Karoliina Ainge
@karoliinaainge.bsky.social
Formerly 🇪🇪 gov, now Associate Director at Independent Diplomat.
#ForeignPolicy #Estonia #AI #cybersecurity
#ForeignPolicy #Estonia #AI #cybersecurity
In 2011, I wrote my MA thesis on EU's energy policy and focused particularly on the Baltic States. At the time, they were widely referred to as an "energy island" within the EU. Old Soviet connections kept them tethered to Russia. 1/2
«Goodbye, Russia. Goodbye, Lenin», - Lithuania's President Gitanas Nausėda after the Baltic states disconnected from Russia's energy system.
How we all wish we could say:
«Goodbye, Russia. Goodbye, Putin»..
How we all wish we could say:
«Goodbye, Russia. Goodbye, Putin»..
February 10, 2025 at 10:30 AM
In 2011, I wrote my MA thesis on EU's energy policy and focused particularly on the Baltic States. At the time, they were widely referred to as an "energy island" within the EU. Old Soviet connections kept them tethered to Russia. 1/2
Reposted by Karoliina Ainge
On the event of Prince Edward visiting Estonia tomorrow, it's a good moment to recall how the Estonian royalist party asked him to become the King of Estonia:
estonianworld.com/life/britain...
estonianworld.com/life/britain...
Britain’s Prince Edward was asked to become the king of Estonia
In 1994, the Estonian Royalist Party sent a letter to Elizabeth II, Queen of the United Kingdom, requesting permission to crown her youngest son, Prince Edward, as Estonia’s monarch.
estonianworld.com
January 16, 2025 at 11:14 AM
On the event of Prince Edward visiting Estonia tomorrow, it's a good moment to recall how the Estonian royalist party asked him to become the King of Estonia:
estonianworld.com/life/britain...
estonianworld.com/life/britain...
We at @IDiplomat are deeply saddened by the news of the #Vanuatuearthquake. Our thoughts are with the people and government as they respond to this crisis. We stand ready to support their recovery and continue our partnership on #digitalresilience. 🇻🇺
www.rnz.co.nz/news/nationa...
www.rnz.co.nz/news/nationa...
Live: Large 7.3 magnitude earthquake strikes near Vanuatu
As a rescue operation gets underway, Michael Thompson says help and heavy machinery are needed.
www.rnz.co.nz
December 17, 2024 at 7:43 AM
We at @IDiplomat are deeply saddened by the news of the #Vanuatuearthquake. Our thoughts are with the people and government as they respond to this crisis. We stand ready to support their recovery and continue our partnership on #digitalresilience. 🇻🇺
www.rnz.co.nz/news/nationa...
www.rnz.co.nz/news/nationa...
1/ 🌏Thrilled to be back in New York, advising Vanuatu and other Pacific Small Island Developing States (PSIDS) at the final sessions of the OEWG on ICTs! This critical process wraps up in July 2025, and the stakes couldn’t be higher for us. 🧵
December 2, 2024 at 7:25 PM
1/ 🌏Thrilled to be back in New York, advising Vanuatu and other Pacific Small Island Developing States (PSIDS) at the final sessions of the OEWG on ICTs! This critical process wraps up in July 2025, and the stakes couldn’t be higher for us. 🧵
Reposted by Karoliina Ainge
If you think genocide, torture and rape are bad, you are "Russophobic".
🤔
🤔
A list of top UK politicians were banned from entering Russia today, as Moscow continued its tit-for-tat diplomatic feud with London and accused senior Labour figures of “Russophobic” leanings.
Russia bans top UK politicians over mean words
Lengthy statement laments “Russophobic” views of U.K. cabinet ministers as war of words continues.
www.politico.eu
November 26, 2024 at 6:41 PM
If you think genocide, torture and rape are bad, you are "Russophobic".
🤔
🤔
1/ 🚨 A DHL cargo plane has tragically crashed in Lithuania. While the cause remains unknown, this incident must be seen in the broader context of increasing hybrid threats targeting Europe. Let's examine the bigger picture. We do not live in times of peace.🧵
November 25, 2024 at 12:48 PM
1/ 🚨 A DHL cargo plane has tragically crashed in Lithuania. While the cause remains unknown, this incident must be seen in the broader context of increasing hybrid threats targeting Europe. Let's examine the bigger picture. We do not live in times of peace.🧵
Every day we allow the Russians to continue the invasion, it creeps closer and closer to us.
This 👇 is how Politico chose to begin its recent article on “Europe is under attack from Russia. Why isn’t it fighting back?”
This morning, a transport airplane coming from Leipzig crashed near Vilnius.
Article www.politico.eu/article/euro...
