Julian Hinz
LightNews LightNews
banner
julianhi.nz
Julian Hinz
@julianhi.nz
1.2K followers 320 following 81 posts
Economist focused on international economics—trade policy, sanctions, migration & applied econometrics. Bielefeld University and Kiel Institute.
Posts Replies Media Videos
Pinned
julianhi.nz
Julian Hinz @julianhi.nz · Mar 26
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
Ein „Deal“ im #Handelsstreit 🇺🇸🇨🇳 könnte Zollpausen & Ausnahmen bei Exportkontrollen bringen, sagt @julianhi.nz #tagesthemen. Beide Seiten können gewinnen & verlieren, Zollniveau bleibt höher als vor Trump. Größtes Plus für 🇪🇺: weniger Unsicherheit 👇
Julian Hinz, Kiel Institut für Weltwirtschaft, über mögliche Handeldeals zwischen China und den USA
Julian Hinz, Kiel Institut für Weltwirtschaft, über mögliche Handeldeals zwischen China und den USA
www.tagesschau.de
October 28, 2025 at 4:45 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
Simulations with the KITE Model show a joint response would raise US costs by 34% vs. no retaliation—reaching ~60% of the effect of a global reaction. In contrast, going it alone is less effective and riskier, esp. for integrated economies like 🇨🇦 & 🇲🇽 👇 @emanuelornelas.bsky.social @ckhead.bsky.social
kiel.institute Kiel Institut @kiel.institute · Jul 24
The US is playing countries off against each other. A coalition of the 🇪🇺,🇨🇦,🇲🇽,🇧🇷 & 🇰🇷 could put real pressure on Washington with a joint response. They would have strong leverage against tariffs. Read more in the new KPB 👉 ifw-kiel.de/publications...
@julianhi.nz @schularick.bsky.social
July 24, 2025 at 2:12 PM
julianhi.nz
There is talk of an EU-US trade deal. The EU shouldn't agree to a WTO rule-breaking shakedown that undermines the multilateral system. Instead, it should build a coalition to push back.👇

NB: The piece is written by a coalition of coauthors from Canada, Brazil, France and Germany.
kiel.institute Kiel Institut @kiel.institute · Jul 24
The US is playing countries off against each other. A coalition of the 🇪🇺,🇨🇦,🇲🇽,🇧🇷 & 🇰🇷 could put real pressure on Washington with a joint response. They would have strong leverage against tariffs. Read more in the new KPB 👉 ifw-kiel.de/publications...
@julianhi.nz @schularick.bsky.social
July 24, 2025 at 5:17 PM
julianhi.nz
Happening now ⬇️
kiel.institute Kiel Institut @kiel.institute · Jun 26
Register now for the next Kiel Trade Talk! Chek Yin Choi @iies.su.se presents research on how falling global search costs have reshaped firm size, trade patterns, and market concentration—favoring both top and small firms in complex ways 👉 www.ifw-kiel.de/institute/ev...

@julianhi.nz
July 4, 2025 at 10:07 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
Register now for the next Kiel Trade Talk! Chek Yin Choi @iies.su.se presents research on how falling global search costs have reshaped firm size, trade patterns, and market concentration—favoring both top and small firms in complex ways 👉 www.ifw-kiel.de/institute/ev...

@julianhi.nz
June 26, 2025 at 3:29 PM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
dezernatzukunft.bsky.social
#Globalisierung unter Druck! 🌍 Wie muss sich Deutschland in einer "post-globalisierten" Welt aufstellen? @julianhi.nz & Aurora Li diskutieren über die neue, unsichere #Handelsordnung.

📌Berlin-Mitte
📅 25.6., ab 18:30 Uhr

Jetzt anmelden! 👉
share-eu1.hsforms.com/1nYIsVdHnTyq...
Form
share-eu1.hsforms.com
June 24, 2025 at 2:42 PM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
mh120480.bsky.social
unsere grundlagenfolge zu zöllen mit @julianhi.nz ist nun frei für alle: mikrooekonomen.de/premiummikro...
(Premium)MikroGespräch044 mit Julian Hinz über Donald Trumps Handelskrieg - Mikroökonomen
Julian Hinz und Marco Herack besprechen Zölle. Was sie sind, wohin sie führen und wie Donald Trumps Zölle wirken könnten. Da Wortwahl manchmal schwierig ist, fragen wir uns auch: Befinden wir uns in e...
mikrooekonomen.de
June 20, 2025 at 3:54 PM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
🍕 Jetzt anmelden zum Pizza-Event mit @julianhi.nz zum Thema Welthandel & Globalisierung - bei unseren Büronachbarn in Berlin @dezernatzukunft.bsky.social 👇
dezernatzukunft.bsky.social Dezernat Zukunft @dezernatzukunft.bsky.social · Jun 17
#Welthandel am Abgrund?

