Pollwatcher345
@polleatcher345.bsky.social
Goodbye Elon. And go f--k yourself.
I mean it’s an outlier but my guess is this is closer to truth than the GBs that have it at 1 or 2.
Marist poll - 2026 Generic ballot
🔵 Democrat 55%
🔴 Republicans 41%
maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/a-look...
🔵 Democrat 55%
🔴 Republicans 41%
maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/a-look...
November 19, 2025 at 2:26 PM
I mean it’s an outlier but my guess is this is closer to truth than the GBs that have it at 1 or 2.
One thing that has been consistent even with the first Trump Regime was the “who ya gonna believe? Me or your lying eyes” crap.
Rep. Keith Self on Newsmax: "If you saw Fox News just recently, groceries, gas, inflation in general is down under President Trump. Now, the mainstream media won't tell you that. But those are the actual numbers. We just have to get the American people understanding."
November 17, 2025 at 1:08 PM
One thing that has been consistent even with the first Trump Regime was the “who ya gonna believe? Me or your lying eyes” crap.
Yeah no world exists where November 4th happened and the GB is 1%. Come on.
Reuters/Ipsos poll | 11/7-11/12
Generic congressional ballot (RV)
🔵 Democratic 41%
🔴 Republican 40%
President Trump approval (Adults)
Disapprove 58% (+1)
Approve 40% (no change)
www.reuters.com/world/us/dem...
Generic congressional ballot (RV)
🔵 Democratic 41%
🔴 Republican 40%
President Trump approval (Adults)
Disapprove 58% (+1)
Approve 40% (no change)
www.reuters.com/world/us/dem...
www.reuters.com
November 16, 2025 at 3:24 AM
Yeah no world exists where November 4th happened and the GB is 1%. Come on.
Doubt it’s that large of a lead but I definitely think this one can flip.
Iowa - 3rd House Polling:
🔵 Garriott: 53%
🔴 Nunn: 40%*
Change Research / Oct 27, 2025
(Garriott internal)
🔵 Garriott: 53%
🔴 Nunn: 40%*
Change Research / Oct 27, 2025
(Garriott internal)
November 15, 2025 at 5:09 PM
Doubt it’s that large of a lead but I definitely think this one can flip.
I keep saying Ohio is in play. Especially if this current environment is here next November
Ohio - Senate Polling:
🔵 Brown: 48%
🔴 Husted: 45%
Hart Research / Sept 22, 2025 - (Released today)
🔵 Brown: 48%
🔴 Husted: 45%
Hart Research / Sept 22, 2025 - (Released today)
November 12, 2025 at 7:03 PM
I keep saying Ohio is in play. Especially if this current environment is here next November
Oh good bc co-signers never get screwed….
Bessent on Argentina: "The way to think about it is maybe for your first loan, your parents co-signed for it. We basically co-signed."
November 12, 2025 at 1:22 PM
Oh good bc co-signers never get screwed….
This is at its core, about getting something done before the holidays. Because absolutely nothing gets shitty politicians to cave more than fucking with their vacations.
"Is there a more feckless, spineless opposition party anywhere in the democratic world? Why do Democrats insist on repeatedly snatching defeat from the jaws of victory?"
Me for Zeteo's First Draft this morning on the Democratic surrender in the Senate:
Me for Zeteo's First Draft this morning on the Democratic surrender in the Senate:
🏳️ BREAKING: Democrats Surrender. Again
Mehdi's Monday morning update on the senators voting to reopen the government without a guarantee on heathcare; the BBC rolling over for Donald Trump; and Kathy Hochul's clash with Zohran Mamdani.
zeteo.com
November 10, 2025 at 1:20 PM
This is at its core, about getting something done before the holidays. Because absolutely nothing gets shitty politicians to cave more than fucking with their vacations.
You got the feeling that even she didn’t believe the shit that was coming out of her mouth.
LISA McCLAIN: Voter turnout from Republicans was not high. But I think part of that reason is because Republicans for the most part are happy with what's happening
TAPPER: Using that argument, your voters could be so happy that Democrats retake the House next year
TAPPER: Using that argument, your voters could be so happy that Democrats retake the House next year
November 7, 2025 at 2:11 AM
You got the feeling that even she didn’t believe the shit that was coming out of her mouth.
This might be a 8-1 decision honestly. (Probably 7-2)
Gorsuch finally speaks, and oh yeah, he's against Trump. Alito also sounded skeptical, which is surprising to me. Regardless, there will plainly be a lopsided majority to strike down the tariffs.
