Paulo Santos Monteiro
@paulosmonteiro.bsky.social
Portuguese macroeconomist. Professor of Economics at the
University of York (UK). Loves football and chess.
University of York (UK). Loves football and chess.
We are hiring several lecturers in Economics (open field). York has one of the top economics departments in the UK and is a lovely city to live in. Take a look www.europeanjobmarketofeconomists.org/job-listing/...
Lecturers (Associate Professors) in Economics and Related Studies | European Job Market
Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York, UK The Department of Economics and Related Studies is a leading economics department with a strong global reputation. As one of the lar...
www.europeanjobmarketofeconomists.org
October 15, 2025 at 3:38 PM
We are hiring several lecturers in Economics (open field). York has one of the top economics departments in the UK and is a lovely city to live in. Take a look www.europeanjobmarketofeconomists.org/job-listing/...
It's baaaackkkkkkk (back again)
I guess we are not done with the zero lower bound (ask Switzerland and maybe China)
China’s central bank seeks European lenders’ advice on low interest rates
People’s Bank of China asks for tips on fighting ‘Japanification’ amid low inflation
on.ft.com
July 3, 2025 at 9:12 AM
It's baaaackkkkkkk (back again)
25 de Abril sempre !!
April 25, 2025 at 9:29 AM
25 de Abril sempre !!
A brilliant prize in so many dimensions! Well done Stefanie Stancheva and AEA www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...
Stefanie Stantcheva, Clark Medalist 2025
www.aeaweb.org
April 22, 2025 at 3:09 PM
A brilliant prize in so many dimensions! Well done Stefanie Stancheva and AEA www.aeaweb.org/about-aea/ho...
Newest entry to the 17+1 equations that changes the world: dt = (x - m)/(1/4x4 m) 😀
April 7, 2025 at 11:37 AM
Newest entry to the 17+1 equations that changes the world: dt = (x - m)/(1/4x4 m) 😀
High frequency trade shocks !!
I believe this is a world first: An intra-day tariff chart.
March 12, 2025 at 12:56 PM
High frequency trade shocks !!
Funded PhD in Economics at the University of York - apply here www.york.ac.uk/economics/st...
PhD Departmental Studentships - Department of Economics and Related Studies, University of York
Departmental Studentship available over four years
www.york.ac.uk
February 26, 2025 at 9:27 AM
Funded PhD in Economics at the University of York - apply here www.york.ac.uk/economics/st...
Interesting thread -> France a tax haven for the very wealthy !! I'd like to see a paper on the correlation between vote share of the extreme right and effective income tax rates at the top.
Cela semble absurde, et j’ai été choqué la première fois que je l’ai compris, mais la France – il n'y a pas d'autre mot – est bien un paradis fiscal pour milliardaire
Explications détaillées 🧵
Explications détaillées 🧵
February 7, 2025 at 3:24 PM
Interesting thread -> France a tax haven for the very wealthy !! I'd like to see a paper on the correlation between vote share of the extreme right and effective income tax rates at the top.
Reposted by Paulo Santos Monteiro
PhD Dissertation Fellow - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Research Division
Accepting applications for 8 open positions during the summer of 2025. The application deadline is Friday, February 28, 2025. Submit the online application for the dissertation fellow position at econjobmarket.org.
Accepting applications for 8 open positions during the summer of 2025. The application deadline is Friday, February 28, 2025. Submit the online application for the dissertation fellow position at econjobmarket.org.
EJM - Econ Job Market
econjobmarket.org
January 23, 2025 at 2:09 AM
PhD Dissertation Fellow - Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Research Division
Accepting applications for 8 open positions during the summer of 2025. The application deadline is Friday, February 28, 2025. Submit the online application for the dissertation fellow position at econjobmarket.org.
Accepting applications for 8 open positions during the summer of 2025. The application deadline is Friday, February 28, 2025. Submit the online application for the dissertation fellow position at econjobmarket.org.
Someone should explain to the MAGA crowd that tariffs on imports is equivalent to imposing economic sanctions (like the ones imposed on Russia) to their own citizens. Self-inflicted economic warfare...
