Non-Correlating Stock Ideas
@ncsi.bsky.social
Equity, Crypto, Preferreds and unconventional investments. Contributing on Seeking Alpha: https://seekingalpha.com/author/non-correlating-stock-ideas
Pinned
While the 10Y did break the Bear trend last week, other indicators are right up against it like the 30Y $TYX. I have so much short duration on that I decided to start picking up a preferred security of all things. The trend feels higher, but I've decided to nibble just in case.
There had been some really massive bounces for Chemical names since the end of last November, which isn't that surprising given the depths they were sold to, but I suspect this news out of China could lead finally to a pause and pullback in the rally. #$WLK #$EMN #$LYB since 11/20/25.
January 16, 2026 at 3:07 PM
It's important to remember that spikes in volume typically mark turning points, both tops and bottoms. Wouldn't surprise me at all of we look back at the this period as the peak in these prices. www.moneycontrol.com/news/busines...
www.moneycontrol.com
January 16, 2026 at 1:54 PM
It's important to remember that spikes in volume typically mark turning points, both tops and bottoms. Wouldn't surprise me at all of we look back at the this period as the peak in these prices. www.moneycontrol.com/news/busines...
When I look at charts like $PLTR and see this level of churn with false breakouts and breakdowns at regular intervals, I can't help but think of topping action from the late 90's. Purely anecdotal so my bias likely in this view, but I feel like I've seen this before. No real bet on this, yet.👀
January 14, 2026 at 7:22 PM
When I look at charts like $PLTR and see this level of churn with false breakouts and breakdowns at regular intervals, I can't help but think of topping action from the late 90's. Purely anecdotal so my bias likely in this view, but I feel like I've seen this before. No real bet on this, yet.👀
This area has been a resistance zone for $ADM the last two years. If it can get north of 65, then I would expect it to fill that gap at 68 in short order.
January 14, 2026 at 2:37 PM
This area has been a resistance zone for $ADM the last two years. If it can get north of 65, then I would expect it to fill that gap at 68 in short order.
Where $SW has ripped off to a roaring start in my portfolios, $RHI continues to struggle to get off the mat. I'm still more constructive than not between P&F and AI flagging, but I wouldn't be honest if I didn't share the alt view when I see it. This weekly chart could be turning into a Bear flag.
January 13, 2026 at 8:23 PM
Where $SW has ripped off to a roaring start in my portfolios, $RHI continues to struggle to get off the mat. I'm still more constructive than not between P&F and AI flagging, but I wouldn't be honest if I didn't share the alt view when I see it. This weekly chart could be turning into a Bear flag.
I think the focus on small-caps "outperforming" might be reaching a fever pitch. It's been awhile since anyone cared and a lot is probably due to the calendar flip, but this change started last summer. Even the S&P 600 moved up then, but the thrust has been driven by money losing spec co's in R2K.
January 13, 2026 at 4:40 PM
I think the focus on small-caps "outperforming" might be reaching a fever pitch. It's been awhile since anyone cared and a lot is probably due to the calendar flip, but this change started last summer. Even the S&P 600 moved up then, but the thrust has been driven by money losing spec co's in R2K.
From a long-term historical perspective, the $BPNYSE isn't in the danger zone, but it is in the area where the market has struggled in the post-pandemic period. Just more food for thought.
January 13, 2026 at 4:30 PM
From a long-term historical perspective, the $BPNYSE isn't in the danger zone, but it is in the area where the market has struggled in the post-pandemic period. Just more food for thought.
I know everyone knows this, but just wow. $SLV monthly rsi(10).
Can it get to 100?
Can it get to 100?
January 12, 2026 at 3:37 PM
I know everyone knows this, but just wow. $SLV monthly rsi(10).
Can it get to 100?
Can it get to 100?
