@omenaguilar
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omenaguilar.bsky.social
@omenaguilar
@omenaguilar.bsky.social
PhD Candidate @GC_CUNY| Junior Scholar @stone_lis |IIRR @elcolmex| PoliSci @uclspp |Former Fulbright @Comexus. #TaxTheRich Tweets Eng/Español
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I'm thrilled to share my paper on tax reform in Mexico, published by @PSJ_Editor, available in early view! You can read the full text here onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.... In my paper, I look into two processes of tax reform in Mexico, in 2001 and 2013...
<em>Policy Studies Journal</em> | PSO Public Policy Journal | Wiley Online Library
When the former hegemonic PRI won the 2012 election after 12 years of rule by PAN, the President shared with his predecessors a similar institutional setting and divided government. And yet, the PRI ...
onlinelibrary.wiley.com
Reposted by @omenaguilar
This is a fantastic opportunity for ECRs working on economic inequality / poverty and mobility. The Stone Center offers exceptional working conditions, an incredibly supportive environment, and great mentorship from senior scholars. Consider applying!
August 7, 2025 at 7:03 AM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
Such an important point:

“Progressive policies…are very popular in this country…but you have a segment of the Democratic Party that keeps trying to convince progressives we’re losing elections because their policies need to be more moderate.” Matt Dowd

I wish more understood this.

A confession…
🧵
August 6, 2025 at 3:57 AM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
What happens when policy entrepreneurs seize a fleeting window of opportunity? This PSJ article revisits Mexico’s tax reform through the lenses of Multiple Streams and Advocacy Coalition frameworks.

By @omenaguilar.bsky.social

Read here: doi.org/10.1111/psj....

#PSJ #PolicyStudiesJournal
August 4, 2025 at 3:51 PM
When one of the academics you admire the most has this to say about your dissertation chapter: "I think this chapter is impressive. I found it to be a well-written and effective synthesis of the literature, blending theory and political/economic history....
August 1, 2025 at 7:10 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
📰 En 2024 hay más dinero para programas sociales, pero peor redistribuido 📉

🚨La cobertura cayó entre los hogares más pobres y la progresividad disminuyó.

✅ Consulta nuestro análisis de la ENIGH 2024 en bit.ly/indesig_enig...

@rojoneon.bsky.social @gatitosvsdesig.bsky.social

#ENIGH2024
July 31, 2025 at 12:04 AM
Mexico's statistical agency just released the latest income data. Here is my analysis on poverty and inequality before and after social transfers.
* Although the average transfer amount rose (from MX$1,460 to MX$1,890 after inflation) compared with 2022—both overall and across...
July 30, 2025 at 11:34 PM
If anyone is interested in creating a panel on inequality and/or redistribution in Latin America for #LASA2026 reach out and let's work on a proposal!
July 8, 2025 at 7:20 PM
What a privilege to have learned from some of the methodologists who have thought more thoroughly about a shared causal framework for research in the social sciences, and to have shared two weeks with extraordinary people, fellow Latin American researchers who became friends! #IQMMR
July 1, 2025 at 4:13 PM
When James Mahoney congratulates you for the logical clarity of your dissertation argument 😊😊😊 #IQMMR
June 17, 2025 at 4:59 PM
The Institute for Qualitative and Multi-Method Research at @syracuseunews.bsky.social is about to begin, and I'm beyond thrilled to learn Bayesian Inference, QCI, GIS, Causal Modeling, and conducting Fieldwork from great methodologists and practitioners like Andrew Bennett...
June 14, 2025 at 1:19 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
“US states that adopted abortion bans had higher than expected infant mortality after the bans took effect.”

Important study by @alisongemmill.bsky.social et al.
jama.com JAMA @jama.com · Apr 15
US states that implemented abortion bans saw higher than expected infant mortality rates, with larger increases among Black infants and those in southern states, according to this analysis of US national vital statistics data from 2012–2023. https://ja.ma/3XXrCtw
US Abortion Bans and Infant Mortality
This population-based, cross-sectional study investigates the infant mortality rate following the adoption of complete or 6-week abortion bans in a number of US states.
ja.ma
June 5, 2025 at 4:39 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
My new article is out in Democratization!