This morning, a transport airplane coming from Leipzig crashed near Vilnius.
Article www.politico.eu/article/euro...
November 25, 2024 at 10:20 AM
Every day we allow the Russians to continue the invasion, it creeps closer and closer to us.
Having had the job of protecting a country from Russian cyber attacks, I can say with all certainty that if Russia could turn all our power off, they would have done it already.
The West is good at protecting itself but there is no room for complacency.
The West is good at protecting itself but there is no room for complacency.
Don’t know which department pre-briefed this speech by Pat Macfadden but top lines are back to old days of cyber hysteria, crossing the line from encouraging preparedness to doing Russia’s job for it by painting UK power grid and CNI as defenceless. www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/202...
November 25, 2024 at 10:11 AM
Having had the job of protecting a country from Russian cyber attacks, I can say with all certainty that if Russia could turn all our power off, they would have done it already.
The West is good at protecting itself but there is no room for complacency.
The West is good at protecting itself but there is no room for complacency.
Reposted by Karoliina Ainge
Q: What's relation between Dollar, Pound and Ruble?
A: A pound of rubles is worth a dollar
A: A pound of rubles is worth a dollar
November 24, 2024 at 3:23 PM
Q: What's relation between Dollar, Pound and Ruble?
A: A pound of rubles is worth a dollar
A: A pound of rubles is worth a dollar
Reposted by Karoliina Ainge
Russia gave the RS-26 a range /just/ inside the technical definition of an ICBM so they could claim it didn't infringe the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. It is effectively, however, an Intermediate-Range Ballistic Missile, or IRBM.
Russia just calls it an ICBM because it's more scary.
Russia just calls it an ICBM because it's more scary.
Russia’s use of an ICBM armed with a conventional warhead against #Ukraine is a tepid attempt to inspire fear in the west. The only thing it should inspire is increased western support for Ukrainian air defense and long-range missile strikes against Russia.
November 21, 2024 at 12:52 PM
Russia gave the RS-26 a range /just/ inside the technical definition of an ICBM so they could claim it didn't infringe the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. It is effectively, however, an Intermediate-Range Ballistic Missile, or IRBM.
Russia just calls it an ICBM because it's more scary.
Russia just calls it an ICBM because it's more scary.
Reposted by Karoliina Ainge
Must-read thread by @gresselgustav.bsky.social - rightly trying to stem 'WW3' panic in some Western circles. Putin wants to intimidate the West; he doesn't want to end up provoking it. So far Biden, Scholz, & Trump advisers like Donald Jr have done a great job of ensuring Putin's efforts succeed.
1/ We had an @ostausschuss.bsky.social recording yesterday, and today my voice is gone. I can't give interviews, but I can type something here...
On the supposed #ICBM launch, and the "escalation panic" ➡️ this is exactly what Moscow wanted to achieve. But is it justified?
On the supposed #ICBM launch, and the "escalation panic" ➡️ this is exactly what Moscow wanted to achieve. But is it justified?
November 21, 2024 at 1:41 PM
Must-read thread by @gresselgustav.bsky.social - rightly trying to stem 'WW3' panic in some Western circles. Putin wants to intimidate the West; he doesn't want to end up provoking it. So far Biden, Scholz, & Trump advisers like Donald Jr have done a great job of ensuring Putin's efforts succeed.
Reposted by Karoliina Ainge
US & Russia have agreement to notify each other of ICBM launches. Raises the question of whether Russia notified the US of RS-26 use & if that's why embassy was closed, or simply that US picked up - likely intentional? - signs of Russian preparations.
2009-2017.state.gov/t/avc/trty/1...
2009-2017.state.gov/t/avc/trty/1...
Memorandum of Understanding on Notifications of Missile Launches (PLNS MOU)
2009-2017.state.gov
November 21, 2024 at 9:58 AM
US & Russia have agreement to notify each other of ICBM launches. Raises the question of whether Russia notified the US of RS-26 use & if that's why embassy was closed, or simply that US picked up - likely intentional? - signs of Russian preparations.
2009-2017.state.gov/t/avc/trty/1...
2009-2017.state.gov/t/avc/trty/1...
ICBM use serves one strategic goal for Russia - to provoke responses from opposition parties in the West (the likes of Corbyn who are happy to sacrifice Eastern European lives for some perceived notion of "peace").
The only way to stop the circle of escalation is for Russia to lose and withdraw.
The only way to stop the circle of escalation is for Russia to lose and withdraw.
First ever combat ICBM use in history. Make no mistake, Russia is escalating this war even further.
Russia is reported to have fired an ICBM at democratic Ukraine for the first time. A strong Western response would include more military aid to Ukraine and stronger sanctions on fascist Russia. A weak response will invite more aggression from Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.
