ESL US trained political scientist) but the expression “the German government collapsed”, which I keep seeing, does not really convey the correct impression, esp to US audiences. “The cabinet was forced to resign following a vote in the legislature” does not sound that ominous
December 19, 2024 at 9:30 PM
Maybe it’s just me (ESL US trained political scientist) but the expression “the German government collapsed”, which I keep seeing, does not really convey the correct impression, esp to US audiences. “The cabinet was forced to resign following a vote in the legislature” does not sound that ominous
Reposted by Piero Stanig
🚨 New paper 🚨 with @pstanig.bsky.social forthcoming at @thejop.bsky.social 🎉 about the political consequences of climate-related disasters 🌲💦⚠️
Pre-print 👉 osf.io/preprints/os...
Summary 🧵👇
Pre-print 👉 osf.io/preprints/os...
Summary 🧵👇
November 29, 2024 at 12:49 PM
🚨 New paper 🚨 with @pstanig.bsky.social forthcoming at @thejop.bsky.social 🎉 about the political consequences of climate-related disasters 🌲💦⚠️
Pre-print 👉 osf.io/preprints/os...
Summary 🧵👇
Pre-print 👉 osf.io/preprints/os...
Summary 🧵👇
Reposted by Piero Stanig
November 13, 2024 at 8:18 AM
Reposted by Piero Stanig
Why democracy, backsliding, or autocracy? Unabashedly, I think this model has exceptionally rich results. The introductory overview is intended to be self-explanatory without delving into the math. See papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf
November 18, 2024 at 3:51 PM
Why democracy, backsliding, or autocracy? Unabashedly, I think this model has exceptionally rich results. The introductory overview is intended to be self-explanatory without delving into the math. See papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf
Reposted by Piero Stanig
#Polisky folks: Bocconi University is looking for AP in Environmental Politics & Policy 🌏
Offer: Great group of political scientists working at awesome social science university in a fabulous city 🙌
🚨 Deadline: 30th of November
Please share 🔁
Apply 🔗 & ℹ️ : jobmarket.unibocconi.eu?type=&dep=SPS
Offer: Great group of political scientists working at awesome social science university in a fabulous city 🙌
🚨 Deadline: 30th of November
Please share 🔁
Apply 🔗 & ℹ️ : jobmarket.unibocconi.eu?type=&dep=SPS
Job Market - Bocconi University
Recruiting, Faculty, Post-doc Grant, Collaboration Contracts
jobmarket.unibocconi.eu
November 23, 2024 at 7:53 AM
#Polisky folks: Bocconi University is looking for AP in Environmental Politics & Policy 🌏
Offer: Great group of political scientists working at awesome social science university in a fabulous city 🙌
🚨 Deadline: 30th of November
Please share 🔁
Apply 🔗 & ℹ️ : jobmarket.unibocconi.eu?type=&dep=SPS
Offer: Great group of political scientists working at awesome social science university in a fabulous city 🙌
🚨 Deadline: 30th of November
Please share 🔁
Apply 🔗 & ℹ️ : jobmarket.unibocconi.eu?type=&dep=SPS
Reposted by Piero Stanig
New paper with Paolo Agnolin and Italo Colantone: in a way, I wish we didn’t have to write it --it's just another primer on post-treatment bias. But it’s a fun paper...We show how one can break some of Colantone and Stanig's earlier results (i.e., ours!)
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com
October 16, 2024 at 9:20 AM
New paper with Paolo Agnolin and Italo Colantone: in a way, I wish we didn’t have to write it --it's just another primer on post-treatment bias. But it’s a fun paper...We show how one can break some of Colantone and Stanig's earlier results (i.e., ours!)
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Reposted by Piero Stanig
🚨 Publication Alert 🚨
Our paper about public service deprivation and far right support with @paularettl.bsky.social @marcocappelluti.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social is forthcoming at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! 🎉
👉 Preprint: osf.io/preprints/os...
#polisky
Our paper about public service deprivation and far right support with @paularettl.bsky.social @marcocappelluti.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social is forthcoming at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! 🎉
👉 Preprint: osf.io/preprints/os...
#polisky
November 14, 2024 at 8:08 AM
🚨 Publication Alert 🚨
Our paper about public service deprivation and far right support with @paularettl.bsky.social @marcocappelluti.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social is forthcoming at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! 🎉
👉 Preprint: osf.io/preprints/os...
#polisky
Our paper about public service deprivation and far right support with @paularettl.bsky.social @marcocappelluti.bsky.social @catherinedevries.bsky.social is forthcoming at @ajpseditor.bsky.social! 🎉
👉 Preprint: osf.io/preprints/os...
#polisky
November 13, 2024 at 8:18 AM
New paper with Paolo Agnolin and Italo Colantone: in a way, I wish we didn’t have to write it --it's just another primer on post-treatment bias. But it’s a fun paper...We show how one can break some of Colantone and Stanig's earlier results (i.e., ours!)
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
Sage Journals: Discover world-class research
Subscription and open access journals from Sage, the world's leading independent academic publisher.
journals.sagepub.com
October 16, 2024 at 9:20 AM
New paper with Paolo Agnolin and Italo Colantone: in a way, I wish we didn’t have to write it --it's just another primer on post-treatment bias. But it’s a fun paper...We show how one can break some of Colantone and Stanig's earlier results (i.e., ours!)
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
I have three papers at #APSA2024 next week.
On Thu, tinyurl.com/2y4y5koh Voting Behavior between Class, Geography, and Structural Economic Changes (with Italo Colantone) discussed by
@ccavaille.bsky.social in a panel organized and chaired by David Rueda. 1/3
On Thu, tinyurl.com/2y4y5koh Voting Behavior between Class, Geography, and Structural Economic Changes (with Italo Colantone) discussed by
@ccavaille.bsky.social in a panel organized and chaired by David Rueda. 1/3
Voting Behavior between Class, Geography, and Structural Economic Changes
This chapter, part of our manuscript “Backlash and Realignment: Political Conflict in the XXI Century”, presents the main theoretical insights of our contribution. To introduce these theoretical insig...
tinyurl.com
August 31, 2024 at 1:04 AM
I have three papers at #APSA2024 next week.
On Thu, tinyurl.com/2y4y5koh Voting Behavior between Class, Geography, and Structural Economic Changes (with Italo Colantone) discussed by
@ccavaille.bsky.social in a panel organized and chaired by David Rueda. 1/3
On Thu, tinyurl.com/2y4y5koh Voting Behavior between Class, Geography, and Structural Economic Changes (with Italo Colantone) discussed by
@ccavaille.bsky.social in a panel organized and chaired by David Rueda. 1/3
Reposted by Piero Stanig
This is funny, because it's true
February 29, 2024 at 7:50 AM
This is funny, because it's true