I show how opposition parties in authoritarian regimes use local electoral wins as stepping stones for national-level victories.

Free access: t.co/tgxrZ2rCJe

@democratization.bsky.social @gcpolisci.bsky.social
https://www.tandfonline.com/eprint/SNFX4KCT4IHKNBINYBRW/full?target=10.1080/13510347.2025.2505199
t.co
June 4, 2025 at 7:41 PM
Special Issue of PSJ 53(2) is finally out and includes my paper on #TaxReform in #Mexico!
Editor in Chief @gbsong.bsky.social has just approved the publication of PSJ 53(2), the PT&P special issue.

#PSJ #PolicyStudiesJournal
May 31, 2025 at 5:38 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
I’ve just approved the publication of the PSJ 53(2) PT&P special issue. Thank you all for your contributions!
May 30, 2025 at 6:15 PM
Hace exactamente diez años pasé con descuido las páginas de este libro, sin leerlo realmente. Hoy lo redescubro y encuentro que es como el café molido a mano. Premia a quien destila sus sabores con paciencia. Y sabe mejor en una mañana intensa o una tarde lluviosa.
May 31, 2025 at 3:11 PM
I'm glad to share that my paper on #TaxReform in #Mexico published by the Policy Studies Journal @PSJ_Editor was featured in their blog (and it's available in open access for a limited time).
May 28, 2025 at 5:04 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
Welfare benefit cuts and other UK austerity measures after 2010 lowered life expectancy — and the effect was nearly twice as great on women, according to the new WP by Stone Center associated researcher @yonatanberman.com and Tora Hovland.
bit.ly/4jkSc7K
May 27, 2025 at 3:55 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
If a foreign adversary snuck into our Federal budget and cut science research and education the way we’re cutting it ourselves — strategically undermining America’s long-term health, wealth, and security — we would likely consider it an act of war.
May 19, 2025 at 7:36 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
🔴 Gaza sufre otra noche de matanzas mientras aumentan las críticas a la invasión militar de Israel

La Franja ha sido de nuevo un infierno, al menos 73 personas han muerto. La ONU advierte de que 14.000 bebés podrían morir en las próximas 48 horas dozz.es/66jwr8
Gaza sufre otra noche de matanzas mientras aumentan las críticas a la invasión militar de Israel
Nuevos bombardeos matan a más de 70 personas. La ONU advierte de que 14.000 bebés podrían morir en las próximas 48 horas si no reciben la ayuda humanitaria
dozz.es
May 20, 2025 at 1:16 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
Las palabras de Francisco fueron contra las políticas de muchos de los presentes en su funeral: Trump, Meloni, Orbán, y toda una clase política mundial que hace la guerra, descuida el planeta, rechaza inmigrantes y olvida la pobreza. Lee la crónica
Los mandatarios del mundo y la gente corriente despiden al papa Francisco en pleno vértigo de la Iglesia por elegir sucesor
400.000 personas asisten al funeral en San Pedro y el paso del féretro por Roma. El decano de los cardenales recuerda en la homilía, ante delegaciones de 146 países, el mensaje del Pontífice: “Construir puentes y no muros”
elpais.com
April 26, 2025 at 4:51 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
Yes
March 1, 2025 at 2:23 AM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
To be clear: Even greater damage will be done by the loss of federal government productivity. The workers who are losing their jobs were worth more than they were being paid! We are all poorer when roads, planes, and food are unsafe, when parks are closed, etc.
February 19, 2025 at 1:37 AM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
It seems almost unavoidable at this point that we are headed for a deep, deep recession. Just based on 200K+ federal firings & pullback of contracts, the March employment report (to be released April 4) seems certain to show bigger job losses than any month ever outside of a few in 2008-9 and 2020.
February 19, 2025 at 1:37 AM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
Please join us next Wednesday (02/19) in-person for the second session of the CPW of Spring 25 from 6.30-8pm.

DM for details about the session.
February 19, 2025 at 6:23 PM
Reposted by @omenaguilar
Yes, this administration is dangerous and cruel, but they are also shockingly dim and incompetent.

Opportunities are everywhere.

Make everything as hard as possible. Resist every demand. Refuse entry without a warrant. Don’t take the buyout. Their problem solving skills are 📉
January 30, 2025 at 2:35 AM