November 21, 2024 at 8:49 AM
ICBM use serves one strategic goal for Russia - to provoke responses from opposition parties in the West (the likes of Corbyn who are happy to sacrifice Eastern European lives for some perceived notion of "peace").
The only way to stop the circle of escalation is for Russia to lose and withdraw.
The only way to stop the circle of escalation is for Russia to lose and withdraw.
First ever combat ICBM use in history. Make no mistake, Russia is escalating this war even further.
Russia is reported to have fired an ICBM at democratic Ukraine for the first time. A strong Western response would include more military aid to Ukraine and stronger sanctions on fascist Russia. A weak response will invite more aggression from Russian dictator Vladimir Putin.
Ukrainian media say that overnight Russia targeted Ukraine with an RS-26 intercontinental ballistic missile launched from its Astrakhan region, a Kinzhal aeroballistic missile from a MiG-31K, and 7 Kh-101 cruise missiles from Tu-9 strategic bombers. Attack focused on Dnipro.
November 21, 2024 at 8:43 AM
First ever combat ICBM use in history. Make no mistake, Russia is escalating this war even further.
Once is an accident, twice..?
If I had a nickel for every time a Chinese ship was dragging its anchor on the bottom of the Baltic Sea in the vicinity of important cables I would have two nickels, which isn't much, but it's weird that it happened twice.
November 20, 2024 at 2:16 PM
Once is an accident, twice..?
At risk because of who, Vladimir?
Cable cutting in the news! I've written on this a few times. My first piece was in October 2022. The previous month Nord Stream pipelines were blown up—probably by Ukraine. In Jan the chief of defence staff noted "phenomenal" increase in Russian undersea activity. www.economist.com/internationa...
Vladimir Putin says the world’s energy infrastructure is “at risk”
He would know. And internet infrastructure is vulnerable too
www.economist.com
November 20, 2024 at 1:59 PM
At risk because of who, Vladimir?
I can't think of anything more callous than to sacrifice Ukrainian lives for some perceived gains in domestic polls.
Scholz will go down in history as one of the weakest, most unprincipled leaders of not only Germany, but Europe as a whole.
www.politico.eu/article/olaf...
Scholz will go down in history as one of the weakest, most unprincipled leaders of not only Germany, but Europe as a whole.
www.politico.eu/article/olaf...
Scholz campaigns on refusal to send long-range missiles to Ukraine
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz is depicting the decision as evidence of his “prudence” ahead of a key election.
www.politico.eu
November 20, 2024 at 11:45 AM
I can't think of anything more callous than to sacrifice Ukrainian lives for some perceived gains in domestic polls.
Scholz will go down in history as one of the weakest, most unprincipled leaders of not only Germany, but Europe as a whole.
www.politico.eu/article/olaf...
Scholz will go down in history as one of the weakest, most unprincipled leaders of not only Germany, but Europe as a whole.
www.politico.eu/article/olaf...
Yet it's Russia who claims to be encircled by NATO
November 20, 2024 at 7:32 AM
Yet it's Russia who claims to be encircled by NATO
When Russia gets annoyed, civilians start dying.
Ukraine defends itself, and somehow they are a accused of escalating?
One thing is clear - Russia will not stop until it is stopped. And we should be grateful to Ukraine for doing it.
Ukraine defends itself, and somehow they are a accused of escalating?
One thing is clear - Russia will not stop until it is stopped. And we should be grateful to Ukraine for doing it.
The US Embassy cautioned that Russia may launch a powerful attack on Ukraine on 20 Nov.
The diplomatic mission said it had received specific information about a possible major attack. They did not provide details about the attack.
📷US Embassy in Ukraine
The diplomatic mission said it had received specific information about a possible major attack. They did not provide details about the attack.
📷US Embassy in Ukraine
November 20, 2024 at 7:26 AM
When Russia gets annoyed, civilians start dying.
Ukraine defends itself, and somehow they are a accused of escalating?
One thing is clear - Russia will not stop until it is stopped. And we should be grateful to Ukraine for doing it.
Ukraine defends itself, and somehow they are a accused of escalating?
One thing is clear - Russia will not stop until it is stopped. And we should be grateful to Ukraine for doing it.
Yes, we know.
Baltic States joining NATO means WW3.
NATO bases in CEE means WW3.
NATO biolabs in Ukraine means WW3.
Supplying Javelins to Ukraine means WW3.
Supplying F16s means WW3.
ATACAMS means WW3.
Get your forces out of Ukraine and the world takes a massive step towards peace.
Baltic States joining NATO means WW3.
NATO bases in CEE means WW3.
NATO biolabs in Ukraine means WW3.
Supplying Javelins to Ukraine means WW3.