In 8 Tagen diskutieren wir bei Pizza & Getränken mit Handelsökonom Julian Hinz (@kielinstitute) über die Zukunft der #Globalisierung.

📅 25. Juni, 18:30 Uhr
📍 Dezernat Zukunft, Berlin

Jetzt anmelden:
share-eu1.hsforms.com/1nYIsVdHnTyq... cc @schularick.bsky.social
June 18, 2025 at 6:48 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
Join us for the next Kiel Trade Talks! Laszlo Tetenyi @bportugal.pt presents research on Malawi’s Farm Input Subsidy Program and its impact on welfare, undernutrition, and resource allocation.
Register here 👉 ifw-kiel.de/institute/ev...
@julianhi.nz
June 9, 2025 at 7:58 AM
julianhi.nz
Looking forward to this @BrookingsInst event on Thursday on the state of the Russia sanctions ⬇️
robin-j-brooks.bsky.social Robin Brooks @robin-j-brooks.bsky.social · Jun 3
Oil tankers and Russia's shadow fleet are Putin's Achilles heel. We're doing a @brookings.edu event on the shadow fleet this week to discuss policy options, with a panel discussion that includes @julianhi.nz and a kick-off presentation by @econharris.bsky.social.
www.brookings.edu/events/backi...
Backing Ukraine: What’s next for Russian sanctions?
On June 5, Brookings will host a panel of distinguished scholars to discuss the risks of Russian oil sanctions.
www.brookings.edu
June 3, 2025 at 6:37 PM
julianhi.nz
🚨 KITE Insta-Analys: Trump just suggested additional 50% tariff on all goods imports from EU. This one would hurt the EU: 🇩🇪 Germany real output falls –0.78%, 🇪🇺 EU27 –0.66%, 🇺🇸 US -1.51%. In EU hardest hit sector is transportation (automotive, aircraft, etc.): -5% real production. 1/n
May 23, 2025 at 1:00 PM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
rethink-gsc.bsky.social
📈 📊 Two days of lively discussion & exchange on global supply chains, intangibles, and services. The RETHINK-GSC Gdańsk Workshop offered valuable insights & fresh perspectives for application.

Read more 👉: rethink-gsc.eu/rethink-gsc-...

#RETHINK-GSC #GlobalSupplyChains #EU-funded #HorizonEU
Keynote speaker Andreas Moxnes from the Norwegian Business School stands in front of his presentation while delivering his speech. RETHINK-GSC researcher Aleksandra Parteka, who is a professor of economics at the Gdańsk University of Technology and the host of the workshop, is gesturing while presenting her research on funding structures and university patenting. Agnes Kügler, a RETHINK-GSC researcher and a senior economist at the WIFO, points to the formula used in her latest research on the effects of patent litigation and trade, which is displayed on the screen.
May 21, 2025 at 8:04 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
mh120480.bsky.social
Neue Folge MikroGespräch (Premium): Ich habe mit mich mit @julianhi.nz über Zölle unterhalten. Von ihrer Funktion über die Trump'schen Auswirkungen und ob man das alles 'Strafzölle' oder 'globaler Handelskrieg' nennen sollte. mikrooekonomen.de/premiummikro...
(Premium)MikroGespräch044 mit Julian Hinz über Donald Trumps Handelskrieg - Mikroökonomen
Julian Hinz und Marco Herack besprechen Zölle. Was sie sind, wohin sie führen und wie Donald Trumps Zölle wirken könnten. Da Wortwahl manchmal schwierig ist, fragen wir uns auch: Befinden wir uns in e...
mikrooekonomen.de
May 20, 2025 at 7:28 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
📢 Kiel Trade Talks #8 - Alina Sorgner (John Cabot University
& Kiel Institute) will present research on regional patterns of AI adoption in European firms using novel web-scraped data.
Register now, as the event is already scheduled for Friday 👉 www.ifw-kiel.de/institute/ev...
@julianhi.nz
May 20, 2025 at 6:46 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
…and the rest of the workshop didn’t disappoint either - great keynote, two more paper presentations, many conversations, sharp minds, and plenty of inspiration! Thanks to all speakers and participants 👏!
@cepr.org @schularick.bsky.social @julianhi.nz @joschkawanner.bsky.social
May 16, 2025 at 10:17 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
Great start to the Kiel-CEPR "Firms in International Trade" workshop in Berlin today! Insightful presentations by Paola Conconi, Holger Breinlich, @emilyjblanchard.bsky.social & @aggraziano.bsky.social! Up next: keynote by @imanelici.bsky.social – looking forward! 👉 ifw-kiel.de/institute/ev...
May 15, 2025 at 11:18 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
Trump’s 'Liberation Day' marks a retreat from multilateralism. In this joint statement w/ @svrwirtschaft.bsky.social, CAE @cepii-paris.bsky.social the authors call on the EU to respond w/ strategic retaliation, support for EU firms & leadership in defending open trade www.ifw-kiel.de/publications...
May 14, 2025 at 3:29 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
jaleks.bsky.social
In dieser öffentlichen Vorlesung analysieren zwei Experten für Internationale Volkswirtschaftslehre – Professor Gerald Willmann, Ph.D., und Professor Dr. Julian Hinz (@julianhi.nz) von der Universität #Bielefeld – die wirtschaftlichen Hintergründe und Folgen dieser Entwicklung.