The government better start working on its Plan B...
The government better start working on its Plan B...
November 5, 2025 at 4:30 PM
This might be a 8-1 decision honestly. (Probably 7-2)
Probably a pretty good sign for Jones.
Loudoun County, in northern Virginia, was the sign of apocalypse twelve months ago for Democrats.
Most of the vote just came in. (AP estimates 79%.)
Spanberger up 26%. (And Jay Jones up 15%.)
Four years ago, McAuliffe won it by just 11% on his way to a 2% loss.
Most of the vote just came in. (AP estimates 79%.)
Spanberger up 26%. (And Jay Jones up 15%.)
Four years ago, McAuliffe won it by just 11% on his way to a 2% loss.
November 5, 2025 at 12:42 AM
Probably a pretty good sign for Jones.
Wow. This shit started early.
Even if Democrats have election wins on Tuesday, they will still wake Wednesday morning with serious political troubles.
Election Wins Tuesday Won’t Ease a Divided Democratic Party’s Troubles
Victories by Zohran Mamdani, a Democratic candidate for mayor of New York City, and centrists in Virginia and New Jersey would be unlikely to settle the path forward.
on.wsj.com
November 3, 2025 at 2:00 PM
Wow. This shit started early.
Primary this jackass.
Fetterman: Democrats 'own' shutdown amid SNAP funding fight
thehill.com
Fetterman: Democrats ‘own’ shutdown amid SNAP funding fight
twp.ai
November 2, 2025 at 10:02 PM
Primary this jackass.
The fact that people bought this BS act of him being a “moderate” is still one of the dumbest political phenomena of the last 10 years.
Here are remarks from Governor Youngkin yesterday
“We are going to reject Ghazala Hashmi because she is most liberal/leftist member of our General Assembly
And I gotta tell you what folks, I don’t want her anywhere, I don’t even want her in the state”
“We are going to reject Ghazala Hashmi because she is most liberal/leftist member of our General Assembly
And I gotta tell you what folks, I don’t want her anywhere, I don’t even want her in the state”
November 2, 2025 at 2:02 PM
The fact that people bought this BS act of him being a “moderate” is still one of the dumbest political phenomena of the last 10 years.
GB margin tends to increase as we get closer to mid term election. Being consistently up 2-4 on these at this point is a good sign for Ds. (I’ve also seen a few with them at 6-9 point leads)
Washington Post/ABC News/Ipsos poll
President Trump approval (Adults)
Disapprove 59%
Approve 41%
Generic ballot
🔵 Democrats 42%
🔴 Republicans 39%
abcnews.go.com/Politics/ame...
President Trump approval (Adults)
Disapprove 59%
Approve 41%
Generic ballot
🔵 Democrats 42%
🔴 Republicans 39%
abcnews.go.com/Politics/ame...
Most Americans say country is on the wrong track, blame Trump for inflation, disapprove of the president and say he is going too far to expand power of presidency
Over 6 in 10 say Trump and GOP are out of touch. Even more say that about Dems.
abcnews.go.com
November 2, 2025 at 1:16 PM
GB margin tends to increase as we get closer to mid term election. Being consistently up 2-4 on these at this point is a good sign for Ds. (I’ve also seen a few with them at 6-9 point leads)
Not super familiar with this pollster, but Democrats in Iowa have the same issue Republicans have in Virginia. It’s not hard to get the 45/47%. It’s getting above that that’s the challenge.
Z to A Research poll | 10/9-10/13 LV
Iowa Governor
🔵 Rob Sand 45%
🔴 Randy Feenstra 43%
docs.google.com/document/d/1...
Iowa Governor
🔵 Rob Sand 45%
🔴 Randy Feenstra 43%
docs.google.com/document/d/1...
MEMO | Iowa Survey | October 2025
Rob Sand Has Early Lead in Iowa Governor Race Rob Sand is one of the most popular figures in Iowa and leads in the race for Governor. This is according to a new survey of 1,351 likely 2026 midterm vo...
docs.google.com
October 30, 2025 at 5:58 PM
Not super familiar with this pollster, but Democrats in Iowa have the same issue Republicans have in Virginia. It’s not hard to get the 45/47%. It’s getting above that that’s the challenge.
There’s no world where Stefanik is winning or even tied for that race.