Last month CBO estimated the costs of 10 percent tariffs. But now Trump is saying 25. Should you just multiply by 2.5?
No. Basic economics says the loss from tariffs is nonlinear, to a first approximation the square of the tariff rate. So what Trump has promised is SIX TIMES WORSE than CBO analyzed
No. Basic economics says the loss from tariffs is nonlinear, to a first approximation the square of the tariff rate. So what Trump has promised is SIX TIMES WORSE than CBO analyzed
January 21, 2025 at 1:43 PM
Someone should explain to the MAGA crowd that tariffs on imports is equivalent to imposing economic sanctions (like the ones imposed on Russia) to their own citizens. Self-inflicted economic warfare...
Reposted by Paulo Santos Monteiro
Last month CBO estimated the costs of 10 percent tariffs. But now Trump is saying 25. Should you just multiply by 2.5?
No. Basic economics says the loss from tariffs is nonlinear, to a first approximation the square of the tariff rate. So what Trump has promised is SIX TIMES WORSE than CBO analyzed
No. Basic economics says the loss from tariffs is nonlinear, to a first approximation the square of the tariff rate. So what Trump has promised is SIX TIMES WORSE than CBO analyzed
January 21, 2025 at 12:22 PM
Last month CBO estimated the costs of 10 percent tariffs. But now Trump is saying 25. Should you just multiply by 2.5?
No. Basic economics says the loss from tariffs is nonlinear, to a first approximation the square of the tariff rate. So what Trump has promised is SIX TIMES WORSE than CBO analyzed
No. Basic economics says the loss from tariffs is nonlinear, to a first approximation the square of the tariff rate. So what Trump has promised is SIX TIMES WORSE than CBO analyzed
read this if you want to understand how lively and alive econ theory research is, and also super important for public policy! Well done @shengwuli.bsky.social and @lugaricano.bsky.social for the engaging discussion.
The LA wildfires have given landlords an opportunity to raise rents. California has anti-price-gouging regulation that might prevent that.
If you want to step beyond Econ 101, here’s a recent Econometrica paper that shows how price caps can raise welfare.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.3...
If you want to step beyond Econ 101, here’s a recent Econometrica paper that shows how price caps can raise welfare.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.3...
Econometrica | Econometric Society Journal | Wiley Online Library
Policymakers frequently use price regulations as a response to inequality in the markets they control. In this paper, we examine the optimal structure of such policies from the perspective of mechani...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
January 16, 2025 at 1:46 PM
read this if you want to understand how lively and alive econ theory research is, and also super important for public policy! Well done @shengwuli.bsky.social and @lugaricano.bsky.social for the engaging discussion.
Reposted by Paulo Santos Monteiro
🚀 My latest working paper discusses three key themes highlighted in the Bernanke Review alongside a formal evaluation of the Bank of England’s inflation forecasts📈
👉 arxiv.org/pdf/2501.07386
#Forecasting #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation #BankofEngland #BernankeReview
👉 arxiv.org/pdf/2501.07386
#Forecasting #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation #BankofEngland #BernankeReview
January 14, 2025 at 10:53 AM
🚀 My latest working paper discusses three key themes highlighted in the Bernanke Review alongside a formal evaluation of the Bank of England’s inflation forecasts📈
👉 arxiv.org/pdf/2501.07386
#Forecasting #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation #BankofEngland #BernankeReview
👉 arxiv.org/pdf/2501.07386
#Forecasting #MonetaryPolicy #Inflation #BankofEngland #BernankeReview
the digital add tax proposal seems very implementable and very efficient too! us there a lit on optimal taxation of advertisement revenue in digital platforms?
This is a thread about remaking the tech sector.
January 6, 2025 at 3:04 PM
the digital add tax proposal seems very implementable and very efficient too! us there a lit on optimal taxation of advertisement revenue in digital platforms?
Black to play and become youngest world champion ever :) Congratulations to Gukesh, commiserations to Ding
Congrats to Gukesh. I can’t believe he won from a dead draw position. Really feel for Ding - horrible way to lose.