A big part of why I had a good '25 despite value bent, and reducing equity exposure mid-year, was due to my international exposure. I had been contemplating reducing that in '26 as we had seen reversion, and I tend to expect that from strongest asset performers. Now, lots to consider. $DFIV / $RSP👀
January 12, 2026 at 2:05 PM
A big part of why I had a good '25 despite value bent, and reducing equity exposure mid-year, was due to my international exposure. I had been contemplating reducing that in '26 as we had seen reversion, and I tend to expect that from strongest asset performers. Now, lots to consider. $DFIV / $RSP👀
A lot of the names I saw up huge yesterday have been able to tack on more gains today despite the rally in AI stocks. This $WLK is a 'whoa nelly' pattern on the 2 year bar chart.
January 9, 2026 at 8:51 PM
A lot of the names I saw up huge yesterday have been able to tack on more gains today despite the rally in AI stocks. This $WLK is a 'whoa nelly' pattern on the 2 year bar chart.
Real cross currents out there in '26 so far. Some signs that $SPXEW 493 are doing better, but others that spec money-losing still favored. In the latter camp, $RUT outperforming $SML. Historically the 600 do way better since.. yeah they make money, but this year $RUT has the upper hand. 👀
January 9, 2026 at 3:37 PM
Real cross currents out there in '26 so far. Some signs that $SPXEW 493 are doing better, but others that spec money-losing still favored. In the latter camp, $RUT outperforming $SML. Historically the 600 do way better since.. yeah they make money, but this year $RUT has the upper hand. 👀
I've mentioned some times that I suspect the Chemicals industry may be the best long-term value play out there currently. The $BRK purchase of OxyChem a good pointer. Here's a basket of commodity chemical stocks vs $SPXEW. Off the deck but still worse than the GFC relative low.
January 8, 2026 at 10:09 PM
I've mentioned some times that I suspect the Chemicals industry may be the best long-term value play out there currently. The $BRK purchase of OxyChem a good pointer. Here's a basket of commodity chemical stocks vs $SPXEW. Off the deck but still worse than the GFC relative low.
I've seen some hype about short squeeze in the markets based on short %'s for total market, but I think today is more instructive of what's really beneath that surface. It's not about stocks with huge short %'s, but look at the stuff weak last year that ripped today. $WLK+6.79%,$EMN+3.82%,$SW+6.71%
January 8, 2026 at 10:00 PM
I've seen some hype about short squeeze in the markets based on short %'s for total market, but I think today is more instructive of what's really beneath that surface. It's not about stocks with huge short %'s, but look at the stuff weak last year that ripped today. $WLK+6.79%,$EMN+3.82%,$SW+6.71%
Underneath the indexes, it feels like a massive war is being fought for the focus of the next leadership. I've been seeing just huge moves every day so far at the start of this year in select groups. E.g., $ADM. Hasn't gone anywhere really since August, but look at those daily bars.
January 8, 2026 at 3:18 PM
Underneath the indexes, it feels like a massive war is being fought for the focus of the next leadership. I've been seeing just huge moves every day so far at the start of this year in select groups. E.g., $ADM. Hasn't gone anywhere really since August, but look at those daily bars.
I've seen some discussion in my feed about whether or not the International outperformance is legit or what caused it. I think this helps to explain at least some of it. The last two years we've seen a real increase in expected profit margins. That's a change that's been missing for some time.
January 7, 2026 at 3:22 PM
I've seen some discussion in my feed about whether or not the International outperformance is legit or what caused it. I think this helps to explain at least some of it. The last two years we've seen a real increase in expected profit margins. That's a change that's been missing for some time.
It is what it is, but all I can think of when seeing this 2 day intraday chart of $SPSM is unnatural.
January 7, 2026 at 3:08 PM
It is what it is, but all I can think of when seeing this 2 day intraday chart of $SPSM is unnatural.
Seeing this across Chemicals and Materials sector overall. $LYB just generated a Buy signal on the 2% box size. Haven't seen or heard any fundamental improvement yet, but the valuations were at GFC crisis lows.
January 6, 2026 at 4:53 PM
Seeing this across Chemicals and Materials sector overall. $LYB just generated a Buy signal on the 2% box size. Haven't seen or heard any fundamental improvement yet, but the valuations were at GFC crisis lows.
