In our latest Substack @mrjcrouch.bsky.social looks at Keir Starmer's rock-bottom approval ratings, and how the die was cast within his first couple of months in office.

Link below 👇

🚨Latest Opinium Observer poll 🚨

For almost his entire time time in Downing Street, Keir Starmer has been less popular than Rishi Sunak and Boris Johnson were at the same point in their premierships.

🚨 New Opinium Observer polling 🚨
Labour’s leader is deep in the red, with Keir Starmer stuck at -41% approval now several weeks in a row.

Fewer than 1 in 5 voters approve of the job he’s doing, while while 60% disapprove.

Opinium and @curiauk.bsky.social polling shows that while protections for bats and newts might annoy roughly 1 in 7, a majority of the public currently support these environmental protections.
In the same polling we found 30% even think these same protections do not go far enough.

New Opinium Observer poll:
29% say nature of offence & age should be released at arrest. For names, 40% say wait until guilty verdict.

On nationality (21% at arrest) & ethnicity (19% at arrest), opinion is split, but pluralities favour info release after a guilty verdict.

One of the biggest dangers in politics? Selling a dream, then delivering a disappointment. Labour owns the narrative on housebuilding, but if it fails to deliver, it could burn through trust like wildfire.

Polling with @opiniumresearch.bsky.social and Curia

open.substack.com/pub/opinium/...

The #SpringStatement was a key opportunity for Rachel Reeves to reset the economic narrative - but instead @opiniumresearch.bsky.social shows that it was the worst received fiscal event since the mini-budget.

conservativehome.com/2025/03/31/j...

NEW: Read my latest in ConHome on Kemi Badenoch’s Net Zero stance and what it means for the Conservatives. A quick thread: 🧵
conservativehome.com/2025/03/27/j...

We are incredibly excited to be launching our 'Global Entrepreneurship Index' later on today in the House of Commons.

Thanks to @chriscurtis94.bsky.social and Danielle Dunfield-Prayero - And congrats to @mrjcrouch.bsky.social for his stellar work!

Have a nosey!: www.opinium.com/global-entre...

Labour's welfare reform pitch is in trouble. 🧵
Polling from @opiniumresearch.bsky.social (and some great analysis last month from my colleague @priyaminhas.bsky.social) shows the public is unlikely to buy their message. Here’s why Labour needs to rethink its approach & what might work better.

As the Government unveils it's plans to employment reform, @adamdrummond.bsky.social looks at the public's surprisingly nuanced views on welfare.

Read on Substack: open.substack.com/pub/opinium/...

Or on our website:

Kemi Badenoch’s first days as Conservative leader have been a mixed bag. Lukewarm approval ratings, diverted media attention, and what it’ll take for her to look like a PM in waiting.

@mrjcrouch.bsky.social breaks it down.

opinium.substack.com/p/kemi-baden...