Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
luciebs.bsky.social
Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
@luciebs.bsky.social
Policy Officer for Strategic Analysis, Europe Defence Agency (EDA). Views my own. Repost Is not endorsement
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
L’enjeu crucial, ce n’est pas le plan de #Trump, ce sont les garanties de sécurité, l’alliance 🇪🇺🇺🇦. Seule une présence 🇪🇺 en 🇺🇦 peut dissuader 🇷🇺 d’attaquer à nouveau 🇺🇦; seule 🇺🇦 peut permettre à 🇪🇺 d’être réellement militairement autonome et crédible.
April 26, 2025 at 7:08 AM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
"Granting China or Russia parts of these spheres would not satisfy them—it would empower them to go for more. And wherever their boots tread, violence and repression will follow.” Michael Beckley
The Age of American Unilateralism
How a rogue superpower will remake the global order.
www.foreignaffairs.com
April 21, 2025 at 2:52 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
I was on a podcast for College of Europe entitled “Europe Wakes Up: What the ReArm Agenda means for the future of EU defence”. Thanks to Antonio for the questions!

open.spotify.com/episode/6DiJ... @collegeofeurope.bsky.social
April 19, 2025 at 10:17 AM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
What does the new SIPRI #ArmsTransfers data tell us about dependence on US imports, and what lies behind European procurement decisions?
Read the Q&A with SIPRI Researcher Katarina Djokic:
🔗 bit.ly/42gsPi0
March 19, 2025 at 2:11 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
It is crucial for 🇪🇺 not to hesitate when it comes to strengthening European defence.

That's why we are proposing the #ReArm Europe package & finalising the White Paper, that will give the EU guidance on how to ramp up production in 🇪🇺 & increase our defence readiness.
#PDSF2025
March 12, 2025 at 2:02 PM
At the Paris Defence and Strategy Forum for intense discussions on the future of European defence
March 12, 2025 at 2:56 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
Hi all,

I sent out my latest Substack post this morning, covering Sweden's (almost) confirmed Taurus order and its implications for the European missile industry.

You can access the post via this link:

missilematters.substack.com/p/taurus-ne...

Short summary below.

1/6
Taurus News and the Future of the European Missile Industry
Sweden's (almost) confirmed Taurus order and its implications
missilematters.substack.com
March 2, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
Les 🇫🇷 divisés sur l'envoi de troupes en 🇺🇦.
👉Il ne s'agit pas seulement de dissuader une nouvelle agression 🇷🇺 en 🇺🇦, mais aussi de s'assurer que, le jour où NOUS serons attaqués, nous ayons à nos cotés l'un des peuples les plus courageux, et combatif du 🌍.
February 25, 2025 at 6:56 AM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
En parité de pouvoir d’achat, la Russie dépense désormais plus dans sa défense que tous les pays européens combinés. Et c’est sans compter sur la baisse d’efficacité liée à la multiplicité de pays (redondances, etc).

www.iiss.org/online-analy...
Global defence spending soars to new high
In response to rising threat perceptions, global defence spending rose to USD2.46 trillion in 2024. Countries in Asia, the Middle East and North Africa, and Europe saw major budget increases, although President Trump’s recent call for a minimum spend of 5% of GDP among NATO members remains unfeasible for most countries.
www.iiss.org
February 14, 2025 at 6:04 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
I’m pleased to be speaking at this ARES Group event on building European defence capabilities. A really great line-up of speakers!

www.eventbrite.fr/e/building-e...
Building European Defence Capabilities: how and with whom?
Conference organized by the ARES Group in Brussels on European Defence Capabilities
www.eventbrite.fr
January 23, 2025 at 9:06 PM
EDA annual conference - we are tackling the topic of defence financing this afternoon #EUdefence
January 22, 2025 at 1:29 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
I am at the European Defence Agency annual conference on new horizons in EU defence. There is a clear sense of what needs to be done, but we need a real push to get Europeans over the line for financing, capabilities, etc. Where will the political courage and leadership come from?
January 22, 2025 at 10:46 AM
EDA’s annual conference started today! Follow live stream here annualconference.eda.europa.eu #EUdefence
EDA Annual Conference
New Horizons in EU Defence
annualconference.eda.europa.eu
January 22, 2025 at 8:40 AM
With the start of Donald Trump’s second term, I feel it’s time to dig up some of my previous analyses… Here is one on the 2% target: www.iiss.org/sv/online-an...
NATO 2 percent fit for purpose
Is NATO’s two percent target fit for purpose?
www.iiss.org
January 21, 2025 at 8:39 AM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
❗️Event❗