13.05.25, 18:30, H15
Zölle und Unsicherheit: Eine neue Ära des Protektionismus? Auswirkungen auf die globale Wirtschaft
aktuell.uni-bielefeld.de
May 12, 2025 at 1:17 PM
julianhi.nz
🚨 KITE Insta-Analys: US-China 90-day tariff pause provides short-term relief. US real GDP impact improves from -1.6% to -1.29%, and inflation eases to +4.3%. 🇨🇳 China’s real GDP loss shrinks to -0.5%. 🇩🇪 Germany and 🇪🇺 EU hardly move compared to previous situation (-0.22% and -0.14%). 1/n
May 12, 2025 at 2:07 PM
julianhi.nz
Happening now ⬇️
kiel.institute Kiel Institut @kiel.institute · Apr 14
How do China’s rare earth export restrictions shape global innovation and trade? 📈 Join the next - very timely - Kiel Trade Talk with @janschymik.bsky.social
👉 www.ifw-kiel.de/institute/ev...
@julianhi.nz
April 25, 2025 at 9:56 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
How do China’s rare earth export restrictions shape global innovation and trade? 📈 Join the next - very timely - Kiel Trade Talk with @janschymik.bsky.social
👉 www.ifw-kiel.de/institute/ev...
@julianhi.nz
April 14, 2025 at 2:20 PM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
wifo.bsky.social
#WIFO Research Brief: neue Zollpolitik der USA konfrontiert die EU mit wachsender handelspolitischer Unsicherheit. Drei Szenarien, mit denen die EU auf protektionistische Tendenzen reagieren kann, werden analysiert. @hendrikmahlkow.com @sonalichowdhry.bsky.social @julianhi.nz buff.ly/m5eXspM
April 11, 2025 at 7:00 AM
julianhi.nz
🚨 KITE Insta-Analysis Update: Additional +34% tariffs by 🇨🇳 China on imports from 🇺🇸 USA, and in response an additional +50% tariffs vice versa (total 104% 🤯). Numbers largely speak for themselves, with relatively stable figures for bystanders (EU, also BRICS) hiding significant trade diversion. 1/3
April 8, 2025 at 8:43 PM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
sandertordoir.bsky.social
The Kiel Institute is on fire – they modelled the impact of Trump’s trade war.

Check out the chart. The numbers come with the usual uncertainty, but they give a good sense of the eye-popping inflation the US is now facing.

Via @davideoneglia.bsky.social
Paper here: www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/kiel-...
April 4, 2025 at 11:28 AM
Reposted by Julian Hinz
kiel.institute
@julianhi.nz & team on fire! Follow him for Insta-Analysis on all things trade - especially #tariffs right now.

Also on 👉 www.kiel.institute/tariffs
sandertordoir.bsky.social Sander Tordoir @sandertordoir.bsky.social · Apr 4
The Kiel Institute is on fire – they modelled the impact of Trump’s trade war.

Check out the chart. The numbers come with the usual uncertainty, but they give a good sense of the eye-popping inflation the US is now facing.

Via @davideoneglia.bsky.social
Paper here: www.ifw-kiel.de/topics/kiel-...
April 4, 2025 at 1:34 PM