I am a long-term investor, and I often will hold onto positions for years. I always track cumulative, current, and each year's relative return for every position vs $RSP and $SPSM. $MLI has just been on an amazing run the last three years. Just love the steady stellar returns. log chart $MLI / $RSP
January 5, 2026 at 8:26 PM
I am a long-term investor, and I often will hold onto positions for years. I always track cumulative, current, and each year's relative return for every position vs $RSP and $SPSM. $MLI has just been on an amazing run the last three years. Just love the steady stellar returns. log chart $MLI / $RSP
I wanted to do a favorite bounce back stocks for '26 idea but have been too busy. I've talked a lot about one $RHI, but the other I haven't shared and that's $SW. I started buying late last year and it's been strong already. It should face some resistance here, but I think due dill is worthwhile.
January 5, 2026 at 5:30 PM
I wanted to do a favorite bounce back stocks for '26 idea but have been too busy. I've talked a lot about one $RHI, but the other I haven't shared and that's $SW. I started buying late last year and it's been strong already. It should face some resistance here, but I think due dill is worthwhile.
Holiday stuff kept me from posting this previously, and I know it's up today, but $PLTR generated another Sell signal on the 2% box chart. That's a lot of negative chop for an AI leader.
January 5, 2026 at 4:44 PM
Holiday stuff kept me from posting this previously, and I know it's up today, but $PLTR generated another Sell signal on the 2% box chart. That's a lot of negative chop for an AI leader.
An interesting relative signal change at the start of the new year. The Materials sector has long been out of favor with money managers, and it didn't generate a Buy signal yet as you can see, but the turn up into a column of X's is from such a low level that one should take notice. $RSPM / $RSP
January 5, 2026 at 1:43 PM
An interesting relative signal change at the start of the new year. The Materials sector has long been out of favor with money managers, and it didn't generate a Buy signal yet as you can see, but the turn up into a column of X's is from such a low level that one should take notice. $RSPM / $RSP
Actually profitable companies comprised in the S&P 400 & 600 (Mid & Small caps) indexes, had a particularly bad year in '25 relatively speaking. This level of gap has happened before, but historically the spread should be expected to narrow.
January 2, 2026 at 3:05 PM
Actually profitable companies comprised in the S&P 400 & 600 (Mid & Small caps) indexes, had a particularly bad year in '25 relatively speaking. This level of gap has happened before, but historically the spread should be expected to narrow.
It's easy to tell when you're on a parabola, but it's hard to tell which part of it.
Silver is clearly a parabola. It looks and feels like it might be post peak. I certainly felt that a month ago in the low 50's. Wait for a signal, then short. $SLV $SI/
Silver is clearly a parabola. It looks and feels like it might be post peak. I certainly felt that a month ago in the low 50's. Wait for a signal, then short. $SLV $SI/
December 29, 2025 at 5:38 PM
It's easy to tell when you're on a parabola, but it's hard to tell which part of it.
Silver is clearly a parabola. It looks and feels like it might be post peak. I certainly felt that a month ago in the low 50's. Wait for a signal, then short. $SLV $SI/
Silver is clearly a parabola. It looks and feels like it might be post peak. I certainly felt that a month ago in the low 50's. Wait for a signal, then short. $SLV $SI/
Between the YE mark-up and non-binding MOU BS, $NVDA was able to reverse the Sell signal on its 2% box size P&F chart. Does make me feel like we might have to wait for the $NDX to give a relative Sell signal before we're good to go to the downside. We'll see what '26 brings.
December 26, 2025 at 8:35 PM
Between the YE mark-up and non-binding MOU BS, $NVDA was able to reverse the Sell signal on its 2% box size P&F chart. Does make me feel like we might have to wait for the $NDX to give a relative Sell signal before we're good to go to the downside. We'll see what '26 brings.
Many years ago, I wrote up $BCX as an option for income accounts to also gain exposure to broad commodity returns. I still own some, but after a massive gain this year thanks mostly to the precious metals rip, I've monetized a chunk to reduce my exposure to any regression we see in '26.
December 24, 2025 at 6:10 PM
Many years ago, I wrote up $BCX as an option for income accounts to also gain exposure to broad commodity returns. I still own some, but after a massive gain this year thanks mostly to the precious metals rip, I've monetized a chunk to reduce my exposure to any regression we see in '26.