Is Europe a player or a playground in the global power game? In an inaugural lecture for his ERC Research grant, Luis Simón will present the main theoretical & empirical aspects of the project. Join us on 12 February 2025!

Register🔸 csds.vub.be/event/europe...
January 16, 2025 at 9:43 AM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
The EU needs to rethink its spending priorities to boost defense budgets, NATO's new Secretary-General Mark Rutte told the European Parliament today.
Rethink welfare to finance military splurge, NATO boss tells European Parliament
If spending doesn’t rise, then MEPs should “get out your Russian language courses or go to New Zealand.”
www.politico.eu
January 13, 2025 at 6:16 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
On the 100 000 drones - is the number arbitrary? Sure, but which wouldn’t be?
What is more important in my view than buying drones now however (which risk to become obsolete fast) is to put in place drone production capabilities to manufacture large numbers when needed.
January 6, 2025 at 7:16 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
Sure, I can criticise the exact numbers and whether “a drone army” really is the right approach, but overall, these proposals are going in the right direction.

“CSU wants 100,000 drones to combat threats from abroad”
www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deut...
January 6, 2025 at 7:14 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
The incident involving undersea cables in the Baltic Sea is the latest in a series of suspected attacks on critical infrastructure.

We commend the Finnish authorities for their swift action in boarding the suspected vessel.

My joint statement → europa.eu/!k6cCfB
(1/3)
Joint Statement by the European Commission and the High Representative on the Investigation into Damaged Electricity and Data Cables in the Baltic Sea
Yesterday’s incident involving undersea cables in the Baltic Sea is the latest in a series of suspected attacks on critical infrastructure. We commend the Finnish authorities for their swift action in...
europa.eu
December 26, 2024 at 4:23 PM
EDA published its latest data on EU defence spending. Strong increase as could be expected. #EUdefence
eda.europa.eu/news-and-eve...
Latest News
Get all the news about EDA
eda.europa.eu
December 4, 2024 at 10:54 AM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
Several European producers saw their arms revenues grow substantially, driven by demand linked to the war in 🇺🇦#Ukraine, particularly for ammunition, artillery and air defence and land systems.

Learn more in the interactive database: bit.ly/4g9LU9W

#SIPRI #ArmsIndustry #Top100
December 2, 2024 at 9:17 AM
November 21, 2024 at 2:18 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
Chancellor Olaf Scholz is betting his refusal to provide Ukraine with Germany’s Taurus long-range missiles will help his chances in the coming election.
Scholz campaigns on refusal to send long-range missiles to Ukraine
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is depicting the decision as evidence of his “prudence” ahead of a key election.
www.politico.eu
November 19, 2024 at 10:58 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
What is the worst-case scenario for Europe facing both a US disengagement from European security and a trade war? This is the not so hopeful article I publish today in "Le Grand Continent" 1/2
legrandcontinent.eu/fr/2024/11/1...
La tenaille Trump : l’Europe face à un risque existentiel | Le Grand Continent
Quelle génération remboursera les dividendes de la paix ? La présidence de Trump est un « éléphant noir » pour l’Europe — une menace évidente mais qu’on prend soin de ne pas regarder en face. Alors q...
legrandcontinent.eu
November 18, 2024 at 12:00 PM
Reposted by Lucie Béraud-Sudreau
Tapping into Europe’s hidden trillions: will a Capital Markets Union meet the EU’s funding needs?

www.rte.ie/news/analysi...
How can Europe tap into trillions worth of hidden funds?
When EU officials travelled to Washington recently, the US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell showed them a chart showing American productivity over a 40-year period compared to European productivity...
www.rte.ie
November 16, 2024 at 7:56 AM