December 12, 2024 at 2:44 PM
Black to play and become youngest world champion ever :) Congratulations to Gukesh, commiserations to Ding
interesting thread on the digital euro proposal
The ECB is handicapping its digital euro project (strict holding limits, no interest payments, and mandatory bank account links) in order to protect the current broken, inefficient, subsidized banking system.
Do we need banks?
My post today
www.siliconcontinent.com/p/do-we-need...
🧵
1/10
Do we need banks?
My post today
www.siliconcontinent.com/p/do-we-need...
🧵
1/10
Do we need banks?
The Digital Euro’s Bizarre Design
www.siliconcontinent.com
November 27, 2024 at 10:53 AM
interesting thread on the digital euro proposal
Reposted by Paulo Santos Monteiro
This was funny before, but it is really funny today.
Remember when "Ferris Bueller's Day Off" tried to teach us about tariffs and no one was paying attention
November 27, 2024 at 1:05 AM
This was funny before, but it is really funny today.
can we all agree that tweet in x = bluey in bluesky #makeithappen :)
November 26, 2024 at 12:51 PM
can we all agree that tweet in x = bluey in bluesky #makeithappen :)
Reposted by Paulo Santos Monteiro
Fascinating session at the Bank of England Watchers' Conference 2024 yesterday on reactions to the #BernankeReview chaired by @chrisgiles.bsky.social
Key takeaways from Charlie Bean (LSE), Petra Geraats (Cambridge), and Gertjan Vlieghe (Millenium):
#CentralBanking #BernankeReview
🧵
Key takeaways from Charlie Bean (LSE), Petra Geraats (Cambridge), and Gertjan Vlieghe (Millenium):
#CentralBanking #BernankeReview
🧵
November 26, 2024 at 12:03 PM
Fascinating session at the Bank of England Watchers' Conference 2024 yesterday on reactions to the #BernankeReview chaired by @chrisgiles.bsky.social
Key takeaways from Charlie Bean (LSE), Petra Geraats (Cambridge), and Gertjan Vlieghe (Millenium):
#CentralBanking #BernankeReview
🧵
Key takeaways from Charlie Bean (LSE), Petra Geraats (Cambridge), and Gertjan Vlieghe (Millenium):
#CentralBanking #BernankeReview
🧵
I'm fun and an economist and I didn't make it to this list. Imagine how funny and economical these must be :)
I don’t know what I am doing, but I did not want to be left out so here is a starter pack of fun economists. Send me your nominations! go.bsky.app/UcmhBgK
November 21, 2024 at 10:57 AM
I'm fun and an economist and I didn't make it to this list. Imagine how funny and economical these must be :)
Finally, the most important starter pack we all wanted :)
I put together a starter pack of all the academic macroeconomists I could find on the platform.
It's short. Please message me if you would like to be added.
go.bsky.app/RYnjd8k
#econsky etc.
It's short. Please message me if you would like to be added.
go.bsky.app/RYnjd8k
#econsky etc.
November 18, 2024 at 4:03 PM
Finally, the most important starter pack we all wanted :)
If inventing NK models was like inventing the wheel, is this the HANK model? Asking for a friend :)
So we would have been fine eventually even if we had not invented wheels.
October 31, 2024 at 11:11 AM
If inventing NK models was like inventing the wheel, is this the HANK model? Asking for a friend :)
Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social still writes beautifully well about economics... "there’s nothing magical about collecting a sales tax at the border rather than at the cash register." www.nytimes.com/2024/10/17/o...
Opinion | How Trump’s Radical Tariff Plan Could Wreck Our Economy
There’s no upside to the former president’s pet economic plan.
www.nytimes.com
October 18, 2024 at 9:38 AM
Paul Krugman @pkrugman.bsky.social still writes beautifully well about economics... "there’s nothing magical about collecting a sales tax at the border rather than at the cash register." www.nytimes.com/2024/10/17/o...
Slowly getting into the Bluesky groove :)
October 17, 2024 at 9:13 AM
Slowly getting into the Bluesky groove :)