Supplying F16s means WW3.
ATACAMS means WW3.
Get your forces out of Ukraine and the world takes a massive step towards peace.
November 19, 2024 at 7:40 PM
Yes, we know.
Baltic States joining NATO means WW3.
NATO bases in CEE means WW3.
NATO biolabs in Ukraine means WW3.
Supplying Javelins to Ukraine means WW3.
Supplying F16s means WW3.
ATACAMS means WW3.
Get your forces out of Ukraine and the world takes a massive step towards peace.
Baltic States joining NATO means WW3.
NATO bases in CEE means WW3.
NATO biolabs in Ukraine means WW3.
Supplying Javelins to Ukraine means WW3.
Supplying F16s means WW3.
ATACAMS means WW3.
Get your forces out of Ukraine and the world takes a massive step towards peace.
The EU agreed on a common position on how international law applies in cyberspace. It's important, inter alia, because the EU’s response to Russian aggression should include decisive action in cyberspace. This is a solid step in the right direction.
r.newsletter.consilium.europa.eu/mk/mr/sh/1t6...
r.newsletter.consilium.europa.eu/mk/mr/sh/1t6...
Cyberspace: Council approves declaration on a common understanding of application of international law in cyberspace
r.newsletter.consilium.europa.eu
November 18, 2024 at 1:56 PM
The EU agreed on a common position on how international law applies in cyberspace. It's important, inter alia, because the EU’s response to Russian aggression should include decisive action in cyberspace. This is a solid step in the right direction.
r.newsletter.consilium.europa.eu/mk/mr/sh/1t6...
r.newsletter.consilium.europa.eu/mk/mr/sh/1t6...
Reposted by Karoliina Ainge
Things sent to Ukraine that won’t cause WWIII:
-Javelins
-HIMARS
-ATACMS
-Tanks
-Jets
-Permission to hit Russia with the above
Things likely to cause WWIII:
-Appeasing genocidal autocrats
-Enriching expansionist dictators
-Failing to respond when the above sabotage and attack us
-Javelins
-HIMARS
-ATACMS
-Tanks
-Jets
-Permission to hit Russia with the above
Things likely to cause WWIII:
-Appeasing genocidal autocrats
-Enriching expansionist dictators
-Failing to respond when the above sabotage and attack us
November 18, 2024 at 1:14 PM
Things sent to Ukraine that won’t cause WWIII:
-Javelins
-HIMARS
-ATACMS
-Tanks
-Jets
-Permission to hit Russia with the above
Things likely to cause WWIII:
-Appeasing genocidal autocrats
-Enriching expansionist dictators
-Failing to respond when the above sabotage and attack us
-Javelins
-HIMARS
-ATACMS
-Tanks
-Jets
-Permission to hit Russia with the above
Things likely to cause WWIII:
-Appeasing genocidal autocrats
-Enriching expansionist dictators
-Failing to respond when the above sabotage and attack us
Russia indiscriminately killing civilians in broad daylight.
How can we not agree that this has to stop? No amount of nice phone calls makes this go away, only strength and weapons.
How can we not agree that this has to stop? No amount of nice phone calls makes this go away, only strength and weapons.
Open massacre of civilians on the streets of Odesa at this hour as Russians sent ballistic missiles loaded with cluster munitions warheads into the heavily populated city center.
Its now open genocide.
Its now open genocide.
November 18, 2024 at 11:15 AM
Russia indiscriminately killing civilians in broad daylight.
How can we not agree that this has to stop? No amount of nice phone calls makes this go away, only strength and weapons.
How can we not agree that this has to stop? No amount of nice phone calls makes this go away, only strength and weapons.
Reposted by Karoliina Ainge
Good morning
How did your Sunday start
For these 🇺🇦 kids, it started in a bomb shelter
russia continues to bomb 🇺🇦 homes and civilians
How did your Sunday start
For these 🇺🇦 kids, it started in a bomb shelter
russia continues to bomb 🇺🇦 homes and civilians
Early Sunday morning in Kyiv while Europe awakens to a bright wintery day...
Ukrainian children sheltering in the metro.
Russia's massive missile/drone attack is ongoing - all across Ukraine.
Photo: Yan Dobronosov
Ukrainian children sheltering in the metro.
Russia's massive missile/drone attack is ongoing - all across Ukraine.
Photo: Yan Dobronosov
November 17, 2024 at 7:15 AM
Good morning
How did your Sunday start
For these 🇺🇦 kids, it started in a bomb shelter
russia continues to bomb 🇺🇦 homes and civilians
How did your Sunday start
For these 🇺🇦 kids, it started in a bomb shelter
russia continues to bomb 🇺🇦 homes and civilians