New York Governor
🔴 Elise Stefanik 43%
🔵 Kathy Hochul 42%
🔴 Elise Stefanik 43%
🔵 Antonio Delgado 37%
🔴 Elise Stefanik 43%
🔵 Kathy Hochul 42%
🔴 Elise Stefanik 43%
🔵 Antonio Delgado 37%
Manhattan Institute poll - New York City mayor
🔵 Zohran Mamdani 42%
⚪️ Andrew Cuomo 28%
🔴 Curtis Sliwa 19%
⚪️ Eric Adams 1%
10/22-10/26
media4.manhattan-institute.org/wp-content/u...
🔵 Zohran Mamdani 42%
⚪️ Andrew Cuomo 28%
🔴 Curtis Sliwa 19%
⚪️ Eric Adams 1%
10/22-10/26
media4.manhattan-institute.org/wp-content/u...
October 28, 2025 at 6:40 PM
There’s no world where Stefanik is winning or even tied for that race.
Was this written by Trump?
Why Trump holds all the cards in the NYC mayoral race 👇
Trump holds all the cards in New York’s mayoral contest
The leading candidates’ flaws will be easy pickings for the president to leverage.
www.politico.com
October 28, 2025 at 2:39 PM
Was this written by Trump?
GOV right about at Northam 2017 levels. Remember- Northam outperformed polling that year.
Not the most well known pollster
But around the vibes right now
AG close as expected
A lot will come down to margin at top of ticket
Around 8% win for Spanberger is range where Miyares could hang on
10% or more harder for him
We’ll be getting final batch of polls this week
But around the vibes right now
AG close as expected
A lot will come down to margin at top of ticket
Around 8% win for Spanberger is range where Miyares could hang on
10% or more harder for him
We’ll be getting final batch of polls this week
October 27, 2025 at 1:41 PM
GOV right about at Northam 2017 levels. Remember- Northam outperformed polling that year.
This is right at Northams margin in 2017.
Virginia Governor
🔵 Abgail Spanberger 53.6%
🔴 Winsome Earle-Sears 45.5%
drive.google.com/file/d/1GU6y...
🔵 Abgail Spanberger 53.6%
🔴 Winsome Earle-Sears 45.5%
drive.google.com/file/d/1GU6y...
October 27, 2025 at 1:38 PM
This is right at Northams margin in 2017.
Seeing a fairly consistent topping off at 45-46 for JC in a lot of polls. Probably about where this ends up IMO.
A2 Insights poll | 10/24-10/26 LV
New Jersey Governor
🔵 Mikie Sherrill 51.4%
🔴 Jack Ciattarelli 46.5%
drive.google.com/file/d/19hIR...
New Jersey Governor
🔵 Mikie Sherrill 51.4%
🔴 Jack Ciattarelli 46.5%
drive.google.com/file/d/19hIR...
x.com
October 27, 2025 at 1:37 PM
Seeing a fairly consistent topping off at 45-46 for JC in a lot of polls. Probably about where this ends up IMO.
“Oh sure but yachts and vintage furniture are more affordable than ever so it’s a give and take…”
WELKER: Coffee prices are up 19%, beef is up almost 15%, and bacon up almost 6% just to name a few. So when are all grocery prices going to come down as President Trump promised?
BESSENT: Kristen, it's unfortunate. As much as I like you, you like to cherrypick.
BESSENT: Kristen, it's unfortunate. As much as I like you, you like to cherrypick.
October 26, 2025 at 4:27 PM
“Oh sure but yachts and vintage furniture are more affordable than ever so it’s a give and take…”
The numbers Trump did with this group is a large reason he’s POTUS again.
These are awful for GOP. And might make one or two of those gerrymandered districts in TX more competitive than they’d like.
These are awful for GOP. And might make one or two of those gerrymandered districts in TX more competitive than they’d like.
AP-NORC poll: Trump favorability rating among Hispanics
Favorable 25%
Unfavorable 65%
*Lowest numbers since 2019
apnews.com/article/hisp...
Favorable 25%
Unfavorable 65%
*Lowest numbers since 2019
apnews.com/article/hisp...
October 24, 2025 at 2:52 PM
The numbers Trump did with this group is a large reason he’s POTUS again.
These are awful for GOP. And might make one or two of those gerrymandered districts in TX more competitive than they’d like.
These are awful for GOP. And might make one or two of those gerrymandered districts in TX more competitive than they’d like.